A record-linkage study on risk factors for cause-specific infant mortality

Infant death certificates were linked with birth certificates for infants born to residents of Tohoku, Tokai and Kyushu regions in 1989 (n = 409, 679, or about one-third of all births in Japan), to examine the effects of variables, as reported on birth certificates, on cause-specific infant mortality. "Certain conditions originating in the perinatal period" and "congenital anomalies" accounted for nearly 90 percent of neonatal deaths, while "congenital anomalies", "injuries and poisoning" and "sudden infant death" were responsible for about 65 percent of postneonatal deaths. Mortality rates for almost all causes of infant deaths, except injuries and poisonings, increased as birth weight decreased not only in the neonatal period but also in the postneonatal period. This suggests that low birth weight places some infants at higher risk of death, and conditions that lead to low birth weight independently contribute to the risk of infant death. Cox's proportional hazards linear model was used to assess the effects of variables on infant mortalities by causes of death. An extremely strong birth weight effect was noted for "certain conditions originating in the perinatal period" and "congenital anomalies". Being a male infant and late order of birth in multiparity were other risk factors for deaths from "congenital anomalies", while being a male infant, resident of Tohoku region and maternal stillbirth experience related to deaths from "certain conditions originating in the perinatal period". Elevated risks of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), of which mortality rate in Japan was considerably lower than those in most developed Western countries, i.e. 0.23 per 1,000 live births in 1989, were associated with low birth weight, being a male infant, low maternal age, late order of birth in multiparity and illegitimacy. Low maternal age, late order of birth in multiparity and illegitimacy, also, related significantly to increased risk of infant deaths for "injuries and poisoning". These results suggest the independent contributions of socioeconomic factors to infant mortality, especially postneonatal mortality, from SIDS, "injuries and poisonings".     

What is the infant mortality rate in South Africa? The need for improved data

OBJECTIVE: To review recent infant mortality and birth registration data in South Africa and to investigate geographical differences. OUTCOME MEASURES: Estimates of infant mortality rates, proportion of births not registered, and proportion of births recorded in health services. METHODS: 1. Published infant mortality data for South Africa were collated. Demographic data from national household surveys (1993 and 1994 October Household Surveys and the 1993 Poverty Survey by the Southern African Labour and Development Research Unit (SALDRU) at UCT) were analysed using the indirect method developed by Brass. 2. Birth registration data were analysed and compared with the estimated number of births to identify regions with greater under-registration. The number of births recorded in the health services was analysed by province in order to assess and explore alternatives within health authorities that could complement the existing system. RESULTS: 1. Published estimates of infant mortality for the period from 1990 range from 40 to 71/1,000 births and estimates based on national household surveys conducted in this period from 11 to 81/1,000 births. 2. Completeness of birth registration in the nine provinces ranges from less than 10% in the Eastern Cape, North West and Northern Province to 60% in the Western Cape. An overall improvement from 19% to 60% could be achieved if births recorded through the health services were included in the vital registration system. CONCLUSIONS: The infant mortality rate in South Africa is not known with any certainty. The extent of completeness of the birth registration system was 19%, which indicates a need for urgent improvement in order to provide key health status indicators. This study indicates that there is some potential for improving the extent of birth registration if it could be facilitated through the health service. However, this alone would not achieve complete registration. RECOMMENDATIONS: Surveys will have to be relied upon until such time as routinely available statistics are accurate. The October Household Survey conducted annually by the Central Statistical Service as potentially an important source of health status information. It is imperative that either the design of the birth history questionnaire be improved or that it be replaced by a less frequent but more specialised demographic and health survey.     

