Optimal periodic preventive repair and replacement policy assuming geometric process repair

In this paper, a simple deteriorating system with repair is studied. When failure occurs, the system is replaced at high cost. To extend the operating life, the system can be repaired preventively. However, preventive repair does not return the system to a "good as new" condition. Rather, the successive operating times of the system after preventive repair form a stochastically decreasing geometric process, while the consecutive preventive repair times of the system form a stochastically increasing geometric process. We consider a bivariate preventive repair policy to solve the efficiency for a deteriorating & valuable system. Thus, the objective of this paper is to determine an optimal bivariate replacement policy such that the average cost rate (i.e., the long-run average cost per unit time) is minimized. The explicit expression of the average cost rate is derived, and the corresponding optimal replacement policy can be determined numerically. An example is given where the operating time of the system is given by a Weibull distribution.     

A geometric-process maintenance model for a deteriorating system under a random environment

This paper studies a geometric-process maintenance-model for a deteriorating system under a random environment. Assume that the number of random shocks, up to time t, produced by the random environment forms a counting process. Whenever a random shock arrives, the system operating time is reduced. The successive reductions in the system operating time are statistically independent and identically distributed random variables. Assume that the consecutive repair times of the system after failures, form an increasing geometric process; under the condition that the system suffers no random shock, the successive operating times of the system after repairs constitute a decreasing geometric process. A replacement policy N, by which the system is replaced at the time of the failure N, is adopted. An explicit expression for the average cost rate (long-run average cost per unit time) is derived. Then, an optimal replacement policy is determined analytically. As a particular case, a compound Poisson process model is also studied.     

An optimal replacement policy for a three-state repairable system with a monotone process model

In this paper, a deteriorating simple repairable system with three states, including two failure states and one working state, is studied. Assume that the system after repair cannot be "as good as new", and the deterioration of the system is stochastic. Under these assumptions, we use a replacement policy N based on the failure number of the system. Then our aim is to determine an optimal replacement policy N/sup */ such that the average cost rate (i.e., the long-run average cost per unit time) is minimized. An explicit expression of the average cost rate is derived. Then, an optimal replacement policy is determined analytically or numerically. Furthermore, we can find that a repair model for the three-state repairable system in this paper forms a general monotone process model. Finally, we put forward a numerical example, and carry through some discussions and sensitivity analysis of the model in this paper.     

A Geometric Process $delta$-Shock Maintenance Model

A geometric process $delta$ -shock maintenance model for a repairable system is introduced. If there exists no shock, the successive operating time of the system after repair will form a geometric process. Assume that the shocks will arrive according to a Poisson process. When the interarrival time of two successive shocks is smaller than a specified threshold, the system fails, and the latter shock is called a deadly shock. The successive threshold values are monotone geometric. The system will fail at the end of its operating time, or the arrival of a deadly shock, whichever occurs first. The consecutive repair time after failure will constitute a geometric process. A replacement policy $N$ is adopted by which the system will be replaced by a new, identical one at the time following the $N$th failure. Then, for the deteriorating system, and the improving system, an optimal policy $N^{ast}$ for minimizing the long-run average cost per unit time is determined analytically.      

Cost limit replacement policy under minimal repair

This paper presents a policy for either repairing or replacing a system that has failed. When a system requires repair, it is first inspected and the repair cost is estimated. Repair is only then undertaken if the estimated cost is less than the “repair cost limit”. However, the repair cannot return the system to “as new” condition but instead returns it to the average condition for a working system of its age. Examples include complex systems where the repair or replacement of one component does not materially affect the condition of the whole system. A Weibull distribution of time to failure and a negative exponential distribution of estimated repair cost are assumed for analytic amenability. An optimal “repair cost limit” policy is developed that minimizes the average cost per unit time for repairs and replacement. It is shown that the optimal policy is finite and unique.     

Joint optimization of block-replacement and periodic-review spare-provisioning policy

This paper considers the problem of joint optimization of "preventive maintenance" and "spare-provisioning policy" for system components subject to wear-out failures. A stochastic mathematical model is developed to determine the jointly optimal "block replacement" and "periodic review spare-provisioning policy." The objective function of the model represents the s-expected total cost of system maintenance per unit time, while the preventive replacement interval and the maximal inventory level are chosen as the decision variables. The objective function of the model is in an analytic form with parameters easily obtainable from field data. The model has been tested using field data on electric locomotives in Slovenian Railways. The calculated optimal values of the model decision variables are realistic. "Sensitivity analysis of the model" shows that the model is relatively insensitive to moderate changes of the parameter values. The results of testing and of sensitivity analysis of the model prove that a trade-off exists between the replacement related cost and the inventory related cost. The jointly optimal preventive replacement interval defined by this model differs appreciably from the corresponding interval determined by the conventional model where only replacement related costs are considered. Also, the results of the sensitivity analysis show that even minor modification of the value of each model decision variable (without the appropriate adjustment of the value of the other decision variable) can lead to important increase of the s-expected total cost of system maintenance. This indicates that separate optimization of preventive maintenance policy and spare-provisioning policy does not ensure minimal total cost of system maintenance. This model can be readily applied to optimize maintenance procedures for a variety of industrial systems, and to upgrade maintenance policy in situations where block replacement preventive maintenance is already in use.     

