A Strategy of Dynamic Reasoning in Knowledge-Based System with Fuzzy Production Rules

Fuzzy production rules have been successfully applied to represent uncertainty in a knowledge-based system. The knowledge organized as a knowledge base is static. On the other hand, a real system such as the stock market is dynamic in nature. Therefore we need a strategy to reflect the dynamic nature of a system when we make reasoning with a knowledge-based system.This paper proposes a strategy of dynamic reasoning that can be used to takes account the dynamic behavior of decision-making with the knowledge-based system consisted of fuzzy rules. A degree of match (DM) between actual input information and antecedent of a rule is represented by a value in interval [0, 1]. Weights of relative importance of attributes in a rule are obtained by the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) method. Then these weights are applied as exponents for the DM, and the DMs in a rule are combined, with the Min operator, into a single DM for the rule. In this way, the importance of attributes of a rule, which can be changed from time to time, can be reflected to reasoning in knowledge-based system with fuzzy rules.With the proposed reasoning procedure, a decision maker can take his judgment on the given decision environment into a static knowledge base with fuzzy rules when he makes decision with the knowledge base. This procedure can be automated as a pre-processing system for fuzzy expert systems. Thereby the quality of decisions could be enhanced.     

A probabilistic reasoning-based decision support system for selection of remediation technologies for petroleum-contaminated sites

Selection of remediation technologies for petroleum-contaminated sites is difficult given the large number of technologies available and inherent uncertainties involved in the selection process. In this paper, we explore the use of an inexact algorithm for probability reasoning for dealing with the uncertainties involved in the problem. By incorporating domain knowledge as well as the stochastic uncertainty, a probabilistic rule-based decision support system (PDSS) has been developed to support the decision making process. The system has been applied to two case studies, in which the best option of remediation technology can be determined according to calculated probability values. In comparison to deterministic and fuzzy decision support systems, the PDSS can provide a recommendation together with a measure on the reliability or degree to which the recommended decision can be trusted.     

不完备区间值模糊信息系统的粗糙集理论

考虑到模糊信息系统的不完备性和信息值的不确定性,讨论了不完备区间值模糊信息系统的粗糙集理论,给出了粗糙近似算子的性质。研究了不完备区间值模糊信息系统上的知识发现,提出了基于不完备区间值决策表的决策规则和属性约简,最后给出算例。     

一类多测点系统的智能化决策方法

本文以人工智能原理和模糊推为基础，分析了一类多测点系统中决策测点的智能化方法，并给出实现测试系统的智能化决定策算法，实验结果表明，本文所述方法是成功的。     

Fuzzy Non-Homogeneous Markov Systems

In this paper the theory of fuzzy logic and fuzzy reasoning is combined with the theory of Markov systems and the concept of a fuzzy non-homogeneous Markov system is introduced for the first time. This is an effort to deal with the uncertainty introduced in the estimation of the transition probabilities and the input probabilities in Markov systems. The asymptotic behaviour of the fuzzy Markov system and its asymptotic variability is considered and given in closed analytic form. Moreover, the asymptotically attainable structures of the system are estimated also in a closed analytic form under some realistic assumptions. The importance of this result lies in the fact that in most cases the traditional methods for estimating the probabilities can not be used due to lack of data and measurement errors. The introduction of fuzzy logic into Markov systems represents a powerful tool for taking advantage of the symbolic knowledge that the experts of the systems possess.     

基于T-S模糊推理优化KPI的应用

模糊系统是一种基于知识或基于规则的系统,它的核心就是由所谓的IF-THEN规则所组成的知识库.模糊推理就是针对给定的系统输入,综合运用知识库中的模糊推理规则,获得系统输出的过程.而T-S模糊模型的基本思想是将正常的模糊规则及其推理转换成一种数学表达形式.本文拟将绩效考核与模糊推理的优越性进行有效的结合,研究讨论出T-S模糊推理在绩效考核中的应用.以验证其收敛性及优越性.     

