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Patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) have an increased risk of stroke, but the absolute rate of stroke varies widely depending on coexistent vascular disease. We assessed the stroke rate and predictive value of two published schemes for stroke risk stratification in a population-derived cohort of 259 elderly people with nonvalvular AF followed for a median of 5.3 years. The rate of ischemic stroke was 2.8% per year (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.9, 3.9). Thirty-one percent were predicted to be at low risk, and their stroke rate was 1.7% per year (95% CI 0.6, 3.8). Many people with AF in this population-derived cohort had relatively low rates of stroke. Further studies to reliably stratify stroke risk in patients with AF are needed.  相似文献   

3.
BACKGROUND: Medicare's introduction of the Prospective Payment System for hospitals has led to tremendous growth in ways of providing posthospital care. Despite substantial differences in costs per episode of care, the type of posthospital care that produces the best results for specific types of patients is not clear. This study analyzed the outcomes of different types of posthospital care for a cohort of older Medicare patients (who had diagnoses associated with the use of a range of posthospital care modalities) for up to a year after hospital discharge. METHODS: Medicare patients hospitalized with strokes and hip fractures were enrolled consecutively just before discharge from 52 hospitals in three cities in 1988-1989. These diagnosis-related groups were chosen because patients were discharged to all three major types of Medicare-supported posthospital care. Patients were interviewed in-person before discharge and again at 6 weeks, 6 months, and 1 year after discharge. The functional outcomes of posthospital care were evaluated by the instrumental variables estimation approach to correct for selection bias caused by nonrandom treatment assignment. The impacts of discharge locations on the functional outcomes were examined by one-way analyses of variance (ANOVA). RESULTS: In general, the more disabled patients went to nursing homes and rehabilitation, but the overlap in distribution was sufficient to conduct the analyses. Stroke patients discharged to nursing homes had the highest mortality rate (P<.01). Stroke patients discharged to home health had the lowest rehospitalization rates (P<.05). Hip fracture discharged to home health care had the highest adjusted rehospitalization rate, whereas those discharged to nursing homes had the lowest adjusted rehospitalization rate (P<.05). For stroke patients, posthospital care in rehabilitation facilities or home health care was associated with significantly better functional improvement compared with stroke patients discharged elsewhere. However, functional outcomes deteriorated by 1 year posthospitalization among stroke patients who received their posthospital care at nursing homes or received no formal posthospital care. For hip fracture patients, all four types of posthospital care were associated with functional improvement, but patients discharged to rehabilitation facilities experienced the most functional improvement. CONCLUSIONS: The choice of posthospital care can influence the course of Medicare patients. Careful attention should be paid to how hospital discharge decisions are made and to the financial incentives for different types of posthospital care provided under the current payment system. The current supply of nursing homes is not well suited to the demands of posthospital care.  相似文献   

4.
BACKGROUND: Stroke occurs concurrently with myocardial infarction (MI) in approximately 30 000 US patients each year. This number is expected to rise with the increasing use of thrombolytic therapy for MI. However, no data exist for the economic effect of stroke in the setting of acute MI (AMI). The purpose of this prospective study was to assess the effect of stroke on medical resource use and costs in AMI patients in the United States. METHODS AND RESULTS: Medical resource use and cost data were prospectively collected for 2566 randomly selected US GUSTO I patients (from 23 105 patients) and for the 321 US GUSTO I patients who developed non-bypass surgery-related stroke during the baseline hospitalization. Follow-up was for 1 year. All costs are expressed in 1993 US dollars. During the baseline hospitalization, stroke was associated with a reduction in cardiac procedure rates and an increase in length of stay, despite a hospital mortality rate of 37%. Together with stroke-related procedural costs of $2220 per patient, the baseline medical costs increased by 44% ($29 242 versus $20 301, P<0.0001). Follow-up medical costs were substantially higher for stroke survivors ($22 400 versus $5282, P<0.0001), dominated by the cost of institutional care. The main determinant for institutional care was discharge disability status. The cumulative 1-year medical costs for stroke patients were $15 092 higher than for no-stroke patients. Hemorrhagic stroke patients had a much higher hospital mortality rate than non-hemorrhagic stroke patients (53% versus 15%, P<0.001), which was associated with approximately $7200 lower mean baseline hospitalization cost. At discharge, hemorrhagic stroke patients were more likely to be disabled (68% versus 46%, P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: In this first large prospective economic study of stroke in AMI patients, we found that strokes were associated with a 60% ($15 092) increase in cumulative 1-year medical costs. Baseline hospitalization costs were 44% higher because of longer mean lengths of stay. Stroke type was a key determinant of baseline cost. Follow-up costs were more than quadrupled for stroke survivors because of the need for institutional care. Disability level was the main determinant of institutional care and thus of follow-up costs.  相似文献   

