Urban air pollution and cardiopulmonary ill health: a 14.5 year time series study

OBJECTIVES: To examine possible associations between daily concentrations of urban air pollutants and hospital emergency admissions and mortality due to cardiac and pulmonary disease. METHODS: A time series study was conducted in the City of Edinburgh, which has a population of about 450,000. Poisson log linear regression models were used to investigate the relation of the daily event rate with daily air pollution concentrations of sulphur dioxide (SO2) and black smoke from 1981 to 1995, and of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), carbon monoxide (CO), and particulate matter (PM10) from 1992 to 1995. Adjustments were made for seasonal and weekday variation, daily temperature, and wind speed. RESULTS: The most significant findings were positive associations over the period 1981-95 between black smoke as a mean of the previous three days and daily all cause mortality in people aged > or = 65, and respiratory mortality also in this age group (3.9% increase in mortality for a 10 micrograms/m3 increment in black smoke). For hospital emergency admissions between 1992 and 1995 the two most significant findings (p < 0.05) were for cardiovascular admissions of people aged > or = 65 which showed a positive association with PM10 as a mean of the 3 previous days, and a negative association with O3 as a mean of the previous three days. Analyses of outcomes based on linkage with previous cardiorespiratory emergency admissions did not show substantially different results. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that in the City of Edinburgh, after correction for confounders, there was a small but significant association between concentrations of black smoke and respiratory mortality in the older age group, probably attributable to higher pollution levels in the early part of the study period. There were also generally weak and variable associations between day to day changes in concentrations of urban air pollutants at a single central point and emergency hospital admission rates from cardiac and respiratory disease.     

Effect of environmental pollution on medical visits for respiratory infections in children in Mexico City

OBJECTIVE: To model the variability of medical visits by children for respiratory reasons as a consequence of the daily changes in environmental pollution observed in the emergency and family medicine departments of a hospital of the Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social located in the southwest of Mexico City during 1993. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The correlation between the presence of upper and lower respiratory tract infections and exposure to ozone and nitrogen dioxide was studied. To model this association, the authors used multivariate Poisson regression models with linear and non-linear risk, with lag periods between the environmental measurements and the medical visits of one, two and three days, as well as the average of the measurements of three, five and seven days previous to the visit. RESULTS: The model estimates that an increment of 50 ppb in the daily average of ozone would cause an increase of 9.9% in emergency visits due to high respiratory tract infections during the winter, which could rise to 30% if the increment would last five consecutive days in average. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that exposure of children younger than 15 years of age to ozone and nitrogen dioxide significantly affect the number of medical visits for respiratory causes in this part of Mexico City.     

Which vertebrae should be assessed in diagnosing osteoporosis by plain radiography? Comparative study of radiographic findings and bone mineral density measured by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry

OBJECTIVE: To determine rates of hospitalisation of young children for acute gastroenteritis in Australia, and to estimate the proportion of these admissions caused by rotavirus infection. DESIGN: Analysis of hospital admission records, and parallel, prospectively collected data on rotavirus-positive admissions. SETTING: Hospitals admitting young children in all Australian States and Territories in 1993-1996. PATIENTS: All children under five years admitted to hospital for acute gastroenteritis (International Classification of Diseases, ninth revision principal diagnosis codes 003.0, 004.0-009.3 and 558.9). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Rate of hospital admission per 1000 children per year by State, and the proportion of admissions caused by rotavirus infection. RESULTS: There were almost 20,000 hospital admissions annually in Australia for acute gastroenteritis in children under five years, at an average rate of 15/1000. An estimated 50% of these were attributable to rotavirus infection, implying a rate of hospitalisation for rotavirus-related gastroenteritis of 7.5/1000/year. Among children under two years this rate was 11.6/1000. Rotavirus incidence rates generally followed a typical seasonal pattern in temperate regions of the country, with sharp peaks in mid to late winter. Rates of hospitalisation varied markedly, even between States with apparently similar patterns of disease, while the incidence in the Northern Territory was 3-5 times higher than other States. CONCLUSIONS: Rotavirus-related gastroenteritis is a major cause of hospital admissions in young children, and large savings to the healthcare system are possible if it can be prevented at reasonable cost. Variation in treatment practices between States may be worth studying in greater detail as another source of potential savings.     

