小波包变换和隐马尔可夫模型在轴承性能退化评估中的应用

轴承是旋转机械中的关键部件,有效地对其进行性能退化评估对指导设备维护、防止设备意外失效有非常重要的意义。本文提出了一种基于小波包变换和隐马尔可夫模型（HMM）的轴承性能退化评估方法。该方法使用小波包变换对轴承振动信号进行分析,并提取节点能量及其总能量作为特征,仅使用正常状态下的数据训练HMM,建立性能退化评估模型,然后使用该模型对轴承的退化程度进行定量评估。最后,通过对轴承加速疲劳寿命试验的研究,验证了所提出的方法的可行性和有效性。     

A Novel Multi‐hidden Semi‐Markov Model for Degradation State Identification and Remaining Useful Life Estimation

With the increase of product reliability, collecting time‐to‐failure data is becoming difficult, and degradation‐based method has gained popularity. In this paper, a novel multi‐hidden semi‐Markov model is proposed to identify degradation and estimate remaining useful life of a system. Multiple fused features are used to describe the degradation process so as to improve the effectiveness and accuracy. The similarities of the features are depicted by a new variable combined with forward and backward variables to reduce computational effort. The degradation state is identified using modified Viterbi algorithm, in which linear function is adopted to describe the contribution of each feature to the state recognition. Subsequently, the remaining useful life can be forecasted by backward recursive equations. A case study is presented, and the results demonstrate the validity and effectiveness of the proposed method. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于Gabor脸和隐马尔可夫模型的人像识别算法

提出了基于Gabor小波变换和隐马尔可夫模型的人像识别算法。该算法先对人脸图像进行多分辨率的Gabor小波变换,采用主元分析法对每个结点进行降维,最后形成Gabor脸。把Gabor脸的每个特征结作为观测向量,对隐马尔可夫模型进行了训练,并把优化的模型参数用于人脸识别。实验结果表明,本文方法识别率高,复杂度较低,对部分遮挡的图像具有较大的容忍度。     

基于最优Morlet小波和隐马尔可夫模型的轴承故障诊断

摘要：提出一种从信号时频域提取故障特征的新方法,先将振动信号作Morlet小波变换,再将小波系数顺序划分成多个子列,各子列协方差矩阵的特征值为所需的特征参数。为了更有效地提取信号的振动特性及周期性成分,使用了最小香农熵准则和奇异值分解技术选择Morlet小波参数,并用比较实验证明了参数优化的有效性。状态辨识使用了连续型隐马尔可夫模型,在三种故障程度下分别实现了轴承正常状态,滚动体故障,内圈和外圈故障的正确辨识,平均精度都大于93%。     

Prediction of feather damage in laying hens using optical flows and Markov models

Feather pecking in laying hens is a major welfare and production problem for commercial egg producers, resulting in mortality, loss of production as well as welfare issues for the damaged birds. Damaging outbreaks of feather pecking are currently impossible to control, despite a number of proposed interventions. However, the ability to predict feather damage in advance would be a valuable research tool for identifying which management or environmental factors could be the most effective interventions at different ages. This paper proposes a framework for forecasting the damage caused by injurious pecking based on automated image processing and statistical analysis. By frame-by-frame analysis of video recordings of laying hen flocks, optical flow measures are calculated as indicators of the movement of the birds. From the optical flow datasets, measures of disturbance are extracted using hidden Markov models. Based on these disturbance measures and age-related variables, the levels of feather damage in flocks in future weeks is predicted. Applying the proposed method to real-world datasets, it is shown that the disturbance measures offer improved predictive values for feather damage thus enabling an identification of flocks with probable prevalence of damage and injury later in lay.     

双树复小波域隐Markov树模型降噪及在机械故障诊断中的应用

提出一种基于双树复小波变换的隐Markov树模型的信号降噪方法,并将其成功应用于机械故障诊断中。机械设备的振动信号中不可避免的存在着噪声,使得微弱故障信息的提取一直是故障诊断的难点和热点。双树复小波变换具有近似平移不变性,而隐Markov树模型能有效刻画小波系数间的相关性和非高斯性,两种优势的结合可以获得比常规软、硬阈值小波降噪法和小波域隐Markov树模型降噪法更好的降噪效果。它不仅能有效抑制高斯白噪声,还能够去除异常冲击干扰,仿真信号验证了这一点。对于实际滚动轴承信号,使用该方法同样可以获得满意的结果     

A Smart English Text Zero-Watermarking Approach Based on Third-Level Order and Word Mechanism of Markov Model

