Physical activity, physical fitness, and all-cause and cancer mortality: a prospective study of men and women

We studied physical fitness and physical activity in relation to all-cause and cancer mortality in a cohort of 7080 women and 25,341 men examined at the Cooper Clinic in Dallas, Texas, during 1970 to 1989. Physical fitness was assessed at baseline by a maximal treadmill exercise test, while physical activity was self-reported on the attendant health habits questionnaire. Both men and women averaged about 43 years of age at baseline (range, 20 to 88 years), and they were followed for approximately 8 years on average. Through the end of 1989, the women contributed 52,982 person-years of observation and incurred 89 deaths, including 44 deaths due to cancer. The men contributed 211,996 person-years and incurred 601 deaths, with 179 due to cancer. After adjustment for baseline differences in age, examination year, cigarette habit, chronic illnesses, and electrocardiogram abnormalities, we found a strong inverse association between risk of all-cause mortality and level of physical fitness in both men and women (P for trend < 0.001). Physically active men also were at lower risk of all-cause mortality than were sedentary ones (P for trend = 0.01). Among women, however, self-reported physical activity was not significantly related to risk of death from all causes. The risk of mortality from cancer declined sharply across increasing levels of fitness among men (P for trend < 0.001), whereas among women the gradient was suggestive but not significant (P for trend = 0.07). Physically active men also were at lower risk of death from cancer than were sedentary men (P for trend = 0.002), but among women physical activity was unrelated to cancer mortality.     

Depression among cancer patients

OBJECTIVE: To identify important causes of premature mortality among Aboriginal adults in the Northern Territory (NT), 1979-1991. METHODS: All deaths of NT Aboriginal residents aged 15-64 years which occurred in the NT between 1979 and 1991 and which were recorded by the Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages were included. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were used to compare the number of deaths observed among Aboriginals in the NT to those expected, based on overall Australian rates. Years of potential life lost before age 65 (YPLL65) were estimated for specific causes of death. RESULTS: Aboriginal women (overall SMR, 5.5) and Aboriginal men (SMR, 4.7) experienced a high burden of excess mortality from almost every cause of death. This excess increased over time, especially for Aboriginal women. Among Aboriginal men, the most important causes of premature death were motor vehicle accidents (11% of excess deaths and 17% of YPLL65), ischaemic heart disease (10% of excess deaths and 10% of YPLL65), pneumonia and influenza (8% of excess deaths and 6% of YPLL65), and homicide (7% of excess deaths and 8% of YPLL65). For Aboriginal women, the most important causes included homicide (7% of excess deaths and 11% of YPLL65), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (10% of excess deaths and 5% of YPLL65), rheumatic heart disease (7% of excess deaths and 8% of YPLL65), and ischaemic heart disease (6% of excess deaths and 5% of YPLL65). CONCLUSIONS: The wide variety of causes of excess mortality will require an equally wide variety of solutions, both medical and non-medical, and a long term commitment will be necessary to achieve reductions in premature mortality among NT Aboriginal adults.     

Intake of fatty acids and risk of coronary heart disease in a cohort of Finnish men. The Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study

The relation of intakes of specific fatty acids and the risk of coronary heart disease was examined in a cohort of 21,930 smoking men aged 50-69 years who were initially free of diagnosed cardiovascular disease. All men participated in the Finnish Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study and completed a detailed and validated dietary questionnaire at baseline. After 6.1 years of follow-up from 1985-1988, the authors documented 1,399 major coronary events and 635 coronary deaths. After controlling for age, supplement group, several coronary risk factors, total energy, and fiber intake, the authors observed a significant positive association between the intake of trans-fatty acids and the risk of coronary death. For men in the top quintile of trans-fatty acid intake (median = 6.2 g/day), the multivariate relative risk of coronary death was 1.39 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09-1.78) (p for trend = 0.004) as compared with men in the lowest quintile of intake (median = 1.3 g/day). The intake of omega-3 fatty acids from fish was also directly related to the risk of coronary death in the multivariate model adjusting also for trans-saturated and cis-monounsaturated fatty acids (relative risk (RR) = 1.30, 95% CI 1.01-1.67) (p for trend = 0.06 for men in the highest quintile of intake compared with the lowest). There was no association between intakes of saturated or cis-monounsaturated fatty acids, linoleic or linolenic acid, or dietary cholesterol and the risk of coronary deaths. All the associations were similar but somewhat weaker for all major coronary events.     