Prader-Willi and Angelman syndromes. Disorders of genomic imprinting

OBJECTIVE: To develop estimates of state Medicaid expenditures attributable to smoking for fiscal year 1993. METHODS: The smoking-attributable fractions (SAFs) of state Medicaid expenditures were estimated using a national model that describes the relationship between smoking and medical expenditures, controlling for a variety of sociodemographic, economic, and behavioral factors. RESULTS: In fiscal year 1993, the SAF for all states (all types of expenditures) was 14.4%, with a range from 8.6% in Washington DC to 19.2% in Nevada. On average, SAFs ranged from a low of 7.9% for home health services expenditures to 21.7% for hospital expenditures. An estimated total of $12.9 billion of fiscal year 1993 Medicaid expenditures was attributable to smoking. The relative error of this estimate was 40.3%. CONCLUSIONS: Cigarette smoking accounts for a substantial portion of annual state Medicaid expenditures, with considerable variation among states. The range in expenditures among the states is due to differences in smoking prevalence, health status, other socioeconomic variables used in the model, and the level and scope of the Medicaid program.     

Excess mortality in England and Wales, and in Greater London, during the 1995 heatwave

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact on mortality of the heatwave in England and Wales during July and August 1995 and to describe any difference in mortality impact between the Greater London urban population and the national population. DESIGN: Analysis of variation in daily mortality in England and Wales and in Greater London during a five day heatwave in July and August 1995, by age, sex, and cause. SETTING: England and Wales, and Greater London. MAIN RESULTS: An estimated 619 extra deaths (8.9% increase, approximate 95% confidence interval 6.4, 11.3%) were observed during this heatwave in England and Wales, relative to the expected number of deaths based on the 31-day moving average for that period. Excess deaths were apparent in all age groups, most noticeably in women and for deaths from respiratory and cerebrovascular disease. Using published daily mortality risk coefficients for air pollutants in London, it was estimated that up to 62% of the excess mortality in England and Wales during the heatwave may be attributable to concurrent increases in air pollution. In Greater London itself, where daytime temperatures were higher (and with lesser falls at night), mortality increased by 16.1% during the heatwave. Using the same risk coefficients to estimate the excess mortality apparently attributable to air pollution, more than 60% of the total excess in London was apparently attributable to the effects of heat. CONCLUSION: Analysis of this episode shows that exceptionally high temperatures in England and Wales, though rare, do cause increases in daily mortality.     

Role of adrenoceptors in vasopressin, oxytocin and prolactin responses to conditioned fear stimuli in the rat

BACKGROUND: In 1994, a hospital reported an increase in nosocomial legionnaires' disease after implementing use of a rapid urinary antigen test for Legionella pneumophila serogroup 1 (Lp-1). This hospital was the site of a previous nosocomial legionnaires' disease outbreak during 1980 to 1982. METHODS: Infection control records were reviewed to compare rates of nosocomial pneumonia and the proportion of cases attributable to legionnaires' disease during the 1994 outbreak period with those during the same period in 1993. Water samples were collected for Legionella culture from the hospital's potable water system and cooling towers, and isolates were subtyped by monoclonal antibody (MAb) testing and arbitrarily primed polymerase chain reaction (AP-PCR). RESULTS: Nosocomial pneumonia rates were similar from April through October 1993 and April through October 1994: 5.9 and 6.6 per 1,000 admissions, respectively (rate ratio [RR], 1.1; P=.56); however, 3.2% of nosocomial pneumonias were diagnosed as legionnaires' disease in 1993, compared with 23.9% in 1994 (RR, 9.4; P<.001). In 1994, most legionnaires' disease cases were detected by the urinary antigen testing alone. MAb testing and AP-PCR demonstrated identical patterns among Lp-1 isolates recovered from a patient's respiratory secretions, the hospital potable water system, and stored potable water isolates from the 1980 to 1982 outbreak. CONCLUSIONS: There may have been persistent transmission of nosocomial legionnaires' disease at this hospital that went undiscovered for many years because there was no active surveillance for legionnaires' disease. Introduction of a rapid urinary antigen test improved case ascertainment. Legionella species can be established in colonized plumbing systems and may pose a risk for infection over prolonged periods.     

