基于自相关函数的模糊时间序列优化算法

针对模糊时间序列模型中模糊推理规则的优化问题, 提出一种时间序列的自相关理论与模糊时间序列相结合的算法. 首先考查数据平稳化; 然后运用传统的数据模糊化方法得到模糊集, 进而建立模糊规则, 并运用自相关函数理论对模糊规则进行优化; 最后通过对Alabama 大学注册人数的预测验证了所提出算法的有效性.

     

阵列信号源数估计方法研究

阵列信号源数的估计是空间谱估计中的一个重要问题。特征值门限预测法对阵列数据协方差矩阵的噪声特征值的上限进行预测,根据预测值的大小来决定信号源数。并且该算法不需要人为的设定检验门限。本文先从理论出发,推导了特征值门限预测算法;然后以均匀线性天线阵列进行仿真,对算法的正确性进行检验。     

一种预处理的恒模波束形成算法

传统恒模波束形成算法在干扰信号功率大于期望信号功率情况下会出现干扰捕获现象。针对这一问题,提出一种预处理波束形成算法。预处理波束形成算法利用天线接收的数据矩阵的协方差矩阵构造新的协方差矩阵,使新的协方差矩阵关于期望信号的对角最小化,并用新的协方差矩阵的最小特征值对应的特征向量作为权值的初始值,此算法能够准确地捕获到期望信号并抑制干扰信号。通过仿真证实了算法的有效性。     

基于模糊聚类的CO2数据流时空异常模式研究*

传统的异常检测算法不能区分CO2数据流的异常类型,为了有效识别因泄漏造成CO2数据流的异常,提出了基于模糊聚类的CO2数据流时空异常模式检测算法。该算法首先利用3 规则实现自适应阈值的异常点检测,其次提取待检测滑动窗口的特征值（均值）,构建指定区间内邻居节点间的时空关系矩阵,采用模糊聚类分析相邻节点特征值的时空相关性并对其进行分类,根据分类结果确定泄漏异常概率,最后利用真实观测数据对算法进行验证并对参数的选取进行分析。实验结果表明该算法能有效的识别因泄漏造成的事件异常,具有较高的检测率和较低的误警率。     

基于T-S 模型和小世界优化算法的广义非线性预测控制

提出一种新型的基于T-S模糊模型和小世界优化算法的广义非线性预测控制策略.采用基于混沌遗传算法的T-S模糊模型描述复杂非线性系统的动态特性,构成模糊多步预报器.同时,针对现有基于二进制和十进制编码小世界优化算法运行时间长等缺点,提出一种新型的基于实数编码的小世界优化算法,函数测试和应用于非线性预测控制的滚动优化反映了其较强的寻优能力.最后,将其应用于基于实际数据的T-S模糊模型的广义非线性预测控制,满足了系统实时性和快速稳定性的要求.     

鲁棒比例与部分状态导数反馈控制系统设计

基于广义线性系统比例与部分状态导数反馈参数化特征结构配置结果和矩阵对广义特征值灵敏度结果, 得到了关于开环系统矩阵中摄动元素的闭环特征值灵敏度的参数表达式, 并在此基础上提出了广义线性系统比例与部分状态导数反馈最小灵敏度特征值配置的有效算法. 该算法不含有"返回"过程, 允许闭环特征值在希望的区域内方便地参与优化. 一个算例说明了算法的简单性和有效性.     

新的分布交互式多模型广义概率数据关联算法

为有效解决密集杂波环境下分布式多传感器多机动目标跟踪问题,提出了一种基于改进D-S证据组合规则的分布交互式多模型多传感器广义概率数据关联（DIMM-MSGPDA-IDS）算法。该算法首先对各局部节点均应用单传感器的IMM-GPDA算法跟踪多机动目标,并将其各模型的状态估计、协方差估计、模型概率、组合新息及其协方差矩阵等滤波结果送至融合中心;在航迹关联判决结束后,融合中心根据各模型对应似然函数的大小融合不同传感器关于同一目标的模型状态估计及其协方差矩阵,并提出利用三维（3-D）证据进行直接融合的改进D-S算法对来源于同一目标的不同传感器的各模型概率进行有效融合,然后依此概率来更新各目标的状态估计并反馈至各局部节点,使之获得更为精确的状态预测;最后,将该算法与基于D-S证据组合规则的分布交互式多模型多传感器联合概率数据关联（DIMM-MSJPDA-DS）算法进行仿真对比分析。理论分析和仿真结果表明,该算法能够很好地对强机动目标进行跟踪,且其计算量相对较小,是一种有效的分布交互式多模型多传感器多机动目标跟踪算法。     