模糊Petri网在带权不精确知识表示和推理中的应用研究

Petri网是一种适合于描述异步并发事件的计算机系统模型 ,可以有效地对并行和并发系统进行形式化验证和行为分析 .以模糊 Petri网的基本定义为基础 ,讨论了带权模糊知识的模糊产生式系统表示法 ,建立了这种表示法与模糊 Petri网之间的映射关系和转换算法 ;在对模糊 Petri网进一步扩充的基础上 ,解决了与知识的模糊Petri网表示相关的几个问题 ;最后给出了模糊 Petri网中不确定性的计算方法和相应的不精确推理算法     

A CASE-BASED DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR INDIVIDUAL STRESS DIAGNOSIS USING FUZZY SIMILARITY MATCHING

Stress diagnosis based on finger temperature (FT) signals is receiving increasing interest in the psycho-physiological domain. However, in practice, it is difficult and tedious for a clinician and particularly less experienced clinicians to understand, interpret, and analyze complex, lengthy sequential measurements to make a diagnosis and treatment plan. The paper presents a case-based decision support system to assist clinicians in performing such tasks. Case-based reasoning (CBR) is applied as the main methodology to facilitate experience reuse and decision explanation by retrieving previous similar temperature profiles. Further fuzzy techniques are also employed and incorporated into the CBR system to handle vagueness, uncertainty inherently existing in clinicians reasoning as well as imprecision of feature values. Thirty-nine time series from 24 patients have been used to evaluate the approach (matching algorithms) and an expert has ranked and estimated similarity. On average goodness-of-fit for the fuzzy matching algorithm is 90% in ranking and 81% in similarity estimation that shows a level of performance close to an experienced expert. Therefore, we have suggested that a fuzzy matching algorithm in combination with CBR is a valuable approach in domains, where the fuzzy matching model similarity and case preference is consistent with the views of domain expert. This combination is also valuable, where domain experts are aware that the crisp values they use have a possibility distribution that can be estimated by the expert and is used when experienced experts reason about similarity. This is the case in the psycho-physiological domain and experienced experts can estimate this distribution of feature values and use them in their reasoning and explanation process.     

A generic, object-oriented case-knowledge representation scheme, and its integration into a wider information management scenario

Abstract: A knowledge base management system (KBMS) realises a combination of techniques found in database management systems and knowledge-based systems. At the data model and knowledge representation level, many systems of this kind constitute a marriage of the relational data model and the rule-based reasoning. Experience has shown that either approach is restricted in the way it can express the demanding information and knowledge structures required for applications like decision support systems. Two new technologies offer an exciting new integrated approach to knowledge management. Object-oriented database management systems (OODBMS) provide an object model that supports powerful abstraction mechanisms to facilitate the modelling of highly structured information. Whereas case-based reasoning (CBR) systems are knowledge bases which organise their capabilities around a memory of past cases and the notion of similarity. Both types of system are built upon two fundamental concepts: 1) the retrieval of entities with potentially complex structure, called objects in the former, and cases in the latter type of system; 2) the organisation of those entities in collections with common characteristics. In an OODBMS such collections are termed extents, and in CBR they are usually called categories. In either system, the conceptual meta notion to represent both, objects as well as extents, and cases as well as categories, is the class.
Revolving around a Conceptual Case Class and extending a standard object model, this paper proposes a novel and general approach to represent case-knowledge and to build KBMSs. The work presented here is a spin-off of the design of an object query language within the ESPRIT project Lynx.     

基于犹豫模糊可信度的知识推理

针对不确定性推理中的可信度估值不精确的问题,将犹豫模糊集引入可信度不确定性推理中。提出犹豫模糊可信度的定义,并基于可信度的知识表示给出犹豫模糊可信度的知识表示方式。为解决专家在推理过程中出现的信息缺失问题,提出求解平均值的信息补全方法。构建犹豫模糊可信度的单条规则和多条规则并行关系的运算法则,并给出基于犹豫模糊可信度的知识表示与推理的具体步骤。最后,运用实例验证了所提算法的可行性及有效性。     

Divergence-based cross entropy and uncertainty measures of Atanassov’s intuitionistic fuzzy sets with their application in decision making

The uncertainty measure of Atanassov’s intuitionistic fuzzy sets (AIFSs) is important for information discrimination under intuitionistic fuzzy environment. Although many entropy measures and knowledge measures haven been proposed to depict uncertainty of AIFSs, how to measure the uncertainty of AIFSs is still an open topic. The relation between uncertainty and other measures like entropy measures, fuzziness and intuitionism is not clear. This paper introduces uncertainty measures by using new defined divergence-based cross entropy measure of AIFSs. Axiomatic properties of the developed uncertainty measure are analysis, together with the monotony property of uncertainty degree with respect to fuzziness and intuitionism. To adjust the contribution of fuzzy entropy and intuitionistic entropy on the total uncertainty, the proposed cross entropy and uncertainty measures are parameterized. Numerical examples indicate the effectiveness and agility of the biparametric uncertainty measure in quantifying uncertainty degree. Then we apply the cross entropy and uncertainty measures into an optimal model to determine attribute weights in multi-attribute group decision making (MAGDM) problems. A new method for intuitionistic fuzzy MAGDM problems is proposed to show the efficiency of proposed measures in applications. It is demonstrated by application examples that the proposed measures can get reasonable results coinciding with other existing methods.     

