经验模式分解与时间序列分析在网络流量预测中的应用

提出一种经验模式分解和时间序列分析的网络流量预测方法. 首先,对网络流量时间序列进行经验模式分解,产生高低频分量和余量;然后,对各分量进行时间序列分析,确保高频分量采用改进和声搜索算法优化的最小二乘支持向量机模型、低频分量和余量采用差分自回归滑动平均模型进行建模和预测;最后,将预测结果通过RBF神经网络进行非线性叠加,得到最终的预测值.仿真实验表明,所提出方法具有更好的预测效果和更高的预测精度.     

A Fuzzy Inference Network Model for Search Strategy Using Neural Logic Network

In this paper, a fuzzy inference network model for search strategy using neural logic network is presented. The model describes search strategy, and neural logic network is used to search. Fuzzy logic can bring about appropriate inference results by ignoring some information in the reasoning process. Neural logic networks are powerful tools for the reasoning process but not appropriate for the logical reasoning. To model human knowledge, besides the reasoning process capability, the logical reasoning capability is equally important. Another new neural network called neural logic network is able to do the logical reasoning. Because the fuzzy inference is a fuzzy logical reasoning, we construct a fuzzy inference network model based on the neural logic network, extending the existing rule inference network. And the traditional propagation rule is modified.     

心电图的智能识别技术

模糊逻辑、神经网络是人工智能的重要分支,它们从不同角度、在一定程度上模拟了人类智能。本文先后将模糊逻辑、神经网络以及模糊神经网络技术用于心电图识别,获得了良好的效果。在模糊识别方面,从模糊识别矩阵的建立到模糊输入向量的确定,是针对此类具体问题的多传感器模糊信息融合算法,既综合考虑了各输入变量的作用,又突出了识别的主要依据。本文还给出了神经网络识别的三种试验结果及其与模糊神经网络识别的对比。模糊神经网络既充分发挥了神经网络的学习功能,又充分发挥了模糊逻辑的推理功能,因此具有很高的识别精度。     

SoHyFIS-Yager: A self-organizing Yager based Hybrid neural Fuzzy Inference System

The Hybrid neural Fuzzy Inference System (HyFIS) is a multilayer adaptive neural fuzzy system for building and optimizing fuzzy models using neural networks. In this paper, the fuzzy Yager inference scheme, which is able to emulate the human deductive reasoning logic, is integrated into the HyFIS model to provide it with a firm and intuitive logical reasoning and decision-making framework. In addition, a self-organizing gaussian Discrete Incremental Clustering (gDIC) technique is implemented in the network to automatically form fuzzy sets in the fuzzification phase. This clustering technique is no longer limited by the need to have prior knowledge about the number of clusters present in each input and output dimensions. The proposed self-organizing Yager based Hybrid neural Fuzzy Inference System (SoHyFIS-Yager) introduces the learning power of neural networks to fuzzy logic systems, while providing linguistic explanations of the fuzzy logic systems to the connectionist networks. Extensive simulations were conducted using the proposed model and its performance demonstrates its superiority as an effective neuro-fuzzy modeling technique.     

财务困境预警的二阶段模型构建与应用

模糊神经网络汇集神经网络和模糊逻辑的优点,能有效避免神经网络的“黑箱”操作,但存在“维数爆炸”现象。将粗糙集和模糊神经网络有机集成,构建财务困境预警的二阶段模型：第一阶段利用粗糙集知识约简对数据集降维消冗,提取最优指标集;第二阶段以最优指标集设计基于模糊神经网络的财务困境预警模型。该模型融合粗糙集和模糊神经网络的特点,能提高网络结构的精练性、启发性和透明性。应用实例的结果表明该模型能有效克服“维数灾难”,避免数据噪声引起的模型过度适应,提高模型预测准确性。     

A novel hybrid artificial intelligent approach based on neural fuzzy inference model and particle swarm optimization for horizontal displacement modeling of hydropower dam