Increased socioeconomic differences in mortality in eight Spanish provinces

In Spain, the study of socioeconomic differences in mortality has been limited by the fact that death certificates often do not include complete information on occupation. In this study, we chose those geographic areas with the highest quality information on occupation of the deceased in order to study socioeconomic differences in mortality from various causes of death. We used information from the death certificates of males who died between 30 and 64 years of age in eight Spanish provinces to compare mortality from the leading causes of death in professionals and managers (group I) and in manual laborers (group II) in 1980-82 and 1988-90. In each period the standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were higher in group II, except for ischaemic heart disease during the first period, and cancer of the colon and rectum in both, although in the latter case the differences were not statistically significant. The ratio between the SMR from all causes in group II and group I was 1.27 in 1980-82, and 1.72 in 1988-90; for cancer of the colon and rectum the ratio went from 0.98 to 0.84, and for ischaemic heart disease, from 0.80 to 1.31. Except for cancer of the colon and rectum, which resulted in higher mortality in occupational group I, the excess mortality in occupational group II increased between the first and second period. The relation between socioeconomic level and mortality for ischaemic heart disease was reversed, a phenomenon similar to that which took place in the 1960s and 1970s in the developed countries.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Blastomycosis in northeast Tennessee

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To study the epidemiologic and clinical features of blastomycosis in northeast Tennessee. DESIGN: Retrospective review of blastomycosis cases in the region from 1980 through 1995. SETTING: Hospitals located in the Tri-Cities region of northeast Tennessee. PATIENTS: Seventy-two patients with confirmed blastomycosis infection. INTERVENTIONS: None. RESULTS: During the 1980 to 1995 study period, we documented 72 cases of blastomycosis. The mean age was 52 years (range, 13 to 86 years), most were male (69.4%), and nine were immunocompromised. A possible environmental exposure was noted for 28 patients. Pulmonary involvement represented the most common site of infection (61 cases), but multiorgan involvement was common (17 cases). Most patients with pulmonary blastomycosis (66%) presented with a chronic illness, and radiologic findings usually revealed local consolidation or a mass-like lesion. Nine patients developed ARDS with an associated mortality rate of 89%, compared with a 10% mortality for non-ARDS pulmonary cases. Antifungal treatment regimens varied widely, with amphotericin B often used for sicker patients. An epidemiologic evaluation revealed that the mean yearly incidence rate for blastomycosis quadrupled between 1980 and 1987 (0.31 cases/ 100,000 population) and 1988 to 1995 (1.23 cases/100,000 population) (p=0.00001). Most new blastomycosis cases in the 1988 to 1995 period occurred in three counties in the region where significant new construction projects have been underway. CONCLUSION: Blastomycosis is endemic in northeast Tennessee and the number of cases is increasing, coinciding with major new construction in the region. Clinicians in the area must be alert to this condition.     

The evolution of mortality in the first year of life in Spain (1975-1988)

In recent years, the rate of decline in infant mortality and the proportional mortality by some causes of death in the first year of life have had important changes. The objectives of this study are to describe such changes, and to suggest hypotheses about their meaning. Infant, early neonatal, late neonatal and postneonatal mortality rates from 1975 to 1988 were calculated with information from the death register. Also, several indicators of the trends of those rates and proportional mortality by "certain conditions originating in the perinatal period" have been calculated. The reduction in infant mortality was due, mainly, to early neonatal mortality, which had an annual average decline of 4.6% during the study period. The proportional mortality and the mortality rate by perinatal conditions in the postneonatal period increased between 1975 and 1988. The first increased from 1.3% to 5.2%, and the second from 0.07 to 0.15 per 1000 live births. Hypotheses about the meaning of these results are suggested, and some actions are proposed in order to monitor and conduct research on mortality during the first year of life.     

A localized double-quantum filter for the in vivo detection of brain glucose

OBJECTIVES: Despite decreasing infant mortality in North Carolina, the gap between African Americans and Whites persists. This study examined how racial differences in infant mortality vary by maternal education. METHODS: Data came from Linked Birth and Infant Death files for 1988 through 1993. Multiple logistic regression models adjusted for confounders. RESULTS: Infant mortality risk ratios comparing African Americans and Whites increased with higher levels of maternal education. Education beyond high school reduced risk of infant mortality by 20% among Whites but had little effect among African Americans. CONCLUSIONS: Higher education magnifies racial differences in infant mortality on a multiplicative scale. Possible reasons include greater stress, fewer economic resources, and poorer quality of prenatal care among African Americans.     

