Caractérisation minéralogique et géotechnique des argiles marneuses gonflantes de la région de Médéa,Algérie

This paper presents the approach followed for the geological, mineralogical, and geotechnical characterization of swelling marly clays in the Médéa region. This investigation is conducted in order to estimate the swelling potential of this marly clay layer. The studied sites, located at about 80 km south of Algiers, Algeria, cover an area of approximatively 400 hectares. Five sites are considered. In the first step, the geological, tectonic, climatic, and hydrological contexts of the region are described. According to the geological map of Médéa, most of the formations encountered in the area are composed of Miocene layers represented by marly clays (Fig. 2). This region is characterized by its high and low temperature in summer and winter, respectively, and variable humidity (Fig. 3). In a second step, the results of geotechnical studies, X-ray diffraction tests, chemical analyses, and scanning electron microscope (SEM) observations are presented (Figs. 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9). The soils contain quartz (20–26 %), calcium carbonates (11–55 %), kaolinite (8–13 %), illite (6–14 %) and Montmorillonite (18–26 %). The study of their microstructure by means of SEM indicates that these soils are formed by a compact marly clay matrix that is relatively homogeneous and oriented in the dip direction of bedding. A grain size analysis shows that the clay content varies between 17 and 70 %. The water content of all samples varies between 8 and 30 %. The values of the liquidity limit (LL) and plasticity index (PI) vary between 28–76 % and 16–36 % respectively, indicating a highly plastic soil; this is also confirmed by a specific surface varying between 99 and 179 m²/g. The dry density γ _d varies between 15 and 19 kN/m³. The swelling potential of the marly clay samples is evaluated firstly using various indirect methods. In literature, a number of empirical classifications are proposed by different authors (BRE 1980; Chen 1988; Komornik and David 1969; Seed et al. 1962; Snethen 1984; Vijayvergiya et Ghazzaly 1973 et Williams and Donaldson 1980). The swelling potential is related to certain physical properties of soils, such as consistency limits, clay content, methylene blue value, etc. In general, these methods indicate that all the tested soils have a high swelling potential, which confirms the results of mineralogical analysis. Secondly, direct measurements of swelling parameters are performed. Swelling tests are carried out using a standard slaved one-dimensional odometer using two methods: free swell and constant volume, according to standard ASTM D 4546-90 and AFNOR (1995). The swell pressure, the swell percentage and the swell index are given in Fig. 16. It is noted that the soils develop very significant swell pressures which vary between 25 and 900 kPa. This is in agreement with the results obtained by empirical methods. This investigation clearly shows that the marly clays of the Médéa region have a high swelling potential. Therefore, taking into account the phenomenon of soil swelling in structure design is essential.     

Les matieres en suspension dans les estuaires

This paper, devoted to the behaviour of suspended matters in estuaries, deals successively with:

- the nature and origin of sediments suspended in some estuaries

- the behaviour of suspended materials: flocculation, falling rate of flakes, shrinkage, rheology, picking up by currents, slides inside the deposits

- the sedimentary movements of floating materials in the estuaries: transport under the influence of the tides, sedimentary materials available in the estuary, influence of the river discharge and of the salinity, ejection of suspended matters out of the estuary,

- volume of the deposits in some estuaries.

     

Effect of Wind on Smoldering Combustion Limits of Moist Pine Needle Beds

We studied moist pine needle beds burning under the effect of wind, in order to determine the upper moisture limit for which there is fire propagation for different wind velocities. For this purpose we built a wind tunnel that allowed us to burn a 600 mm by 150 mm by 40 mm bed under wind velocities between 0.5 m/s and 5.0 m/s and controlled air temperature. Results show an increase in moisture limit from 54% to approximately 140%, for the velocity range indicated. Combustion at limiting conditions proceeds mainly by smoldering with some periods of flaming combustion. It was observed that, for conditions close to extinction, the smoldering front is not quenched at the surface. Additionally, it was also observed that a strong flow of hot gases exit from the fuel bed at the free surface. These two observations lead to the conclusion that the main heat sink is moisture evaporation and that heat losses to the surroundings is reduced by the blowing effect of the hot gases coming off the bed. A dimensional analysis suggests a correlation between moisture limit and wind velocity of the form M = A ? B/ \( {v} \) _w ² , where M is moisture limit for fire propagation, A and B are constants, and \( {v} \) _w is wind speed. Two dimensionless numbers helped to plot the smoldering temperature and fire propagation velocity in a more meaningful way. They are \( \Uppi_{1} = {{T_{sml} c_{p,g} } \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {{T_{sml} c_{p,g} } {v_{w}^{2} }}} \right. \kern-0pt} {v_{w}^{2} }} \) and \( \Uppi_{2} = {{Mh_{fg} } \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {{Mh_{fg} } {v_{w}^{2} }}} \right. \kern-0pt} {v_{w}^{2} }} \) , where T _sml is smoldering temperature, c _p,g is the gas specific heat, M is fuel moisture content and h _fg is the latent heat of water evaporation. A relatively high moisture limit at 5 m/s wind velocity is possible due to the relatively high air flow into the smoldering front and the efficient heat feedback produced in forward smoldering.     