模糊推理协处理器芯片

模糊推理协处理器VLSI芯片F200采用0.8μm CMOS工艺,作为一种模糊 控制器,主要用于实时过程控制和其它适合的应用场合,例如机器人控制、分类器、专家系 统等.F200芯片支持多个模糊知识库工作,支持最常用的两种模糊模型,Mamdani和 Trakagi-Sugeno模型.芯片精度12位,主频20MHz,推理速度约为每秒1.2M条模糊规则.     

Quantum Fuzzy Support Vector Machine for Binary Classification

In the objective world, how to deal with the complexity and uncertainty of big data efficiently and accurately has become the premise and key to machine learning. Fuzzy support vector machine (FSVM) not only deals with the classification problems for training samples with fuzzy information, but also assigns a fuzzy membership degree to each training sample, allowing different training samples to contribute differently in predicting an optimal hyperplane to separate two classes with maximum margin, reducing the effect of outliers and noise, Quantum computing has super parallel computing capabilities and holds the promise of faster algorithmic processing of data. However, FSVM and quantum computing are incapable of dealing with the complexity and uncertainty of big data in an efficient and accurate manner. This paper research and propose an efficient and accurate quantum fuzzy support vector machine (QFSVM) algorithm based on the fact that quantum computing can efficiently process large amounts of data and FSVM is easy to deal with the complexity and uncertainty problems. The central idea of the proposed algorithm is to use the quantum algorithm for solving linear systems of equations (HHL algorithm) and the least-squares method to solve the quadratic programming problem in the FSVM. The proposed algorithm can determine whether a sample belongs to the positive or negative class while also achieving a good generalization performance. Furthermore, this paper applies QFSVM to handwritten character recognition and demonstrates that QFSVM can be run on quantum computers, and achieve accurate classification of handwritten characters. When compared to FSVM, QFSVM’s computational complexity decreases exponentially with the number of training samples.     

基于FMEA和模糊Petri网推理的装备保障过程诊断研究

为满足装备保障过程分析、瓶颈优化的需要,提出基于失效模式影响分析(FMEA)和模糊Petri网推理的装备保障过程诊断方法,通过FMEA建立装备保障过程诊断的因果图,由因果图确定保障过程诊断的推理规则,应用模糊Petri网建立智能的、利于计算机编程实现的保障过程诊断的过程模型。通过研究发现,基于FMEA的规则形成方法便于知识、经验向规则的准确转换提取,模糊Petri网的方法利于将推理过程形式化,实现推理的自动化,提高过程诊断的效率。研究的过程诊断模型和方法已在集群装备保障过程优化决策系统实现中取得较好的效果。     

Design a new mixed expert decision aiding system using fuzzy ELECTRE III method for vendor selection

Any decision process deals with two different concerns as its cornerstones, evaluating the alternatives and ranking them based on their performances. In any decision process, the former phase is usually the premise of the latter one. Alternatives’ evaluation is the concept that largely depends on the experts and their expertise, which increase uncertainty in the decision-making process. In addition to all proposed methods for having the experts’ knowledge as evaluations of the alternatives, utilizing expert decision support systems (EDSS) can be a sensible response to such a need. Having evaluated the alternatives in the first phase of a decision-making process, the second phase of the process deals with the ranking the alternatives based on their performances obtained from the first phase. In this paper, we discuss the architecture of a fuzzy system including both modules, utilizing fuzzy concept for dealing with the uncertainty of the problem. Concerning the problem we had been dealt with, our system comprises a fuzzy evaluation module, which is a fuzzy expert system and an appropriate tool for evaluating the existing alternatives promptly and smoothly, without the imposed time delays by the experts to propose their comments and the uncertainty of such expertise-based comments, and a fuzzy ranking module, which is a fuzzy version of ELECTRE III method ranking the alternatives based on their outranking relations and by considering the existing uncertainty in their performances. This way the final ranking is resulted from an independent fuzzy system, which has considered the existing uncertainty in the evaluations not once but twice. Our proposed system has been applied to a real case of vendor selection process in one of the greatest and the most famous companies in the Iranian oil industry, OIEC, and the results are discussed.     

