Quantitative risk assessment on a gaseous hydrogen refueling station in Shanghai

The potential risk exposure of people for hydrogen refueling stations is often a critical factor to gain authority approval and public acceptance. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is often used to quantify the risk around hydrogen facilities and support the communication with authorities during the permitting process. This paper shows a case study on a gaseous hydrogen refueling station using QRA methodology. Risks to station personnel, to refueling customers and to third parties are evaluated respectively. Both individual risk measure and societal risk measure are used in risk assessment. Results show that the compressor leak is the main contributor to risks of all three parties. Elevating compressors can be considered as an effective mitigation measure to reduce occupational risks while setting enclosure around compressors cannot. Both measures are effective to reduce risks to customers. As for third parties, societal risks can be reduced to ALARP region by either elevating compressors or setting enclosure around compressors. External safety distance of compressors cannot be considerably reduced by elevation of compressors, but can significantly be reduced by setting compressor enclosure. However, safety distances of the station are not very sensitive to both mitigation measures.     

Risk analysis on mobile hydrogen refueling stations in Shanghai

To better understand the hazards and risks associated with the mobile hydrogen refueling stations, a risk analysis was preformed to improve the safety of the operation. The risks to the station personnel and to the public were discussed separately. Results show that the stationary risks of the mobile stations to the personnel and refueling customers are lower than the risk acceptance criteria over an order of magnitude, so the occupational risks and the risks to customers are completely acceptable. The third party risks can be acceptable as long as the appropriate mitigation measures, especially well designed parking area and operation time, are implemented. Leak from booster compressors is the main risk contributor to the stationary risks due to the highest failure rates according to the generic data and the worst harm effects based on the consequence evaluations. However, the failure of the tube storages will result in the largest financial loss, though the likelihood of this scenario is much less than that of failure from booster compressors. As for the road risks of the mobile stations, they can be acceptable as long as the appropriate mitigation measures, especially well-planned itinerary and transport time, are implemented.     

Quantitative risk assessment of an urban hydrogen refueling station

Hydrogen is one of important energy source in the next generation of renewable energy. It has powerful strength such as no emission from CO2 for fuel, Nevertheless, many countries have difficulties to expand hydrogen infra due to high risky from hydrogen. Especially, the hydrogen refueling station which is located in urban area has congested structure and high population around, it has higher risk than conventional refueling station. This paper presents a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of a high pressure hydrogen refueling station in an urban area with a large population and high congestion between the instruments and equipment. The results show that leaks from the tube-trailer and dispenser as well as potential explosion of the tube-trailer are the main risks. For the safety of the station operator, customers and people surrounding the refueling station, additional mitigation plans such as adding additional safety barrier system have to be implemented on the compressor and dispenser in order to prevent continuous release of hydrogen from an accident.     

Comparative risk study of hydrogen and gasoline dispensers for vehicles

This paper describes an investigation into the acceptability of installing hydrogen dispensers in public areas based on risk assessments. Because gasoline dispenser risks have been widely accepted for many years, they were used as a benchmark in this study to analyze the risks of hydrogen dispensers. More specifically, we performed risk assessments for both hydrogen and gasoline dispensers and then compared and analyzed the results. We began the process by creating models for both hydrogen and gasoline dispensers that represented their various specifications and elements. Next, potential accident scenarios for each dispenser model were identified by failure mode effect analysis (FMEA) and hazard and operability study (HAZOP). The risks of each scenario were then qualitatively evaluated and the results were organized into risk matrices. By comparing the results of both hydrogen and gasoline dispensers with and without existing safety measures, the appropriateness of their safety measures were validated. Furthermore, by comparing the results of hydrogen and gasoline dispenser safety measures, it was confirmed that the risk levels of the two types were practically equivalent. Therefore, we concluded that the risks involved with installing hydrogen dispensers in public areas can be considered acceptable.     