Text information is principally dependent on the natural languages. Therefore, improving security and reliability of text information exchanged via internet network has become the most difficult challenge that researchers encounter. Content authentication and tampering detection of digital contents have become a major concern in the area of communication and information exchange via the Internet. In this paper, an intelligent text Zero-Watermarking approach SETZWMWMM (Smart English Text Zero-Watermarking Approach Based on Mid-Level Order and Word Mechanism of Markov Model) has been proposed for the content authentication and tampering detection of English text contents. The SETZWMWMM approach embeds and detects the watermark logically without altering the original English text document. Based on Hidden Markov Model (HMM), Third level order of word mechanism is used to analyze the interrelationship between contexts of given English texts. The extracted features are used as a watermark information and integrated with digital zero-watermarking techniques. To detect eventual tampering, SETZWMWMM has been implemented and validated with attacked English text. Experiments were performed on four datasets of varying lengths under multiple random locations of insertion, reorder and deletion attacks. The experimental results show that our method is more sensitive and efficient for all kinds of tampering attacks with high level accuracy of tampering detection than compared methods.     

Mesh objective modeling of cracks using continuous linear strain and displacement interpolations

The paper addresses the problem of tensile and mixed‐mode cracking within the so‐called smeared crack approach. Because lack of point‐wise convergence on stresses is deemed as the main difficulty to be overcome in the discrete problem, a (stabilized) mixed formulation with continuous linear strain and displacement interpolations is used. The necessary convergence rate can be proved for such a formulation, at least in the linear problem. Two standard local isotropic Rankine damage models with strain‐softening, differing in the definition of the damage criteria, are used as discrete constitutive model. Numerical examples demonstrate the application of the proposed formulation using linear triangular P1P1 and bilinear quadrilateral Q1Q1 mixed elements. The results obtained do not suffer from spurious mesh‐bias dependence without the use of auxiliary tracking techniques. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Joint decision-making of production and maintenance in mixed model assembly systems with delayed differentiation configurations

Mixed model assembly systems (MMASs) can simultaneously manufacture multiple product variants and are developed to satisfy customers’ increasing desire for products with a high variety. This paper investigates the joint decision-making of production and maintenance policies in MMASs with delayed differentiation configurations, where common operations are performed before differentiated processes. The problem is formulated as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) problem that minimises the average cost per unit time. Monte Carlo simulation is used to evaluate the system performance measures (e.g. volume mix ratio, product quality) under the optimal policy. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the structure of the optimal policy and the impact of different factors on the system performance in an MMAS that produces two types of product variants. Techniques that can potentially solve the problem in large-sized MMASs are also discussed.     

基于骨导麦克风数据的咀嚼发音类型自动识别与分类方法

口腔运动与人们的饮食规律息息相关,该文通过对口腔运动状态的分析识别来监测人们的饮食规律,以此来指导人们的饮食习惯。借助语音识别技术的思想和方法,分析识别口腔运动产生的骨导音,为提升识别效率,采用了传统的隐马尔可夫模型。基于隐马尔可夫模型建立了一套骨导音识别系统,在进行骨导音识别之前,通过分帧加窗、提取梅尔频率倒谱系数,对其进行模型训练;在识别过程中,找出与待测音频信号和模板库中匹配度最高的模型,以其模型输出结果作为最后的识别结果。该方法的识别结果可以达到 84%,实验结果表明该方法具有一定的可行性。     

Hidden Markov model-based approach for generation of Pitman shorthand language symbols for consonants and vowels from spoken english

Pitman shorthand language (PSL) is a widely practised medium for transcribing/recording speech to text (StT) in English. This recording medium continues to exist in spite of considerable development in speech processing systems (SPS), because of its ability to record spoken/dictated text at high speeds of more than 120 words per minute. Hence, scope exists for exploiting this potential of PSL in present SPS. In this paper, an approach for feature extraction using Mel frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCC) and classification using hidden Markov models (HMM) for generating strokes comprising consonants and vowels (CV) in the process of production of Pitman shorthand language from spoken English is proposed. The proposed method is tested on a large number of samples, drawn from different speakers and the results are encouraging. The work is useful in total automation of PSL processing.     

Spatial generalized linear mixed models of electric power outages due to hurricanes and ice storms

This paper presents new statistical models that predict the number of hurricane- and ice storm-related electric power outages likely to occur in each 3 km×3 km grid cell in a region. The models are based on a large database of recent outages experienced by three major East Coast power companies in six hurricanes and eight ice storms. A spatial generalized linear mixed modeling (GLMM) approach was used in which spatial correlation is incorporated through random effects. Models were fitted using a composite likelihood approach and the covariance matrix was estimated empirically. A simulation study was conducted to test the model estimation procedure, and model training, validation, and testing were done to select the best models and assess their predictive power. The final hurricane model includes number of protective devices, maximum gust wind speed, hurricane indicator, and company indicator covariates. The final ice storm model includes number of protective devices, ice thickness, and ice storm indicator covariates. The models should be useful for power companies as they plan for future storms. The statistical modeling approach offers a new way to assess the reliability of electric power and other infrastructure systems in extreme events.     