Sous-produits industriels comme granulats routiers

Relation between the characteristics of the aggregates and the properties of some materials—Experimental research works (laboratory or site). Industrial by-products used are as follows:

- as an aggregate:

? stone and gravel pit refuse

? crushed blast furnace slag

? incenerator waste slag

- as a binder:

? hydraulic and non-hydraulic fly ash

? granulated blast furnace slag

? hydrated and carbide lime refuse.

Pavement layers applied are as follows:

- unbound base courses: mechanical stabilisation using stone pit refuse, crushed blast furnace slag, waste incinerator slag

- with hydraulic binder: (cement, fly-ash, granulated slag):

? lean concrete with crushed blast furnace slag and stone pit refuse

? hydraulically bound crushed blast furnace slag, waste incinerator slag, and sand obtained as refuse at sieving

- with hydrocarbon binder:

? bituminous stone pit refuse, bituminous crushed blast furnace slag, and bituminous mixture of gravel and sand and waste incinerator slag

? rolled asphalt with crushed blast furnace slag.

     

Erosion d’une vase de l’estuaire de la Loire sous l’action du courant

This research work deals with an experimental study on the erosion phenomenon of a mud under the action of a water current. It is observed from research works carried out by Partheniades (J Hydraul Div ASCE 91(HY1):105–139, 1965), Migniot (La Houille Blanche 1&2:11–29, 95–111, 1989), Ockenden and Delo (GeoMar Lett 11:138–142, 1991), Aberle et al. (Mar Geol 207:83–93, 2004), among others, that mud erosion process by an hydrodynamic action depends mainly on sediment properties. Based on a literature study, this critical stress is assumed to be proportional either to the effective cohesion (Eq. 2) or to the yield stress (Eq. 4) of the sediment bed. Six erosion test series have been performed at six different concentrations of a mud from the Loire estuary. Some properties of the tested sediments are: a solid particles density ρ _s = 2,550 kg m^?3, a liquidity and plasticity limit at 140 and 70% of the water content, respectively, a mean size of the dispersed mineral fraction determined by laser techniques of 10 μm, and a volatile matters content of 11.86% by total dry weight burned at 550°C. As the rheological behaviour is difficult to describe, the sediment strength is characterized by only a parameter, namely, the yield stress τ _y . It is measured with a coaxial cylinder Brookfield LVT viscosimeter following a defined procedure (Hosseini in Liaison entre la rigidité initiale et la cohésion non drainée dans les vases molles—Relation avec la dynamique sédimentaire. Thèse, Université de Nantes, 167 p, 1999). For each studied concentration, three successive erosion tests are carried out, and for every erosion test, 15 successive measurements of τ _y are made. The mean values and the standard deviations of τ _y are shown in Table 1 as a function of the bed sediment concentration C. A confined flume has been conceived and built to characterize the erosion rates. With this device, a current-induced shear stress is generated above an homogeneous deposited sediment (Fig. 1). The bed shear stress τ _o is calculated from the measured mean velocity V by Eq. 5. The friction coefficient c _f involved in Eq. 5 has been evaluated from measurements of the hydraulic pressure loss. Finally, the validity of Eq. 5 has been confirmed by five calibration tests on the incipient of the movement of sands for which results are compared with Shields diagram in Fig. 2. The observed erosion mechanisms affecting cohesive sediments depend mainly on the value of the yield stress. For a fluid mud (τ _y less than 3 N m^?2), the bed shear stress produces at first a wavy motion on the bed surface with a progressive undulation. When the shear stress increases, resuspension produces a diluted sediment cloud which is entrained and dispersed by the flow. For a plastic mud (τ _y greater than 3 N m^?2), erosion occurs by a wrenching of aggregates which are transported near the bottom. Initially, the eroded aggregates measure several millimetres in size; but, once transported, aggregates break into very rigid and compact aggregates of maximum size close to 1 mm in all the cases. During erosion tests, erosion volumetric rates E _v have been evaluated under steady-state