基于行为选择的交通管理公众参与意愿转化机制

旨在分析交通管理公众参与意愿转化为实际行动低的原因。研究区域为西安市钟楼地区,并借助行为选择的前景理论,提出基于经济人假设的公众参与效用函数模型,进而定量测定交通管理公众参与意愿转化内在机制。结果表明：公众参与意愿转化度低,原因在于公众对参与交通管理带来的效用估测较低。同时,不同年龄段对参与效用的估测存在差异性,导致各年龄段参与方式选择的差异。     

基于Logistic的外来务工人员住房保障意愿影响因素研究——以广州为例

基于广东省广州市 2017 年 2164 名外来务工人员的问卷调查数据,对来穗务工人员的个人特征、居住特征以及住房保障需求意愿等因素进行 Logistics 回归分析。发现年龄、月收入、来穗务工年长、留穗计划、住房满意度和住房类型六大因素对其保障意愿影响显著。建议以“租购并举”的住房制度为契机,综合考虑不同类型的外来务工人员住房需求意愿,设计多元化住房保障产品,并规范租赁市场,整治城中村,发展产权式保障房。     

公共服务领域新市民住房保障意愿研究——基于广州的实证分析

准确把握保障对象的住房保障意愿是科学制定住房保障规划的基础。基于13667份广州市2019年政策性住房需求调查数据,对公共服务领域新市民的住房保障意愿及其影响因素进行Logistic回归分析。发现其住房保障意愿受性别、单位系统、月收入、婚姻、居住人员构成、居住地点、住房满意度七大因素影响。建议以“以需定供”为政策导向,综合考虑不同类型的公共服务领域新市民的住房保障需求特征与偏好,分层次改善和解决其住房困难,实现住房保障需求与供给的有效匹配。     

基于主成分-Logistic 分析的甘肃省PPP 项目制约因素研究

基于甘肃省民营企业参与PPP项目意愿的各影响因子，以分布在甘肃省内不同市、县、区的162家不同规模、种类的民营企业为研究对象，并随机预留其中38家企业为预测对象。通过问卷调查与实地调研相结合的方式收集样本并确定评价体系，应用主成分-Logistic的分析方法，建立了甘肃省地方性民营企业参与PPP项目意愿的预测模型。通过模型的检测证明该模型对当地民营企业具有较高的普适性及其参与PPP项目意愿的精准预测性。此研究的目的是以预测结果入手，有针对性地制定出相关政策及应对措施，为促进本地区PPP项目的发展提供切实有效的参考依据和方法指导。     

违建治理视角下居民违建意愿影响机理研究

随着城镇化的快速发展,违法建设问题逐渐增多,为了城市发展水平与质量的提升,需要强有力的治理手段解决这个难题。以计划行为理论为支撑,增加违建治理作为新的原因潜变量,构建违建治理视角下的居民违建意愿理论模型,研究违建治理对居民违建意愿的影响机理。基于居民违建意愿的调查数据,采用结构方程实证研究发现,违建治理对居民的感知行为控制、主观规范、行为态度都有较大的影响,其中对感知行为控制影响最大,进而影响居民的违建意愿。违建治理是影响违建意愿的主要影响因素,严厉的违建治理可以有效降低违建意愿,推动城乡建设的健康发展。     

管理信息系统应用对项目绩效的影响研究——以深圳地铁14号线为例

为了实现高效的信息化管理,识别影响管理信息系统应用的因素及其对项目绩效的影响机理至关重要.基于D&M模型,采用SEM模型从信息质量、系统质量、环境质量和服务质量4个维度进行实证分析.结果表明,系统质量和环境质量对项目绩效的影响较为显著,属于一级因素,服务质量和信息质量属于二级因素.此外,在影响路径上,用户使用意愿发挥的...     

Does cognition matter? Applying the push-pull-mooring model to Chinese farmers' willingness to withdraw from rural homesteads

This study proposes the use of push-pull-mooring model to investigate the main factors behind farmers' willingness to withdraw from rural homesteads with unique survey datasets taken from a pilot area in China. Our empirical results, which were derived from partial least squares structural equation modelling, mostly support our theoretical hypotheses, suggesting that policy cognition is a meaningful moderating factor that reflects farmers' individual attitudes, environmental influences, and social norms and plays a significant role in farmers' decision-making processes. Our findings have strong policy implications for developing a “strategy of rural vitalization” and reforming the current rural homesteads system in China.     