5.
BACKGROUND: Multinational comparisons demonstrate marked ethnic and regional variation in stroke mortality and risk-factor distribution. We assessed the role of ethnicity and estimated the cumulative effect of multiple risk factors on long-term ischemic stroke mortality. METHODS and RESULTS: Civil servants and municipal employees in Israel (n=9734 men; age, >/=42 years), chosen by stratified sampling in 6 prespecified areas of birth (those born in Israel and those who were immigrants from 5 other regional-ethnic strata), were included in the Israeli Ischemic Heart Disease (IIHD) Project. Over a 21-year follow-up period, age-adjusted mortality rates per 10 000 person-years attributed to ischemic stroke (n=282; International Classification of Diseases [ICD]-9 codes 433 to 438) were higher among immigrants to Israel from northern Africa and the Mideast (17.1 to 19.0), than from 3 parts of Europe (11.3 to 12.4). Crude rates per 1000 subjects observed in those born in Asia or Africa (29.4 to 31.2) exceeded rates predicted by risk-factor profiles (21.4 to 24.9). Adjusted hazard ratios were 3.00 for age (per 10 years), 2.15 for left ventricular hypertrophy, 1.69 for systolic blood pressure (BP, per 20 mm Hg), 1.86 for diabetes mellitus, 1.83 for peripheral vascular disease, 1.79 for smoking (>20 cigarettes per day), 1.51 for coronary heart disease, 1.16 for percent cholesterol contained in the HDL fraction (%HDL, per 5% decrease), and 1.88 for diastolic BP (per 12 mm Hg; assessed in an alternative model). Accounting for regression dilution bias and assessed from repeat measurements, we found that hazard ratio estimates associated with diastolic BP, systolic BP, and percent HDL (per increments described) increased to 3.22, 2.23, and 1.23, respectively. Ischemic stroke mortality rates were 30-fold greater among subjects at the highest versus the lowest quintile of predicted probability according to risk-factor profiles (81.2 versus 2.6 per 1000 subjects). CONCLUSIONS: Assessment of multiple risk factors provides useful quantitative prediction of long-term ischemic stroke mortality risk. Regional-ethnic variations are consistent with a hypothesis that other, undetermined inherent genetic or sociocultural factors act to increase ischemic stroke mortality rates in immigrants to Israel from the Mideast and northern Africa over that predicted by conventional risk factors.  相似文献   

6.
BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) causes substantial morbidity. It is uncertain whether AF is associated with excess mortality independent of associated cardiac conditions and risk factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined the mortality of subjects 55 to 94 years of age who developed AF during 40 years of follow-up of the original Framingham Heart Study cohort. Of the original 5209 subjects, 296 men and 325 women (mean ages, 74 and 76 years, respectively) developed AF and met eligibility criteria. By pooled logistic regression, after adjustment for age, hypertension, smoking, diabetes, left ventricular hypertrophy, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, valvular heart disease, and stroke or transient ischemic attack, AF was associated with an OR for death of 1.5 (95% CI, 1.2 to 1.8) in men and 1.9 (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.2) in women. The risk of mortality conferred by AF did not significantly vary by age. However, there was a significant AF-sex interaction: AF diminished the female advantage in survival. In secondary multivariate analyses, in subjects free of valvular heart disease and preexisting cardiovascular disease, AF remained significantly associated with excess mortality, with about a doubling of mortality in both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: In subjects from the original cohort of the Framingham Heart Study, AF was associated with a 1.5- to 1.9-fold mortality risk after adjustment for the preexisting cardiovascular conditions with which AF was related. The decreased survival seen with AF was present in men and women and across a wide range of ages.  相似文献   