Sex differences in the impact of coexistent diabetes on survival in patients with coronary heart disease

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the sex difference in the impact of diabetes on survival in patients with coronary heart disease. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Cohort study based on a sample from a hospital registry in Chicago, IL. A total of 974 consecutive patients (585 men and 389 women) with angiographically confirmed coronary artery disease were followed for 4.6 yr. RESULTS: At baseline, 160 men and 155 women had diabetes. The age-adjusted relative risk of death from all causes for patients with diabetes versus patients without diabetes was 0.93 (95% confidence interval 0.65-1.34) in men and 1.99 (95% CI 1.30-3.05) in women. For cardiac death, the corresponding relative risk was 1.00 (95% CI 0.64-1.56) and 1.96 (95% CI 1.19-3.24) in men and women, respectively. Baseline differences in age, hypertension, body mass index, number of diseased vessels, and ejection fraction did not fully explain the excess mortality risk in diabetic women. Excess risk was apparent in both cardiac and noncardiovascular categories. Among nondiabetic patients, the risk of death was significantly lower in women compared with men (multivariate-adjusted relative risk = 0.61, 95% CI 0.41-0.89). However, the mortality risk of diabetic women became similar to men as a whole (relative risk = 1.13, 95% CI 0.80-1.60). CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes confers a substantially higher risk of mortality in women than in men when it occurs in the presence of coronary heart disease.     

The Bedford survey: ten year mortality rates in newly diagnosed diabetics, borderline diabetics and normoglycaemic controls and risk indices for coronary heart disease in borderline diabetics

Mortality rates from coronary heart disease and from all causes have been ascertained over ten years in three groups of people participating in the Bedford Survey--newly-diagnosed diabetics, borderline diabetics and control subjects with normal glucose tolerance. Age corrected mortality rates, from all causes and coronary heart disease, were highest in the diabetics and intermediate in the borderline diabetics and in both groups were similar in men and women. When statistical allowance was made for baseline differences in age, blood pressure and obesity, female borderline diabetics still had a significantly increased risk over their controls of death from 'all causes'. Much of the difference appeared to be due to a relative excess of deaths due to coronary heart disease. It is concluded that borderline diabetes (or impaired glucose tolerance) is associated with a relatively greater increase in mortality risk in women than men. During the 10-year follow-up of the Bedford borderline diabetics, coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality rates were similar in men and women. Age at entry to the study was the major independent and significant predictor of mortality from all causes. The level of systolic blood pressure and current cigarette smoking at baseline were statistically significant predictors only of mortality due to coronary heart disease.     

Peritonitis influences mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients

Mortality remains high in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. Known risk factors for mortality include age, diabetes, race, initial albumin level, and cardiovascular disease. Peritonitis is reported to cause death in 1 to 6% of PD patients but has not been well studied as a risk factor for mortality. This study examined 516 adults with a total of 896 yr on PD at one center to determine if peritonitis influenced mortality. Time at risk began on Day 1 of training and ended at death, transplant, or 60 days after transfer to hemodialysis or intermittent peritoneal dialysis. The overall mortality rate was 17.4/100 patient yr. Survival was lower for whites, men, diabetic patients, and older patients. Independent risk factors for mortality (by Cox proportional hazards) were race, diabetes, increased age, and increased peritonitis rate. Use of the Y-set was not associated with decreased mortality. Peritonitis was a risk factor only in whites, nondiabetic patients, and those patients over the age of 60. For every 0.5/yr increase in the peritonitis rate, the risk of death increased 10% in whites, 11% in those patients who were over the age of 60, and 4% for nondiabetic patients. Mortality rates did not decrease over time (1979 to 1995), although peritonitis rates fell significantly (P < 0.001). Rates of Gram-negative and fungal peritonitis showed no trend over time. Peritonitis contributed to 25 of 158 (15.8%) of deaths. Gram-negative/fungal peritonitis accounted for 14 deaths (9.5% of all Gram-negative/fungal episodes) whereas Staphylococcus epidermidis accounted for only 1 death (0.5% of all S. epidermidis episodes) (P < 0.001). Cardiovascular disease was more common in those patients whose deaths were unrelated to peritonitis (P < 0.01), whereas an infectious cause was more common in those patients whose deaths were peritonitis-related (P < 0.001). In this study, peritonitis was a risk factor for death in whites, nondiabetic patients, and older patients. However, the Y-set did not improve survival, perhaps because it does not decrease Gram-negative/fungal peritonitis. To have an impact on survival, efforts are needed to reduce the peritonitis that results from these more serious pathogens.     