Optimal replacement policy for induced draft fans

This paper derives the optimal block replacement policies for four different operating configurations of induced draft fans. Under the usual assumption of higher cost of repair or replacement on failure compared to preventive replacement, the optimal preventive replacement interval is found by minimising the total relevant cost per unit time. Specifically, this paper finds optimal preventive maintenance strategies for the following two situations.

1. (i)|Both the time to failure and time to carry out minimal repair or replacement are exponentially distributed.

2. (ii)|The time to failure follows the Weibull distribution and there is no possibility of on-line repair or replacement.

For both situations closed form expressions are derived whose solutions give optimum preventive maintenance intervals.     

Periodic replacement when minimal repair costs depend on the age and the number of minimal repair for a multi-unit system

A policy of periodic replacement with minimal repair at failure is considered for the multi-unit system which have the specific multivariate distribution. Under such a policy the system is replaced at multiples of some period T while minimal repair is performed at any intervening component failures. The cost of a minimal repair to the component is assumed to be a function of its age and the number of minimal repair. A simple expression is derived for the expected minimal repair cost in an interval in terms of the cost function and the failure rate of the component. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of an optimal replacement interval are exhibited.     

Periodic replacement when minimal repair costs depend on the age and the number of minimal repairs for a multi-unit system

A policy of periodic replacement with minimal repair at failure is considered for a multi-unit system which has a specific multivariate distribution. Under such a policy the system is replaced at multiples of some period T while minimal repair is performed for any intervening component failure. The cost of a minimal repair to the component is assumed to be a function of its age and the number of minimal repairs. A simple expression is derived for the expected minimal repair cost in an interval in terms of the cost function and the failure rate of the component. The necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of an optimal replacement interval are found.     

Continuous-time predictive-maintenance scheduling for adeteriorating system

A predictive-maintenance structure for a gradually deteriorating single-unit system (continuous time/continuous state) is presented in this paper. The proposed decision model enables optimal inspection and replacement decision in order to balance the cost engaged by failure and unavailability on an infinite horizon. Two maintenance decision variables are considered: the preventive replacement threshold and the inspection schedule based on the system state. In order to assess the performance of the proposed maintenance structure, a mathematical model for the maintained system cost is developed using regenerative and semi-regenerative processes theory. Numerical experiments show that the s-expected maintenance cost rate on an infinite horizon can be minimized by a joint optimization of the replacement threshold and the a periodic inspection times. The proposed maintenance structure performs better than classical preventive maintenance policies which can be treated as particular cases. Using the proposed maintenance structure, a well-adapted strategy can automatically be selected for the maintenance decision-maker depending on the characteristics of the wear process and on the different unit costs. Even limit cases can be reached: for example, in the case of expensive inspection and costly preventive replacement, the optimal policy becomes close to a systematic periodic replacement policy. Most of the classical maintenance strategies (periodic inspection/replacement policy, systematic periodic replacement, corrective policy) can be emulated by adopting some specific inspection scheduling rules and replacement thresholds. In a more general way, the proposed maintenance structure shows its adaptability to different possible characteristics of the maintained single-unit system     

Optimal wear-limit replacement with wear-dependent failures

The optimal wear-limit for preventive replacement for an item with wear-dependent failure rate is derived by minimizing the long-run total mean cost rate. The generic term wear connotes any type of degradation that accumulates through use and is observed continuously in time. The optimal strategy has the same form as the age replacement policy     

Periodic replacement with minimal repair at failure and general random repair cost for a multi-unit system

A policy of periodic replacement with minimal repair at failure is considered for the multi-unit system which have the specific multivariate distribution. Under such a policy an operating system is completely replaced whenever it reaches age T (T > 0) at a cost c₀ while minimal repair is performed at any intervening component failures. The cost of the j-th minimal repair to the component which fails at age y is g(C(y),c_j(y)), where C(y) is the age-dependent random part, c_j(y) is the deterministic part which depends on the age and the number of the minimal repair to the component, and g is an positive nondecreasing continuous function. A simple expression is derived for the expected minimal repair cost in an interval in terms of the cost function and the failure rate of the component. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of an optimal replacement interval are exhibited.     

Optimal replacement policy (N, n) for a parallel system with common cause failure and geometric repair time

The purpose of this article is to present an improved replacement model for a parallel system of N identical units, by bringing in common cause failure (CCF), maintenance cost and repair cost per unit time additionally, and to develop a procedure to obtain the optimal redundant units N^* and optimal number of repairs n^* with the conditions that the system is allowed to undergo at most a prefixed number of repairs before to be replaced and the successive reapir times after failures constitute a non-decreasing Geometric process. Several conditions for the existence of the optimal N^* and n^* is stated and the results are illustrated by a numerical example.     