7.
BACKGROUND: Admission to a hospital with a capability for cardiac procedures is associated with a higher likelihood of referral for a cardiac procedure but not with a better short-term clinical outcome. Whether there are differences in long-term mortality and resource consumption is not clear. We sought to determine whether elderly Medicare patients with acute myocardial infarction admitted to hospitals with on-site cardiac catheterization facilities have lower long-term hospital costs and better outcomes than patients admitted to hospitals without such facilities. METHODS AND RESULTS: As part of the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project pilot in Connecticut, we conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from medical charts and administrative files. The study sample included 2521 patients with acute myocardial infarction covered by Medicare from 1992 to 1993. The cardiac catheterization rate was higher in the hospitals with facilities (38.6% versus 26.9%; P<0.001), but the revascularization rate was similar (20.5% versus 19.5%) during the initial episode of care and at 3 years (29.7% versus 29.7%). Mortality rates were similar for patients admitted to the 2 types of hospitals at 30 days (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.42) and at 3 years (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.26). The adjusted readmission rates were significantly lower among patients admitted to hospitals with cardiac catheterization facilities (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.61 to 0.94). However, the overall mean days in the hospital for the 3 years after admission was 25.9 for patients admitted to hospitals with facilities and 24.6 for the other patients (P=0.234). Adjusting for baseline patient characteristics, there was no significant difference in the 3-year costs between patients admitted to the 2 types of hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: With higher rates of cardiac catheterization and lower readmission rates, patients admitted to hospitals with on-site cardiac catheterization facilities did not have significantly different hospital costs compared with patients admitted to hospitals without these facilities. There was also no significant difference in short- or long-term mortality rates.  相似文献   

8.
We evaluated the 24-year mortality rates of male traumatic lower limb amputees (n = 201) of the Israeli army, wounded between 1948 and 1974 compared with a cohort sample representing the general population (n = 1,832). Mortality rates were significantly higher (21.9% vs 12.1%, p <0.001) in amputees than in controls. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was the main cause for this difference. The prevalence of selected risk factors for CVD was determined in 101 surviving amputees (aged 50 to 65 years) and a sample of the controls (n = 96) matched by age and ethnic origin. Amputees had higher plasma insulin levels (during fasting and in response to oral glucose loading) and increased blood coagulation activity. No differences were found in rates of current symptoms of ischemic heart disease or of cerebrovascular disease, obesity, hypertension, altered plasma lipoprotein profile, impaired physical activity, smoking, or nutritional habits. Traumatic lower limb amputees had increased mortality rates due to CVD. Surviving amputees had hyperinsulinemia, increased coagulability, and increased sympathetic and parasympathetic responses (described previously). These established CVD risk factors may explain the excess mortality due to CVD in traumatic amputees.  相似文献   

9.
OBJECTIVES: The authors describe the relation of provider characteristics to processes, costs, and outcomes of medical care for elderly patients hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia. METHODS: Using Medicare claims data, Medicare beneficiaries discharged from Pennsylvania hospitals during 1990 with community-acquired pneumonia were identified. Claims data were used to ascertain mortality, readmissions, use of procedures and physician consultations, and the costs of care. The relationship of these measures to provider characteristics was analyzed using regression techniques to adjust for patient characteristics, including comorbidity and microbial etiology. RESULTS: Among 22,294 pneumonia episodes studied, 30-day mortality was 17.0%. After adjusting for patient characteristics, 30-day mortality and readmission rates were unrelated to hospital teaching status or urban location or to physician specialty. Use of procedures and physician consultations was more common and costs were 11% higher among patients discharged from teaching hospitals compared with nonteaching hospitals. Similarly, costs were 15% higher at urban hospitals compared with rural hospitals. General internists and medical subspecialists used more procedures and had higher costs than family practitioners. CONCLUSIONS: Processes and costs of care for community-acquired pneumonia varied by provider characteristics, but neither mortality nor readmission rates did. These differences cannot be explained by clinical variables in the database. Further studies should determine whether less costly patterns of care for pneumonia, and perhaps other conditions, could replace more costly ones without compromising patient outcomes.  相似文献   

