LF精炼终点钢水温度的预报模型

采用多元回归分析方法建立了宝钢-炼钢LF精炼终点钢水温度的预报模型.应用该模型对LF精炼终点钢水温度进行预测,对预测结果进行了统计分析,结果表明该模型对LF精炼终点温度的预测误差在±10℃时的命中率达到95%.     

LF钢包炉精炼终点钢水温度的预报模型

采用多元回归分析方法建立了宝钢一炼钢厂LF钢包炉精炼终点钢水温度的预报模型，应用该模型对LF精炼终点钢水温度进行预测，对预测结果进行了统计分析，结果表示该模型对LF钢包炉精炼终点温度的预测误差在＋10℃时的命中率达到95％。     

LF炉精炼温度预报模型的发展应用

全面综述了LF炉精炼温度预报模型在国内外的发展应用状况。国内外所开发的LF炉钢水温度预报模型,主要采用机理模型、“黑箱模型”、“灰箱模型”三种方法。简单讨论了这三种模型的特性,并预测了LF炉精炼温度模型的发展趋势。     

涟钢LF精炼温度变化研究

采用多元回归分析方法建立了涟钢210转炉厂LF钢包炉精炼终点钢水温度的变化模型,应用该模型对LF精炼终点钢水温度进行预测,对预测结果进行了统计分析,结果表明该模型对LF钢包炉精炼终点温度的预测误差较小,能对现场产生指导意义。     

基于PCA-BP神经网络的LF精炼终点温度预测

为提高LF精炼钢水终点温度控制水平，提出了基于主成分分析（PCA）和BP神经网络的联合方法预测LF钢包炉精炼钢水终点温度。基于冶金理论和实际生产实践，选取了42CrMo钢生产过程的10个对终点温度有显著影响的因素作为预测模型的指标体系，然后借助主成分分析法对样本数据进行处理，得到了7个主成分变量，累计方差贡献率为87.24%，消除了数据之间的关联性，以此为基础，建立了基于PCA-BP神经网络的LF炉终点温度预测模型，该模型预测误差在±25℃时，模型的命中率为98.71%，模型有较好的识别能力，能够达到LF炉生产过程预测终点温度的目的。     

LF炉钢水成分预报模型的建立及应用

宣钢LF炉钢水成分预报模型,通过机理模型算法,准确、快速地提供了精炼过程中钢水成分的实时预报,减少了精炼通电时间和测温次数,提高了精炼生产效率;充分发挥了LF炉优质、低耗、低成本的优势,保证了连铸生产的顺行.     

韶钢120 t LF钢水温度预报模型的开发

以钢厂120 t LF精炼过程钢水、炉渣和合金为研究体系,以能量平衡机理模型为基础,建立精炼钢水温度预报模型。根据钢种、钢水质量和温度、目标出钢温度及处理时间、渣料和合金加入量及各种热损失所需投入的电能,确定精炼过程合理的供电曲线。并根据现场供电和工艺参数,预报钢水温度。20炉50RH1钢(%:0.48～0.50C、0.22～0.30Si、0.60～0.70Mn)测试结果表明,模型预报与实测钢水温度误差为±5℃。     

基于AdaBoost.RS算法的LF炉钢水温度预报分析

LF炉钢水温度的精准控制有利于缩短钢的冶炼时间,从而节约其生产成本。而获得准确的LF炉钢水温度预报是钢水温度控制的先决条件。通过分析LF炉冶炼过程对钢水温度的影响因素,提出一种适用于LF炉钢水温度预报同时具有增量学习功能的AdaBoost.RS集成建模算法。该算法引入松弛变量和遗忘因子2个参数,在提高预测精度的同时,可以克服大噪声数据带来的干扰,同时增量学习可以降低早期生产数据对模型的影响。以福建三钢有限责任公司100tLF炉为研究对象,采用5个测试函数验证算法的抗噪性能,分别用静态数据和动态数据对钢水出站的终点温度进行预报。实验结果表明,预测的绝对误差小于10℃的样本数量超过了样本总数的90%,算法精度较高,有利于实际生产应用。     

基于物料模型的GMDH神经网络LF终点温度预测

针对LF冶炼终点温度影响因素的复杂性,提出以自组织数据挖掘原理为核心的GMDH神经网络对钢水终点温度进行预测,±5℃内误差的命中率为78.31％,±7.5℃内误差的命中率为92.77％;建立物料的热效应模型,通过不同物料加入钢水中的热效应计算,将LF精炼过程中加入的物料折算为一个输入因素,改进的GMDH神经网络对钢水温度预测,±5℃内误差的命中率为88.72％,±7.5℃内误差的命中率为98.44％,基于物料模型的GMDH神经网络不仅在命中率上有显著提高,而且对冶炼多钢种导致的物料结构改变有更好的适应能力.     

CAS终点钢水温度的预报模型

采用回归模型作为CAS过程的预测模型,实现了对CAS精炼终点温度的预测,并探讨了影响CAS终点温度的主要因素,为生产合格钢水及CAS的动态控制提供了理论依据。本模型能较好的预测CAS终点钢水温度,预测误差在±5℃,±10℃以内的正确率分别为87％,95％。     

Hybrid Model of Molten Steel Temperature Prediction Based on Ladle Heat Status and Artificial Neural Network简

Aiming at the characteristics of the practical steelmaking process, a hybrid model based on ladle heat sta- tus and artificial neural network has been proposed to predict molten steel temperature. The hybrid model could over- come the difficulty of accurate prediction using a single mathematical model, and solve the problem of lacking the consideration of the influence of ladle heat status on the steel temperature in an intelligent model. By using the hybrid model method, forward and backward prediction models for molten steel temperature in steelmaking process are es- tablished and are used in a steelmaking plant. The forward model, starting from the end-point of BOF, predicts the temperature in argon-blowing station, starting temperature in LF, end temperature in LF and tundish temperature forwards, with the production process evolving. The backward model, starting from the required tundish tempera- ture, calculates target end temperature in LF, target starting temperature in LF, target temperature in argon-blo- wiag station and target BOF end-point temperature backwards. Actual application results show that the models have better prediction accuracy and are satisfying for the process of practical production.     