A multi-agent system model of a diesel engine using rule induction

The proliferation of a multi-agent system (MAS) and ideas from Artificial Intelligence (AI)/distributed AI have changed the way systems, in general are controlled, and operation of a system (diesel engine) in particular is automated. In this paper a distributed multi-agent architecture for a diesel engine and the knowledge sources that handle electricity generation is developed. Electronic devices and components used for data handling are described. The sensed data are presented in fuzzy logic and calculated in entropy values and depicted in a decision hierarchy. A comparative performance assessment of the proposed multi-agent based system with an existing system is presented and discussed.     

A case-based reasoning approach to cognitive map-driven tacitknowledge management

Knowledge is at the heart of knowledge management. In literature, a lot of studies have been suggested covering the role of knowledge in improving the performance of management. However, there are few studies about investigating knowledge itself in the arena of knowledge management. Knowledge circulating in an organization may be explicit or tacit. Until now, literature in knowledge management shows that it has mainly focused on explicit knowledge. On the other hand, tacit knowledge plays an important role in the success of knowledge management. It is relatively hard to formalize and reuse tacit knowledge. Therefore, research proposing the explication and reuse of tacit knowledge would contribute significantly to knowledge management research. In this sense, we propose using cognitive map (CM) as a main vehicle of formalizing tacit knowledge, and case-based reasoning as a tool for storing CM-driven tacit knowledge in the form of frame-typed cases, and retrieving appropriate tacit knowledge from the case base according to a new problem. Our proposed methodology was applied to a credit analysis problem in which decision-makers need tacit knowledge to assess whether a firm under consideration is healthy or not. Experiment results showed that our methodology for tacit knowledge management can provide decision makers with robust knowledge-based support.     

模糊软集之间的相似性度量及应用

研究模糊软集的不确定度量问题,给出模糊软集的包含度、相似度公理化定义;基于模糊蕴含算子提出新的模糊软集包含度与相似度度量方法,该方法具有一定的普遍性,在某种程度上提供不同的模糊蕴含算子就可得到不同的包含度与相似度。基于新的相似度度量方法构造了一种决策方法并应用于金融企业流动性检测中。     

Automated knowledge acquisition for design and manufacturing: The case of micromachined atomizer

In order to remain competitive in the global market, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are developing a process-based, knowledge-driven product development environment with emphasis on the acquisition, storing, and utilization of manufacturing knowledge. This is usually achieved by using the symbolic artificial intelligence (AI) approach. Specifically, knowledge-based expert systems are developed to capture human expertise, mostly in terms of IF–THEN production rules. It has been recognized that the development of symbolic knowledge-based expert systems suffers from the so-called knowledge acquisition bottleneck. Knowledge acquisition is the process of collecting domain knowledge and transforming the knowledge into a computerized representation. It is a challenging and time-consuming process due to the difficulties involved in eliciting knowledge from human experts. This paper presents an automated approach for knowledge acquisition by integrating neural networks learning ability and fuzzy logics structured knowledge representation. Using this approach, knowledge is automatically acquired from data and represented using humanly intelligible fuzzy rules. The approach is applied to a case study of the design and manufacturing of micromachined atomizers for gas turbine engine. The influence of geometric features on the performance of the atomizers is investigated. The results are then compared with those obtained using traditional regression analysis approach (abstract mathematical models). It was found that the automated approach provides an efficient means for knowledge acquisition. Since the fuzzy rules extracted are easy to understand, they can be used to allow more clear specification of manufacturing processes and to shorten learning curves for novice manufacturing engineers.     

Some applications of fuzzy logic in rule–based expert systems

Fuzzy logic has been used as a means of interpreting vague, incomplete and even contradictory information into a compromised rule base in artificial intelligence such as machine decision–making. Within this context, fuzzy logic can be applied in the field of expert systems to provide additional flexibilities in constructing a working rule base: different experts' opinions can be incorporated into the same rule base, and each opinion can be modeled in a rather vague notion of human language. As some illustrative application examples, this paper describes how fuzzy logic can be used in expert systems. More precisely, it demonstrates the following applications: (i) a healthcare diagnostic system, (ii) an autofocus camera lens system and (iii) a financial decision system. For each application, basic rules are described, the calculation method is outlined and numerical simulation is provided. These applications demonstrate the suitability and performance of fuzzy logic in expert systems.