Iowa record-linkage study: death rates in psychiatric patients

The Iowa record-linkage study was developed to investigate death rates in psychiatric patients, and involved computer matching of death certificates with a roster of patients. A list of all patients admitted to our hospital from 1972 through 1981 was obtained and after removing duplicate entries the list was pared to 5412 names. The record included multiple identifiers (e.g., name, gender, date-of-birth, hospital number). This information was then linked by computer with all Iowa death certificates for the same period; a total of 331 deaths were identified. Patients were assigned to a single psychiatric diagnostic category based on a computer program that reviewed each patient's clinical diagnoses and picked the one with the highest priority in a hierarchy we had created. Age and sex adjusted mortality tables were constructed, allowing us to compute expected numbers of deaths. Relative risk for premature death was greatest among women, and those under 20 years. Risk was associated with all psychiatric diagnoses and was significantly higher among patients of either gender with an organic mental disorder or schizophrenia; women with acute schizophrenia, depressive neuroses, alcoholism, drug abuse, and psychophysiological disorders; and men with neuroses. Death from natural causes, especially from heart disease, was significantly excessive among women, while death from accidents and suicides was excessive for both men and women. The overall SMR was 1.65 (P < 0.001). Most importantly, we found that the greatest excess of mortality occurred within the first 2 years following hospital discharge. Thus, we were able to demonstrate that risk of mortality in general, and of suicide specifically, differed according to age, gender, diagnosis, and portion of the follow-up. We have subsequently used this method to investigate specific risk factors associated with mortality in mood disorders, schizophrenia, and antisocial personality disorder. Findings from these studies are reported.     

Comparison of sudden and nonsudden coronary deaths in the United States

BACKGROUND: The present study was designed to compare risk factor prevalences in coronary heart disease deaths in persons dying within 1 hour of onset of cardiovascular symptoms (sudden coronary death), those dying without such sudden symptoms (nonsudden coronary death), and those with unknown duration of symptoms before death (other coronary death). METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from the 1986 National Mortality Followback Survey and the US Bureau of the Census were examined to assess death rates for sudden, nonsudden, and other coronary deaths. Multivariate logistic regression methods were used to calculate the odds ratio (OR), compared with nonsudden and other coronary deaths, for sudden coronary death associated with socioeconomic status variables, the person's location at death, and coronary heart disease risk factors. Mortality rates for all coronary deaths increased with age, were higher for men than women, and increased with decreasing years of schooling. The rate of sudden coronary death was highest for Hispanics. In 1986, an estimated 251,000 sudden coronary deaths (95% CI = 238,000 to 263,000) occurred in the United States. Sudden coronary deaths were less likely than nonsudden coronary deaths to occur at home (OR = 0.5, 95% CI = 0.4 to 0.6), but individuals who died of sudden coronary death were more likely to have been current cigarette smokers (OR = 1.3, 95% CI = 1.0 to 1.8). No other modifiable risk factors for coronary heart disease distinguished sudden coronary deaths from nonsudden coronary deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to the commonly held view, coronary deaths in the home are more likely to be nonsudden than sudden. Cigarette smoking more likely results in sudden than nonsudden coronary death, perhaps because of nicotine-induced ventricular arrhythmias.     