10.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The United States (US) has experienced declines in stroke mortality in contrast to the increases reported for Poland. As part of the Poland and US Agreement on Cardiovascular and Cardiopulmonary Research, stroke mortality trends in Polish and US subpopulations were compared in the context of cross-population differences in competing causes of death and determinants of stroke. METHODS: Age-adjusted annual stroke, cardiovascular disease (CVD), non-CVD, and all-cause mortality rates were determined for men and women aged 35 to 64 and 65 to 74 years from 1968 to 1994 for African Americans and US whites and in Poland. Mean annual percent changes of mortality rates were estimated during 1968 to 1980 and 1981 to 1994 with the use of piecewise log-linear regression. RESULTS: US stroke mortality rates declined 3.7% to 4.8% annually during 1968 to 1980 and 2.0% to 3.1% during 1981 to 1994, with similar declines in each ethnic, gender, and age group. Polish rates increased 3.3% to 5.5% annually for all age-gender groups in Poland during 1968 to 1980. Polish men aged 35 to 64 experienced increasing rates during 1981 to 1994 (1.6% annually), while Polish women and older men experienced slight declines or little change. Only Polish men aged 35 to 64 years exhibited increases in stroke, CVD, and non-CVD mortality rates during both time intervals. CONCLUSIONS: Poland and the US experienced opposing stroke mortality rate trends between 1968 and 1994. These national and ethnic trends occurring in just one generation suggest major effects of lifestyle, socioenvironmental, and/or medical care determinants.  相似文献   

11.
Cardiovascular diseases (CVD), principally coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, and congestive heart failure, continue to be the leading cause of death claiming nearly 1,000,000 lives annually and accounting for more than 40% of the deaths in the United States (American Heart Association). While cardiovascular disease is often viewed as a problem of the elderly, 45% of heart attacks occur among individuals less than 65 years old. Moreover, CVD is the second leading cause of death for those 45 to 64 years of age and the third leading cause of death for those 25 to 44 years old. In economic terms, the annual direct and indirect costs of heart attack and stroke are approximately $259 billion or $492,444/second, in the United States alone. Thus, from a human and economic perspective, heart and vascular diseases are an enormous burden worthy of significant attention. This review is not intended to ignore the 50% decline in age-adjusted rates for heart attack and stroke events over the preceding three decades, as summarized by the recent report of the Joint National Committee on the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC VI). However, progress has halted as coronary heart disease and stroke mortality rates have reached a plateau in recent years and appear to be rising. Consequently, this is an excellent time for re-examining our approach to the prevention and treatment of CVD. In this article, readers will find an overview of the CVD prevention and treatment topics and not an in-depth analytical or epidemiological assessment of risk factors and outcomes. First, a macroscopic approach to reducing CVD is presented, followed by a discussion emphasizing the critical importance of public health and community-based programs in the effort to significantly reduce the burden of hypertension and related cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Effective public health programs can play a pivotal role in raising awareness, and more importantly, in facilitating lifestyle change, entry and retention in the healthcare system, and compliance with non-pharmacological as well as drug therapy.  相似文献   

12.
OBJECTIVE: To investigate changes between 1987 and 1990 in the care and outcomes associated with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in elderly patients. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using a longitudinal database created from Medicare administrative files. PATIENTS: Cohorts comprising a total of 856,847 AMI patients insured by Medicare between 1987 and 1990. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Annual rates of mortality at 30 days and 1 year following AMI, and the use of coronary angiography, coronary artery bypass graft surgery, and percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty during the first 90 days after a new AMI. RESULTS: Between 1987 and 1990, mortality rates decreased 10% overall from 26% to 23% at 30 days (P < .001) and from 40% to 36% at 1 year following AMI (P < .001). Declines in mortality and adjusted risks of 1-year mortality were similar in men and women and in blacks and whites, but mortality declines were more evident in those younger than 85 years. Meanwhile, the proportion of elderly AMI patients having angiography within the first 90 days after their index admission increased from 24% to 33% (P < .001); proportions increased for both genders and all races. The proportion of patients undergoing revascularization procedures increased from 13% to 21%; while rates of bypass surgery increased from 8% to 11%, rates of angioplasty doubled from 5% to 10% (all P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Between 1987 and 1990, survival of elderly patients following AMI improved significantly. While changes in patient treatment may be responsible, the increased use of thrombolytic therapy appears to be only a partial explanation. Also, while the use of coronary angiography and revascularization procedures increased dramatically, the degree to which it caused the improvement in survival could not be determined.  相似文献   