Manufacturing competitiveness analysis for hydrogen refueling stations

Fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) have now entered the market as zero-emission vehicles. Original equipment manufacturers such as Toyota, Honda, and Hyundai have released commercial cars in parallel with efforts focusing on the development of hydrogen refueling infrastructure to support new FCEV fleets. Persistent challenges for FCEVs include high initial vehicle cost and the availability of hydrogen stations to support FCEV fleets. This study sheds light on the factors that drive manufacturing competitiveness of the principal systems in hydrogen refueling stations, including compressors, storage tanks, precoolers, and dispensers. To explore major cost drivers and investigate possible cost reduction areas, bottom-up manufacturing cost models were developed for these systems. Results from these manufacturing cost models show there is substantial room for cost reductions through economies of scale, as fixed costs can be spread over more units. Results also show that purchasing larger quantities of commodity and purchased parts can drive significant cost reductions. Intuitively, these cost reductions will be reflected in lower hydrogen fuel prices. A simple cost analysis shows there is some room for cost reduction in the manufacturing cost of the hydrogen refueling station systems, which could reach 35% or more when achieving production rates of more than 100 units per year. We estimated the potential cost reduction in hydrogen compression, storage and dispensing as a result of capital cost reduction to reach 5% or more when hydrogen refueling station systems are produced at scale.     

An advanced framework for leakage risk assessment of hydrogen refueling stations using interval-valued spherical fuzzy sets (IV-SFS)

The extensive population growth calls for substantial studies on sustainable development in urban areas. Thus, it is vital for cities to be resilient to new situations and adequately manage the changes. Investing in renewable and green energy, including high-tech hydrogen infrastructure, is crucial for sustainable economic progress and for preserving environmental quality. However, implementing new technology needs an effective and efficient risk assessment investigation to minimize the risk to an acceptable level or ALARP (As low as reasonably practicable). The present study proposes an advanced decision-making framework to manage the risk of hydrogen refueling station leakage by adopting the Bow-tie analysis and Interval-Value Spherical Fuzzy Sets to properly deal with the subjectivity of the risk assessment process. The outcomes of the case study illustrate the causality of hydrogen refueling stations' undesired events and enhance the decision-maker's thoughts about risk management under uncertainty. According to the findings, jet fire is a more likely accident in the case of liquid hydrogen leakage. Furthermore, equipment failure has been recognized as the most likely cause of hydrogen leakage. Thus, in order to maintain the reliability of liquid hydrogen refueling stations, it is crucial that decision-makers develop a trustworthy safety management system that integrates a variety of risk mitigation measures including asset management strategies.     

Design of a hydrogen community

This paper discusses the conceptual design of a scalable and reproducible hydrogen fueling station at Santa Monica, California. Hydrogen production using renewable energy sources such as biogas, which accounts for 100% of the total production, has been discussed. The fueling station consists of a direct fuel cell (DFC) 300 fuel cell for on-site generation of 136 kg/day of hydrogen and 300 kW of electric power, five hydrogen storage tanks (storage capacity of 198 kg of H₂ at 350 and 700 bar), four compressors which assist in dispensing 400 kg of hydrogen in 14 h, two hydrogen dispensers operating at 350 bar and 700 bar independently and a SAE J2600 compliant hydrogen nozzle. Potential early market customers for hydrogen fuel cells and their daily fuel requirements have been computed. The safety codes, potential failure modes and the methods to mitigate risks have been explained. A well-to-wheel analysis is performed to compare the emissions and the total energy requirements of conventional gasoline and fuel cell vehicles.     

Queuing-based approach for optimal dispenser allocation to hydrogen refueling stations

Dispenser allocation to hydrogen refueling stations aims at minimizing the number of dispensers while ensuring satisfactory performance of vehicle queues during the peak hour of a peak day. A queuing model is developed in this study to evaluate the queuing performance at such stations by incorporating the statistical and thermodynamic characteristics of refueling. An optimization framework is proposed to determine the minimal number of dispensers required to meet the upper limits imposed on two important performance measures: mean waiting time and mean queue length. Reasonable upper limits are provided for 70 MPa stations according to the effects of dispenser allocation and station capacity on queuing performance. Server (dispenser nozzle) utilization under the optimal dispenser allocation generally increases with an increase in station size and tends to exceed 50% for large stations. The proposed approach can offer significant performance improvements for small stations and considerable savings in the number of dispensers for large ones.     