Cardiac neural crest cells provide new insight into septation of the cardiac outflow tract: aortic sac to ventricular septal closure

Time series of daily administrative cardio-respiratory health and environmental information have been extensively used to assess the potential public health impact of ambient air pollution. Both series are subject to strong but unrelated temporal cycles. These cycles must be removed from the time series prior to examining the role air pollution plays in exacerbating cardio-respiratory disease. In this paper, we examine a number of methods of temporal filtering that have been proposed to eliminate such temporal effects. The techniques are illustrated by linking the number of daily admissions to hospital for respiratory diseases in Toronto, Canada for the 11 year period 1981 to 1991 with daily concentrations of ambient ozone. The ozone-hospitalization relationship was found to be highly sensitive to the length of temporal cycle removed from the admission time series, and to day of the week effects, ranging from a relative risk of 0.874 if long wave cycles were not removed at all to 1.020 for models which removed at least cycles greater than or equal to one month based on the interquartile pollutant range. The specific statistical method of adjustment was not a critical factor. The association was not as sensitive to removal of cycles less than one month, except that negative autocorrelation increased for series in which cycles of one week or less were removed. We recommend three criteria in selecting the degree of smoothing in the outcome: removal of temporal cycles, minimizing autocorrelation and optimizing goodness of fit. The association between ambient ozone levels and hospital admissions for respiratory diseases was also sensitive to the season of examination, with weaker associations observed outside the summer months.     

Dopaminergic and GABAergic retinal cell populations in mammals

Cancer risk assessments for trichloroethylene (TCE) based on linear extrapolation from bioassay results are questionable in light of new data on TCE's likely mechanism of action involving induced cytotoxicity, for which a threshold-type dose-response model may be more appropriate. Previous studies have shown that if a genotoxic mechanism for TCE is assumed, algebraic methods can considerably simplify the use of physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models to estimate virtually safe environmental concentrations for humans based on rodent cancer-bioassay data. We show here how such methods can be extended to the case in which TCE is assumed to induce cancer via cytotoxicity, to estimate environmentally safe concentrations based on rodent toxicity data. These methods can be substituted for the numerical methods typically used to calculate PBPK-effective doses when these are defined as peak concentrations. We selected liver and kidney as plausible target tissues, based on an analysis of rodent TCE-bioassay data and on a review of related data bearing on mechanism. Tumor patterns in rodent bioassays are shown to be consistent with our estimates of PBPK-based, effective cytotoxic doses to mice and rats used in these studies. When used with a margin of exposure of 1000, our method yielded maximum concentration levels for TCE of 16 ppb (87 micrograms/m3) for TCE in air respired 24 hr/day, 700 ppb (3.8 mg/m3) for TCE in air respired for relatively brief daily periods (e.g., 0.5 hr while showering/bathing), and 210 micrograms/liter for TCE in drinking water assuming a daily 2-liter ingestion. Cytotoxic effective doses were also estimated for occupational respiratory exposures. These estimates indicate that the current OSHA permissible exposure limit for TCE would produce metabolite concentrations that exceed an acute no observed adverse effect level for hepatotoxicity in mice. On this basis, the OSHA TCE limit is not expected to be protective.     