基于增广矩阵束方法的平面天线阵列综合

针对平面阵列的稀布优化问题,提出了一种基于增广矩阵束方法的减少阵元数目、求解阵元位置和设计幅度激励的优化方法。首先对期望平面阵的方向图进行采样并由采样点数据构造增广矩阵,对此矩阵进行奇异值(SVD)分解,确定在误差允许范围内所需的最小阵元数目;然后基于广义特征值分解分别计算两组特征值,并根据类ESPRIT算法对特征值进行配对;最后在最小二乘准则条件下根据正确的特征值对求解平面阵列的阵元位置和激励。仿真结果表明该算法具有较高的计算效率和数值精度。     

基于改进PSO与规则约简的模糊系统优化算法

模糊系统是一种具有强可解释性和高鲁棒性的智能方法,但目前仍存在精度不高、产生的模糊规则太多等缺陷.针对目前存在的问题,论文通过改进粒子群优化算法优化模糊系统高斯型隶属度函数的参数,以及计算规则支持度约简模糊规则,提出了CPSFS和SPSFS两种模糊系统优化算法.在两个不同领域的经典数据集上的研究结果表明:1)CPSFS算法在训练集和测试集上的预测精度明显优于传统的BP神经网络、RBF神经网络、线性回归等算法;2)CPSFS算法与SPSFS算法减少了大量模糊规则,保证了模型的可解释性;3)CPSFS算法在约简模糊规则后预测精度依然表现最优,符合新时代下回归问题对于AI技术的要求.     

不确定性数据中基于GSO优化MF的模糊关联规则挖掘方法

针对不确定性数据中模糊关联规则的挖掘问题,提出一种基于群搜索优化(GSO)算法优化隶属度函数(MF)的模糊关联规则挖掘方法。首先,将不确定性数据通过三元语言表示模型进行表示;然后,给定一个初始MF,并以最大化模糊项集支持度和语义可解释性作为适应度函数,通过GSO算法的优化学习获得最佳MF;最后,根据获得的最佳MF,利用改进型的FFP-growth算法来从不确定数据中挖掘模糊关联规则。实验结果表明,该方法能够根据数据集自适应优化MF,以此实现从不确定数据中有效地挖掘关联规则。     

Incremental fuzzy temporal association rule mining using fuzzy grid table

Traditional temporal association rules mining algorithms cannot dynamically update the temporal association rules within the valid time interval with increasing data. In this paper, a new algorithm called incremental fuzzy temporal association rule mining using fuzzy grid table (IFTARMFGT) is proposed by combining the advantages of boolean matrix with incremental mining. First, multivariate time series data are transformed into discrete fuzzy values that contain the time intervals and fuzzy membership. Second, in order to improve the mining efficiency, the concept of boolean matrices was introduced into the fuzzy membership to generate a fuzzy grid table to mine the frequent itemsets. Finally, in view of the Fast UPdate (FUP) algorithm, fuzzy temporal association rules are incrementally mined and updated without repeatedly scanning the original database by considering the lifespan of each item and inheriting the information from previous mining results. The experiments show that our algorithm provides better efficiency and interpretability in mining temporal association rules than other algorithms.

     

Fuzzy wavelet neural network based on fuzzy clustering and gradient techniques for time series prediction

This paper presents the development of fuzzy wavelet neural network system for time series prediction that combines the advantages of fuzzy systems and wavelet neural network. The structure of fuzzy wavelet neural network (FWNN) is proposed, and its learning algorithm is derived. The proposed network is constructed on the base of a set of TSK fuzzy rules that includes a wavelet function in the consequent part of each rule. A fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm is implemented to generate the rules, that is the structure of FWNN prediction model, automatically, and the gradient-learning algorithm is used for parameter identification. The use of fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm with the gradient algorithm allows to improve convergence of learning algorithm. FWNN is used for modeling and prediction of complex time series and prediction of foreign-exchange rates. Exchange rates are dynamic process that changes every day and have high-order nonlinearity. The statistical data for the last 2 years are used for the development of FWNN prediction model. Effectiveness of the proposed system is evaluated with the results obtained from the simulation of FWNN-based systems and with the comparative simulation results of previous related models.     

结合SVD_ TLS及EKF算法的动态自组织模糊神经网络在动态系统中的应用

针对如何优化模糊神经网络的规则及如何合理地调整非线性参数及线性参数等问题,提出了将奇异值分解_总体最小二乘法(SVD_TLS)及扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF)相结合的动态自组织模糊神经网络(STD_DSFNN)。首先给出了STD DSFNN的结构及各层的含义;其次,用EKF算法学习非线性参数,SVD_TLS算法学习线性参数的同时提取重要模糊规则;最后,通过典型的Machey-Ulass时间序列预测实例验证SVD_TLS及EKF相结合的动态自组织模糊神经网络(STE_DSFNN),同时与DFNN, ANFIS及UKF_DFNN相对比,结果表明STE DSFNN网络结构更紧凑,具有更好的泛化能力。     