13.
STUDY OBJECTIVE: To describe the relationship between risk factors, risk behaviours, symptoms and mortality from cardiorespiratory diseases in an urban area with high levels of socioeconomic deprivation. A cohort study of 15,411 men and women aged 45-64, comprising 80% of the general population of Paisley and Renfrew, Scotland. OUTCOMES: Mortality after 15 years from coronary heart disease(ICD 410-4), stroke(ICD 430-8), respiratory disease(ICD 460-519) and all causes. MAIN RESULTS: Mortality rates from all causes were 19% in men aged 45-49, 31% in men aged 50-54, 42% in men aged 55-59 and 57% in men aged 60-64. The rates are considerably higher than those reported in previous UK prospective studies. For women the rates were 12%, 18%, 25% and 38% respectively. In general men and women showed similar relationships between risk factor levels and mortality rates. People in manual occupations had higher mortality rates. Raised levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure were associated with increased coronary, stroke and all cause mortality rates. Plasma cholesterol had no such association with all cause mortality rates. High and low levels of body mass index were associated with higher mortality rates than intermediate levels. A relationship between short stature and increased mortality rates was observed in men and women. FEV1 expressed as a percentage of the expected value showed the strongest relationship with mortality rates, particularly for respiratory disease, but also for deaths from coronary heart disease, stroke and all causes. CONCLUSIONS: A similar pattern of relationship between risk factor levels and mortality rates exists in men and women in Renfrew and Paisley. Respiratory impairment as measured by FEV1% predicted appears to be the most likely explanation of the observed high all cause mortality rates in this population.  相似文献   

14.
The role of duration of depressed mood in the prediction of cardiovascular disease (CVD) requires further study, as it has been suggested that emerging depressive symptoms may be a better predictor than persistent depressive symptoms. This prospective cohort study of 3,701 men and women aged > 70 years uses 3 measurement occasions of depressive symptomatology (Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression Scale) during a 6-year period to distinguish persons who were newly (depressed at baseline but not at 3 and 6 years before baseline) and chronically depressed (depressed at baseline and at 3 or 6 years before baseline). Their risk of subsequent CVD events and all-cause mortality was compared with that of subjects who were never depressed during the 6-year period. Outcome events were based on death certificates and Medicare hospitalization records. During a median follow-up of 4.0 years, there were 732 deaths (46.2/1,000 person-years) and 933 new CVD events (64.7/1,000 person-years). In men, but not in women, newly depressed mood was associated with an increased risk of CVD mortality (relative risk 1.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00 to 3.05), new CVD events (relative risk 2.07, 95% CI 1.44 to 2.96), and new coronary heart disease events (relative risk 2.03, 95% CI 1.28 to 3.24) after adjustment for traditional CVD risk factors. The association between newly depressed mood and all-cause mortality was smaller (relative risk 1.40, 95% CI 0.95 to 2.07). Chronic depressed mood was not associated with new CVD events or all-cause mortality. Our findings suggest that newly depressed older men, but not women, were approximately twice as likely to have a CVD event than those who were never depressed. In men, recent onset of depressed mood is a better predictor of CVD than long-term depressed mood.  相似文献   