转炉-精炼-连铸过程钢中氧的控制

结合近年来的文献和笔者的研究工作,概要论述了转炉—精炼—连铸过程中钢洁净度(以总氧含量T[O]表示)的控制及夹杂物对产品质量的影响。提高钢的洁净度应从产生夹杂物的源头抓起,尽可能降低转炉终点氧含量。根据生产统计数据,建立了转炉终点氧预报模型。介绍了硅镇静钢、硅铝镇静钢、铝镇静钢三种脱氧模式及脱氧产物的控制方法。采用钢包精炼方法把夹杂物消灭在钢水进入结晶器之前是获得“干净”钢水的关键。介绍了RH、LF、中间包钢水总氧预报模型。介绍了在连铸过程中防止钢水再污染和进一步去除夹杂物的措施。     

End Temperature Prediction of Molten Steel in LF Based on CBR

In order to improve the temperature control level of molten steel in ladle furnace (LF), a case‐based reasoning (CBR) method has been proposed for predicting end temperature of molten steel in LF. To predict the temperature accurately and efficiently, this paper develops two‐step retrieval approach and the correlation based feature weighting (CFW) method for CBR. And, the study evaluates the prediction effect of CBR method by the experiment of comparison with back propagation neural network (BPNN) model and CBR model. Experimental results show that CBR model achieves better accuracy than BPNN model and the CBR method is effective to predict end temperature of molten steel in LF.     

Final Temperature Prediction Model of Molten Steel in RH-TOP Refining Process for IF Steel Production

 In order to precisely control the final temperature of molten steel in RH (Ruhrstahl Heraeus)-TOP blowing refining, the final temperature prediction models of molten steel in RH-TOP blowing refining process for Interstitial Free (IF) steel production were established under the condition of oxygen blowing and non-oxygen blowing respectively. The results show that the beginning molten steel temperature of refining and the amount of added scrap were influential factors, the baking temperature in vacuum chamber was a factor that had small influence. When the model was operated, the hitting probability was above 95% (under the condition of both oxygen blowing and non-oxygen blowing) of prediction deviation of ±10 ℃. The accuracy is analyzed.     

Hybrid Modeling for Soft Sensing of Molten Steel Temperature in LF

 Aiming at the limitations of traditional thermal model and intelligent model, a new hybrid model is established for soft sensing of the molten steel temperature in LF. Firstly, a thermal model based on energy conservation is described; and then, an improved intelligent model based on process data is presented by ensemble ELM (extreme learning machine) for predicting the molten steel temperature in LF. Secondly, the self adaptive data fusion is proposed as a hybrid modeling method to combine the thermal model with the intelligent model. The new hybrid model could complement mutual advantage of two models by combination. It can overcome the shortcoming of parameters obtained on line hardly in a thermal model and the disadvantage of lacking the analysis of ladle furnace metallurgical process in an intelligent model. The new hybrid model is applied to a 300 t LF in Baoshan Iron and Steel Co Ltd for predicting the molten steel temperature. The experiments demonstrate that the hybrid model has good generalization performance and high accuracy.     

基于数据驱动的转炉二吹阶段钢水温度动态预测模型

转炉钢水温度是转炉终点控制的工艺参数之一,精确的钢水温度预测对转炉终点控制具有重要的指导意义。然而,以往的大多数转炉终点预测模型属于静态模型,只能够实现对转炉吹炼终点钢水温度的预测,无法实现动态预测,导致模型的作用有限。针对该问题,提出了一种基于数据驱动的转炉二吹阶段钢水温度动态预测模型。模型先通过新案例主吹阶段的工艺参数,基于案例推理算法找到历史案例库中相似案例。再利用相似案例的二吹阶段工艺参数并基于长短期记忆网络（Long short-term memory,LSTM）算法训练工艺参数与钢水温度的变化关系。然后利用训练好的LSTM模型,计算新案例二吹阶段的钢水温度变化。最后,利用某钢厂实际生产数据,研究了不同重用案例个数及神经元个数对模型预测精度的影响,实验结果表明:模型在重用案例个数为4,神经元个数为10时模型的预测精度最高,此时模型对钢水温度的预测误差在[?5 ℃, 5 ℃]、[?10 ℃,10 ℃]和[?15 ℃,15 ℃]的命中率分别达到40.33%、68.92%和88.33%,模型的性能高于传统二次方模型和三次方模型。      

LF精炼成分预报模型的开发

采用经验计算、统计回归以及基于自学习的参考炉次法,建立了LF精炼成分的预报模型,对精炼过程中及精炼终点的钢水成分进行预报。结果表明,采用经验计算结合统计回归的方法可以预报铌、钛、碳、锰等收得率稳定的合金元素含量,采用基于自学习的参考炉次法可以预报硅、铝等收得率不稳定的合金元素含量,该模型基本满足了现场生产的要求。