The design of geometric generalized likelihood ratio control chart

This paper develops a control chart, named generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) control chart, based on a GLR statistic to monitor the parameter of geometrically distributed process. The GLR statistic is obtained based on window of the past samples. The performance of the GLR control chart is compared with the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and two combinations of CUSUM charts, in terms of the steady state average time to signal. Simulation results show that the GLR control chart outperforms the CUSUM and two combinations of CUSUM charts in detecting a wide range of parameter shifts in the geometrically distributed process. A real data set is used to demonstrate the performance and effectiveness of the proposed control chart.     

A Generalized Likelihood Ratio Control Chart for Monitoring the Process Mean Subject to Linear Drifts

This article considers the problem of monitoring a normally distributed process variable when a special cause may produce a time‐varying linear drift in the mean. The design and application of a generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) control chart for drift detection are evaluated. The GLR drift chart does not require specification of any tuning parameters by the practitioner and has the advantage that, at the time of the signal, estimates of both the change point and the drift size are immediately available. An equation to accurately approximate the control limit is provided. The performance of the GLR drift chart is compared with that of other control charts such as a standard cumulative sum chart and a cumulative score chart designed for drift detection. We also compare the GLR chart designed for drift detection with the GLR chart designed for sustained shift detection because both of them require only a control limit to be specified. In terms of the expected time for detection and in terms of the bias and mean squared error of the change‐point estimators, the GLR drift chart has better performance for a wide range of drift rates relative to the GLR shift chart when the out‐of‐control process is truly a linear drift. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An Individuals Generalized Likelihood Ratio Control Chart for Monitoring Linear Profiles

This paper investigates a generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) control chart for detecting sustained changes in the parameters of linear profiles when individual observations are sampled. The control charts usually used for monitoring linear profiles are based on taking a sample of n observations at each sampling time point, where n is large enough that a regression model can be fitted at each sampling point using these n observations. For this sampling scenario, it has been shown that a GLR control chart has many advantages over other control chart schemes in terms of convenience of design, fast detection of process changes, and useful diagnostic aids. However, in many applications, it may not be convenient or possible to take a sample larger than n = 1. Therefore, it is desirable to develop some control chart to monitor profile data with individual observations (n = 1) at each sampling point. In this paper, we consider a GLR control chart based on individual observations and show that it has certain advantages compared with the GLR chart based on groups of observations. An important advantage of GLR control charts is that the only design parameter that needs to be specified in order to use a GLR chart is the control limit, and here, control limits for linear profiles up to eight regression coefficients are provided for convenient use by practitioners. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

CS‐EWMA Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion

Control charts are the most extensively used technique to detect the presence of special cause variations in processes. They can be classified into memory and memoryless control charts. Cumulative sum and exponentially weighted moving average control charts are memory‐type control charts as their control structures are developed in such a way that the past information is not ignored as it is done in the case of memoryless control charts, like the Shewhart‐type control charts. The present study is based on the proposal of a new memory‐type control chart for process dispersion. This chart is named as CS‐EWMA chart as its plotting statistic is based on a cumulative sum of the exponentially weighted moving averages. Comparisons with other memory charts used to monitor the process dispersion are done by means of the average run length. An illustration of the proposed technique is done by applying the CS‐EWMA chart on a simulated dataset. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Improved CUSUM monitoring of Markov counting process with frequent zeros

There has been a growing interest in monitoring processes featuring serial dependence and zero inflation. The phenomenon of excessive zeros often occurs in count time series because of the advancement of quality in manufacturing process. In this study, we propose three control charts, such as the cumulative sum chart with delay rule (CUSUM‐DR), conforming run length (CRL)‐CUSUM chart, and combined Shewhart CRL‐CUSUM chart, to enhance the performance of monitoring Markov counting processes with excessive zeros. Numerical experiments are conducted based on integer‐valued autoregressive time series models, for example, zero‐inflated Poisson INAR and INARCH, to evaluate the performance of the proposed charts designed for the detection of mean increase. A real example is also illustrated to demonstrate the usability of our proposed charts.     

