Moving horizon closed‐loop production scheduling using dynamic process models

The economic circumstances that define the operation of chemical processes (e.g., product demand, feedstock and energy prices) are increasingly variable. To maximize profit, changes in production rate and product grade must be scheduled with increased frequency. To do so, process dynamics must be considered in production scheduling calculations, and schedules should be recomputed when updated economic information becomes available. In this article, this need is addressed by introducing a novel moving horizon closed‐loop scheduling approach. Process dynamics are represented explicitly in the scheduling calculation via low‐order models of the closed‐loop dynamics of scheduling‐relevant variables, and a feedback connection is built based on these variables using an observer structure to update model states. The feedback rescheduling mechanism consists of, (a) periodic schedule updates that reflect updated price and demand forecasts, and, (b) event‐driven updates that account for process and market disturbances. The theoretical developments are demonstrated on the model of an industrial‐scale air separation unit. © 2016 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 63: 639–651, 2017     

Multi‐stage adjustable robust optimization for process scheduling under uncertainty

Variations in parameters such as processing times, yields, and availability of materials and utilities can have a detrimental effect in the optimality and/or feasibility of an otherwise “optimal” production schedule. In this article, we propose a multi‐stage adjustable robust optimization approach to alleviate the risk from such operational uncertainties during scheduling decisions. We derive a novel robust counterpart of a deterministic scheduling model, and we show how to obey the observability and non‐anticipativity restrictions that are necessary for the resulting solution policy to be implementable in practice. We also develop decision‐dependent uncertainty sets to model the endogenous uncertainty that is inherently present in process scheduling applications. A computational study reveals that, given a chosen level of robustness, adjusting decisions to past parameter realizations leads to significant improvements, both in terms of worst‐case objective as well as objective in expectation, compared to the traditional robust scheduling approaches. © 2016 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 62: 1646–1667, 2016     

Proactive approach to address the uncertainty in short-term scheduling

The identification of reliable schedules serves a valuable function as a basis for coordinating outside activities within the highly dynamic and uncertain supply chain (SC) environment. A contribution is made in the area of proactive scheduling with the development of a stochastic modeling framework to support the short-term scheduling problem with uncertain operation times and equipment breakdowns. A set of scenarios for the uncertain parameters is anticipated in the decision stage, along with information concerning the reactive scheduling approach to be taken during schedule execution. A robust predictive schedule is pursued, with the flexibility to absorb disruptive events without major changes when rescheduling is required. Either rigorous or heuristic techniques can be used to optimize a robustness measure that explicitly accounts for the eventual wait times and idle times that may arise during execution. The application of the framework to different case studies shows the flexibility of the predictive schedule, the different decisions that can be drawn based on the rescheduling strategy considered, and the importance of exploiting the information of the uncertainty as well as the incorporation of the rescheduling policy proactively.     

Moving horizon approach of integrating scheduling and control for sequential batch processes

Online integration of scheduling and control is crucial to cope with process uncertainties. We propose a new online integrated method for sequential batch processes, where the integrated problem is solved to determine controller references rather than process inputs. Under a two‐level feedback loop structure, the integrated problem is solved in a frequency lower than that of the control loops. To achieve the goal of computational efficiency and rescheduling stability, a moving horizon approach is developed. A reduced integrated problem in a resolving horizon is formulated, which can be solved efficiently online. Solving the reduced problem only changes a small part of the initial solution, guaranteeing rescheduling stability. The integrated method is demonstrated in a simulated case study. Under uncertainties of the control system disruption and the processing unit breakdown, the integrated method prevents a large loss in the production profit compared with the simple shifted rescheduling solution. © 2014 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 60: 1654–1671, 2014     

Short‐term scheduling of a large‐scale oil‐refinery operations: Incorporating logistics details

Refineries are increasingly concerned with improving the scheduling of their operations to achieve better economic performances by minimizing quality, quantity, and logistics give away. In this article, we present a comprehensive integrated optimization model based on continuous‐time formulation for the scheduling problem of production units and end‐product blending problem. The model incorporates quantity, quality, and logistics decisions related to real‐life refinery operations. These involve minimum run‐length requirements, fill‐draw‐delay, one‐flow out of blender, sequence‐dependent switchovers, maximum heel quantity, and downgrading of better quality product to lower quality. The logistics giveaways in our work are associated with obtaining a feasible solution while minimizing violations of sequence‐dependent switchovers and maximum heel quantity restrictions. A set of valid inequalities are proposed that improves the computational performance of the model significantly. The formulation is used to address realistic case studies where feasible solutions are obtained in reasonable computational time. © 2010 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 2011     