bed shear stress τ _o from the observed variation in time of suspended sediment concentration. A generalized erosion is assumed for E _v ≥ E _vo = 3 × 10^?7 m s^?1 (that is the equivalent of 1 mm sediment layer eroded per hour). The generalized erosion occurs above a critical bed shear stress τ _oe which is linked to τ _y and mud density through Eq. 7. A phenomenological law defined by Eq. 8 is proposed to calculate the erosion rate as a function of yield stress and hydrodynamic shear stress at the bottom. For τ _o < τ _oe , a small erosion is observed, which is described by a formulation given by Cerco et al. (Water quality model of Florida Bay. U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, ERDC/EL TR?00-10, Vicksburg, USA, 260 p, 2000). Above τ _oe , a small increase in τ _o produces an important erosion rate rise which is described by a formulation suggested by Mehta and Partheniades (Resuspension of deposited cohesive sediment beds. In: Proceedings of the 18th coastal engineering conference, Cape Town, South Africa, 2:1569–1588, 1982). Figure 3 shows as a function of τ _o the observed values of E _v (discrete symbols) as well as the proposed model (in solid lines) for the six concentrations. For the theoretically maximum value of E _v , the hydrodynamic shear stress is very high with regard to the sediment cohesion; and then, the water flux produces an entrainment of underlying fluid mud layers. The asymptotic law obtained from the model of Kranenburg and Winterwerp (1997) plotted in dashed lines in Fig. 3, is expressed by E _v = 0.3 u _* . A sediment trap inserted in the experimental system allows a sample of eroded mud aggregates to be obtained. It is observed that the maximum value of the diameter D _M of the eroded aggregates depends on the density and yield stress of the initially deposited mud according to Eq. 10. In the same way, the density of the aggregates issued from plastic mud erosion is measured following an original experimental method and procedure (Table 3). The erosion of plastic muds with a concentration from 310 to 420 kg m^?3 produces aggregates with a concentration close to 400 kg m^?3 and yield stress a little greater than 100 N m^?2.     

New Correlation Between Ignition Time and Moisture Content for Pine Needles Attacked by Firebrands

The capacity of firebrands for ignition is closely related to fuel conditions which include fuel type, moisture content (MC), fuel distribution and fuel bulk density, among which MC is the most important. In this paper, a new correlation between ignition time (t _ig) and MC of fuels is established by theoretical consideration of the heat transfer processes that occur when fuels are ignited by glowing firebrands that have settled on a fuel bed. The results suggest a linear relationship between t _ig ^1/2 and MC. This linear correlation is verified by data from six groups of firebrand ignition experiments in which pine needles were used as the fuel to be ignited, with MCs ranging from 12.9% to 65%. The wind speed during experimentation was maintained at 3 m/s (±0.2 m/s). The studies by Jolly et al. support the theoretical correlation.     

Testing shrinkage factors: comparison of methods and correlation with index properties of soils

The paper presents a study on the shrinkage properties of three clay soils from Poland. Shrinkage limit, volumetric shrinkage and relative volumetric shrinkage were determined, tested according to PN-88/B-04481 (1988) and BS1377: Part 2 (1990) and correlated with the index properties of soils. The shrinkage limit was also calculated from Krabbe’s (1958) equation. The results showed that shrinkage limit values obtained by the BS method are lower than those obtained using the PN method, but the values calculated from Krabbe’s equation differ significantly. While no strong correlation was found between shrinkage limit and index soil parameters, linear relationships were obtained between volumetric shrinkage and initial moisture content, shrinkage range, plasticity index and clay content. Following multivariable regression analysis, the relative volumetric shrinkage was expressed as a function of plasticity index and moisture content. This function can be used to predict volumetric changes of the foundations based on the moisture content and material properties of the soil.     