Quantitative risk assessment of a mobile hydrogen refueling station in Korea

Hydrogen infrastructure is expanding. Mobile hydrogen refueling stations are advantageous because they can be moved between locations to provide refueling. However, there are serious concerns over the risk of various accident scenarios as the refueling stations are transported. In this study, we conduct a quantitative risk assessment of a mobile hydrogen refueling station. Risks that may occur at two refueling locations and the transport path between them are analyzed. Our evaluation reveals that risks are mostly in an acceptable zone and to a lesser degree in a conditionally acceptable zone. The greatest single risk factor is an accident resulting from the rupture of the tube trailer at the refueling site. At sites with no tube trailer and during the transport, the risk is greatest from large leaks from the dispenser or compressed gas facility. The mobile hydrogen refueling station can be safely built within acceptable risk levels.     

Trade-off study between risk and benefit in safety devices for hydrogen refueling stations using a dynamic physical model

As hydrogen refueling stations become increasingly common, it is clear that a high level of economic efficiency and safety is crucial to promoting their use. One way to reduce costs is to use a simple orifice instead of an excess flow valve, which Japanese safety regulations have identified as a safety device. However, there is concern about its effect on refueling time and on risk due to hydrogen leakage. To clarify the effect, we did a study of model-based refueling time evaluation and quantitative risk assessment for a typical refueling station. This study showed that an orifice is an effective alternative safety device. The increase in refueling time was less than 10%, based on simulations using a dynamic physical model of the station. Neither was there a significant difference in the risk between a configuration with excess flow valves and one with an orifice.     

Impact of hydrogen refueling configurations and market parameters on the refueling cost of hydrogen

The cost of hydrogen in early fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV) markets is dominated by the cost of refueling stations, mainly due to the high cost of refueling equipment, small station capacities, lack of economies of scale, and low utilization of the installed refueling capacity. Using the hydrogen delivery scenario analysis model (HDSAM), this study estimates the impacts of these factors on the refueling cost for different refueling technologies and configurations, and quantifies the potential reduction in future hydrogen refueling cost compared to today's cost in the United States. The current hydrogen refueling station levelized cost, for a 200 kg/day dispensing capacity, is in the range of $6–$8/kg H₂ when supplied with gaseous hydrogen, and $8–$9/kg H₂ for stations supplied with liquid hydrogen. After adding the cost of hydrogen production, packaging, and transportation to the station's levelized cost, the current cost of hydrogen at dispensers for FCEVs in California is in the range of $13–$15/kg H₂. The refueling station capacity utilization strongly influences the hydrogen refueling cost. The underutilization of station capacity in early FCEV markets, such as in California, results in a levelized station cost that is approximately 40% higher than it would be in a scenario where the station had been fully utilized since it began operating. In future mature hydrogen FCEV markets, with a large demand for hydrogen, the refueling station's levelized cost can be reduced to $2/kg H₂ as a result of improved capacity utilization and reduced equipment cost via learning and economies of scale.     

Harm effect distances evaluation of severe accidents for gaseous hydrogen refueling station

With the development of large-scale fell cell vehicle demonstration project worldwide, the global number of hydrogen refueling stations has increased rapidly in recent years. The external safety of hydrogen refueling stations has always been a public concern for its further development. This paper examines the harm effect distances of severe accidents for a gaseous hydrogen refueling station. First, different accident scenarios are assumed and their subsequent consequences are calculated, including physical explosion, jet fire, flash fire and confined vapor cloud explosion. Results show that physical explosion and worst case of confined vapor cloud explosion produce the longest harm effect distances for instantaneous release and continuous release, respectively. This indicates that they may be used as decisive consequences to the determination of safe distances. Second, the influences of different factors on harm effect distances are investigated, including those of release inventory, release pressure, release height, release angle, release diameter and wind velocity. Then, based on these results, several potential hazard mitigation measures are proposed such as elevating hydrogen equipment, using smaller vessel and adopting smaller pipe work, if reasonably practicable.     