Generalized likelihood ratio based risk-adjusted control chart for zero-inflated Poisson process

Nowadays, statistical process control has been widely used to monitor processes in various fields. To monitor processes with a large number of zero observations by control charts, the zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) model has been adopted. Due to the heterogeneity of each sample in the process, several factors have been taken into account to predict values of two parameters in the ZIP model by risk adjustment. Instead of considering two parameters to be constant directly, risk-adjusted ZIP control charts can provide more reasonable monitoring results than traditional ones. However, existing methods ignored the interaction between parameters in the ZIP model, which leads to some risk-adjusted control charts unable to accurately estimate parameters to provide effective monitoring results. To address this problem, this paper presents a generalize likelihood ratio (GLR) based control chart to better monitor the risk-adjusted ZIP process with EWMA scheme, which can detect the random shift in both parameters efficiently. In the simulation study, the proposed control chart is compared with another two existing control charts and shows superior performance on detecting various types of shifts in parameters. Finally, the proposed control chart is applied to the Hong Kong influenza datasets and the flight delay datasets to illustrate its effectiveness and utility.     

Generalized likelihood ratio control charts for high-purity (high-quality) processes

Generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) control charts are useful for tailor-made monitoring strategies, but they are less developed for discrete processes. In this paper, the GLR control chart framework applied to aggregate cumulative quantities data is extended. Inspired by the technical note on GLR control charts from Lee and Woodall (2018), unnecessary artificial bounds in the GLR chart for geometric data proposed in literature are removed and parameter restriction errors, common in GLR designs, are corrected. Finally, the Gamma GLR chart for continuous-time time-between-event data that can be modeled by a Poisson process is proposed and its performance are evaluated and compared to its traditional competitors.     

New GWMA‐CUSUM control chart for monitoring the process dispersion

The cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been widely accepted because of their fantastic speed in identifying small‐to‐moderate unusual variations in the process parameter(s). Recently, a new CUSUM chart has been proposed that uses the EWMA statistic, called the CS‐EWMA chart, for monitoring the process variability. On similar lines, in order to further improve the detection ability of the CS‐EWMA chart, we propose a CUSUM chart using the generally weighted moving average (GWMA) statistic, named the GWMA‐CUSUM chart, for monitoring the process dispersion. Monte Carlo simulations are used to compute the run length profiles of the GWMA‐CUSUM chart. On the basis of the run length comparisons, it turns out that the GWMA‐CUSUM chart outperforms the CUSUM and CS‐EWMA charts when identifying small variations in the process variability. A simulated dataset is also used to explain the working and implementation of the CS‐EWMA and GWMA‐CUSUM charts.     

Optimal control limits for CCC charts in the presence of inspection errors

The control chart based on cumulative count of conforming (CCC) items between the occurrence of two non‐conforming ones, or the CCC chart, has been shown to be very useful for monitoring high‐quality processes. However, as in the implementation of other Shewhart‐type control charts, it is usually assumed that the inspection is free of error. This assumption may not be valid and this may have a significant impact on the interpretation of the control chart and the setting of control limits. This paper first investigates the effect of inspection errors and discusses the setting of control limits in such cases. Even if inspection errors are considered, the average time to alarm increases in the beginning when the process deteriorates. Since this is undesirable, the control limits in the presence of inspection errors should be set so as to maximize the average run length when the process is at the normal level. A procedure is presented for solving this problem. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A comparative study of CCC and CUSUM charts

The cumulative count of conforming (CCC) chart is a new type of control chart used for the monitoring of high-quality processes. Instead of counting the number of non-conforming items in samples of fixed size, the cumulative number of conforming items between two non-conforming items is monitored. The CCC chart is convenient to use in a modern manufacturing environment where the product is inspected individually and automatically. The CCC chart has sometimes been confused with the cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart which has been shown to be more sensitive than the traditional Shewhart chart for small process shifts. In this paper the uses of these two types of charts are compared. It shown by numerical illustrations and analytical results that the two charts function in entirely different ways. However, the CUSUM concept can be applied to cumulative counts used in the CCC chart to improve its sensitivity for small process shifts when the process is producing at a very low non-conforming rate. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A Generalized Likelihood Ratio Chart for Monitoring Bernoulli Processes

This paper considers the problem of monitoring the proportion p of nonconforming items when a continuous stream of Bernoulli observations is available and the objective is to effectively detect a wide range of increases in p. The proposed control chart is based on a generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) statistic obtained from a moving window of past Bernoulli observations. The Phase II performance of this chart in detecting sustained increases in p is evaluated using the steady state average number of observations to signal. Comparisons of the Bernoulli GLR chart to the Shewhart CCC‐r chart, the Bernoulli cumulative sum chart, and the Bernoulli exponentially weighted moving average chart show that the overall performance of the Bernoulli GLR chart is better than its competitors. In addition, methods are provided for designing the Bernoulli GLR chart so that this chart can be easily applied in practice. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A variable‐selection control chart via penalized likelihood and Gaussian mixture model for multimodal and high‐dimensional processes