Horizontal displacement of hydropower dams is a typical nonlinear time-varying behavior that is difficult to forecast with high accuracy. This paper proposes a novel hybrid artificial intelligent approach, namely swarm optimized neural fuzzy inference system (SONFIS), for modeling and forecasting of the horizontal displacement of hydropower dams. In the proposed model, neural fuzzy inference system is used to create a regression model whereas Particle swarm optimization is employed to search the best parameters for the model. In this work, time series monitoring data (horizontal displacement, air temperature, upstream reservoir water level, and dam aging) measured for 11 years (1999–2010) of the Hoa Binh hydropower dam were selected as a case study. The data were then split into a ratio of 70:30 for developing and validating the hybrid model. The performance of the resulting model was assessed using RMSE, MAE, and R ². Experimental results show that the proposed SONFIS model performed well on both the training and validation datasets. The results were then compared with those derived from current state-of-the-art benchmark methods using the same data, such as support vector regression, multilayer perceptron neural networks, Gaussian processes, and Random forests. In addition, results from a Different evolution-based neural fuzzy model are included. Since the performance of the SONFIS model outperforms these benchmark models with the monitoring data at hand, the proposed model, therefore, is a promising tool for modeling horizontal displacement of hydropower dams.

     

基于UKF的增长型模糊神经网络设计

为了实现模糊神经网络结构和参数的同时调整,提出一种基于无迹卡尔曼滤波(UKF)的增长型模糊神经网络(UKF-GFNN).首先,利用UKF对模糊神经网络的参数进行调整;然后,设计一种基于隐含层神经元输出强度的模糊规则增长机制,实现模糊神经网络的结构增长;最后,将所提出的增长型模糊神经网络应用于非线性系统建模.实验结果显示,基于UKF的增长型模糊神经网络能够实现结构和参数的自校正,并且具有较高的建模精度.     

模糊神经网络在纳税信用评估中的应用研究

由于纳税评估过程中存在不精确、模糊以及冗余信息,传统评估模型多数采用经验法和比较法,缺乏科学性和公正性,评估结果正确率低。为了提高纳税信用等级评估的正确率,提出了一种采用模糊神经网络的纳税信用等级评估模型。首先利用模糊逻辑推理对纳税评估过程中的不精确、模糊的信息进行有效的处理,然后利用训练数据对神经网络模型进行训练学习,获得纳税评估指标和信用等级间的评估模型,最后通过利用测试集对模型进行验证,结果表明,模糊神经网络方法提高了纳税信用等级评估的正确率,为税收信用评估提供有效的依据。     

Rough Neural Network Based on Bottom-Up Fuzzy Rough Data Analysis

Based on bottom-up fuzzy rough data analysis, a new rough neural network decision-making model is proposed. Through supervised Gaustafason–Kessel (G–K) clustering algorithm, proper fuzzy clusters are found to partition the input data space. At the same time cluster number is searched by monotone increasing process. If the cluster number matches with that exactly exist in data sets then excellent fuzzy rough data modeling (FRDM) model can be built. And by integrating it with neural network technique, corresponding rough neural network is constructed. Our method overcomes the defects of conventional top-down based rough logic neural network (RLNN) method, and it also achieves adaptive learning ability and comprehensive soft decision-making ability compared with FRDM model. The experiment results indicate that our method has stronger generalization ability and more compact network structure than conventional RLNN.     

Applying a general regression neural network for predicting development effort of short-scale programs

Software development effort prediction is considered in several international software processes as the Capability Maturity Model-Integrated (CMMi), by ISO-15504 as well as by ISO/IEC 12207. In this paper, data of two kinds of lines of code gathered from programs developed with practices based on the Personal Software Process (PSP) were used as independent variables in three models for estimating and predicting the development effort. Samples of 163 and 80 programs were used for verifying and validating, respectively, the models. The prediction accuracy comparison among a multiple linear regression, a general regression neural network, and a fuzzy logic model was made using as criteria the magnitude of error relative to the estimate (MER) and mean square error (MSE). Results accepted the following hypothesis: effort prediction accuracy of a general regression neural network is statistically equal than those obtained by a fuzzy logic model as well as by a multiple linear regression, when new and change code and reused code obtained from short-scale programs developed with personal practices are used as independent variables.     

