基于可靠指标的稳定安全系数探讨

桥梁结构当第一类稳定安全系数取4时,能否保证结构在更可能出现的第二类失稳发生时的可靠指标达到目标可靠指标值得研究。对单层单跨刚架桥分别进行了第一类和第二类稳定计算,以第一类稳定计算得到的临界荷载,取第一类稳定安全系数为4,采用一次可靠度方法编制程序得出可靠指标。进而采用第一类稳定可靠指标计算时的荷载效应和第二类临界荷载来计算第二类可靠指标。根据可靠指标探讨结构稳定安全系数取值的合理性。在此基础上,对两类稳定临界荷载进行了参数分析,研究临界荷载的变化对可靠指标的影响。结果表明:稳定分析应区分失稳状态,第一类稳定安全系数取4,但当结构发生第二类失稳时,有些情况下不足以保证可靠指标达到目标可靠指标。     

Enhanced modified reliability index approach for efficient and robust reliability-based design optimization

The reliability index approach (RIA) is one of the effective tools for solving the reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) probabilistic model, which models the uncertainties with probability constraints. However, its wide application in engineering is limited due to low efficiency and convergence problems. The RIA-based modified reliability index approach (MRIA) appears to be very robust and accurate than RIA but yields inefficient for the most probable point (MPP) search with highly nonlinear probabilistic constraints. In this study, an enhanced modified reliability index approach (EMRIA) is developed to improve the efficiency and robustness of searching for MPP and is utilized for RBDO. In the EMRIA, an innovative active set using rigorous inequality is applied to construct the region of exploring for MPP, where the unnecessary probabilistic constraint could be eliminated adaptively during the iterative process. Moreover, the double loop strategy (DLS) is integrated into the EMRIA to strengthen the efficiency and robustness of large-scale RBDO problems. Two numerical examples demonstrated that the EMRIA is an efficient and robust method for MPP search in comparison with current first-order reliability methods. Six RBDO problems quoted also indicate that DLS-based EMRIA has good performance to solve complex RBDO problems.     

Error bounds for the reliability index in finite element reliability analysis

This work presents an extension of the goal‐oriented error estimation techniques to the reliability analysis of a linear elastic structure. We use a first‐order reliability method in conjunction with a finite element analysis (FEA) to compute the failure probability of the structure. In such a situation the output of interest that is computed from the FEA is the reliability index β. The accuracy of this output, and thus of the reliability analysis, depends, in particular, on the accuracy of the FEA. In this paper, upper and lower bounds of the reliability index are proposed, as well as simple bounds of the failure probability. An application to linear fracture mechanics is presented. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Algorithm developments for optimization problems with joint reliability constraints

We propose an algorithm for optimization under uncertainty with joint reliability constraints. Most existing research formulates constraints of random variables/parameters in probabilistic forms such that the probability of individual constraint satisfaction must be higher than a reliability target. However, engineering problems generally define reliability as the probability of satisfying constraints ‘jointly’ rather than individually. Calculating a joint reliability value requires a multiple integration over the feasible domain. This calculation is in most realistic cases impractical by use of exact methods and has become the major challenge in optimization. In this research we propose a filter‐based sequential quadratic programming algorithm with joint reliability constraints approximated by their upper bounds. This upper bound can be obtained analytically by considering the current design location, the reliability of satisfying each constraint, and the angles between every constraint pair. To further improve the efficiency of the algorithm, active‐set strategies are implemented such that intense reliability calculations only required for constraints that are likely to be active. The rest of the constraints are approximated to the level needed to understand whether constraints might become active in the next iteration. The efficiency of the proposed method enables the applications to general complex engineering problems. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An efficient approach for reliability-based topology optimization