The socially optimal and equilibrium locations of two stores or libraries with consumer search

This paper examines the socially optimal (and also equilibrium) locations of two stores or libraries on a linear market of unit length. If each consumer has probability \(w\) of finding a desired product at each store, then the socially optimal locations are never completely centralized for full information, but are completely centralized for \(w \le 0.5\) when costly visit search is necessary. The Nash equilibrium locations of two stores, and various alternative models for the socially optimal locations of two stores, are also examined.     

A note on the null distribution of the local spatial heteroscedasticity (LOSH) statistic

Recently, Ord and Getis (Ann Reg Sci 48:529–539, 2012) developed a local statistic \(H_i\) , called local spatial heteroscedasticity statistic, to identify boundaries of clusters and to describe the nature of heteroscedasticity within clusters. Furthermore, in order to implement the hypothesis testing, Ord and Getis suggested a chi-square approximation method to approximate the null distribution of \(H_i\) , but they said that the validity of the chi-square approximation remains to be investigated and some other approximation methods are still worthy of being developed. Motivated by this suggestion, we propose in this paper a bootstrap procedure to approximate the null distribution of \(H_i\) and conduct some simulation to empirically assess the validity of the bootstrap and chi-square methods. The results demonstrate that the bootstrap method can provide a more accurate approximation than the chi-square method at the cost of more computation time. Moreover, the power of \(H_i\) in identifying boundaries of clusters is empirically examined using the proposed bootstrap method to compute \(p\)  values of the tests, and the multiple comparison issue is also discussed.     

The export-base model with a supply-side stimulus to the export sector

In the export-base model, the level of a region??s economic activity is underpinned by the performance of its export sector (Daly in Econ J 50:248?C258, 1940; Dixon and Thirlwall in Oxf Econ Pap 27:201?C214, 1975; Kaldor in Scott J Polit Econ 17:337?C348, 1970; North in J Polit Econ 63:243?C258, 1955). This theory is now almost universally represented as a primitive version of the familiar Input?COutput or Keynesian demand-driven approach, where regional output is linked to regional exports through a rather mechanistic multiplier process (Romanoff in J Reg Sci 14:121?C129, 1974). Further, in a standard IO inter-regional framework, the expansion of output in one region always generates positive impacts on other regions. That is to say, there is always a positive spread, and no negative backwash, effect. However, these models typically embody no supply-side constraints. What is more, the stimulus to the export sector is often thought to come through supply-side improvements (North in J Polit Econ 63:243?C258, 1955; McCombie in Appl Econ 24:493?C512, 1992). Whilst accepting that the development of a healthy export base is generally central to promoting the growth of the regional economy, the relationship is likely to be much more complex than is usually thought. Also whilst an increase in regional exports typically increases economic activity in the target region, the effect on other regions is less straightforward (Myrdal in Economic theory and underdeveloped regions Duckworth, London, 1957). In this paper, we begin by using a single-region IO analysis of the operation of a stylised export-base model. The impact of a conventional increase in export demand is compared to a situation in which increased competitiveness underpins the improved export performance. This analysis is then extended through the use of an inter-regional (Scotland?CRest of the UK) Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. In simulation, different exogenous demand and supply side disturbances are calibrated so as to generate the same long-run expansion in Scottish manufacturing exports. The subsequent specific evolutions of regional GDP and employment in both Scotland and the rest of the UK (RUK) are then tracked.     

Influence of sample preparation and mode of testing on the shear strength characteristics of laterite soils from Southwestern Nigeria

The Shear Strengths of four laterite soils from Southwestern Nigeria are investigated through:

1. consolidated undrained triaxial compression tests with pore water measurements on Standard Proctor compacted soils and
2. direct shear tests on remoulded soils.

The Shear Strength parameter obtained in both cases are high with those of the first method being generally higher than those of the second method. However, in view of the relative ease of execution, the second method is preferred especially with regards to local/minor and farm constructions.     