With the development of the sensor network and manufacturing technology, multivariate processes face a new challenge of high‐dimensional data. However, traditional statistical methods based on small‐ or medium‐sized samples such as T² monitoring statistics may not be suitable because of the “curse of dimensionality” problem. To overcome this shortcoming, some control charts based on the variable‐selection (VS) algorithms using penalized likelihood have been suggested for process monitoring and fault diagnosis. Although there has been much effort to improve VS‐based control charts, there is usually a common distributional assumption that in‐control observations should follow a single multivariate Gaussian distribution. However, in current manufacturing processes, processes can have multimodal properties. To handle the high‐dimensionality and multimodality, in this study, a VS‐based control chart with a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) is proposed. We extend the VS‐based control chart framework to the process with multimodal distributions, so that the high‐dimensionality and multimodal information in the process can be better considered.     

The density control chart: a general approach for constructing a single chart for simultaneously monitoring multiple parameters

The majority of the existing literature on simultaneous control charts, i.e. control charting mechanisms that monitor multiple population parameters such as mean and variance on a single chart, assume that the process is normally distributed. In order to adjust and maintain the overall type-I error probability, these existing charts rely largely on the property that the sample mean and sample variance are independent under the normality assumption. Furthermore, the existing charting procedures cannot be readily extended to non-normal processes. In this article, we propose and study a general charting mechanism which can be used to construct simultaneous control charts for normal and non-normal processes. The proposed control chart, which we call the density control chart, is essentially based on the premise that if a sample of observations is from an in-control process, then another sample of observations is no less likely to be also from the in-control process if the likelihood of the latter is no less than the likelihood of the former. The density control chart is developed for normal and non-normal processes where the distribution of the plotting statistic of the density control chart can be explicitly derived. Real examples are given and discussed in these cases. We also discuss how the density control chart can be constructed in cases when the distribution of the plotting statistic cannot be determined. A discussion of potential future research is also given.     

A Kullback-Leibler information control chart for linear profiles monitoring

Profile monitoring is referred to as monitoring the functional relationship between the response and explanatory variables. Traditionally, process control charts monitor the mean and/or the variance of a univariate quality characteristic. For several correlated quality characteristics, multivariate process control charts monitor the mean vector and/or the covariance matrix. However, monitoring the functional relationship between variables is sometimes more beneficial. One example is the power output of a Diesel engine and the amount of fuel injected should be related. In this paper, we propose a Kullback-Leibler information (KLI) control chart for linear profiles monitoring in Phase II. The plotted statistics of the KLI chart are calculated based on a backward procedure. The functional relationship is described by linear regression. The performance of the proposed KLI control chart is compared with those of other existing control charts, especially the Generalized Likelihood Ratio (GLR) chart for both KLI and GLR charts do not require design parameters. The results show that (1) the KLI control chart is better than the GLR control chart in detecting the shift of variance in terms of Average Time to Signal, and (2) if the shift of the regression coefficient is small, the GLR chart outperforms the KLI chart, but if the size of shift is large, the KLI chart outperforms the GLR chart. The plotted statistics of KLI are compared to that of GLR. Their similarity is discussed.     

An Economic Approach to the Management of High‐Quality Processes

Modern manufacturing developments have forced researchers to investigate alternative quality control techniques for high‐quality processes. The cumulative count of conforming (CCC) control chart is a powerful alternative approach for monitoring high‐quality processes for which traditional control charts are inadequate. This study develops a mathematical model for the economic design of the CCC control chart and presents an application of the proposed model. On the basis of the results of the application, the economic and classical CCC control chart designs of the CCC control chart are compared. The optimal design parameters for different defective fractions are tabulated, and a sensitivity analysis of the model is presented for the CCC control chart user to determine the optimal economic design parameters and minimum hourly costs for one production run according to different defective fractions, cost, time, and process parameters. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A control chart based on likelihood ratio test for monitoring process mean and variability

