Consistent identification of Wiener systems: A machine learning viewpoint

Wiener system identification has been recently performed by adopting a Bayesian semiparametric approach. In this framework, the linear system entering the first block is given a finite-dimensional parametrization, while nonparametric Gaussian regression is used to estimate the static nonlinearity in the second block. In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of this estimator when the number of noisy output samples tends to infinity without assuming the correctness of the Bayesian prior models. For this purpose, we interpret Wiener identification under a machine learning perspective. This allows us to extend recent results on function estimation in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces to derive a condition guaranteeing the statistical consistency of the identification procedure. We also discuss how the violation of such a condition can lead to useless estimates of the Wiener structure.     

A new kernel-based approach for linear system identification

This paper describes a new kernel-based approach for linear system identification of stable systems. We model the impulse response as the realization of a Gaussian process whose statistics, differently from previously adopted priors, include information not only on smoothness but also on BIBO-stability. The associated autocovariance defines what we call a stable spline kernel. The corresponding minimum variance estimate belongs to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space which is spectrally characterized. Compared to parametric identification techniques, the impulse response of the system is searched for within an infinite-dimensional space, dense in the space of continuous functions. Overparametrization is avoided by tuning few hyperparameters via marginal likelihood maximization. The proposed approach may prove particularly useful in the context of robust identification in order to obtain reduced order models by exploiting a two-step procedure that projects the nonparametric estimate onto the space of nominal models. The continuous-time derivation immediately extends to the discrete-time case. On several continuous- and discrete-time benchmarks taken from the literature the proposed approach compares very favorably with the existing parametric and nonparametric techniques.     

Prediction error identification of linear systems: A nonparametric Gaussian regression approach

A novel Bayesian paradigm for the identification of output error models has recently been proposed in which, in place of postulating finite-dimensional models of the system transfer function, the system impulse response is searched for within an infinite-dimensional space. In this paper, such a nonparametric approach is applied to the design of optimal predictors and discrete-time models based on prediction error minimization by interpreting the predictor impulse responses as realizations of Gaussian processes. The proposed scheme describes the predictor impulse responses as the convolution of an infinite-dimensional response with a low-dimensional parametric response that captures possible high-frequency dynamics. Overparameterization is avoided because the model involves only a few hyperparameters that are tuned via marginal likelihood maximization. Numerical experiments, with data generated by ARMAX and infinite-dimensional models, show the definite advantages of the new approach over standard parametric prediction error techniques and subspace methods both in terms of predictive capability on new data and accuracy in reconstruction of system impulse responses.