Quantitative risk assessment using a Japanese hydrogen refueling station model

Although hydrogen refueling stations (HRSs) are becoming widespread across Japan and are essential for the operation of fuel cell vehicles, they present potential hazards. A large number of accidents such as explosions or fires have been reported, rendering it necessary to conduct a number of qualitative and quantitative risk assessments for HRSs. Current safety codes and technical standards related to Japanese HRSs have been established based on the results of a qualitative risk assessment and quantitative effectiveness validation of safety measures over ten years ago. In the last decade, there has been much development in the technologies of the components or facilities used in domestic HRSs and much operational experience as well as knowledge to use hydrogen in HRSs safely have been gained through years of commercial operation. The purpose of the present study is to conduct a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of the latest HRS model representing Japanese HRSs with the most current information and to identify the most significant scenarios that pose the greatest risks to the physical surroundings in the HRS model. The results of the QRA show that the risk contours of 10^?3 and 10^?4 per year were confined within the HRS boundaries, whereas the risk contours of 10^?5 and 10^?6 per year are still present outside the HRS. Comparing the breakdown of the individual risks (IRs) at the risk ranking points, we conclude that the risk of jet fire demonstrates the highest contribution to the risks at all of the risk ranking points and outside the station. To reduce these risks and confine the risk contour of 10^?6 per year within the HRS boundaries, it is necessary to consider risk mitigation measures for jet fires.     

Comparative risk assessment of liquefied and gaseous hydrogen refueling stations

Several countries are incentivizing the use of hydrogen (H₂) fuel cell vehicles, thereby increasing the number of H₂ refueling stations (HRSs), particularly in urban areas with high population density and heavy traffic. Therefore, it is necessary to assess the risks of gaseous H₂ refueling stations (GHRSs) and liquefied H₂ refueling stations (LHRSs). This study aimed to perform a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of GHRSs and LHRSs. A comparative study is performed to enhance the decision-making of engineers in setting safety goals and defining design options. A systematic QRA approach is proposed to estimate the likelihood and consequences of hazardous events occurring at HRSs. Consequence analysis results indicate that catastrophic ruptures of tube trailer and liquid hydrogen storage tanks are the worst accidents, as they cause fires and explosions. An assessment of individual and societal risks indicates that LHRSs present a lower hazard risk than GHRSs. However, both station types require additional safety barrier devices for risk reduction, such as detachable couplings, hydrogen detection sensors, and automatic and manual emergency shutdown systems, which are required for risk acceptance.     

Quantitative risk assessment of the interior of a hydrogen refueling station considering safety barrier systems

A quantitative risk assessment of human life during the operation of a hydrogen refueling station (HRS) is conducted. We calculate the risks for three accident scenarios: a hydrogen leak from the external piping surrounding a dispenser, a hydrogen leak from an accumulator connection piping and a hydrogen leak from a compressor/connection piping in the HRS. We first calculate the probability of accident by multiplying the estimated leak frequency with the incident occurrence probability considering the ignition probability and failure probability of the safety barrier systems obtained through event tree analysis for each scenario. We next simulate the blast and flame effects of the ignition of concentration fields formed by hydrogen leakage. We then use existing probit functions to estimate the consequences of eardrum rupture, fatalities due to displacement by the blast wave, fatalities due to head injuries, first-degree burns, second-degree burns, and fatal burn injuries by accident scenario, leak size, and incident event, and we estimate the risk distribution in 1-m cells. We finally assess the risk reduction effects of barrier placement and the distance to the dispenser and quantify the risk level that HRSs can achieve under existing law. Quantitative risk assessment reveals that the risk for a leak near the dispenser is less than 10⁻⁶ per year outside a distance of 6 m to the dispenser. The risk for a leak near the accumulators and compressors exceeds 10⁻⁴ per year within a distance of 10 m from the ignition point. A separation of 6 m to the dispenser and a barrier height of 3 m keep the fatal risk from burns to the workers, consumers and residents and passersby below the acceptable level of risk. Our results therefore show that current laws sufficiently mitigate the risks posed by HRSs and open up the possibility for a regulatory review.     