Impact of major cardiovascular disease risk factors, particularly in combination, on 22-year mortality in women and men

BACKGROUND: The appropriateness of current cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor guidelines in women continues to be debated. OBJECTIVE: To present new data on the appropriateness of current CVD risk factor guidelines, for women and men, from long-term follow-up of a large population sample. METHODS: Cardiovascular disease risk factor status according to current clinical guidelines and long-term impact on mortality were determined in 8686 women and 10503 men aged 40 to 64 years at baseline from the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry; average follow-up was 22 years. RESULTS: At baseline, only 6.6% of women and 4.8% of men had desirable levels for all 3 major risk factors (cholesterol level, <5.20 mmol/L [<200 mg/dL]; systolic and diastolic blood pressure, <120 and <80 mm Hg, respectively; and nonsmoking). With control for age, race, and other risk factors, each major risk factor considered separately was associated with increased risk of death for women and men. In analyses of combinations of major risk factors, risk increased with number of risk factors. Relative risks (RRs) associated with any 2 or all 3 risk factors were similar: for coronary heart disease mortality in women, RR= 5.72 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.35-13.93), and in men, RR = 5.51 (95% CI, 3.10-9.77); for CVD mortality in women, RR = 4.54 (95% CI, 2.33-8.84), and in men, RR = 4.12 (95% CI, 2.56-6.37); and for all-cause mortality in women, RR = 2.34 (95% CI, 1.73-3.15), and in men, RR = 3.20 (95% CI, 2.47-4.14). Absolute excess risks were high in women and men with any 2 or all 3 major risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Combinations of major CVD risk factors place women and men at high relative, absolute, and absolute excess risk of coronary heart disease, CVD, and all-cause mortality. These findings support the value of (1) measurement of major CVD risk factors, especially in combination, for assessing long-term mortality risk and (2) current advice to match treatment intensity to the level of CVD risk in both women and men.     

Importance of heart failure as a cause of death. Changing contribution to overall mortality and coronary heart disease mortality in Scotland 1979-1992

AIMS: As heart failure is a syndrome arising from another condition, such as coronary heart disease, it is rarely officially coded as the underlying cause of death regardless of the cause recorded by the physician at the time of certification. We sought to assess the true contribution of heart failure to overall mortality and coronary heart disease mortality and to examine how this contribution has changed over time. METHODS AND RESULTS: We carried out a retrospective analysis of all death certificates in Scotland between 1979 and 1992 for which heart failure was coded as the underlying or a contributory cause of death. From a total of 833622 deaths in Scotland between 1979 and 1992, heart failure was coded as the underlying cause in only 1.5% (13695), but as a contributory cause in a further 14.3% (126073). In 1979, 28.5% of male and 40.4% of female deaths attributed to coronary heart disease (coded as the underlying cause of death) also had a coding for heart failure. In 1992 these percentages had risen significantly to 34.1% and 44.8%, respectively (both P<0.001). Mortality rates for heart failure as the underlying or contributory cause of death, standardized by age and sex, fell significantly over the period studied in all ages and in both sexes: by 31% in men and 41% in women <65 years and 15.8% in men and 5.1% in women > or =65 years, respectively (P<0.01 for all changes). CONCLUSIONS: Death from heart failure is substantially underestimated by official statistics. Furthermore, one third or more of deaths currently attributed to coronary heart disease may be related to heart failure and this proportion appears to be increasing. While the absolute numbers of deaths caused by heart failure remains constant, this study is the first to show that standardized mortality rates are declining.     