Impact d’une galerie étanche peu profonde sur l’écoulement d’une nappe

While many studies have been achieved on the interactions between groundwater and deep tunnels, in order to identify the evolution of pore pressure around the structure and to characterize the flow to its leaky parts, few studies have dealt with the impact of the carrying out of an impervious gallery in a shallow aquifer. The induced change in the piezometric level of the aquifer and the one in the hydraulic gradient of the flow however can, in this case, have significant consequences, in particular when the linear structure is located in an urban environment. This paper investigates, in steady state, the case of a straight tunnel having a horizontal axis perpendicular to the direction of the regional groundwater flow and a circular or square cross section. The aim is to determine the additional lost head Δh _s due to the tunnel (i.e. additional to that resulting from the regional flow, supposed to be uniform with a hydraulic gradient i ₀). In the context of a horizontal confined aquifer having a thickness 2B and of a tunnel of radius R located in the middle part of the aquifer, an analogy can be established with the flow above a hydraulic threshold resulting from a local rise of the elevation of the base of an aquifer, having a thickness B, on a width 2R and with a vertical maximum amplitude R. When neglecting the vertical component of the hydraulic gradient compared to its horizontal component, analytical solutions are developed for various hydraulic threshold shapes (rectangular, triangular and circular), based on the equivalence with a local change in the transmissivity of an aquifer keeping a constant thickness. The corresponding formulas take the form: $ {\frac{{\Updelta h_{s} - \Updelta h_{0} }}{{\Updelta h_{0} }}} = f(a) $ , with $ a = {\frac{R}{B}} $ and Δh ₀ = 2Ri ₀. The use of these formulas shows that the additional lost head Δh _s due to the hydraulic threshold is proportional to i ₀ and that, for values of the ratio a < 0.5, the change in the piezometric surface is small. These conclusions are therefore limited by the fact that the vertical conductivity is supposed to be very large. In order to remove this hypothesis, numerical simulations are achieved using the MODFLOW code. It is considered a confined aquifer of length 2L = 110 m and thickness B = 10 m, a ratio $ a = {\frac{R}{B}} = 0.25 $ and a horizontal hydraulic conductivity $ K_{H} = 10^{ - 5} \,{\text{m}}\,{\text{s}}^{ - 1} $ . In the case of an isotropic medium ( $ \alpha = {\frac{{K_{H} }}{{K_{V} }}} = 1 $ ), the simulations allow to check the linearity of the relationship between Δh _s and i ₀, with therefore a homogeneous variation in the proportionality coefficient compared to analytical solutions. Simulations also reveal that, in the case considered, the width of influence upstream and downstream L _i , corresponding to a value of the vertical component of the hydraulic gradient <1% of i ₀, is below 5.5R for the three hydraulic threshold shapes, and that it was few influenced by the hydraulic gradient i ₀. In the case of an anisotropy of the horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivities, simulations reveal the significant importance of the anisotropy ratio $ \alpha = {\frac{{K_{H} }}{{K_{V} }}} $ when it is more than 1, the most common case, and indicate that the proposed analytical solutions give an asymptotic value of $ {\frac{{\Updelta h_{s} }}{{\Updelta h_{0} }}} $ for the isotropic case and for the values of the component α < 1. In the context of an unconfined aquifer, the hydraulic threshold model is not directly applicable. The model studied, using the Dupuit-Forchheimer assumption, is the one of a water table aquifer with a sloped base (slope value: p ₀). The simulations focus on an aquifer of length 2L = 85 m, with a tunnel of circular cross section having a diameter 2R = 5 m, bottom of which is located 5 m above the base of the aquifer, the isotropic hydraulic conductivity being equal to $ K = 10^{ - 5} \,{\text{m}}\,{\text{s}}^{ - 1} $ . The definitions of water heights d ₀ and d between the water table and the top of the tunnel are given in Fig. 7. The water table can be located above (fully submerged tunnel) or below (partially emerged tunnel) the top of the tunnel. The difference d ₀ ? d represents the half of the additional lost head Δh _s due to the tunnel. Simulations are performed for various values of p ₀ and d ₀. They provide the values of i ₀, d and Δh _s . In the case of a fully submerged tunnel (d > 0), a significant rise of the water table upstream of the tunnel is obtained only for high values of the hydraulic gradient (5 and 10%), but, even in this case, it remains less than the tenth of the wetted height of the aquifer h _m . It is also highlighted that the ratio $ {\frac{{\Updelta h_{s} }}{{i_{0} }}} $ varies as a linear function of (R + d) and that, in the studied case, there is no influence of the tunnel for d ≥ 4R. In the case of a partially emerged tunnel (d < 0), the aquifer is locally confined under the tunnel. It is suggested that an equivalence is possible with the case of a confined aquifer having a thickness equal to the wetted height in the unconfined aquifer. This is verified with one of the simulations. In the case of a partially emerged tunnel, the change in the water table due to the tunnel remains low.     