Characteristic difference in gastrointestinal excretion of clarithromycin and roxithromycin

BACKGROUND: This paper describes trends in hospital activity, hospital admissions, and treatments for colorectal cancer on residents of the South Thames regions (population 8 million) between 1989-1993 against the background of the Calman Report on the future of cancer services in England and Wales. METHODS: The analyses are derived from UK hospital data, which are collected as finished consultant episodes (FCEs). These are defined as episodes "where a patient has completed a period of care under a consultant and is either transferred to another consultant or is discharged." Probability matching was used to derive patient-based records, matching FCEs to admissions. A total of 18,542 South Thames residents aged 40-99 were admitted for colorectal cancer between 1 January 1989 and 31 December 1993. Time trends were analysed for procedures, FCEs, admissions, and patient numbers by admission type (ordinary admissions and day case admissions). RESULTS: Between 1989 and 1993 inclusive colorectal cancer admissions doubled (98% increase p (trend) < 0.0001). These admissions were a result of a 6.4-fold increase in day case admissions and a 41% increase in ordinary admissions. The proportion of patients having a day case admission rose from 9% in 1989 to 18% in 1993 (p < 0.0001). Overall, 2894 (16%) patients had a day case admission; 1894 of these (65%) were also admitted as ordinary admissions. The number of FCEs and admissions per patient rose from 1.37 and 1.28 respectively in 1989 to 2.09 and 1.99 respectively in 1993. FCEs were between 5% and 8% higher than admissions over the five years. The number of ordinary (that is, overnight) inpatient admissions per patient rose from 1.23 to 1.41 over the five year period and day case inpatient admissions from 1.25 to 3.45. Chemotherapy accounted for 50% of the rise in day case admissions; colonoscopy and sigmoidoscopy were associated with a further 18%. Fourteen per cent of the increase in ordinary admissions was also because of chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: The monitoring of site specific trends in admission, treatments, and procedures on a population basis should be a core requirement of health authorities to inform needs assessment, resource allocation, and service planning. The rise in admissions and chemotherapy treatments have implications for drug costs, laboratory and inpatient services, monitoring, and clinical audit.     

Methods development for epidemiologic investigations of the health effects of prolonged ozone exposure. Part II. An approach to retrospective estimation of lifetime ozone exposure using a questionnaire and ambient monitoring data (California sites)

An extensive body of data supports a relation between acute exposures to ambient ozone and the occurrence of various acute respiratory symptoms and changes in measures of lung function. In contrast, relatively few data are available on the human health effects that result from long-term exposure to ambient ozone, Current efforts to study long-term ozone-related health effects are limited by the methods available for ascertaining lifetime exposures to ozone. The present feasibility study was undertaken as part of the Health Effects Institute's Environmental Epidemiology Planning Project (Health Effects Institute 1994) to (1) determine whether, in the context of an epidemiologic study, reliable estimates can be obtained for lifetime exposures to ozone by combining estimates from lifetime residential histories, typical activity patterns during life, and residence-specific ambient ozone monitoring data; (2) identify the minimum data required to produce reliable estimates of lifetime exposure; and (3) analyze the relations between various estimates of lifetime ozone exposure and measures of lung function. A convenience sample of 175 first-year students at the University of California, Berkeley, who lived all of their lives in selected areas of California (the Los Angeles Basin or the San Francisco Bay Area), were studied on two occasions (test and retest or test sessions 1 and 2), five to seven days apart. Residential and lifestyle data were obtained from a questionnaire: residence-based ambient ozone exposure values were assigned by interpolation of ambient ozone monitoring data to residential locations. Estimated lifetime exposure was based on average ozone levels between 10 a.m. and 6 p.m. and hours of exposure to ozone concentrations greater than 60 parts per billion (ppb). "Effective" lifetime exposure to ozone was based on a weighted average of estimated time spent in different ambient ozone environments as determined by different combinations of activity data. Pulmonary function was evaluated with flows and volumes from maximum expiratory flow-volume curves and slope of phase III of the single-breath nitrogen washout (SBNW) curves. Although the test-retest reliability of the residential history was acceptably high only for first and second residences, most of the unreliability for other residences came from residences occupied for relatively short durations. Therefore, the test-retest reliability of estimated lifetime exposure to ozone was high, with intraclass correlations greater than 0.90 for all approaches evaluated. Multiple, linear regression analyses showed a consistently negative relation between estimates of lifetime exposure to ozone and flows that reflect the physiology of pulmonary small airways. No relation was observed between lifetime ozone exposure and forced expiratory volume or the slope of phase III, and the relation between lifetime exposure and forced expiratory volume in one second was inconsistent. The results of the flow measures were unaffected by the method used to estimate lifetime exposure and gave effect estimates that were nearly identical. The data from this study indicate that useful and reproducible estimates of lifetime ozone exposure can be obtained in epidemiologic studies by using a residential history. However, the total burden of ozone to which the subjects were exposed cannot be determined accurately from such data. Nonetheless, the estimates so obtained appear to be associated with alterations in pulmonary function that are consistent with the predicted site of maximum effect of ozone in the human lung.     