15.
CONTEXT: While trials have demonstrated that carotid endarterectomy is superior to best medical therapy, most recently among asymptomatic patients, uses and outcomes of the procedure in more representative settings have not been established. OBJECTIVES: To profile the use and outcomes of carotid endarterectomy in a representative sample of Ohio's Medicare beneficiaries and to examine the relationships between provider-specific procedural volumes and patient outcomes. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort using Medicare Provider Analysis and Review files supplemented by detailed reviews of medical records on a random sample of patients. SETTING: Ohio hospitals performing carotid endarterectomy. PATIENTS: A random sample of 678 charts of the 4120 non-health maintenance organization Medicare beneficiaries who underwent carotid endarterectomy between July 1, 1993, and June 30, 1994. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Nonfatal stroke or death within 30 days of surgery. RESULTS: The reviewed patients were similar to all eligible patients in sociodemographic characteristics and 30-day mortality rates. Among the 678 patients, indications for surgery were asymptomatic carotid stenosis in 167 (24.6%), transient ischemic attack in 294 (43.4%), completed stroke in 62 (9.1%), and nonspecific symptoms in 155 (22.9%). Thirty-two patients (4.7%) died or suffered nonfatal strokes by 30 days postoperatively. In univariate analyses, rates varied by hospital volume (P=.004) but not surgeons' volume (P=.47), although power to detect this difference was limited. Patients at higher- and lower-volume hospitals had similar indications and distributions of comorbidities. In analyses controlling for indications, comorbid conditions, and surgeon's volume, being operated on in a higher-volume hospital conferred a 71% reduction in risk for 30-day stroke or death (odds ratio, 0.29; 95% confidence interval, 0.12-0.69; P=.006). CONCLUSIONS: Almost half (47.5%) of the carotid endarterectomies among Ohio's Medicare population are performed on persons who are asymptomatic or who have nonspecific symptoms. These results highlight the importance of identifying patients and providers having the most favorable outcome profiles. The higher rate of adverse outcomes observed in lower-volume hospitals deserves further investigation, as it does not appear to be due to differences in patient selection.  相似文献   

16.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Because recurrent strokes will tend to leave patients with greater disability than first strokes, patients with recurrent strokes should have poorer outcomes on average than those with first strokes. The extent of this difference has, however, not yet been estimated with precision. METHODS: Using a random 20% sample of Medicare patients aged 65 years and older admitted with a primary diagnosis of cerebral infarction during calendar year 1991, we used historical data from the previous 4 years to classify patients as having either first or recurrent stroke and followed survival and direct medical costs for 24 months after stroke. First and recurrent stroke groups were compared with the log-rank test (survival) and t test (cost) and also multivariate modeling. RESULTS: Survival from first stroke is consistently better than that for recurrent stroke: 24-month survival was 56.7% versus 48.3%, respectively. Costs were similar for the initial hospital stay and in months 1 to 3 after stroke. During months 4 to 24 after stroke, total costs were higher among those with recurrent stroke by approximately $375/mo across all patients, with this difference being greatest for younger patients and least for patients aged 80 years or older. Most of the difference in total monthly cost was attributable to nursing home utilization (averaging approximately $150/mo) and acute hospitalization (averaging approximately $120/mo). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with recurrent stroke have, on average, poorer outcomes than those with first stroke. To be as accurate as possible, clinical policy analyses should use different estimates of health and cost outcomes for first and recurrent stroke.  相似文献   

17.
BACKGROUND: Mortality and length of stay are frequently used as performance measures for hospitals. If they are valid measures, they should be reproducible from year to year with attributable variation rather than random variation. METHODS: We compared hospitals on 2 outcomes, mortality and length of stay, in pneumonia in Medicare patients. The database was from 20 Illinois hospitals with the largest number of discharges for diagnosis-related group 89 (pneumonia with complications/comorbidities) for the years 1989 through 1992. This comprised 16,249 claims for hospitalization in patients 65 years of age or older. RESULTS: The distributions showed trends toward lower mortality and shorter stays over the 4 years. Correlation of performance from year to year at each hospital for mortality was low with none of the calculated correlation coefficients significant at p < .05. Correlations for length of stay were higher (all coefficients significant at p < .01). For length of stay, the correlation between 1991 and 1992 was .766 (p < .00005, r2 = .587), showing that nearly 60% of differences (variance) were caused by differences in performance. In contrast, for mortality in 1991 and 1992, the correlation was .301 (p = .0986, r2 = .091), showing that less than 10% of differences (variance) between hospitals were caused by differences in performance. Similar results were obtained when the 20 hospitals were ranked and their rank correlations calculated. CONCLUSION: For pneumonia in Medicare patients, differences in length of stay between hospitals are caused by differences in performance, while differences in mortality are random.  相似文献   