The neighborhood or the region? Reassessing the density–wage relationship using geocoded data

I analyze the effects of sub-city-level density of economic activity on wages. Using a geocoded dataset on employment and wages in the city areas of Sweden, the analysis is based on squares representing “neighborhoods” ( $0.0625\,\hbox {km}^{2})$ , “districts” ( $1\,\hbox {km}^{2})$ , and “agglomerations” ( $10\,\hbox {km}^{2})$ . The wage-density elasticity depends on spatial resolution, with the elasticity being highest in neighborhood squares, where a doubling of density is associated with wage increases of 1.2 %, or roughly the size of the elasticity for region density. Moving from a mean-density neighborhood to the densest neighborhood would on average increase wages by 9 %. The results are consistent with (i) the existence of a localized density spillover effect and (ii) quite sharp attenuation of human capital spillovers. An implication of the findings is that if the data source is not sufficiently disaggregated, analyses of the density–wage link risk understating the benefits of working in dense parts of regions, such as the central business districts.     

Radiant Ignition of Polyurethane Foam: The Effect of Sample Size

Although smouldering ignition of upholstery items remains a leading cause of residential fire deaths, relatively little research is conducted on the topic. An experimental investigation of the effect of sample size on the ignition and spread of smouldering and flaming in polyurethane foam under natural flow conditions is reported here. Polyurethane foam samples are used because this is a common material in modern, residential environments and one for which there exists significant quantities of previous experimental data in the literature. Samples of different square cross-section size and a fixed height of 150 mm are insulated on all sides except the top which is exposed to a radiant heat flux and is open to the air. Samples with side lengths of 50 mm, 100 mm, and 140 mm are studied. Ignition and spread dynamics are diagnosed using thirteen thermocouples located along the vertical centre line. The onset of smouldering ignition (13  $\hbox{kW}\, \hbox{m}^{-2}$ , 8  $\hbox{kW}\, \hbox{m}^{-2}$ and $7\,\hbox{kW}\, \hbox{m}^{-2}$ for 50 mm, 100 mm and 140 mm sample sizes respectively) is observed at significantly lower heat fluxes that flaming (45  $\hbox{kW}\,\hbox{m}^{-2}$ , 32  $\hbox{kW}\,\hbox{m}^{-2}$ and $30\,\hbox{kW}\,\hbox{m}^{-2}$ respectively). Critical heat fluxes for smouldering and flaming ignition increase with decreasing sample size, with smouldering ignition being significantly more sensitive to sample size than flaming ignition under the size range studied. Smouldering spread rates are measured in the range from 3  $\hbox{mm}\, \hbox{min}^{-1}$ to $25\,\hbox{mm}\, \hbox{min}^{-1}$ and found to be a strong function of the heat flux and depth of the smoulder front. The effect of sample size on smouldering has been theoretically proposed before but this is the first time that this effect has been demonstrated experimentally for ignition. The fact that large samples result in the lowest critical heat flux could have implications for testing procedures and translation of results from small-scale testing to real-scale in the built environment.     

Black-box models for fault detection and performance monitoring of buildings

Black-box models such as linear regression have proven to be helpful in ongoing building commissioning in many ways. The aim of this work is to improve linear models with change point for fault detection in buildings. Building simulations revealed poor performance of them (R 2 2. Remark: In the Inverse Modelling Toolkit (IMT) (Kissock et al. 2003) similar models are called CP-MVR or rather 3P-MVR or 4P-MVR. The difference to the CPMLRs used here is that there are different intercept terms for all linear regressions for the CPMLRs instead of one equal intercept term for all linear regression models 3P-MVR. This is introducing discontinuities on continuous independent variables but for the mean daily perspective taken here this is not disadvantageous.  < 0.7) for some low energy buildings. The regression models (RMs) can be considerably improved by introducing the rate of change of the indoor air temperature (ΔT _ind) as an independent variable. Thus, R ² values were raised by up to 0.5 (e.g. from 0.2 to 0.7, example with the lowest R ²). A new training and application process for the RMs revealed further improvements by using a hierarchical agglomerative clustering algorithm to determine different day-types as additional (categorical) variables in the RM. The application of these improved RMs for outlier detection is demonstrated in three buildings.     