Infant death rates in Queensland, 1962 to 1972

Published statistical material has been used to analyse the infant death rate in Queensland. The neonatal death rates, which tend to reflect the level of obstetric care, were approximately twice as high in the Peninsula Division as in Brisbane, and the late infant mortality rate was almost eight times as high in the Peninsula Division as in Brisbane. In the Peninsula there has been no fall in infant death rate over the 11 years studied. One small area had an infant mortality rate of 100 deaths per 1,000 live births. The areas with the highest infant death rates were those with a significant Aboriginal population. The data show that proximity to major health facilities does not ensure low infant death rates and in the Brisbane Metropolitan Division there were threefold differences in late infant death rates. It seems likely that infant death rates are influenced by the economic status and education of parents and by the priority they place on infant care. The study has shown that published statistical data can detect areas within Queensland with high infant death rates, and could therfore be used to direct resources to improve the well-being of infants in these areas.     

Infant mortality: a multi-level analysis of individual and community risk factors

This paper reports the results of an analysis of infant mortality based on a conceptual model that combines micro-level and macro-level variables taken from demographic, sociological and epidemiological research traditions. Using generalized hierarchical linear modeling techniques, we analyze 1988 and 1989 linked birth and death records for Upstate New York matched with county-level data from government and private sources. Net of health and sociodemographic risk factors. our results show that the number of per capita primary care physicians and local government expenditures on health care services and hospitals are positively linked to an increase in the probability of infant death and that our indicator of hospital facilities is negatively related to risk of death. We also find that some negative health behaviors and health resources of mothers are mediated by the local health care environment. Our results demonstrate the utility of combining perspectives from several disciplines when evaluating infant death, especially the impact of policy-related issues concerning health care service in     

Random coil conformation of a Gly/Ala-rich insert in IkappaB alpha excludes structural stabilization as the mechanism for protection against proteasomal degradation

BACKGROUND: In recent years, mortality from lung cancer has increased rapidly in Korea, a South East Asian country with a high prevalence of smoking. The objectives of this study are to examine how age, period, and birth cohort effects contributed to trends in lung cancer mortality in Korea 1980-1994, and to predict lung cancer mortality rates for 1995-2004. METHODS: Age- and sex-specific lung cancer mortality rates were obtained from annual reports of the National Office of Statistics in Korea. Poisson regression models were used to estimate age, period and cohort effects. RESULTS: Among men, age-adjusted annual mortality rates from lung cancer (per 100000) increased from 3.7 in 1980 to 17.8 in 1994; corresponding rates for women were 1.4 and 7.0. As age increased, mortality rates from lung cancer increased more rapidly in men than in women. Within the same age group, the mortality of younger cohorts was higher than older cohorts. The average annual number of lung cancer deaths projected for the years 2000-2004 among men and women will be 15441 and 3572 respectively, while the average annual age-adjusted mortality rates from lung cancer (per 100000) will be 65.4 for men and 15.1 for women. These rates correspond to 17.7- and 10.7-fold increases over the 1980 mortality rates in men and women, respectively. CONCLUSION: These results, in conjunction with trends in tobacco consumption, indicate that mortality from lung cancer in both men and women will increase substantially through the early part of the 21st century in Korea.     

SIDS--a retrospective study in Slovakia

This is an analysis of 102 cases of SIDS from retrospective studies in the Zilina and Senica districts. The incidence of SIDS in the Zilina district was 2.04/1000 (period 1969-1978) and 1.04/1000 (period 1980-1984). The incidence of SIDS in the Senica district was 0.82/1000 (period 1979-1990). According to preliminary results of the epidemiological study of SIDS in Slovakia (1991) the incidence is only 0.89/1000 which amounts, however, to 23.1% of the post-neonatal mortality. In the investigation nine indicators were evaluated: age at the time of death, morbidity before death, place of death, education of mother, position of infant at time of death, birth weight succession of child in family. The assembled results were compared with data in the literature. Because of similar results it is assumed that the following risk factors participate in the incidence of SIDS: age (2-4 months), time between midnight and 6 a.m., low socio-economic status of family, lower education of mother, incidence of SIDS in the family, short interval between childbirths, prone position during sleep, succession of child in family (third or subsequent), effect of smoking. The investigation did not confirm as risk factors a lower birth weight and inadequate postnatal adaptation. In the conclusions some possible ways of prevention are outlined.     