This article presents an efficient approach for reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) in which the computational effort involved in solving the RBTO problem is equivalent to that of solving a deterministic topology optimization (DTO) problem. The methodology presented is built upon the bidirectional evolutionary structural optimization (BESO) method used for solving the deterministic optimization problem. The proposed method is suitable for linear elastic problems with independent and normally distributed loads, subjected to deflection and reliability constraints. The linear relationship between the deflection and stiffness matrices along with the principle of superposition are exploited to handle reliability constraints to develop an efficient algorithm for solving RBTO problems. Four example problems with various random variables and single or multiple applied loads are presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach in solving RBTO problems. The major contribution of this article comes from the improved efficiency of the proposed algorithm when measured in terms of the computational effort involved in the finite element analysis runs required to compute the optimum solution. For the examples presented with a single applied load, it is shown that the CPU time required in computing the optimum solution for the RBTO problem is 15–30% less than the time required to solve the DTO problems. The improved computational efficiency allows for incorporation of reliability considerations in topology optimization without an increase in the computational time needed to solve the DTO problem.     

Post optimization for accurate and efficient reliability‐based design optimization using second‐order reliability method based on importance sampling and its stochastic sensitivity analysis

In this study, a post optimization technique for a correction of inaccurate optimum obtained using first‐order reliability method (FORM) is proposed for accurate reliability‐based design optimization (RBDO). In the proposed method, RBDO using FORM is first performed, and then the proposed second‐order reliability method (SORM) is performed at the optimum obtained using FORM for more accurate reliability assessment and its sensitivity analysis. In the proposed SORM, the Hessian of a performance function is approximated by reusing derivatives information accumulated during previous RBDO iterations using FORM, indicating that additional functional evaluations are not required in the proposed SORM. The proposed SORM calculates a probability of failure and its first‐order and second‐order stochastic sensitivity by applying the importance sampling to a complete second‐order Taylor series of the performance function. The proposed post optimization constructs a second‐order Taylor expansion of the probability of failure using results of the proposed SORM. Because the constructed Taylor expansion is based on the reliability method more accurate than FORM, the corrected optimum using this Taylor expansion can satisfy the target reliability more accurately. In this way, the proposed method simultaneously achieves both efficiency of FORM and accuracy of SORM. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Collaborative optimization with inverse reliability for multidisciplinary systems uncertainty analysis

This article introduces a method which combines the collaborative optimization framework and the inverse reliability strategy to assess the uncertainty encountered in the multidisciplinary design process. This method conducts the sub-system analysis and optimization concurrently and then improves the process of searching for the most probable point (MPP). It reduces the load of the system-level optimizer significantly. This advantage is specifically more prominent for large-scale engineering system design. Meanwhile, because the disciplinary analyses are treated as the equality constraints in the disciplinary optimization, the computation load can be further reduced. Examples are used to illustrate the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method.     

Structural reliability analysis and uncertainties‐based collaborative design and optimization of turbine blades using surrogate model

In power and energy systems, both the aerodynamic performance and the structure reliability of turbine equipment are affected by utilized blades. In general, the design process of blade is high dimensional and nonlinear. Different coupled disciplines are also involved during this process. Moreover, unavoidable uncertainties are transported and accumulated between these coupled disciplines, which may cause turbine equipment to be unsafe. In this study, a saddlepoint approximation reliability analysis method is introduced and combined with collaborative optimization method to address the above challenge. During the above reliability analysis and design optimization process, surrogate models are utilized to alleviate the computational burden for uncertainties‐based multidisciplinary design and optimization problems. Smooth response surfaces of the performance of turbine blades are constructed instead of expensively time‐consuming simulations. A turbine blade design problem is solved here to validate the effectiveness and show the utilization of the given approach.     

