考虑损失厌恶和锚定心理的供应链订货与协调

为更合理地实现供应链协调的整体最优绩效,以具有损失厌恶和锚定心理的零售商和风险中性的供应商组成的两级供应链为研究对象,探讨回购契约下的供应链订货及协调情况。建立集中和分散决策下考虑零售商损失厌恶和锚定心理的回购契约协调模型,分析了零售商最优订货量与批发价格、回购价格之间的关系,以及各契约参数对回购价格和各节点利润的影响,并给出了供应链实现协调需要达成的条件。结果表明,当零售商订购的产品为高利润产品时,能够实现供应链整体最优绩效,达到供应链协调,且利润在供应链双方之间的分配随着批发和回购价格的提升而向供应商倾斜,但零售商损失厌恶和锚定心理的加深会使得供应商提升回购价格,使整体供应链的利润下降,成本费用增加。     

损失厌恶下考虑参照利润效应的供应链决策模型

针对由一个风险中性供应商和一个损失厌恶零售商构成的二级供应链,研究随机需求下考虑零售商参照利润效应的供应链决策问题.在回购政策下,建立以供应商为主方、零售商为从方的Stackelberg主从博弈模型.结合参照依赖偏好模型分别得到集中和分散供应链决策,分析供应链最优决策与损失厌恶程度、参照利润强度和零售商乐观水平之间的关系,并进一步设计能够实现供应链完美协调的回购契约机制.研究结果表明,在集中和分散供应链决策下,零售商订货量均随着损失厌恶和乐观程度的增加而减少.而当零售商损失厌恶程度较低时,订货量随参照利润强度的增加而增加;反之,亦成立.对于批发价格决策,则存在一个阈值,当高于该阈值时,批发价格随着零售商损失厌恶、乐观程度和参照利润强度的增大而增加;低于该阈值时,批发价格随着损失厌恶、乐观程度和参照利润强度的增大而降低.     

On coordination under random yield and random demand

This paper analyzes coordination in a supply chain with random yield and random demand (SCRYRD). We study wholesale price, buy-back, revenue share, quantity discount and quantity flexibility contracts. We show that the randomness in the yield does not change the coordination ability of the contracts but affects the values of the contract parameters. In particular, all contracts are shown to coordinate the supply chain under voluntary compliance except the wholesale price contract. We also provide a sensitivity analysis of the optimal policy parameters to the cost and demand parameters.     

Contract analysis: A performance measures and profit evaluation within two-echelon supply chains

Coordination is regarded as key in managing dependencies between distinctive members of a supply chain through the benefits of coordination mechanisms. Such coordination mechanisms are contracts, implemented to increase total supply chain profit, reduce costs and share risk among supply chain members. However, by contract implementation the retailer is constrained in his purchase by bearing the entire risk of holding the inventory (wholesale price contract) or by limited risk allocated to the supplier (buyback, revenue sharing and quantity flexibility contracts). By implementing an advanced purchase system the risk of inventory is fairly divided between the supplier and the retailer. In order to observe inventory implications on the supply chain bottom line, this article is directed towards the evaluation of performance measures and supply chain profit behavior under buyback, revenue sharing, quantity flexibility and advanced purchase discount contracts versus no coordination and wholesale price systems.     

Contract efficiency for a decentralized supply chain in the presence of quality improvement

In this paper, we study a joint pricing and product quality decision problem in a decentralized supply chain consisting of one manufacturer and one retailer. Although the manufacturer decides the product quality with an associated cost, the retailer decides the retail price. We aim to study and compare different contract formats for this decentralized supply chain. There is a trade‐off in the choice of contracts: simpler format contract (with a few parameters) is less complicated, but the contract efficiency is low. We start with the simplest one‐parameter contract: a wholesale price contract that serves as the benchmark. We then study how contract efficiency can be improved by adding one more parameter. Specifically, we consider three two‐parameter contracts that are commonly used in reality: two‐part tariff contract, revenue‐sharing contract, and effort cost sharing contract. We find that the contract efficiency is improved under all the three contracts, but in different ways: the improvement in contract efficiency under each of them dominates the other two when manufacturer's quality improvement effectiveness is relatively low, moderate, and high, respectively. Furthermore, through numerical examples, we find that under some cases, a choice from these three two‐parameter contracts can achieve a close‐to‐perfect efficiency (>85%). Finally, we investigate whether a combination of the three two‐parameter contracts can achieve coordination. Interestingly, we find that only the combination of effort cost sharing contract and revenue‐sharing contract can achieve coordination, whereas combinations of either of them and two‐part tariff contract cannot.     