An Optimal Decision Rule for Repair vs Replacement

This paper presents a policy for either repairing or replacing a system that has failed. The policy applies to systems whose mean residual life function is decreasing. An optimal policy is developed that minimizes the cost per unit time for repair and replacement. Results are shown graphically for a particular distribution of time to failure and are motivated in terms of an automobile replacement problem.     

A two-unit duplicating standby system with correlated failure-repair/vbreplacement times

This paper considers the stochastic analysis of a two-unit (original and duplicate) cold standby system model with preventive maintenance and replacement of the failed duplicate unit. The failed duplicate unit is non-repairable but its replacement is considered with an identical duplicate unit which is available instantaneously. Joint distributions of failure and repair/replacement times of original/duplicate units are bivariate exponential with different parameters. Various reliability characteristics of the system model under study are obtained by using regenerative point technique. Mean time to system failure and steady state availability have also been studied through graphs.     

An inspection model with generally distributed restoration and repair times

In classical inspection models, it is assumed that the inspection time and the restoration time are either zero or fixed, and the production facility never breaks down. However, in real production, the production system is subject to random failures and the repair and restoration times are usually random. In this paper, we will study the effect of the exponential failure time and generally distributed restoration and repair time on the optimal inspection interval of a production unit subject to deterioration. Treating the process as a semi-regenerative process (SRP) and analyzing the SRP by Markov renewal theory, the formula for the long-run expected average cost per unit time and formulae for the steady-state probabilities of the SRP are obtained in an explicit form. The optimal inspection interval is obtained by minimizing the average cost function.     

Cost optimal, parallel reliability systems with fixed repair sanction

Optimisation methods under varied criteria for different parameters in stochastic reliability systems are being increasingly developed and have been reported in recent literature. The large interest evinced in this fascinating area is primarily due to its applicational value and operational role in the decision making process. Recently a parallel system has been considered and the optimal number of units discussed, as well as optimal replacement times for the system based on acquisition and replacement costs.In this paper we consider an improved version of the model formulation, by bringing in additionally the maintenance and per unit repair time costs, and develop a procedure to obtain the optimal number of components in the system with the condition that the system is allowed to undergo a prefixed maximum number of repairs, after which the system is to be replaced.The applicational use of the results is illustrated through numerical work, specialising to some known laws governing the system parameters and corresponding to different fixed number of repair sanctions.     

Age replacement of components during IFR delay time

This paper proposes two alternative policies for preventive replacement of a component, which shows sign of occurrence of a fault, and operates for some random time with degraded performance, before its final failure. The time between fault occurrence and component failure is termed as delay time. The first policy, namely age replacement during delay time policy (ARDTP), recommends replacement of a faulty component on failure or preventive replacement of the same after a fixed time during its delay time. It considers the performance degradation during delay time to develop an age replacement policy. It is also shown that the policy is a feasible proposition for a component that has positive (nonnegative) performance degradation during its CFR (IFR) delay time. The second policy, OARDTP, extends ARDTP to opportunistic age replacement policy where a faulty component is replaced at the first available randomly occurring maintenance opportunity, after a fixed time from occurrence of fault, or on failure. The time between opportunities (TBO) is considered to be exponentially distributed. This policy reduces the number of forced shutdowns, which is essential to ARDTP. It is shown that the second policy is superior to the first policy if the cost of a preventive replacement with forced shutdown is more than the preventive replacement cost during an opportunity. The policies are appropriate for complex process plants, where the tracking of the entire service life of each component is difficult. Their implementation requires tracking of components' delay time only, and estimation of mean time to occurrence of faults. The policies are relatively insensitive to estimation error in failure replacement cost. As their implementation requires immediate capturing of fault occurrence information, they are particularly attractive to organizations where operators are involved in the maintenance of machines.     

The branching nonhomogeneous Poisson process and its application to a replacement model

In studying and analysing the failure patterns of complex system, plausible stochastic models are needed to represent the sequence of events. A simple and frequently used model is derived by the assumption that the times-between-failures of a system are exponentially distributed and independent. Experience has shown, however, that successive times-between-failures are not exponentially distributed and not independent.These deviations are due to imperfect search of failed components. We constitute a plausible stochastic process which describes the sequence of events, and obtain the interval reliability and the expected number of failures.As an application of these results, we deal with the replacement model where a system undergoes minimal repair before time T and is replaced at time T. We discuss an optimum policy minimizing the total expected cost per unit time.     

Improvement, deterioration, and optimal replacement underage-replacement with minimal repair

Improvement and deterioration for a repairable system are studied, in particular in terms of the effect of ageing on the distribution of the time to first failure under a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. For a repairable system undergoing minimal repair, the optimal replacement time under the age replacement policy is discussed