Interregional labor migration and information flows

A model of interregional labor migration is developed that incorporates a complex system of information concerning migration and employment opportunities, as well as a heterogeneous population in which groups of workers differ in their assumed levels of skill, attitudes toward risk, and willingness to move. "Three channels are examined: interpersonal communication, general source information, and specific source information targeted at unemployed workers. In this process, trajectories of welfare levels (composed of wage plus nonwage benefits), information flows, vacancy and unemployment levels are generated for different worker and job types, regional aggregates, and the system as a whole. The behavior of the model is examined by means of numerical simulations and sensitivity analyses."     

多群组结构方程模型视角下的老旧小区居民改造意愿影响因素研究

大规模推进惠民生、扩内需的老旧小区改造是促进我国城市高质量发展的重中之重。改造进度与决策主要取决于居民意向,不同区域、类型居民存在差别,其共性改造意愿影响因素值得探索。基于计划行为理论,构建老旧小区居民改造意愿影响因素的理论模型,利用SPSS 24.0 和Amos 24.0,分析369 份问卷的多群组数据及结构方程模型。研究表明,居民改造意愿存在显著的地区差异;行为态度作为中介变量在主观规范与知觉行为控制中发挥中介效应;学历越高、家庭规模越大,改造意愿越强烈,性别和家庭月收入水平影响很小。该研究可为增强居民改造意愿及不同区域的城镇化发展提供建议,为城市更新高质量发展提供理论和实际参考。     

基于 QCA 方法的社区微更新项目公众持续参与意愿影响因素研究

为探究多重需求因素的匹配组合关系及对社区微更新项目公众持续参与意愿的影响作用,优化以需求为导向的公众持续参与意愿路径,从组态理论出发,构建了多重因素组合对公众持续参与意愿的协同作用模型。并采用定性比较分析方法（Qualitative Comparative Analysis,QCA）探究多重需求因素的匹配组合关系及对公众持续参与意愿的影响作用,通过分析验证最终得出3 条激发高水平公众持续参与意愿的组合路径,从而弥补了传统定量研究方法无法有效分析多重因素的联动、替代等作用关系的缺陷,为政府有效提升公众持续参与意愿、扩大公众参与程度提供一定的参考价值。     

基于逻辑回归的绿色建筑项目参与意愿分析

企业参与是绿色建筑项目推广的关键。为探究企业对绿色建筑项目的参与意愿,基于文献回顾及专家访谈识别出 8项影响意愿因素,通过构建逻辑回归模型分析调查问卷数据,结果显示,除绿色建筑的正外部性和绿色建筑的效用两项因素外,其他因素均达到显著水平。同时根据企业有无参与绿色建筑项目经验划分为两组进行对比,发现前者更认同“有经验的技术人才”对绿色建筑项目参与意愿有显著影响。对企业参与绿色建筑项目意愿的影响因素评价客观且具有普适性,为企业参与绿色建筑项目提供了重要的理论和实践指导。     

Demand management aspects of urban water policy in the industrial sector: the case of the city of Thessaloniki,Greece

The present paper presents the main results of a research project. It deals with consumers' perception of water issues in the industrial sector, and examines and analyses water use patterns, water conservation methods and water pricing issues. Issues presented are the contribution of water to production processes, water consumption levels, water conservation options, the possibility of construction of a dual water supply system, the evaluation of different pricing policies, the willingness to pay (WTP) and the potential impact of a price increase. The study has shown that there is limited use of recycling methods, few pollution control practices and small effect of industrial water price on water consumption levels. As far as industrial consumers are concerned, they present inaccurate perception of water consumption levels and low willingness to pay for the improvement of water services.     

公租房PPP 项目收益分配研究

为了合理分配公租房PPP 项目的收益,充分调动民间资金参与公租房项目的合作意愿,选取公租房PPP 项目中公共部门、私人部门以及项目特许经营单位3 个核心部门为收益分配对象,综合考虑合作意愿、风险分担、投资比例及努力程度对公租房PPP 项目收益分配的影响,采用层次分析法法确定合作意愿因子、风险分担因子,构建基于合作意愿、风险分担、投资比例及努力程度等因素修正Shapley 值的公租房PPP 项目收益分配模型,使用该模型得到的公租房PPP 项目的收益分配结果更加合理,使项目参与各方满意,充分调动参与各方的积极性。     

既有住区业主节能改造意愿传播演化博弈分析

为引导业主参与既有住区节能改造,建立业主参与意愿的“识别-引导” 的完整过程,构建基于 SEIQR 的业主参与意愿演化博弈模型。识别参与意愿在业主群体内部的传播路径及规律。构建政府部门与 ESCO 引导策略演化博弈模型,得到政企最佳引导策略。将政企的引导策略施加于不同类型的业主,实现对业主参与意愿的最佳引导,并进行不同参数下的基于案例的仿真分析。结果表明:增加政府部门的社会效益感知对业主不参与意愿的控制有显著作用;提升 ESCO 的经济性收益更有利于控制业主不参与意愿的传播;当业主节能意识较弱时,高度的集体认同感不利于不参与意愿的控制。     