Increased mortality after successful treatment for Hodgkin's disease

PURPOSE: To determine the impact of treatment toxicity on long-term survival in pediatric Hodgkin's disease. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We studied late events in 387 patients treated for pediatric Hodgkin's disease on four consecutive clinical trials at St Jude Children's Research Hospital from 1968 to 1990. Relative risks, actuarial risks, and absolute excess risks for cause-specific deaths were calculated. RESULTS: As of April 1997, 316 (82%) of patients were alive, with a median follow-up of 15.1 (range, 2.9 to 28.6) years. In this cohort, which represented 5,623 person-years of follow-up, 71 fatal events resulted from Hodgkin's disease (n=36), second malignancies (n=14), infections (n=7), accidents (n=7), cardiac disease (n=6), and asphyxiation (n=1). The 5-year estimated event-free survival (EFS) for the entire cohort was 79.6%+/-2.1 %, which declined to 63.1%+/-4.4% by 20 years. Cumulative incidences of cause-specific deaths at 25 years were 9.8%+/-1.6% for Hodgkin's disease, 8.1%+/-2.6% for second malignancy, 4.0%+/-1.8% for cardiac disease, 3.9%+/-1.5% for infection, and 2.1%+/-0.8% for accidents. Standardized incidence ratios showed excess risk for all second malignancies (12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 8 to 17), acute myeloid leukemia (81; 95% CI, 16 to 237), solid tumors (11; 95% CI, 7 to 16), and breast cancer (33; 95% CI, 12 to 72). Standardized mortality ratios also showed excess mortality from cardiac disease (22; 95% CI, 8 to 48) and infection (18; 95% CI, 7 to 38). CONCLUSION: Compared with age- and sex-matched control populations, survivors of pediatric Hodgkin's disease who were treated before 1990 face an increased risk of early mortality related to second cancers, cardiac disease, and infection.     

Mortality after the treatment of hyperthyroidism with radioactive iodine

BACKGROUND: Hyperthyroidism affects many organ systems, but the effects are usually considered reversible. The long-term effects of hyperthyroidism on mortality are not known. METHODS: We conducted a population-based study of mortality in a cohort of 7209 subjects with hyperthyroidism who were treated with radioactive iodine in Birmingham, United Kingdom, between 1950 and 1989. The vital status of the subjects was determined on March 1, 1996, and causes of death were ascertained for those who had died. The data on the causes of death were compared with data on age-specific mortality in England and Wales. The standardized mortality ratio was used as a measure of relative risk, and the effect of covariates on mortality was assessed by regression analysis. RESULTS: During 105,028 person-years of follow-up, 3611 subjects died; the expected number of deaths was 3186 (standardized mortality ratio, 1.1; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.1 to 1.2; P<0.001). The risk was increased for deaths due to thyroid disease (106 excess deaths; standardized mortality ratio, 24.8; 95 percent confidence interval, 20.4 to 29.9), cardiovascular disease (240 excess deaths; standardized mortality ratio, 1.2; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.2 to 1.3), and cerebrovascular disease (159 excess deaths; standardized mortality ratio, 1.4; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.2 to 1.5), as well as fracture of the femur (26 excess deaths; standardized mortality ratio, 2.9; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.0 to 3.9). The excess mortality was most evident in the first year after radioiodine therapy and declined thereafter. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with hyperthyroidism treated with radioiodine, mortality from all causes and mortality due to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease and fracture are increased.     

The Münster Heart Study (PROCAM): total mortality in middle-aged men is increased at low total and LDL cholesterol concentrations in smokers but not in nonsmokers

BACKGROUND: Some large epidemiological studies have shown an increase in mortality at low levels of total and LDL cholesterol. It has been speculated that low cholesterol levels may play a causative role in this association. To investigate this question, we analyzed all deaths occurring among middle-aged men in the Münster Heart Study (PROCAM), one of the largest prospective epidemiological studies of coronary heart disease risk markers in Europe. METHODS AND RESULTS: In the Münster Heart Study, 10,856 men aged 36 to 65 years at study entry (46.8+/-7.3 years [mean+/-SD]) were followed for 4 to 14 years (7.1+/-2.4 years). During this period, 313 deaths occurred--46 from myocardial infarction, 48 from suspected or definite sudden cardiac death, 14 from cerebrovascular disease, and 10 from other diseases of the circulatory system. There were 121 deaths from cancer and 33 deaths from violent causes (injuries in 16, suicide in 14, and homicide in 3 cases). Death in 29 cases occurred from other causes and was unexplained in 12 cases. Total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and the LDL/HDL ratio showed a J-shaped relationship with total mortality. At high total and LDL cholesterol concentrations, increased mortality was due to increased coronary deaths. At low total and LDL cholesterol concentrations, increased mortality was seen in smokers only and was explained by an increase in smoking-related cancer deaths. CONCLUSIONS: The increase in mortality at low levels of total and LDL cholesterol among middle-aged men in the Münster Heart Study is explained by an increase in smoking-related cancer deaths among smokers.     