A novel fuzzy logic system based on N-version programming

For the consideration of different application systems, modeling the fuzzy logic rule, and deciding the shape of membership functions are very critical issues due to they play key roles in the design of fuzzy logic control system. This paper proposes a novel design methodology of fuzzy logic control system using the neural network and fault-tolerant approaches. The connectionist architecture with the learning capability of neural network and N-version programming development of a fault-tolerant technique are implemented in the proposed fuzzy logic control system. In other words, this research involves the modeling of parameterized membership functions and the partition of fuzzy linguistic variables using neural networks trained by the unsupervised learning algorithms. Based on the self-organizing algorithm, the membership function and partition of fuzzy class are not only derived automatically, but also the preconditions of fuzzy IF-THEN rules are organized. We also provide two examples, pattern recognition and tendency prediction, to demonstrate that the proposed system has a higher computational performance and its parallel architecture supports noise-tolerant capability. This generalized scheme is very satisfactory for pattern recognition and tendency prediction problems     

Lugre摩擦模型的模糊神经网络辨识仿真研究

LuGre模型是典型伺服系统的摩擦模型,该模型能够准确地描述伺服系统摩擦过程复杂的动静态特性.模糊神经网络已成为模糊逻辑和神经网络研究最前沿的课题之一.模糊神经网络同时具有神经网络和模糊逻辑的优点.针对伺服系统所面临的摩擦问题,以低速伺服系统为对象,建立伺服系统的LuGre摩擦模型,采用模糊神经网络进行非线性在线辨识.仿真结果表明,采用模糊神经方法建立对非线性对象的辨识器,具有较高的辨识精度.     

Neural network based adaptive fuzzy PID-type sliding mode attitude control for a reentry vehicle

This work investigates the attitude control of reentry vehicle under modeling inaccuracies and external disturbances. A robust adaptive fuzzy PID-type sliding mode control (AFPID-SMC) is designed with the utilization of radial basis function (RBF) neural network. In order to improve the transient performance and ensure small steady state tracking error, the gain parameters of PID-type sliding mode manifold are adjusted online by using adaptive fuzzy logic system (FLS). Additionally, the designed new adaptive law can ensure that the closed-loop system is asymptotically stable. Meanwhile, the problem of the actuator saturation, caused by integral term of sliding mode manifold, is avoided even under large initial tracking error. Furthermore, to eliminate the need of a priori knowledge of the disturbance upper bound, RBF neural network observer is used to estimate the disturbance information. The stability of the closed-loop system is proved via Lyapunov direct approach. Finally, the numerical simulations verify that the proposed controller is better than conventional PID-type SMC in terms of improving the transient performance and robustness.

     

神经网络和模糊逻辑在基于Agent的Web搜索系统中的应用研究

文章提出了一种利用神经网络和模糊理论技术的多Agent信息查找方法。它利用神经网络的方法自动地处理基于Agent的信息搜索和选择,利用模糊逻辑的理论处理Agent间通信和协作过程的不确定性和灵活性。该方法有效地增强了Web中信息搜索的精确性。     

Evolutionary fuzzy clustering and functional modular neural network-based human recognition

Computational intelligence shows its ability for solving many real-world problems efficiently. Synergism of fuzzy logic, evolutionary computation, and neural network can lead to development of a computational efficient and performance-rich system. In this paper, we propose a new approach for solving the human recognition problem that is the fusion of evolutionary fuzzy clustering and functional modular neural networks (FMNN). Evolutionary searching technique is applied for finding the optimal number of clusters that are generated through fuzzy clustering. The functional modular neural network has been used for recognition process that is evaluated with the help of integration based on combining the outcomes of FMNN. Performance of the proposed technique has been empirically evaluated and analyzed with the help of different parameters.