Willingness to pay for the services of commercial motorcycles in Akure, Nigeria

Most planning solutions aimed at redressing public transport problems in Nigeria continue to fail, because they are ad hoc and do not take into consideration the willingness to pay for improved transport facilities and services. This paper examines some factors that affect the willingness of citizens to pay for the commercial motorcycle (locally called okada) services in Akure. The okada is a new mode regarded to have contributed to improved transport in the city. The paper presents some determinants and estimates of the willingness to pay for this transport mode. Empirical analysis shows that the incident of armed robbery by operators and the education of citizens are the significant factors affecting citizen's willingness to pay. Other important factors include the method of determination of trip fares, variations in weather conditions and stability of trip fares. Some policy implications of the findings are discussed.     

A Double-Hurdle model of urban green areas valuation: Dealing with zero responses

Due to the widespread support for public parks and open spaces in urban areas, there is an increasing need to analyse the social benefits that are generated by such amenities. The city of Valencia (Spain) has a large park that can be considered its green backbone due to its transversal layout running along 9 of the 19 districts into which the city is divided. A contingent valuation survey was therefore conducted in order to obtain the non-market benefits derived from the use of this park by the inhabitants of Valencia. In addition, to deal with the large number of zero responses obtained, a Double-Hurdle model was applied. The results show that this model is more appropriate than other, simpler approaches. They also show that willingness to pay is positively related with the respondent's income and education, as was expected. Another interesting finding is that willingness to pay is also affected by the section of the park in which the interview was conducted. The information gathered form this study is of interest to decision-making with regard environmental issues.     

Household valuation of smart-home functionalities in Slovenia

The paper analyses consumer willingness to invest in a smart home and attempts to establish willingness to pay for various smart-home functionalities among Slovenian households in 2013. The estimated results suggest that consumers positively perceive energy and security related smart-home functionalities, though willingness to pay (WTP) for any particular functionality is not found to be very high. In comparison to stated WTP, current market prices are mostly too high to expect higher penetration rates of smart home devices in the very near future. Household income, technology progressiveness, and energy conservation habits are found to positively influence purchases of smart-home functionalities.     

基于产权差异的住宅绿色宜居改造居民支付意愿研究

基于感知价值理论,采用多群组SEM法对全产权与集体产权两类居民主体的既有住宅绿色宜居改造支付意愿影响机理差异进行实证研究。研究表明:①全产权居民支付意愿为个体认知的"客观理性"决策,更易受住宅改造预期、改造成本及环境责任感三种因素影响;②集体产权居民住宅改造的自发积极性较差,改造意愿转化为支付意愿比率较低,支付意愿为个体认知的"主观理性"决策,更易受风险成本因素影响。     

新生代建筑农民工工作意愿激励问题研究

为解决我国建筑业新生代农民工短缺问题,促进新生代建筑农民工的工作意愿,从而保障建筑业的可持续和健康发展,以新生代建筑农民工为研究对象,以激励理论为理论基础,以新生代建筑农民工的工作意愿激励为研究主题,以结构方程模型为研究方法,对新生代建筑农民工的外部激励因素和内部工作需要进行探索。通过实证分析,发现激励措施对工作需要、工作意愿具有显著的正向影响作用,工作需要对工作意愿也具有显著的正向影响作用。工作需要在激励措施和工作意愿中起到显著的部分中介作用,中介效应占比 33.9%。另外,在激励措施外在激励方面,工作环境和薪酬激励是新生代建筑农民工最为重视的因素;在工作需要内在激励方面,成长发展需要是其最为重视的。     

The social benefits of restoring water quality in the context of the Water Framework Directive: A comparison of willingness to pay and willingness to accept

The Water Framework Directive (WFD) is by far the most important piece of water legislation in Europe for the coming decades. Its main aim is to achieve “good ecological status” for all water resources by 2015. The economic valuation of the non-market benefits derived from improving water quality is an important input in assisting the design and implementation of efficient and effective water management policies. In this study, the contingent valuation method has been applied with a double purpose. On the one hand, we have estimated the value of a hypothetical improvement in water quality of a river asking individuals about their willingness to pay, and on the other hand, the issue of exemptions contemplated in the WFD has been addressed surveying people on their willingness to accept compensation if projected improvements were not carried out. Finally, a comparison of costs and benefits in a cost-benefit framework shows that the net present value of the water quality policy is positive both if we consider willingness to pay estimates as willingness to accept estimates, therefore this policy appears desirable from a social perspective.