带有风险规避型销售商的供需链协调

以一个两阶段的供需链系统为背景，针对供需链上决策激励不一致和风险规避效应导致供需链低效的问题，研究了在实践中广泛应用的利益共享合同和批量折扣合同对供需链协调性的影响．证明了两种合同均可克服双重边际效应和风险规避效应，使得供需链协调．并给出了合同参数的设计方案，同时指出在实施上，利益共享合同需强制执行，批量折扣合同自动执行．     

Optimal apparel supplier selection with forecast updates under carbon emission taxation scheme

Carbon emission tax is an important measure for sustainable supply chain management. This paper studies an optimal supplier selection problem in the fashion apparel supply chain in the presence of carbon emission tax. We consider the scenario in which there are multiple suppliers in the market. In the basic model, each supplier offers a supply lead time and a wholesale pricing contract to the fashion retail buyer. For the fashion retail buyer, the supplier which offers a shorter lead time allows it to postpone the ordering decision with updated and better forecast, and also a smaller carbon tax. However, the wholesale price is usually larger. We propose a two-phase optimal supplier selection scheme in which phase one filters the inferior suppliers and phase two helps to select the best supplier among the set of non-inferior suppliers by multi-stage stochastic dynamic programming. The impacts brought by different formats of carbon emission tax are explored. Finally, we examine an extended model in which there is a local supplier who offers a buyback contract and accepts product returns. Insights from the analysis are discussed.     

需求不确定性对混合条件风险价值约束供应链系统的影响

运用随机占优研究风险偏好和需求不确定性对混合条件风险价值约束供应链系统的影响.证明在批发价和收益共享契约下零售商的最优订货量和利润随风险偏好系数的增加而减小;只有在零售商为风险追求型时,批发价契约才能实现供应链协调;无论零售商的风险偏好如何,收益共享契约都能实现供应链协调.在收益共享契约下,随机大需求将导致零售商获得较高的最优利润;当零售商为风险中性或风险厌恶时,其最优利润随需求可变性的增加而减少.     

需求和价格同时波动零售商损失厌恶的应急数量弹性契约

针对零售商为损失厌恶者的二级供应链, 考虑突发事件导致商品市场需求和市场价格均随机波动, 分别构建应急数量弹性契约的集中和分散决策模型, 得出突发事件下供应链系统实现协调的最优决策, 并探讨契约弹性幅度、批发价和损失厌恶程度的变化对于零售商最优订货策略和供应链上各成员利润的影响. 研究结果表明, 在合理的区间范围内调整契约弹性幅度和批发价均能使得突发事件下的供应链协调发展. 最后通过算例验证了所得结论的正确性.     

考虑处理基金和回收品质量的闭环供应链决策

为解决废弃电子产品处理基金政策和回收品质量不确定性对闭环供应链决策及协调的影响问题,运用博弈论和MATLAB数值仿真的方法,构建合作与非合作决策博弈模型,研究了两种情况下处理基金和回收品质量对销售及回收价格、批发价格、回收数量、供应链节点企业及整体利润的影响。结果表明,处理基金能够以价格形式传递到消费者,并提高销售价格、回收价格、回收数量和供应链整体利润;回收品质量提升对批发价格和销售价格无影响,但能增加回收数量和供应链利润;合作决策比非合作决策对企业、消费者及生态保护都更有利;价格契约和利润分享机制结合可以有效实现供应链协调。     