A number-needed-to-treat analysis of the use of respiratory syncytial virus immune globulin to prevent hospitalization

OBJECTIVES: To estimate how many infants in selected high-risk subgroups would require treatment with respiratory syncytial virus immune globulin (RSV-IG) to avoid 1 hospital admission and to determine whether this is economically justified. DESIGN: Cost-benefit analysis. Data from 3 randomized controlled trials of RSV-IG are used to estimate the number needed to treat to prevent 1 hospital admission for respiratory syncytial virus infection. The threshold number needed to treat is computed according to a formula incorporating costs and benefits of RSV-IG prophylaxis. Estimates of the willingness to pay were obtained from a sample of 39 health care providers (35 physicians and 4 nurses). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The number needed to treat to prevent 1 hospital admission for respiratory syncytial virus infection. The threshold number needed to treat that would balance costs with benefits. RESULTS: More than 16 (95% confidence interval, 12.5-23.8) infants would need to be treated with RSV-IG to avoid 1 hospital admission for respiratory syncytial virus infection, ranging from 63 for premature infants without chronic lung disease to 12 (confidence interval, 6.3-100.0) for infants with bronchopulmonary dysplasia. A sensitivity analysis of the costs and values of hospital admission for respiratory syncytial virus infection and RSV-IG treatment resulted in a weak recommendation against the treatment of infants with bronchopulmonary dysplasia and strong recommendations that the costs and risks of RSV-IG treatment outweigh the benefits for the combined sample of infants and premature infants without lung disease. CONCLUSIONS: The number-needed-to-treat procedures offer a method to assess evidence of treatment effects and decision rules for whether to accept treatment recommendations. Under plausible assumptions, treatment with RSV-IG is not recommended for infants without lung disease. Institutions can examine cost and benefit assumptions that best fit their own practice setting.     

Summertime haze air pollution and children with asthma

In order to investigate associations between summertime haze air pollution and asthma at an individual level, 52, 58, and 56 children (ages 7 to 13) attending a summer "asthma camp" were followed during the last week of June in 1991, 1992, and 1993, respectively. Most of the subjects had moderate to severe asthma. Daily records were kept of the environmental conditions, as well as of subject medication use, lung function, and medical symptoms. Air pollution was found to be significantly and consistently correlated with acute asthma exacerbations, chest symptoms, and lung function decrements. The pollutant most consistently associated with adverse health consequences was ozone (O3), although associations with sulfates and hydrogen ion suggest a possible role by fine particles as well. Effects were found to be roughly monotonic as a function of O3 concentration. Regression of morning (8:00 A.M.) to afternoon (5:00 P.M.) peak flow change on O3 indicated pulmonary function reductions similar to those previously reported for more active children without asthma. Moreover, analyses also indicated an increased risk of an asthma exacerbation and of experiencing chest symptoms of approximately 40% on the highest pollution day, relative to the mean. Based on these relative risk estimates, a rise in the 1-h daily maximal O3 from 84 ppb to 160 ppb was associated in this group with an increase from 20 to 28 (+/- 2) in the expected number of unscheduled medications administered/day, and from 29 to 41 (+/- 3) in the expected total number of chest symptoms/day. Thus, air pollution can be a major contributor to the respiratory problems experienced by children with asthma during the summer months.     