18.
Overall mortality trends among an electric utility workforce are examined. The study cohort (n = 40,335) included all workers with at least 1 year of work experience from 1960-1991; 3,753 deaths were observed in this cohort. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and internal cohort analyses were used to assess mortality trends for the entire cohort and for specific occupational groups. Most SMRs were < or = 1.0 and were generally lower for noncancer (cardiovascular, COPD, and injuries) than for cancer mortality. Compared to office staff, rate ratios (RR) were higher for respiratory cancers for field staff [(RR = 2.3, 95% CI, 1.0-5.0) linecrew (RR = 2.2 95% CI, 1.5-3.1), and power plant occupations (RR = 2.4, 95% CI, 1.6-3.6)]. Nonmanagement occupations had rate ratios for motor vehicle injuries and all types of injuries, within a range of 2.5-4.7, with all lower CIs > 1.0. The healthy worker effect is an important factor in explaining the difference between SMR and internal cohort analyses results. The SMR results indicate that this workforce has lower rates for overall mortality, cardiovascular disease, cancer and nonintentional injury. A consistent finding in the internal cohort analyses that merits further research was higher mortality rates for respiratory cancer and injuries among nonoffice staff.  相似文献   

19.
PURPOSE: To test the hypothesis that cardiovascular mortality of Turkish nationals residing in West Germany (mainly former "guest workers" and their families) has been increasing over the past 15 years. Reasons would be their minority status and migration-related lifestyle changes. METHODS: Using registry data for the period 1981-1994, we calculated mortality rates from cardiovascular disease (CVD) (international classification of diseases (ICD) 390-459), ischemic heart disease (IHD) (ICD 410-414) and cerebrovascular disease (CVA) (ICD 430-438) of Turkish nationals aged 25-64 years and residing in West Germany, numbering 730,000 in 1981 and 941,000 in 1994. RESULTS: Between 1981 and 1994, age-adjusted CVD mortality rates (per 100,000) decline from 103 to 85 (-18%) in Turkish men and from 227 to 149 (-34%) in West German men. IHD mortality declines from 64 to 53 (-16%) in Turkish men and from 138 to 82 (-41%) in German men. CVD mortality of Turkish women remains around 45 while that of West German women declines from 84 to 57 (-33%). CONCLUSIONS: Our hypothesis was not confirmed. Turkish residents experience a stable or decreasing CVD and overall mortality which is lower than that of West Germans. Selective return to Turkey of individuals manifestly ill with CVD is improbable. Neither minority status nor a postulated unfavorable genetic disposition currently have a discernible effect on CVD mortality rates of Turkish residents. Future research should relate individual migration history, socio-economic status, and risk factor levels to mortality experience.  相似文献   

20.
OBJECTIVE: To study main factors determining medical decision in admitting patients with acute cerebrovascular disease (ACVD). PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is an observational and transversal study. We analyze a hospitalary cohort made by all consecutive patients with ACVD coming to Emergency Room to Hospital Universitario de la Princesa during 1 year. Neurologist on call made on his/her own decision to admit the patient to hospital. Clinical and epidemiological characteristics of those patients admitted with those who went home are compared. RESULTS: 517 patients were studied, 147 had transient ischemic attacks (TIA) and 370 had a stroke, 12.3% TIA and 68.4% stroke patients were hospitalized. Age, Canadian Stroke Scale (CSS) on admission, subtype of stroke, atrial fibrillation and abnormal EKG, old lesions in CT, previous TIA and/or CVD, diminished conscious level, orientation and language, sphincter control and evolution time greater than 48 hours were statistically significative in deciding admission. Logistic regression analysis (84.2% total predictive value) showed independent predictive value in age, CSS, previous CVD and some subtypes of stroke (ischemic non lacunar and hemorrhage). CONCLUSIONS: We hospitalize younger patients, with a worse clinical condition and overall hemorrhagic stroke. The percentage of admissions among TIA patients is low. On the other hand, date, time and physicians-team features do not affect the percentage of admissions.  相似文献   

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