Trends in relative mortality from cerebrovascular diseases in Brazilian state capitals, 1950-1988

This article seeks to describe trends in relative mortality from cerebrovascular diseases (CVDs) in Brazilian state capitals from 1950 through 1988. Absolute numbers of deaths from all causes; from CVDs; and from ill-defined signs, symptoms, and afflictions were obtained from official Brazilian mortality statistics. In calculating relative CVD mortality, deaths from ill-defined signs, symptoms, and afflictions were excluded. The collected data permitted calculation of relative CVD mortality in most state capitals for 1950, 1955, 1960, 1961-1965, 1966-1970, 1971-1975, 1977-1980, 1981-1985, and 1986-1988. During the study period CVD mortality was found to play an increasing role in overall mortality in all the state capitals. Regional grouping of data showed greater relative CVD mortality in the South and Southwest Regions toward the start of the study period. However, over the course of this period the part that CVD mortality played in overall mortality grew most rapidly in the less-developed North, Northeast, and Center-West Regions. In general, relative CVD mortality data in nearly all the state capitals demonstrate the attention that needs to be devoted to CVDs within the context of adult public health. In particular, there is a clear need to greatly strengthen and improve the marginal existing programs for detection and control of hypertension and diabetes in Brazil. This should be done by assessing international experience with programs of this type and adapting that experience to Brazilian conditions. Beyond that, it will be important to support health promotion and protection efforts that can deal with risk factors and secure prevention through lifestyle modification--something that can provide benefits in dealing not only with CVDs but also with diabetes, obesity, and certain neoplasias.     

Thrombolytic eligibility

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence and time trends for diagnosed and undiagnosed diabetes, impaired fasting glucose, and impaired glucose tolerance in U.S. adults by age, sex, and race or ethnic group, based on data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988-1994 (NHANES III) and prior Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (HANESs). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: NHANES III contained a probability sample of 18,825 U.S. adults > or = 20 years of age who were interviewed to ascertain a medical history of diagnosed diabetes, a subsample of 6,587 adults for whom fasting plasma glucose values were obtained, and a subsample of 2,844 adults between 40 and 74 years of age who received an oral glucose tolerance test. The Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1976-1980, and Hispanic HANES used similar procedures to ascertain diabetes. Prevalence was calculated using the 1997 American Diabetes Association fasting plasma glucose criteria and the 1980-1985 World Health Organization (WHO) oral glucose tolerance test criteria. RESULTS: Prevalence of diagnosed diabetes in 1988-1994 was estimated to be 5.1% for U.S. adults > or = 20 years of age (10.2 million people when extrapolated to the 1997 U.S. population). Using American Diabetes Association criteria, the prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes (fasting plasma glucose > or = 126 mg/dl) was 2.7% (5.4 million), and the prevalence of impaired fasting glucose (110 to < 126 mg/dl) was 6.9% (13.4 million). There were similar rates of diabetes for men and women, but the rates for non-Hispanic blacks and Mexican-Americans were 1.6 and 1.9 times the rate for non-Hispanic whites. Based on American Diabetes Association criteria, prevalence of diabetes (diagnosed plus undiagnosed) in the total population of people who were 40-74 years of age increased from 8.9% in the period 1976-1980 to 12.3% by 1988-1994. A similar increase was found when WHO criteria were applied (11.4 and 14.3%). CONCLUSIONS: The high rates of abnormal fasting and postchallenge glucose found in NHANES III, together with the increasing frequency of obesity and sedentary lifestyles in the population, make it likely that diabetes will continue to be a major health problem in the U.S.     