An epidemiological needs assessment of carotid endarterectomy in an English health region. Is the need being met?

OBJECTIVE: To compare the level of provision of carotid endarterectomy (an intervention of proved efficacy for prevention of stroke in patients with symptomatic high grade carotid artery stenosis) with estimates of need. DESIGN: Comparison of regional, district, and age-sex specific operation rates derived from hospital episode statistics with estimates of need based on demographic and epidemiological data; interviews with regional vascular surgeons and a joint provider-purchaser workshop to discuss implications. SETTING: Former Wessex Regional Health Authority, 1991-2 to 1995-6. SUBJECTS: All residents covered by Wessex region treated for carotid artery reconstruction. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Regional, district, and age-sex operation rates as three year average 1993-6 (use) compared with respective estimates of need for carotid endarterectomy among those who presented with symptomatic carotid disease-transient ischaemic attack or minor stroke. RESULTS: The operation rate more than doubled between 1991-2 and 1995-6, from 35 to 89 per million population, compared with an estimated level of need in the region's general population of 153 per million population (transient ischaemic attack 77, minor stroke 76). The ratio of use to need was 0.47 (95% confidence interval 0.4 to 0.54); district ratios were 0.28 (0.19-0.38) to 0.81 (0.62 to 1.06). The annual use:need ratio rose over the three years 1993-6 from 0.38 to 0.59. Use:need ratios were lower in elderly and female patients. Providers were keen to develop guidelines for referral and to increase access to diagnostic facilities; purchasers were more reluctant, given the limited impact of this intervention on the incidence of stroke and the relatively high cost of the operation. CONCLUSION: Although treatment rates increased in Wessex there is still unmet need. Further research is needed to determine the referral pathways of patients with symptomatic carotid disease for diagnosis and operation and to evaluate strategies to improve access to diagnostic facilities.     

Estimates of the severity of illnesses associated with bathing in marine recreational waters contaminated with domestic sewage

BACKGROUND: During the summers of 1989-1992 we conducted four randomized intervention trials at four separate UK bathing locations judged of acceptable quality under current USEPA and EU criteria. The results showed bathers to be at increased risk of gastroenteritis, acute febrile respiratory illness (ICD-9 461-466, 480), ear and eye infections relative to non-bathers. The public health significance of these findings has been questioned based upon the unproven assumption that these illnesses are minor in nature and thus of questionable public health significance. METHODS: The severity of these illnesses or ailments in terms of duration of illness, percentage of participants seeking medical treatment, and number of days of lost normal daily activity among study participants reporting specific illnesses or ailments were assessed. In addition the attributable proportion of illness among the exposed (bathers) was calculated for each illness or ailment. RESULTS: Average duration of illness ranged from approximately 4 days to approximately 8 days depending on the specific illness reported. The percentage of study participants seeking medical treatment ranged from 4.2% to 22.2% while the percentage reporting the loss of at least one day of normal daily activity ranged from 7.0% to 25.9% depending on the illness reported. The overall percentage of each illness that can be directly attributable to exposure to marine waters contaminated with domestic sewage ranged from a low of 34.5% for gastroenteritis to a high of 65.8% for ear infections. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, this is the first study to assess and report the severity of illnesses associated with bathing in recreational waters contaminated with domestic sewage. Illness associated with bathing in marine waters contaminated with domestic sewage can no longer be viewed as minor, and indeed can have a substantial impact on the public health.     