Theoretical and computational comparison of continuous‐time process scheduling models for adjustable robust optimization

Coping with uncertainty in system parameters is a prominent hurdle when scheduling multi‐purpose batch plants. In this context, our previously introduced multi‐stage adjustable robust optimization (ARO) framework has been shown to obtain more profitable solutions, while maintaining the same level of immunity against risk, as compared to traditional robust optimization approaches. This paper investigates the amenability of existing deterministic continuous‐time scheduling models to serve as the basis of this ARO framework. A comprehensive computational study is conducted that compares the numerical tractability of various models across a suite of literature benchmark instances and a wide range of uncertainty sets. This study also provides, for the first time in the open literature, robust optimal solutions to process scheduling instances that involve uncertainty in production yields. © 2018 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 64: 3055–3070, 2018     

A data‐driven rolling‐horizon online scheduling model for diesel production of a real‐world refinery

A rolling‐horizon optimal control strategy is developed to solve the online scheduling problem for a real‐world refinery diesel production based on a data‐driven model. A mixed‐integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) scheduling model considering the implementation of nonlinear blending quality relations and quantity conservation principles is developed. The data variations which drive the MINLP model come from different sources of certain and uncertain events. The scheduling time horizon is divided into equivalent discrete time intervals, which describe regular production and continuous time intervals which represent the beginning and ending time of expected and unexpected events that are not restricted to the boundaries of discrete time intervals. This rolling‐horizon optimal control strategy ensures the dimension of the diesel online scheduling model can be accepted in industry use. LINGO is selected to be the solution software. Finally, the daily diesel scheduling scheme of one entire month for a real‐world refinery is effectively solved. © 2012 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 59: 1160–1174, 2013     

A reactive optimization strategy for the simultaneous planning,scheduling and control of short-period continuous reactors

The efficient and economic operation of processing systems ideally requires a simultaneous planning, scheduling and control framework. Even when the optimal simultaneous solution of this problem can result in large scale optimization problems, such a solution can represent economic advantages making feasible its computation using optimization decomposition and/or few operating scenarios. After reducing the complexity of the optimal simultaneous deterministic solution, it becomes feasible to take into account the effect of model and process uncertainties on the quality of the solution. In this work we consider those changes in product demands that take place once the process is already under continuous operation. Therefore, a reactive strategy is proposed to meet the new product demands. Based on an optimization formulation for handling the simultaneous planning, scheduling, and control problem of continuous reactors, we propose a heuristic strategy for dealing with unexpected events that may appear during operation of a plant. Such a strategy consists of the rescheduling of the products that remain to be manufactured after the given disturbance hits the process. Such reactive strategy for dealing with planning, scheduling and control problems under unforeseen events is tested using two continuous chemical reaction systems.     

On deterministic online scheduling: Major considerations,paradoxes and remedies

Despite research in the area, the relationship between the (open-loop) optimization problem and the quality of the (closed-loop) implemented schedule is poorly understood. Accordingly, we first show that open-loop and closed-loop scheduling are two different problems, even in the deterministic case. Thereafter, we investigate attributes of the open-loop problem and the rescheduling algorithm that affect closed-loop schedule quality. We find that it is important to reschedule periodically even when there are no “trigger” events. We show that solving the open-loop problem suboptimally does not lead to poor closed-loop solutions; instead, suboptimal solutions are corrected through feedback. We also observe that there exist thresholds for rescheduling frequency and moving horizon length, operating outside of which leads to substantial performance deterioration. Fourth, we show that the design attributes work in conjunction, hence, studying them simultaneously is important. Finally, we explore objective function modifications and constraint addition as methods to improve performance.     