Using survey data to assess neonatal tetanus mortality levels and trends in developing countries

Demographic and health surveys are a useful source of information on the levels and trends of neonatal mortality in developing countries. Such surveys provide data on mortality occurring at 4-14 days of life, which is a sensitive indicator of neonatal tetanus mortality. We analyze birth history data from 37 national surveys in developing countries to assess the quality of neonatal mortality data and to estimate levels and trends in mortality occurring at 4-14 days. It is shown that mortality at 4-14 days has declined considerably during the last decade in most developing countries, concomitant with development and expansion of programs to reduce neonatal tetanus. These declines show that reductions in neonatal tetanus mortality probably have been an important contributor to the decline of neonatal and infant mortality during the 1980s.     

Changes in the surgical treatment of gallstones during a 10 year period

OBJECTIVE: To investigate changes in the surgical treatment of gallstones during a 10 year period. DESIGN: A retrospective study of medical records. SETTING: A community hospital serving a population of 108,000 inhabitants. SUBJECTS: All patients having their first operation for gallstones during the periods 1976-1978 and 1986-1988. RESULTS: The annual frequency of operations for gallstones decreased from 2.01 to 1.13/1,000 inhabitants, and the corresponding frequency of operations on the common duct decreased from 0.39 to 0.28. The percentage of urgent operations increased from 19 to 47. CONCLUSION: A decline in the prevalence of cholelithiasis or a more restrictive attitude of elective operations for gallstones, or both, would explain the overall reduction in surgery for gallstones. The introduction of endoscopic sphincterotomy has considerably changed the treatment of cholelithiasis. The increased age of the patients and higher percentage of urgent operations has not resulted in any increase in postoperative morbidity and mortality.     

Mass screening for neuroblastoma at 6 months of age: difficult to justify

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: A statistical analysis of the mass screening for neuroblastoma in Japan based on a population study rarely has been reported. This study aims to evaluate retrospectively the effectiveness of mass screening at 6 months of age using the available population data. METHODS: The data on the neuroblastoma cases registered by the Committee for Pediatric Solid Malignant Tumors in the Kyushu area were analyzed based on both screened and unscreened populations in the Kyushu area. RESULTS: From 1988 to 1992, the cumulative incidence of neuroblastoma in children less than 5 years of age was 82 in 484,599 for screened children, and 11 in 92,966 for unscreened children, respectively. Fourteen of the 82 screened patients had negative findings at 6 months of age (MS-negative cases). No significant difference was observed in the cumulative mortality rates from neuroblastoma in children younger than 5 years of age between the screened children and the unscreened children. Six of seven patients who died among the screened children were MS-negative cases with stage III or IV disease. In addition, no significant difference was found in the cumulative mortality rates from the neuroblastoma cases in patients less than 5 years of age between the children screened from 1988 to 1992 (7 of 484,599) and all children from 1980 to 1984 (14 of 668,084). CONCLUSIONS:These findings suggests that the majority of the patients detected by mass screening had a favorable prognosis, and, mass screening in Japan for children less than 6 months of age was not observed to reduce the incidence and mortality from neuroblastoma. Therefore, mass screening at 6 months of age was not found to improve substantially the prognosis of patients with unfavorable neuroblastoma identified over 1 year of age, which is the primary purpose of such mass screening for neuroblastoma.     

Stroke mortality and its socioeconomic, racial, and behavioral correlates in Florida

Stroke mortality is associated both with being black and with having low socioeconomic status. However, it is uncertain to what extent that increased risk is related to rates of behavior-related risk factors, such as hypertension, cigarette smoking, obesity, or alcohol consumption. The investigators performed an ecologic analysis to estimate the contributions of behavioral risks, socioeconomic status, and black race to regional variations in stroke mortality rates among persons 55-84 years of age in Florida. They used data from the 1980 census and from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) for 1986 through 1988. Weighted multiple linear regression models indicated that regions in Florida with high stroke mortality rates were characterized by high prevalences of poverty, obesity, and hypertension. Although limited by its ecologic design, this study suggests that socioeconomic status and prevalence of behavioral risks contribute independently to interregional disparities in stroke mortality rates in Florida. BRFSS data, now available for more than 45 States, can be used to help clarify the relative contributions of behavioral and other risks to population-based mortality rates.     