Recently, monitoring the process mean and variance simultaneously by using a single chart has drawn more and more attention. In this paper, we propose a new single chart that integrates the EWMA procedure with the generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) test statistics for jointly monitoring both the process mean and variance. It can be easily designed and constructed, and its average run length can be evaluated by a two‐dimensional Markov chain model. Owing to the good properties of the GLR test and EMWA, computation results show that it provides quite a robust and satisfactory performance in various cases, including the detection of the decrease in variability and the individual observation at the sampling point, which are very important in many practical applications but may not be well handled by the existing approaches in the literature. The application of our proposed method is illustrated by a real data example from chemical process control. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The Design of the Variable Sampling Interval Generalized Likelihood Ratio Chart for Monitoring the Process Mean

This paper considers the problem of monitoring a normally distributed process variable in which some sustained shift in the mean may occur. A generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) control chart with a variable sampling interval (VSI) scheme is proposed to quickly detect a wide range of such shifts. The performance of the VSI GLR chart is evaluated, and the results show that using the VSI feature can greatly reduce the expected detection time. Design methodology for the VSI GLR chart is provided so that practitioners can easily use this chart in applications. An illustrative example is given to explain how to apply the VSI GLR chart. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Progressive Mean Control Chart for Monitoring Process Location Parameter

Control charts are widely used for process monitoring. They show whether the variation is due to common causes or whether some of the variation is due to special causes. To detect large shifts in the process, Shewhart‐type control charts are preferred. Cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts are generally used to detect small and moderate shifts. Shewhart‐type control charts (without additional tests) use only current information to detect special causes, whereas CUSUM and EWMA control charts also use past information. In this article, we proposed a control chart called progressive mean (PM) control chart, in which a PM is used as a plotting statistic. The proposed chart is designed such that it uses not only the current information but also the past information. Therefore, the proposed chart is a natural competitor for the classical CUSUM, the classical EWMA and some recent modifications of these two charts. The conclusion of this article is that the performance of the proposed PM chart is superior to the compared ones for small and moderate shifts, and its performance for large shifts is better (in terms of the average run length). Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A general approach to modeling CUSUM charts for a proportion

This paper considers two CUmulative SUM (CUSUM) charts for monitoring a process when items from the process are inspected and classified into one of two categories, namely defective or non-defective. The purpose of this type of process monitoring is to detect changes in the proportion p of items in the first category. The first CUSUM chart considered is based on the binomial variables resulting from counting the total number of defective items in samples of n items. A point is plotted on this binomial CUSUM chart after n items have been inspected. The second CUSUM chart considered is based on the Bernoulli observations corresponding to the inspection of the individual items in the samples. A point is plotted on this Bernoulli CUSUM chart after each individual inspection, without waiting until the end of a sample. The main objective of the paper is to evaluate the statistical properties of these two CUSUM charts under a general model for process sampling and for the occurrence of special causes that change the value of p. This model applies to situations in which there are inspection periods when n items are inspected and non-inspection periods when no inspection is done. This model assumes that there is a positive time between individual inspection results, and that a change in p can occur anywhere within an inspection period or a non-inspection period. This includes the possibility that a shift can occur during the time that a sample of n items is being taken. This model is more general and often more realistic than the simpler model usually used to evaluate properties of control charts. Under our model, it is shown that there is little difference between the binomial CUSUM chart and the Bernoulli CUSUM chart, in terms of the expected time required to detect small and moderate shifts in p, but the Bernoulli CUSUM chart is better for detecting large shifts in p. It is shown that it is best to choose a relatively small sample size when applying the CUSUM charts. As expected, the CUSUM charts are substantially faster than the traditional Shewhart p-chart for detecting small shifts in p. But, surprisingly, the CUSUM charts are also better than the p-chart for detecting large shifts in p.     

A New Chart for Monitoring Service Process Mean

Control charts are demonstrated effective in monitoring not only manufacturing processes but also service processes. In service processes, many data came from a process with nonnormal distribution or unknown distribution. Hence, the commonly used Shewhart variable control charts are not suitable because they could not be properly constructed. In this article, we proposed a new mean chart on the basis of a simple statistic to monitor the shifts of the process mean. We explored the sampling properties of the new monitoring statistic and calculated the average run lengths of the proposed chart. Furthermore, an arcsine transformed exponentially weighted moving average chart was proposed because the average run lengths of this modified chart are more intuitive and reasonable than those of the mean chart. We would recommend the arcsine transformed exponentially weighted moving average chart if we were concerned with the proper values of the average run length. A numerical example of service times with skewed distribution from a service system of a bank branch in Taiwan is used to illustrate the proposed charts. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.