基于成本共担契约的生鲜供应链保鲜努力机制

研究由一个供应商与一个零售商组成的生鲜供应链,在分散式决策与集中式决策下的最优保鲜努力水平.考虑两类成本共担契约方式:一类为零售商单独提供成本共担契约的方式,另一类为供应商与零售商二者博弈制定成本共担契约的方式;同时,比较两类成本共担契约对供应链整体保鲜努力水平的影响.结果表明,成本共担契约对生鲜供应链整体生鲜水平的提高非常有益,且有利于提高供应商、零售商及供应链整体的利润,其中供应商与零售商二者博弈制定成本共担契约的方式最为有效.另外,保鲜成本与消费者生鲜敏感程度分别对供应链的发展起着消极和积极的作用.     

基于LA型供应商的易逝品供应链价格补贴契约

针对由单个损失厌恶型供应商和单个风险中性型零售商组成的供应链系统,在前景理论框架下,研究了存在缺货损失下的基于批发价格契约和价格补贴契约的易逝品供应链协调问题。首先分析了分散化供应链系统在批发价格契约下供应商和零售商的最优决策,并将供应商的最优生产量与集中化供应链系统下的最优生产量进行了比较;从理论上严格证明了当供应商的最优生产量小于集中化供应链系统下的最优生产量时,供应商不能通过批发价格契约使得自己的生产量为集中化供应链的生产量。然后分析了在缔结政府提供的价格补贴契约下供应商和零售商的最优决策。研究结果表明,损失厌恶型供应商在批发价格契约下的最优生产量可能偏离系统最优生产量,这时政府可以通过价格补贴契约来协调整个供应链。     

Coordinating a two-supplier and one-retailer supply chain with forecast updating

We consider the component-purchasing problem for a supply chain consisting of one retailer and two complementary suppliers with different lead-times. The retailer purchases a specific component from each supplier for assembling into a fashionable product. After ordering from the long-lead-time supplier (Supplier 1) and before ordering from the short-lead-time supplier (Supplier 2), the retailer can update its demand forecast for the product. The retailer can partially cancel its order from Supplier 1 after forecast updating. By formulating the problem as a dynamic optimization problem, we explore the measures that can be deployed to coordinate the retailer’s ordering decisions with forecast updating. We analytically show that the supply chain can be coordinated if both suppliers offer a returns policy and Supplier 1 charges an order-cancelation penalty to the retailer. We find that the coordination mechanism is independent of demand distribution and the forecast updating process. We further show that it is easier for the suppliers to coordinate the supply chain if market observation indicates the future market demand is sufficiently large. We also study the case where demand is price-dependent and propose a generalized revenue-sharing contract to coordinate the supply chain. We discuss the academic and managerial implications of the theoretical findings.     

Downside-risk测度下闭环供应链风险控制和利润分配机制研究

以由风险中性的制造商与具有下行风险特性的销售商组成的两阶段闭环供应链为背景,证明了Ｄｏｗｎｓｉｄｅ-ｒｉｓｋ测度下的收益共享契约和批量折扣契约不能协调该闭环供应链．将补偿策略附加到收益共享契约和批量折扣契约,设计了风险共享契约,它既能满足下行风险约束,又能保证供应链参与方利润均有增量,实现了Ｄｏｗｎｓｉｄｅｒｉｓｋ测度下闭环供应链的协调和风险控制．最后通过实例分析验证了风险共享契约的可行性和有效性．     

基于CVaR的闭环供应链优化与协调决策研究

利用条件风险值理论研究具有风险规避特性的闭环供应链的优化与协调问题.首先,建立了随机市场需求下由单个风险规避零售商与单个风险规避制造商组成的两阶闭环供应链的条件风险值模型,以及基于条件风险值的收益共享费用共担契约下的最优订购量和最优批发价格决策模型;然后在对模型进行分析的基础上,揭示了制造商和零售商的风险规避水平对最优订购量、批发价格、条件风险值及闭环供应链协调的影响;最后通过一个算例验证了所得的结论.     