基于贝叶斯统计推断的框架结构损伤诊断研究

提出一种基于贝叶斯推理的非线性结构模型修正方法,同时考虑激励的随机性,建立了复合随机振动系统的动力可靠度分析方法。利用实测结构动力响应主分量的瞬时特征参数作为非线性指标构建似然函数,结合拒绝延缓自适应(Delayed Rejection and Adaptive Metropolis, DRAM)算法和高斯过程替代模型实现了非线性结构模型修正及其参数的不确定性量化。根据首次超越破坏准则,利用广义概率密度演化方法,分别对仅考虑激励随机性的确定性模型和同时考虑结构参数与激励不确定性的复合随机振动模型进行动力可靠度分析,并利用蒙特卡洛随机抽样方法验证了计算结果的准确性。研究结果表明：基于振动响应瞬时特征参数的贝叶斯推理方法能够快速、准确地实现结构的非线性模型修正及其参数的不确定性量化。与具有初始设计参数名义值的确定性模型相比,考虑参数不确定性的复合随机模型的动力可靠度总体偏低,因此,在结构安全评估中应考虑非线性模型参数不确定性的影响,使评估结果更加安全、可靠。     

Progressive damage analysis of composite bolted joints with liquid shim layers using constant and continuous degradation models

The structural behaviour of a single-lap, single-bolt composite joint is investigated using a three-dimensional finite element model. In contrast to previous investigations the influence of a liquid shim layer, added between the two laminates, on strength and structural behaviour of the joints is investigated by virtual testing. The finite element model is validated with experimental data. The experiments point out that the structural behaviour of these joints is dominated by progressive damage. Therefore, as a first approach, progressive damage is considered using Hashin’s three-dimensional failure criterion and a constant degradation model. It is shown that this combination yields very conservative results. As a second approach the model is improved by a continuous degradation model. Considering continuous degradation, the numerical results show very good correlation with the experimental data.     

基于EMD多尺度威布尔分布与HMM的轴承性能退化评估方法

轴承作为旋转机械中的重要部件,对其性能退化状态进行准确评估是开展预测性维护的重要前提。针对现有性能退化指标在鲁棒性和敏感性上的不足,提出一种基于多尺度威布尔分布与隐马尔可夫模型(Hidden Markov model,HMM)的滚动轴承性能退化评估方法。首先,采用经验模态分解(empirical mode decomposition,EMD)对轴承振动信号进行多尺度分解,将轴承振动数据分解到不同尺度的本征模态分量(intrinsic mode function,IMF)中;然后,通过峭度指标选取故障特征信息明显的IMF分量,并对各个IMF分量进行滑动窗口威布尔分布拟合,提取多尺度威布尔形状参数作为性能退化特征;最后,将轴承正常状态下退化特征参数输入隐马尔可夫模型(Hidden Markov model,HMM)进行训练,建立性能退化评估模型,从而实现轴承性能退化评估。试验结果表明,该评估方法可以有效反映轴承的性能退化趋势,与其他相关方法相比,该方法能够及时识别到轴承早期故障,并且具有较强的稳定性。     

Modeling of multicomponent diffusions and natural convection in unfractured and fractured media by discontinuous Galerkin and mixed methods

Computation of the distribution of species in hydrocarbon reservoirs from diffusions (thermal, molecular, and pressure) and natural convection is an important step in reservoir initialization. Current methods, which are mainly based on the conventional finite‐difference approach, may not be numerically efficient in fractured and other media with complex heterogeneities. In this work, the discontinuous Galerkin (DG) method combined with the mixed finite element (MFE) method is used for the calculation of compositional variation in fractured hydrocarbon reservoirs. The use of unstructured gridding allows efficient computations for fractured media when the cross flow equilibrium concept is invoked. The DG method has less numerical dispersion than the upwind finite‐difference methods. The MFE method ensures continuity of fluxes at the interface of the grid elements. We also use the local DG (LDG) method instead of the MFE to calculate the diffusion fluxes. Results from several numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the efficiency, robustness, and accuracy of the model. Various features of convection and diffusion in homogeneous, layered, and fractured media are also discussed.     

An investment plan for preventing child injuries using risk priority number of failure mode and effects analysis methodology and a multi-objective, multi-dimensional mixed 0-1 knapsack model

In this paper, a general framework for child injury prevention and a multi-objective, multi-dimensional mixed 0-1 knapsack model were developed to determine the optimal time to introduce preventive measures against child injuries. Furthermore, the model maximises the prevention of injuries with the highest risks for each age period by combining preventive measures and supervision as well as satisfying budget limits and supervision time constraints. The risk factors for each injury, variable, and time period were based on risk priority numbers (RPNs) obtained from failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) methodology, and these risk factors were incorporated into the model as objective function parameters. A numerical experiment based on several different situations was conducted, revealing that the model provided optimal timing of preventive measures for child injuries based on variables considered.