Genetic fuzzy learning

A hybrid approach to fuzzy supervised learning is presented. It is based on a genetic-neuro learning algorithm. The mixed-genetic coding adopted involves only the premises of the fuzzy rules. The conclusions are derived through a least-squares solution of an over-determined system using the singular value decomposition (SVD) algorithm. The paper presents the results obtained with C++ software called GEFREX that implements the proposed algorithm. The main characteristic of the algorithm is the compactness of the fuzzy systems extracted. Several comparisons ranging from approximation problems, classification problems, and time series predictions show that GEFREX reaches a smaller error than found in previous works with the same or a smaller number of rules. Further, it succeeds in identifying significant features. Although the SVD is used extensively, the learning time is decidedly reduced in comparison with previous work     

Fuzzy data mining for time-series data

Time series analysis has always been an important and interesting research field due to its frequent appearance in different applications. In the past, many approaches based on regression, neural networks and other mathematical models were proposed to analyze the time series. In this paper, we attempt to use the data mining technique to analyze time series. Many previous studies on data mining have focused on handling binary-valued data. Time series data, however, are usually quantitative values. We thus extend our previous fuzzy mining approach for handling time-series data to find linguistic association rules. The proposed approach first uses a sliding window to generate continues subsequences from a given time series and then analyzes the fuzzy itemsets from these subsequences. Appropriate post-processing is then performed to remove redundant patterns. Experiments are also made to show the performance of the proposed mining algorithm. Since the final results are represented by linguistic rules, they will be friendlier to human than quantitative representation.     

基于进化式模糊神经网络的时间序列预测系统

文章介绍了一种基于进化式模糊神经网络时间预测系统，它是一种快速自适应的局部学习模型；进化式模糊神经网络是一个特殊类型的神经网络，它能通过进化其结构和参数来容纳新的数据。文章重点介绍了网络结构、学习方法及创建、修剪、聚合规则节点的算法；实验结果表明：模糊隶属函数的个数，规则的修剪和聚合等训练参数，与网络的行为和预测结果有很重要的关系。     

FUZZY PNN ALGORITHM AND ITSAPPLICATION TO NONLINEARPROCESSES

Abstract

In this paper, a fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network (PNN) algorithm is proposed to estimate the structure and parameters of fuzzy model, using the PNN based on Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) algorithm. The new algorithm uses PNN algorithm and fuzzy reasoning in order to identify the premise structure and parameter of fuzzy implications rules, and the least square method in order to identify the optimal consequence parameters. Both time series data for the gas furnace and data for the NO_x emission process of gas turbine power plants are used for the purpose of evaluating the performance of the fuzzy PNN. The simulation results show that the proposed technique can produce the fuzzy model with higher accuracy and feasibility than other works achieved previously. This algorithm will be applied to limited data processes with several inputs.     

Efficient Self-Evolving Evolutionary Learning for Neurofuzzy Inference Systems

This study proposes an efficient self-evolving evolutionary learning algorithm (SEELA) for neurofuzzy inference systems (NFISs). The major feature of the proposed SEELA is that it is based on evolutionary algorithms that can determine the number of fuzzy rules and adjust the NFIS parameters. The SEELA consists of structure learning and parameter learning. The structure learning attempts to determine the number of fuzzy rules. A subgroup symbiotic evolution is adopted to yield several variable fuzzy systems, and an elite-based structure strategy is adopted to find a suitable number of fuzzy rules for solving a problem. The parameter learning is to adjust parameters of the NFIS. It is a hybrid evolutionary algorithm of cooperative particle swarm optimization (CPSO) and cultural algorithm, called cultural CPSO (CCPSO). The CCPSO, which uses cooperative behavior among multiple swarms, can increase the global search capacity using the belief space. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method performs well in predicting time series and solving nonlinear control problems.      

A recurrent fuzzy-neural model for dynamic system identification

This paper presents a fuzzy modeling approach for identification of dynamic systems. In particular, a new fuzzy model, the Dynamic Fuzzy Neural Network (DFNN), consisting of recurrent TSK rules, is developed. The premise and defuzzification parts are static while the consequent parts of the fuzzy rules are recurrent neural networks with internal feedback and time delay synapses. The network is trained by means of a novel learning algorithm, named Dynamic-Fuzzy Neural Constrained Optimization Method (D-FUNCOM), based on the concept of constrained optimization. The proposed algorithm is general since it can be applied to locally as well as fully recurrent networks, regardless of their structures. An adaptation mechanism of the maximum parameter change is presented as well. The proposed dynamic model, equipped with the learning algorithm, is applied to several temporal problems, including modeling of a NARMA process and the noise cancellation problem. Performance comparisons are conducted with a series of static and dynamic systems and some existing recurrent fuzzy models. Simulation results show that DFNN compares favorably with its competing rivals and thus it can be considered for efficient system identification.