具有损失厌恶偏好零售商的供应链弹性数量契约

研究由风险中性供应商和具有损失厌恶偏好零售商组成的供应链在弹性数量契约条件下的协调问题.揭示了契约参数和零售商损失厌恶特性对零售商最优订货量的影响,发现调整弹性度这一契约参数可使供应链得到协调;同时,当弹性度满足一定条件时,调整批发价格也可实现供应链协调.最后通过数值分析,验证了弹性数量契约在协调供应链中的有效性,并探讨了其中原因.     

Capacity reservation under supply uncertainty

Shortages of input materials and components used in the production process often adversely influence sales of manufacturing firms. Manufacturers can guarantee delivery of the inputs by initiating capacity reservation arrangements with their suppliers. We study a multi-period capacity reservation contract between a manufacturer and a long-term supplier when there is uncertainty about the quantity of an input item available in the spot market. The contract requires the manufacturer to pay a fixed amount to the supplier at each period. In return, the supplier guarantees availability of the input up to a predetermined level of volume. The manufacturer can also meet some of input needs from a spot market, which may exist in the form of a B2B electronic exchange. Optimal inventory policy for the manufacturer in this dual supplier environment is derived analytically. Numerical examples are used to explore the strategies of the manufacturer and the supplier in certain and uncertain supply environments. We find that uncertain input markets lead to an increase in the share of inputs purchased in advance via long-term contracts. Capacity reservation contracts are shown to increase capacity utilization of the supplier compared to the traditional unit-price based supply contracts.     

A supply chain contract with flexibility as a risk-sharing mechanism for demand forecasting

Demand forecasting is one of the main causes of the bullwhip effect in a supply chain. As a countermeasure for demand uncertainty as well as a risk-sharing mechanism for demand forecasting in a supply chain, this article studies a bilateral contract with order quantity flexibility. Under the contract, the buyer places orders in advance for the predetermined horizons and makes minimum purchase commitments. The supplier, in return, provides the buyer with the flexibility to adjust the order quantities later, according to the most updated demand information. To conduct comparative simulations, four-echelon supply chain models, that employ the contracts and different forecasting techniques under dynamic market demands, are developed. The simulation outcomes show that demand fluctuation can be effectively absorbed by the contract scheme, which enables better inventory management and customer service. Furthermore, it has been verified that the contract scheme under study plays a role as an effective coordination mechanism in a decentralised supply chain.     

随机需求下多风险偏好零售商的供应链库存决策和协调

考虑由单个风险中性供应商和?? 个风险偏好零售商组成的供应链系统. 假设市场需求是随机的, 且每个零售商面临的需求与其订货量成正比, 采用平均CVaR 准则刻画零售商的风险偏好. 当零售商对称时, 得到系统总的均衡订货量关于零售商数量和风险偏好系数的单调性; 证明当风险偏好系数满足一定条件时, 批发价契约可以使供应链协调; 随机大需求导致系统较高的均衡订货量. 最后通过数值例子表明了需求可变性对系统总的均衡订货量的影响.

     

Supply chain network design under uncertainty with new insights from contracts

In this paper, the classical problem of supply chain network design is reconsidered to emphasize the rolc of contracts in uncertain environments. The supply chain addressed consists of four layers： suppliers, manufacturers, warehouses, and customers acting within a single period. The single owner of the manufacturing plants signs a contract with each of the suppliers to satisfy demand from downstream. Available contracts consist of long-term and option contracts, and unmet demand is satisfied by purchasing from the spot market. In this supply chain, customer demand, supplier capacity, plants and warehouses, transportation costs, and spot prices are uncertain. Two models are proposed here： a risk-neutral two-stage stochastic model and a risk-averse model that considers risk measures. A solution strategy based on sample average approximation is then proposed to handle large scale problems. Extensive computational studies prove the important role of contracts in the design process, especially a portfolio of contracts. For instance, we show that long-term contract alone has similar impacts to having no contracts, and that option contract alone gives inferior results to a combination of option and long-term contracts. We also show that the proposed solution methodology is able to obtain good quality solutions for large scale problems.