Trends in hospitalizations and mortality due to medicinal or non-medicinal poisonings in Hong Kong

Previous epidemiologic studies of poisonings in Hong Kong are regional hospital-or poison information center-based and have focused on either adults or children. This paper reports on the territory-wide hospitalization and mortality rates, comparing medicinal and non-medicinal poisonings in the general population. Between 1980 and 1995, the figures for hospitalizations and mortality due to medicinal (ICD codes 960-977) or non-medicinal (ICD codes 980-989) poisonings were obtained from the Annual Reports of the Department of Health, Hong Kong Government. Rates of medicinal poisonings increased between 1980/81 (57.3/100,000) and 1987/88 (80.9/100,000), but then declined (59.1/100,000) in 1993/94. Rates of non-medicinal poisonings were rather static (49-53/100,000) between 1980/81 and 1988/89, but then declined (22.0/100,000) in 1994/95. Between 1980/81 and 1988/89, rates of fatal medicinal poisonings (0.73-1.31/100,000) were similar to those of fatal non-medicinal poisonings (0.98-1.70/100,000). However, from 1989/90, there was an increase in the rates of fatal medicinal poisonings (1.94-2.80/100,000), although rates for non-medicinal poisonings remained much the same (0.80-1.38/100,000). Hospitalizations due to poisonings are now less common in Hong Kong than before, due largely to a greater decline in non-medicinal poisonings.     

Prostate cancer in Denmark: a 50-year population-based study

OBJECTIVES: To review the trends in prostate cancer (PC) incidence and mortality rates in Denmark during a 50-year period. METHODS: A population-based register study was performed of all new cases of PC recorded in the Danish Cancer Registry from 1943 to 1992. RESULTS: The age-standardized incidence rate for PC increased from 11.5/100,000 in 1943 to 1947 to 30.9/100,000 in 1988 to 1992. Age-specific incidence rates increased in all age groups over 50 years of age. Mortality rates increased from 13.5/100,000 in 1953 to 1957 to 17.8/100,000 in 1988 to 1992. No major changes in the distribution of age, stage at the time of diagnosis, or in diagnostic procedures were found, indicating that the observed change in incidence rates was not caused by attempted early detection or changes in diagnostic strategy. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that the increased PC incidence observed during the period of cancer registration in Denmark represents a true increase in the number of patients with clinical PC.     

Impact of maternal and child health strategy on child survival in a rural community of Pondicherry

OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of Maternal and Child Health (MCH) services on child survival in a socio-economically backward rural community. SETTING: Twelve villages in Pondicherry with a population of 16,803. DESIGN: Prospective study. SUBJECTS: A birth cohort of 356 live births (LB) born between January 1st and December 31st 1988. METHODS: The live births were followed-up from birth to five years age (1988-1993). The health care received by this cohort and the antenatal services received by the cohort mothers was reviewed. Outcome measures related to child survival were determined and their changing trend since 1967 was examined. RESULTS: Fifty-four per cent of the cohort children were from families below the poverty line. Antenatal registration and tetanus immunization coverage of the mothers of the cohort was 100%. Immunization coverage of the cohort children was more than 98% for BCG, DPT (three doses) and OPV (three doses) and 82% for measles. The infant mortality rate had reduced from 201/1000 LB in 1967 to 64/1000 LB (95% CI 58.9-68.1) in 1989. The child death rate decreased from 29.4/1000 children 1-4 years of age (1970) to 18/1000 (95% CI 13.9-22.1) in 1992. There were no deaths due to neonatal tetanus or measles. Neonatal mortality (35/1000 LB; 95% CI 29.9-40.1) was higher than the post-neonatal mortality (29/1000 LB; 95% CI 24.1-33.9). Fifty eight per cent of the neonatal deaths were due to non-infective causes like prematurity, birth asphyxia, birth injuries and congenital anomalies. Eighty per cent of post neonatal deaths were due to infections. Overall, the child survival index was high (91.27%; 95% CI 88.14-94.26). This was inspite of the low socio-economic background of the children's families. CONCLUSIONS: Good MCH services can substantially improve child survival inspite of prevailing low socio-economic situations. Inputs for neonatal care need to be strengthened to further enhance child survival.