     

模糊组合神经网络智能选股模型的建立

针对传统的股票市场预测模型,为了准确地预测股票价格趋势、为广大投资者规避风险,应用模糊逻辑和组合神经网络,利用贝叶斯统计学与组合理论使二者有机结合,提出一种股票市场建模及预测方法。组合神经网络结合BP网络和径向基函数网络(RBF),神经元模糊系统有更强的学习和推理机制,能避免黑箱问题。实证研究结果表明,该方法有较高的预测精度和更好的稳定性。     

基于ANFIS的非线性电机系统的建模

将一种神经—模糊结构—自适应神经模糊推理系统 (简称ANFIS)用于非线性电机系统的建模 ,获得了一个良好的大范围的全局非线性模型 ,同时 ,通过与反向传播网络建模结果的性能对比 ,说明ANFIS在参数收敛速度及建模精度上的优越性。显示出ANFIS是非线性系统的建模、辨识的有力工具     

Fuzzy wavelet neural network based on fuzzy clustering and gradient techniques for time series prediction

This paper presents the development of fuzzy wavelet neural network system for time series prediction that combines the advantages of fuzzy systems and wavelet neural network. The structure of fuzzy wavelet neural network (FWNN) is proposed, and its learning algorithm is derived. The proposed network is constructed on the base of a set of TSK fuzzy rules that includes a wavelet function in the consequent part of each rule. A fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm is implemented to generate the rules, that is the structure of FWNN prediction model, automatically, and the gradient-learning algorithm is used for parameter identification. The use of fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm with the gradient algorithm allows to improve convergence of learning algorithm. FWNN is used for modeling and prediction of complex time series and prediction of foreign-exchange rates. Exchange rates are dynamic process that changes every day and have high-order nonlinearity. The statistical data for the last 2 years are used for the development of FWNN prediction model. Effectiveness of the proposed system is evaluated with the results obtained from the simulation of FWNN-based systems and with the comparative simulation results of previous related models.     

一种基于模糊B样条基函数神经网络控制的磨削加工系统

本文将模糊控制与神经网络相结合。用神经网络来实现模糊推理,提出了一种把B样条函数作为隶属函数的模糊神经网络,并将之用于磨削加工的质量控制。仿真结果表明,该系统具有响应快、稳态精度高、鲁棒性强等优点,能很好地应用于磨削加工的质量控制。     

Reconstructing gene regulatory networks with a memetic-neural hybrid based on fuzzy cognitive maps

Reconstructing gene regulatory networks (GRNs) plays an important role in identifying the complicated regulatory relationships, uncovering regulatory patterns in cells, and gaining a systematic view for biological processes. In order to reconstruct large-scale GRNs accurately, in this paper, we first use fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs), which are a kind of cognition fuzzy influence graphs based on fuzzy logic and neural networks, to model GRNs. Then, a novel hybrid method is proposed to reconstruct GRNs from time series expression profiles using memetic algorithm (MA) combined with neural network (NN), which is labeled as MANN_FCM-GRN. In MANN_FCM-GRN, the MA is used to determine regulatory connections in GRNs and the NN is used to determine the interaction strength of the regulatory connections. In the experiments, the performance of MANN_FCM-GRN is validated on both synthetic data and the benchmark dataset DREAM3 and DREAM4. The experimental results demonstrate the efficacy of MANN_FCM-GRN and show that MANN_FCM-GRN can reconstruct GRNs with high accuracy without expert knowledge. The comparison with existing algorithms also shows that MANN_FCM-GRN outperforms ant colony optimization, non-linear Hebbian learning, and real-coded genetic algorithms.