Real‐time dynamic hoist scheduling for multistage material handling process under uncertainties

Multistage material handling processes are broadly used for manufacturing various products/jobs, where hoists are commonly used to transport inline products according to their processing recipes. When multiple types of jobs with different recipes are simultaneously and continuously handled in a production line, the hoist movement scheduling should be thoroughly investigated to ensure the operational feasibility of every job inline and in the meantime to maximize the productivity if possible. The hoist scheduling will be more complicated, if uncertainties of new coming jobs are considered, that is, the arrival time, type, recipe, and number of new jobs are totally unknown and unpredictable before they join the production line. To process the multiple jobs already inline and the newly added jobs, the hoist movements must be swiftly rescheduled and precisely implemented whenever new job(s) come. Because a reschedule has to be obtained online without violating processing time constraints for each job, the solution identification time for rescheduling must be taken into account by the new schedule itself. All these stringent requisites motivate the development of real‐time dynamic hoist scheduling (RDHS) targeting online generation of reschedules for productivity maximization under uncertainties. Hitherto, no systematic and rigorous methodologies have been reported for this study. In this article, a novel RDHS methodology has been developed, which takes into account uncertainties of new coming jobs and targets real‐time scheduling optimality and applicability. It generally includes a reinitialization algorithm to accomplish the seamless connection between the previous scheduling and rescheduling operations, and a mixed‐integer linear programming model to obtain the optimal hoist reschedule. The RDHS methodology addresses all the major scheduling issues of multistage material handling processes, such as multiple recipes, multiple jobs, multicapacity processing units, diverse processing time requirements, and even optimal processing queue for new coming jobs. The efficacy of the developed methodology is demonstrated through various case studies. © 2012 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 59: 465–482, 2013     

A data‐driven multistage adaptive robust optimization framework for planning and scheduling under uncertainty

A novel data‐driven approach for optimization under uncertainty based on multistage adaptive robust optimization (ARO) and nonparametric kernel density M‐estimation is proposed. Different from conventional robust optimization methods, the proposed framework incorporates distributional information to avoid over‐conservatism. Robust kernel density estimation with Hampel loss function is employed to extract probability distributions from uncertainty data via a kernelized iteratively reweighted least squares algorithm. A data‐driven uncertainty set is proposed, where bounds of uncertain parameters are defined by quantile functions, to organically integrate the multistage ARO framework with uncertainty data. Based on this uncertainty set, we further develop an exact robust counterpart in its general form for solving the resulting data‐driven multistage ARO problem. To illustrate the applicability of the proposed framework, two typical applications in process operations are presented: The first one is on strategic planning of process networks, and the other one on short‐term scheduling of multipurpose batch processes. The proposed approach returns 23.9% higher net present value and 31.5% more profits than the conventional robust optimization method in planning and scheduling applications, respectively. © 2017 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 63: 4343–4369, 2017     

A time scale-bridging approach for integrating production scheduling and process control

In this paper, we propose a novel framework for integrating scheduling and nonlinear control of continuous processes. We introduce the time scale-bridging model (SBM) as an explicit, low-order representation of the closed-loop input–output dynamics of the process. The SBM then represents the process dynamics in a scheduling framework geared towards calculating the optimal time-varying setpoint vector for the process control system. The proposed framework accounts for process dynamics at the scheduling stage, while maintaining closed-loop stability and disturbance rejection properties via feedback control during the production cycle. Using two case studies, a CSTR and a polymerization reactor, we show that SBM-based scheduling has significant computational advantages compared to existing integrated scheduling and control formulations. Moreover, we show that the economic performance of our framework is comparable to that of existing approaches when a perfect process model is available, with the added benefit of superior robustness to plant-model mismatch.     

Multi‐period planning,design, and strategic models for long‐term,quality‐sensitive shale gas development

In this work we address the long‐term, quality‐sensitive shale gas development problem. This problem involves planning, design, and strategic decisions such as where, when, and how many shale gas wells to drill, where to lay out gathering pipelines, as well as which delivery agreements to arrange. Our objective is to use computational models to identify the most profitable shale gas development strategies. For this purpose we propose a large‐scale, nonconvex, mixed‐integer nonlinear programming model. We rely on generalized disjunctive programming to systematically derive the building blocks of this model. Based on a tailor‐designed solution strategy we identify near‐global solutions to the resulting large‐scale problems. Finally, we apply the proposed modeling framework to two case studies based on real data to quantify the value of optimization models for shale gas development. Our results suggest that the proposed models can increase upstream operators’ profitability by several million U.S. dollars. © 2016 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 62: 2296–2323, 2016     

Integrated production planning and scheduling using a decomposition framework

To ensure the consistency between planning and scheduling decisions, the integrated planning and scheduling problem should be addressed. Following the natural hierarchy of decision making, integrated planning and scheduling problem can be formulated as bilevel optimization problem with a single planning problem (upper level) and multiple scheduling subproblems (lower level). Equivalence between the proposed bilevel model and a single level formulation is proved considering the special structure of the problem. However, the resulting model is still computationally intractable because of the integrality restrictions and large size of the model. Thus a decomposition based solution algorithm is proposed in this paper. In the proposed method, the production feasibility requirement is modeled through penalty terms on the objective function of the scheduling subproblems, which is further proportional to the amount of unreachable production targets. To address the nonconvexity of the production cost function of the scheduling subproblems, a convex polyhedral underestimation of the production cost function is developed to improve the solution accuracy. The proposed decomposition framework is illustrated through examples which prove the effectiveness of the method.     