Best estimate of the magnitude of mortality due to occupational exposure to hazardous substances

OBJECTIVES: With a proportionate attributable risk approach, to estimate the magnitude of premature mortality induced by exposure to hazardous substances in the Australian workforce. METHODS: Estimates of the magnitude of mortality induced by exposure to hazardous substances in the Australian work-force were calculated by the proportionate attributable risk approach after careful consideration of options for methodological refinements. The main data sources used were unit mortality datasets (individual deidentified death records), and tabulations when these were unavailable. RESULTS: The estimated number of deaths that occurred in Australia each year from occupational exposure to hazardous substances was 2290; 78% of these were men. The rate of mortality attributable to occupational exposure to hazardous substances was three to four times greater in male workers than in female workers. Male (productive) person-years of life lost (PYLL) were generally eight times higher than female PYLL. Cancer was the prime cause of death, followed by renal, cardiovascular, neurological, and chronic respiratory disease. Acute toxic episodes accounted for a small proportion of mortality but yielded a much larger proportion of PYLL, reflecting the relatively young ages of those who experienced fatal effects. CONCLUSIONS: Although national estimates of the proportions of mortality attributable to occupational exposure to hazardous substances seemed to be validly derived, uncertainties remain associated with the lack of an empirical basis for derivation of proportionate risk fractions used in the calculations. The finding of an appreciable burden of mortality that is attributable to past occupational exposure to hazardous substances emphasises the necessity for occupational health and safety authorities to measure and reduce worksite exposures. There is also an incentive to encourage the construction of appropriately designed cohort studies across industries and occupational groupings so that, ultimately, risk estimates may be directly calculated and applied to total workforce data for the definitive estimation of the magnitude of harm induced by occupational exposure to hazardous substances.     

Financing HIV service provision in England: estimated impact of the cost of antiretroviral combination therapy

The objective of this study was to provide population-based estimates on the cost of HIV service provision in England and the use of dual or triple antiretroviral combination therapy. Contemporary cost estimates of treating HIV-infected individuals by clinical stage of HIV infection (indexed to 1995/96 prices) were linked to the number of diagnosed HIV-infected individuals using statutory medical services in England during 1996. Two cost measures were used: the first one was based on average hospital prices derived from a number of English HIV units. These results were compared with those estimated using standard unit costs obtained through specific costing studies performed at a national HIV referral centre. Overall annual expenditure on HIV service provision was estimated for different treatment scenarios as was expenditure by clinical stage of HIV infection. Using hospital prices, in 1996 the total annual cost estimate for HIV service provision amounted to pound sterling 131 m (range pound sterling 83 m to pound sterling 233 m), or pound sterling 150 m (95% CI pound sterling 126 m to pound sterling 173 m) using standard costs, if all patients with HIV disease were treated with AZT monotherapy. For all eligible patients to be treated with dual therapy, cost estimates amounted to pound sterling 161 m (range pound sterling 126 m to pound sterling 173 m) per year using hospital prices or pound sterling 180 m (95% CI pound sterling 156 m to pound sterling 203 m) when using standard cost estimates, while for triple therapy annual estimated expenditure amounted to pound sterling 204 m per year (range pound sterling 157 m to pound sterling 306 m) when using hospital prices or pound sterling 223 m (95% CI pound sterling 199 m to pound sterling 246 m) using standard costs. Increasingly costs will be more evenly distributed across the 3 stages of HIV infection, with a greater proportion of costs generated by HIV-infected individuals before the onset of AIDS. Using non-standardized hospital prices may systematically underestimate the real cost of service provision. Monitoring prospectively the use, cost and outcome of HIV service provision in a standardized format will provide information on the actual cost impact over the next 2-3 years of combination therapy compared with the scenario-based estimates produced in this paper.     