Safety investigation of hydrogen energy storage systems using quantitative risk assessment

Hydrogen energy storage systems are expected to play a key role in supporting the net zero energy transition. Although the storage and utilization of hydrogen poses critical risks, current hydrogen energy storage system designs are primarily driven by cost considerations to achieve economic benefits without safety considerations. This paper aims to study the safety of hydrogen storage systems by conducting a quantitative risk assessment to investigate the effect of hydrogen storage systems design parameters such as storage size, mass flow rate, storage pressure and storage temperature. To this end, the quantitative risk assessment procedure, which includes data collection and hazard identification, frequency analysis, consequence analysis and risk analysis, was carried out for the hydrogen storage system presented in a previous study [1]. In the consequence analysis, the Millers model and TNO multi-energy were used to model the jet fire and explosion hazards, respectively. The results show that the storage capacity and pressure have the greatest influence on the hydrogen storage system risk assessment. More significantly, the design parameters may affect the acceptance criteria based on the gaseous hydrogen standard. In certain cases of large storage volume or high storage pressure, risk mitigation measures must be implemented since the risk of the hydrogen storage system is unacceptable in accordance with ISO 19880-1. The study highlights the significance of risk analysis conduction and the importance of considering costs associated with risk mitigation in the design of hydrogen storage system.     

Multi-objective and multi-period hydrogen refueling station location problem

Creating a distribution network and establishing refueling stations arises as an important problem in order to meet the refueling needs of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. In this study, a multi-objective and multi-period hydrogen refueling station location problem that can take into account long-term planning decisions is proposed. Firstly, single objective mathematical models are proposed for the problem by addressing the cost, risk and population convergence objectives. Afterwards, a goal programming model is proposed and the results that will arise when three objectives are taken into consideration at the same time are examined. A risk analysis approach applied for each location alternative is considered in order to handle risk concerns about the hydrogen refueling station settlement. A case study is conducted in Adana, one of the crowded cities in Turkey, to determine the long-term location network plan. Covered population, operational risk and earthquake risks are used as input of the risk analysis method. The case study results show that the goal programming model covers the area with 77 hydrogen refueling stations by different types and capacities during the years from 2020 to 2030. In addition, a computational study is carried out with different alternative scenarios (different number of consumption nodes and all parameters in the model). The computational study results show that the highest deviations from the optimal solution on the model are observed in the distances between consumption nodes and targeted service area parameters which affect about 50% of absolute deviations on average. According to results, the proposed approach selects the station location suitable for the expected changes over the years.     

Improved safety by crossanalyzing quantitative risk assessment of hydrogen refueling stations

With the goal of building 310 hydrogen refueling stations (HRSs) in Korea by 2022, restrictions, such as location restrictions and separation distances, are being eased, so developing ways to improve technology and safety. As HRSs contain major facilities such as compressors, storage tanks, dispenser, and priority control panels, and a leakage could result in a large fire or explosion caused by an ignition source. To perform quantitative risk assessment, programs, namely, Hy-KoRAM and Phast/Safeti were used in this study. It could determine the damage range and effect on radiant heat and flame length, as well as personal and societal risks, using these programs. The crossanalysis of the two programs also improves the facility's safety and the reliability of the results.     

Proposed model of potential accident process at hydrogen refueling stations based on multi-level variable weight fuzzy Petri net

Hydrogen is becoming more popular as a fuel for vehicles. It is stored and dispensed at hydrogen refueling stations. Once the hydrogen in hydrogen refueling stations leaks, it easily forms a combustible cloud, and can explode by encountering a spark. It is therefore important for the safe and stable operation of hydrogen refueling stations to analyze the evolution of a leakage and explosion accident, clarify the causes and processes of the accident, and prevent the spread of risks. This paper proposes a model using multi-level variable weight fuzzy Petri net. On the basis of hierarchical consideration of the development of the accident, it adds a variable weight factor, which can quantify information in the development of the accident. According to the calculated results, the evolutionary path of risk and the most likely initial cause of the accident are deduced. Finally, taking the leakage and explosion accident of an urban hydrogen refueling station as an example, the usability and effectiveness of the model are verified.     

Analysis of customer queuing at hydrogen stations

An analysis is presented of service rates at nineteen retail hydrogen stations in a heavily-used California network to gain insight into station capacity impacts on customer wait times. Each station has only one fueling position resulting from just one, one-sided dispenser. Collected data of each refueling step for 1000's of hydrogen refuelings in California provides insight into station and network capacity for both California and emerging infrastructure elsewhere. The analysis herein concludes that customers would be exponentially better served with a network of larger, multi-position stations instead of smaller, one position stations.