Depression and risk of coronary heart disease in elderly men and women: New Haven EPESE, 1982-1991. Established Populations for the Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly

BACKGROUND: Results of several recent studies suggest that depression is predictive of incident coronary disease. However, few studies have examined this relationship in the elderly, the age at which most coronary heart disease (CHD) becomes clinically manifest. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data are from the New Haven, Conn, cohort (N = 2812) of the Established Populations for the Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly project. Baseline information on depressive symptoms and CHD risk factors was collected during an in-person interview in 1982. Nonfatal myocardial infarctions were identified through monitoring of admissions to local hospitals and were validated by medical chart review. Cause of death was obtained from death certificates for all deceased participants. Outcomes were defined as CHD deaths (n = 255) and total incident CHD events (n = 391) between January 1, 1982, and December 31, 1991. There was no association between depressive symptoms and CHD outcomes in men. Among women, depressive symptoms were associated with an age-adjusted relative risk of 1.03 (per unit increase on the symptom scale) for CHD mortality (P=.001) and total CHD incidence (P=.002). These associations were largely unaffected by adjustment for established CHD risk factors but were reduced to nonsignificant levels after additional adjustment for impaired physical function. Additional analysis showed a significant association for depressive symptoms among women who had no physical function impairments or who survived at least 3 years without an event. CONCLUSION: Depressive symptoms may not be independent risk factors for CHD outcomes in elderly populations in general but may increase risk among relatively healthy older women.     

High-level resistance of cytomegalovirus to ganciclovir is associated with alterations in both the UL97 and DNA polymerase genes

The study describes rates of coronary heart disease death and nonfatal coronary events over five years in a cohort of random sample population and relates them to levels of three major risk factors. It is based on a longitudinal follow-up of survey conducted initially in 1990 in all geographic regions of Turkey. Two-thirds of the original cohort aged 20 years or over 2259 adults comprising 1146 women was followed up by physical examination and an ECG recording at rest. New coronary events were defined to include myocardial infarction and stable angina with or without associated myocardial ischemia developed during the follow-up period. Overall annual death rate was nine per 1000 adults. Coronary deaths numbered 55 (of which 26 were women) representing 4.1 per year and were found high in women. New coronary events were registered in 37 men and 32 women (annual rates 7.2 and 5.8 per 1000, respectively). Among male participants aged initially 40 years or over, high systolic blood pressure (> or = 130 mmHg) at baseline significantly predicted coronary death (age-adjusted risk ratio (RR) 3.3) while high cholesterol concentrations (> or = 5.2 mmol l-1) predicted new coronary events alone (RR almost 2). In women systolic pressure again strongly predicted coronary death (age-adjusted RR 3.9), whereas abnormal cholesterol levels discriminated for coronary death and new coronary events (RR around 2.3 for each). High diastolic pressure (> or = 85 mmHg) was of predictive value for the combined outcome of coronary death and events in women (RR 1.9) but not in men. Multivariate analysis by logistic regression identified systolic blood pressure in men as significant independent predictor of coronary death, while total cholesterol concentration in both genders and systolic blood pressure in men were independent predictors of the combined outcome of coronary death or nonfatal coronary events. It was concluded that known major risk factors act in similar magnitudes commensurate with the specific risk increments also in populations with essentially low cholesterol levels. The relatively high coronary morbidity and mortality in Turkish women approaching that in men may be accounted for by an inherent greater risk burden.     