Economic growth in Italian NUTS 3 provinces

This paper analyzes the conditional \(\beta \) -convergence hypothesis for NUTS 3 Italian provinces. A methodology for the simultaneous treatment of spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity is developed. Spatial dependence is introduced in the economic model by assuming a spatial Durbin model specification. The absence of data experienced by some economic variables at the NUTS 3 level is addressed through a modified version of the Bayesian interpolation method introduced by Palma and Benedetti (J Geogr Syst 5:199–220, 1998). Spatial heterogeneity is taken into account by identifying convergence clubs. For this purpose, we use the modified simulated annealing algorithm introduced by Postiglione et al. (Comput Econ 42:151–174, 2013). The methodology is compared with the heteroscedastic approach proposed by Kelejian and Prucha (J Econom 157:53–67, 2010).     

Changing Landscapes,Changing Landscape's Story

Abstract

Visual surrogates have been widely used for solving environment related issues. Researchers now have concern over the validity of surrogates. Human perception is multi-modal (Wohlwill, 1976 Wohlwill, J. F. 1976. “Environmental aesthetics: the environment as a source of affect”. In Human Behavior and Environment: Advances in Theory and Research, Edited by: Altman, I. and Wohlwill, J. F. New York: Plenum Press. [Crossref] , [Google Scholar]; Ittelson, 1973 Ittelson W. Environment and Cognition Seminar Press New York 1973  [Google Scholar]) and motion is an essential aspect in the perceptual process (Gibson, 1979 Gibson, J. J. 1979. The Ecological Approach to Visual Perception, Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin.  [Google Scholar]). Therefore, a surrogate has to be able to represent the dynamic elements in the environment and more realistically reflect human environmental experience. The purpose of this study was to examine the validity of videos and slides as visual surrogates for representing dynamic environment. The validity of the surrogates was verified by comparing subjects' perceptual responses to on-site and simulated situations. The perceptual assessments included emotional, cognitive, behavioural and preference responses. The results indicated that on-site participants' emotional responses and preferences are significantly stronger than those of video and slide viewers. In addition, on-site participants' and video viewers' cognitive and behavioural responses were significantly higher than those of slide viewers. Overall, the validity of videos and slides for representing waterscapes was not supported.     

Predicting risk of water quality failures in distribution networks under uncertainties using fault-tree analysis

The water quality in a distribution system is affected by many factors, including operational and environmental conditions as well as the condition in and around the distribution network. Lack of reliable data as well as knowledge gaps with respect to the impact of these factors on water quality make the quantification of water quality failure risk very challenging. Furthermore, the variability inherent in (sometimes) thousands of kilometers of distribution pipes presents added complexities. Major modes of water quality failures can be classified into intrusion of contaminants, regrowth of bacteria (biofilm), water treatment breakthrough, leaching of chemicals or corrosion products from system components, and permeation of organic compounds through plastic pipes. Deliberate contamination and negligence of operators have in recent years become an added concern. In earlier works by Sadiq et al. (2004 Sadiq, R., Kleiner, Y. and Rajani, B. 2004. Aggregative risk analysis for water quality failure in distribution networks. Journal of Water Supply Research and Technology: Aqua, 53(4): 241–261. [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], 2007 Sadiq, R., Kleiner, Y. and Rajani, B. 2007. Water quality failures in distribution networks – risk analysis using fuzzy logic and evidential reasoning. Risk Analysis – An International Journal, 27(5): 1381–1394. [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), an aggregative risk analysis approach using hierarchical structure was proposed to describe all possible mechanisms of contamination. In this paper a similar structure is used as a basis for a fault-tree approach. While fault-tree analysis is widely used for many engineering applications, in this paper we specifically explore how interdependencies among factors might impact analysis results. Two types of uncertainties are considered in the proposed analysis. The first is related to the likelihood of risk events, and the second is related to non-linear dependencies among risk events. Each basic risk event (input factor) is defined using a fuzzy probability (likelihood) to deal with its inherent uncertainty. The dependencies among risk events are explored using Frank copula and Frechet's limit. The proposed approach is demonstrated using two well-documented episodes of water quality failures in Canada, namely, Walkerton (ON) and North Battleford (SK).