Multiresponse optimization using multivariate process capability index

Robust design is an efficient method for product and process improvement which combines experimentation with optimization to create a system that is less sensitive to uncontrollable variation. In this article, a simple and integrated modeling methodology for robust design is proposed. This methodology achieves the robustness objective function and input variables constraints simultaneously. The objective function is written in terms of the multivariate process capability vector (MC_pm) of several competing features of the system under study. The proposed methodology is applicable to general functions of the system performance with random variables. The effectiveness of the methodology is verified using two real‐world examples which are compared with those of other robust design methods. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Ignorance-aware safety and reliability analysis: A heuristic approach

In the current study, we aim to solve a group decision-making problem on the basis of expert judgment with consideration of both global and local ignorance in system safety assessment. When data are acquired from various sources, especially subjective ones, the estimation of the data's precise value is challenging. In such a case, the basic belief assignment (bba) function is utilized to cope with the decision-making procedure on the basis of Dempster-Shafer theory (DST). DST, as an effective tool for manipulating inaccurate values, stills is not adequate to obtain the optimum values under the consideration of global and local subjective ignorance. To address the aforementioned subjects in this study, an innovative heuristic approach using a multiobjective programming model is introduced to derive the optimal values (bba) in the system safety assessment. An illustrative example is provided in detail to show the applicability and feasibility of the introduced heuristic approach.     

Second‐order reliability method‐based inverse reliability analysis using Hessian update for accurate and efficient reliability‐based design optimization

First‐order reliability method (FORM) has been mostly utilized for solving reliability‐based design optimization (RBDO) problems efficiently. However, second‐order reliability method (SORM) is required in order to estimate a probability of failure accurately in highly nonlinear performance functions. Despite accuracy of SORM, its application to RBDO is quite challenging due to unaffordable numerical burden incurred by a Hessian calculation. For reducing the numerical efforts, a quasi‐Newton approach to approximate the Hessian is introduced in this study instead of calculating the true Hessian. The proposed SORM with the approximated Hessian requires computations only used in FORM, leading to very efficient and accurate reliability analysis. The proposed SORM also utilizes a generalized chi‐squared distribution in order to achieve better accuracy. Furthermore, SORM‐based inverse reliability method is proposed in this study. An accurate reliability index corresponding to a target probability of failure is updated using the proposed SORM. Two approaches in terms of finding an accurate most probable point using the updated reliability index are proposed. The proposed SORM‐based inverse analysis is then extended to RBDO in order to obtain a reliability‐based optimum design satisfying probabilistic constraints more accurately even for a highly nonlinear system. The numerical study results show that the proposed reliability analysis and RBDO achieve efficiency of FORM and accuracy of SORM at the same time. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Reliability analysis and reliability-based design optimization of roadway horizontal curves using a first-order reliability method

This article presents reliability analysis and reliability-based optimization of roadway minimum radius design based on vehicle dynamics, mainly focusing on exit ramps and interchanges. The performance functions are formulated as failure modes of vehicle rollover and sideslip. To accurately describe the failure modes, analytical models for rollover and sideslip are derived considering nonlinear characteristics of vehicle behaviour using the commercial software TruckSim. The probability of an accident is evaluated using the first-order reliability method and numerical studies are conducted using a single-unit truck model. To propose a practical application for the study, the reliability analysis for the minimum radius recommended by American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials is conducted. The results show that, even if there are deviations from assumed design conditions of the current design guideline, the proposed design method can guarantee given target margins of safety against rollover and sideslip. Based on the reliability analysis, reliability-based design optimization is carried out and the results indicate new recommendations for minimum radii satisfying given target reliability levels.     

Development of a simple and efficient method for robust optimization

Robust optimization problems are newly formulated and an efficient computational scheme is proposed. Both design variables and design parameters are considered as random variables about their nominal values. To ensure the robustness of objective performance, we introduce a new performance index bounding the performance together with a constraint limiting the performance variation. The constraint variations are regulated by considering the probability of feasibility. Each probability constraint is transformed into a sub‐optimization problem by the advanced first‐order second moment (AFOSM) method for computational efficiency. The proposed robust optimization method has the advantages that the mean value and the variation of the performance function are controlled simultaneously and rationally and the second‐order sensitivity information is not required even in case of gradient‐based optimization process. The suggested method is examined by solving three examples and the results are compared with those for the deterministic case and those available in the literature. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An accurate and efficient reliability-based design optimization using the second order reliability method and improved stability transformation method