Accuracy of death certificates for coding coronary heart disease as the cause of death

BACKGROUND: Death certificates are widely used in epidemiologic and clinical investigations and for national statistics. OBJECTIVE: To examine the accuracy of death certificates for coding coronary heart disease as the underlying cause of death. DESIGN: Community-based inception cohort followed since 1948. SETTING: Framingham, Massachusetts. PATIENTS: 2683 deceased Framingham Heart Study participants. MEASUREMENTS: Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of the death certificate. The reference standard was cause of death adjudicated by a panel of three physicians. RESULTS: Among 2683 decedents, the death certificate coded coronary heart disease as the underlying cause of death for 942; the physician panel assigned coronary heart disease for 758. The death certificate had a sensitivity of 83.8% (95% CI, 81.1 % to 86.4%), positive predictive value of 67.4% (CI, 64.4% to 70.4%), specificity of 84.1% (CI, 82.4% to 85.7%), and negative predictive value of 92.9% (CI, 91.7% to 94.1%) for coronary heart disease. The death certificate assigned coronary heart disease in 51.2% of 242 deaths (9.0% of total deaths) for which the physician panel could not determine a cause. Compared with the physician panel, the death certificate attributed 24.3% more deaths to coronary heart disease overall and more than twice as many deaths to coronary heart disease in decedents who were at least 85 years of age. When deaths that were assigned unknown cause by the physician panel were excluded, the death certificate still assigned more deaths to coronary heart disease (7.9% overall and 43.1% in the oldest age group). CONCLUSIONS: Coronary heart disease may be overrepresented as a cause of death on death certificates. National mortality statistics, which are based on death certificate data, may overestimate the frequency of coronary heart disease by 7.9% to 24.3% overall and by as much as two-fold in older persons.     

The role of Ly49A and 5E6(Ly49C) molecules in hybrid resistance mediated by murine natural killer cells against normal T cell blasts

Due to affluence and a sedentary life style a great deal of people in the western countries are affected by coronary heart disease (CHD). The relation between CHD and certain risk factors pertaining to life style is evaluated in this study. A primary purpose is to study certain crucial risk factors for women. The main variables are age, smoking, overweight (measured by BMI), blood pressure and exercise. This prospective study is based on self-reported data from the nation-wide Swedish Level of Living Survey and on data from the national Cause of Death Register. The data were analysed separately by sex using a proportional hazards model. The sample was divided into two strata: those with heart disease and/or diabetes initially, and all the rest. A sample of 2546 men and 2760 women between 45 and 74 years of age was followed from 1980 to the end of 1990. During this period 189 men and 75 women died of coronary heart disease (CHD). It was found that high blood pressure raised the relative risk (RR) of death from CHD by almost 60% in both men and women. Male smokers (> 14 cigarettes a day) had about 60% (significant) and female smokers (> 10 cigarettes a day) 150% (significant) excessive mortality from CHD. Different levels of overweight among women were strongly related to excess mortality from CHD, ranging between 100 and 300%. Among men there was no such relation. Lack of physical activity showed only a weak (non-significant) increased risk of death due to CHD. Diabetes was also found to be an important risk factor for mortality from CHD, especially among women, being seven times as high as among non diabetics. A test of sex differences revealed that there were two significant interactions, namely between sex and overweight, and between sex and age. Background variables in relation to mortality from all cardiovascular diseases (CVD) were also studied. There were of course many similarities between the effects of the background variables in both the disease groups, but there were interesting differences too, e.g. overweight turned out to be a significant risk factor also for men and physical inactivity for women.     

Mortality in insured Swedish dogs: rates and causes of death in various breeds

Data on over 222,000 Swedish dogs enrolled in life insurance in 1992 and 1993 were analysed. There were approximately 260 deaths per 10,000 dog-years at risk. Breed-specific mortality rates and causes of death are presented for breeds with more than 500 dogs at risk that had consistently high or low rates. Breed-specific mortality ranged from less than 1 per cent to more than 11 per cent. True rates and proportional statistics for the cause of death were calculated for the entire insured population (250 breeds) and cause-specific mortality rates were calculated for the breeds with the highest risk of dying of the most common causes. Trauma, tumours and problems related to the locomotor system together accounted for more than 40 per cent of all deaths or euthanasias. Although limited to insured dogs, these data cover approximately one-third of all Swedish dogs and provide baseline mortality data for further population-based studies on health and disease.