Integrated process design,scheduling, and model predictive control of batch processes with closed-loop implementation

Simultaneous evaluation of multiple time scale decisions has been regarded as a promising avenue to increase the process efficiency and profitability through leveraging their synergistic interactions. Feasibility of such an integral approach is essential to establish a guarantee for operability of the derived decisions. In this study, we present a modeling methodology to integrate process design, scheduling, and advanced control decisions with a single mixed-integer dynamic optimization (MIDO) formulation while providing certificates of operability for the closed-loop implementation. We use multi-parametric programming to derive explicit expressions for the model predictive control strategy, which is embedded into the MIDO using the base-2 numeral system that enhances the computational tractability of the integrated problem by exponentially reducing the required number of binary variables. Moreover, we apply the State Equipment Network representation within the MIDO to systematically evaluate the scheduling decisions. The proposed framework is illustrated with two batch processes with different complexities.     

Greedy algorithm for scheduling batch plants with sequence‐dependent changeovers

This article presents a new algorithm for scheduling multistage batch plants with a large number of orders and sequence‐dependent changeovers. Such problems are either intractable when solved with full‐space approaches or poor solutions result. We use decomposition on the entire set of orders and derive the complete schedule in several iterations, by inserting a couple of orders at a time. The key idea is to allow for partial rescheduling without altering the main decisions in terms of unit assignments and sequencing (linked to the binary variables) so that the combinatorial complexity is kept at a manageable level. The algorithm has been implemented for three alternative continuous‐time mixed integer linear programing models and tested through the solution of 10 example problems for different decomposition settings. The results show that an industrial‐size scheduling problem with 50 orders, 17 units distributed over six stages can effectively be solved in roughly 6 min of computational time. © 2010 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 2011     

A projection‐based method for production planning of multiproduct facilities

An algorithm is presented for identifying the projection of a scheduling model's feasible region onto the space of production targets. The projected feasible region is expressed using one of two mixed‐integer programming formulations, which can be readily used to address integrated production planning and scheduling problems that were previously intractable. Production planning is solved in combination with a surrogate model representing the region of feasible production amounts to provide optimum production targets, while a detailed scheduling is solved in a rolling‐horizon manner to define feasible schedules for meeting these targets. The proposed framework provides solutions of higher quality and yields tighter bounds than previously proposed approaches. © 2009 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 2009     

Integration of scheduling and control with online closed-loop implementation: Fast computational strategy and large-scale global optimization algorithm

In this paper, we propose a novel integration method to solve the scheduling problem and the control problem simultaneously. The integrated problem is formulated as a mixed-integer dynamic optimization (MIDO) problem which contains discrete variables in the scheduling problem and constraints of differential equations from the control problem. Because online implementation is crucial to deal with uncertainties and disturbances in operation and control of the production system, we develop a fast computational strategy to solve the integration problem efficiently and allow its online applications. In the proposed integration framework, we first generate a set of controller candidates offline for each possible transition, and then reformulate the integration problem as a simultaneous scheduling and controller selection problem. This is a mixed-integer nonlinear fractional programming problem with a non-convex nonlinear objective function and linear constraints. To solve the resulting large-scale problem within sufficiently short computational time for online implementation, we propose a global optimization method based on the model properties and the Dinkelbach's algorithm. The advantage of the proposed method is demonstrated through four case studies on an MMA polymer manufacturing process. The results show that the proposed integration framework achieves a lower cost rate than the conventional sequential method, because the proposed framework provides a better tradeoff between the conflicting factors in scheduling and control problems. Compared with the simultaneous approach based on the full discretization and reformulation of the MIDO problem, the proposed integration framework is computationally much more efficient, especially for large-scale cases. The proposed method addresses the challenges in the online implementation of the integrated scheduling and control decisions by globally optimizing the integrated problem in an efficient way. The results also show that the online solution is crucial to deal with the various uncertainties and disturbances in the production system.