The first order reliability method has been extensively adopted for reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), but it shows inaccuracy in calculating the failure probability with highly nonlinear performance functions. Thus, the second order reliability method is required to evaluate the reliability accurately. However, its application for RBDO is quite challenge owing to the expensive computational cost incurred by the repeated reliability evaluation and Hessian calculation of probabilistic constraints. In this article, a new improved stability transformation method is proposed to search the most probable point efficiently, and the Hessian matrix is calculated by the symmetric rank-one update. The computational capability of the proposed method is illustrated and compared to the existing RBDO approaches through three mathematical and two engineering examples. The comparison results indicate that the proposed method is very efficient and accurate, providing an alternative tool for RBDO of engineering structures.     

可靠性优化的一种新的启发式算法

建立了可靠性冗余优化模型,分析了各种优化方法的优缺点。分析了几种常见的启发式算法,根据拉格朗日乘子法和K-T方程,提出了一种新的启发式算法,结果表明该方法比较有效。     

Estimation of cable safety factors of suspension bridges using artificial neural network‐based inverse reliability method

The design of the main cables of suspension bridges is based on the verification of the rules defined by standard specifications, where cable safety factors are introduced to ensure safety. However, the current bridge design standards have been developed to ensure structural safety by defining a target reliability index. In other words, the structural reliability level is specified as a target to be satisfied by the designer. Thus, calibration of cable safety factors is needed to guarantee the specified reliability of main cables. This study proposes an efficient and accurate algorithm to solve the calibration problem of cable safety factors of suspension bridges. Uncertainties of the structure and load parameters are incorporated in the calculation model. The proposed algorithm integrates the concepts of the inverse reliability method, non‐linear finite element method, and artificial neural networks method. The accuracy and efficiency of this method with reference to an example long‐span suspension bridge are studied and numerical results have validated its superiority over the conventional deterministic method or inverse reliability method with Gimsing's simplified approach. Finally, some important parameters in the proposed method are also discussed. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Ant algorithm for single and multiobjective reliability optimization problems

The paper illustrates the application of the ant colony optimization algorithm to solve both continuous function and combinatorial optimization problems in reliability engineering. The ant algorithm is combined with the strength Pareto fitness assignment procedure to handle multiobjective problems. Further, a clustering procedure has been applied to prune the Pareto set and to maintain diversity. Benchmark case examples show the superiority of the ant algorithm to such problems. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A single-loop optimization method for reliability analysis with second order uncertainty

Reliability analysis may involve random variables and interval variables. In addition, some of the random variables may have interval distribution parameters owing to limited information. This kind of uncertainty is called second order uncertainty. This article develops an efficient reliability method for problems involving the three aforementioned types of uncertain input variables. The analysis produces the maximum and minimum reliability and is computationally demanding because two loops are needed: a reliability analysis loop with respect to random variables and an interval analysis loop for extreme responses with respect to interval variables. The first order reliability method and nonlinear optimization are used for the two loops, respectively. For computational efficiency, the two loops are combined into a single loop by treating the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) optimal conditions of the interval analysis as constraints. Three examples are presented to demonstrate the proposed method.     

过盈联结的可靠性分析与优化

在机械制造,特别是重型机械制造中,过盈联结具有十分显著的经济效益,但传统的计算方法不仅复杂,而且无法对过盈联结的工作可靠性给出定量的评价,因此影响了过盈配合的工作质量,妨碍了过盈配合的广泛应用,从可靠性理论和优化技术出发,对过盈联结的可靠性进行分析,并对过盈联结可靠度的优化进行研究,建立了计算模型,编制了相应的通用计算机程序,该方法和程序,不仅可以对过盈联接的可靠度进行分析,而且可以对过盈量进行优化,有效地提高配合系统的可靠度。