Antioxidant supplementation and respiratory functions among workers exposed to high levels of ozone

Ozone exposure has been related to adverse respiratory effects, in particular to lung function decrements. Antioxidant vitamins are free-radical scavengers and could have a protective effect against photo-oxidant exposure. To evaluate whether acute effects of ozone on lung functions could be attenuated by antioxidant vitamin supplementation, we conducted a randomized trial using a double-blind crossover design. Street workers (n = 47) of Mexico City were randomly assigned to take daily a supplement (75 mg vitamin E, 650 mg vitamin C, 15 mg beta carotene) or a placebo and were followed from March to August 1996. Pulmonary function tests were done twice a week at the end of the workday. During the follow-up, the mean 1-h maximum ozone level was 123 ppb (SD = 40). During the first phase, ozone levels were inversely associated with FVC (beta = -1.60 ml/ppb), FEV1 (beta = -2.11 ml/ppb), and FEF25-75 (beta = -4.92 ml/ppb) (p < 0.05) in the placebo group but not in the supplement group. The difference between the two groups was significant for FVC, FEV1, and FEF25-75 (p < 0.01). During the second phase, similar results were observed, but the lung function decrements in the placebo group were smaller, suggesting that the supplementation may have had a residual protective effect on the lung. These results need to be confirmed in larger supplementation studies.     

Characterization of protein kinase C-mediated phosphorylation of the short cytoplasmic domain isoform of C-CAM

BACKGROUND: Picture Archiving Communication System (PACS) is a sophisticated software and hardware package that enables clinicians to retrieve, review, and digitally manipulate radiographs from computer workstations throughout the hospital. PACS was instituted at Brooke Army Medical Center in July 1993. METHODS: Fifty consecutive trauma and 50 consecutive motor vehicle crash (MVC) trauma admissions to an urban trauma center were reviewed before PACS (January 1993) and 18 months after PACS was instituted (January 1995). Patients were compared by the number of radiographs needed during the initial evaluation by type and total. The trauma groups were subdivided by mechanism and also compared. Demographic and physiologic data were collected for each patient. RESULTS: There are no differences in the demographic and physiologic data between groups. For the 50 consecutive trauma admissions, only two areas of statistical difference were found: more chest films were obtained in the MVC PACS group and more pelvis films were obtained in the gunshot wound pre-PACS group. For the 50 consecutive MVC trauma admissions, the PACS group had more chest and total radiographs per patient than the pre-PACS group. More computed tomographic scans of the neck were obtained in the PACS group. CONCLUSION: PACS did not decrease the number of radiographs needed to adequately and fully evaluate the trauma patient.     

League tables and acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND: Comparison of the outcomes of care provided by hospitals is a growing trend. Outcomes need to be distinguished into those attributable to the practice of hospitals and those that arise from differences in the characteristics of patients and the underlying morbidity of the populations for whom hospitals provide care. We explored these issues for deaths in hospital or within 30 days of discharge after acute myocardial infarction in Scotland, UK. METHODS: We used records from December, 1992, to November, 1993, for 14,359 episodes of acute myocardial infarction, the death records of those who died, and 9391 death records for individuals who died after acute myocardial infarction but who had not been in hospital in the 30 days before death. Hospital discharge records were taken from the Scottish Morbidity Records. The outcomes we investigated were all-cause mortality within 30 days of discharge from hospital, and death from acute myocardial infarction at any time during the study period. We estimated separately effects attributable to patients' characteristics, hospitals, and areas of residence with multilevel modelling. FINDINGS: We found significant differences between hospitals by age, sex, and medical history. The odds ratios for death ranged from 0.62 (95% CI 0.50-0.80) to 1.28 (1.07-1.59), relative to the average performance for Scotland as a whole. Analysis including area of residence, deaths occurring out of hospital, and more detailed information about patients showed no significant differences between hospitals for patients aged 70 years. By postcode area, there was a strong association between out-of-hospital deaths and deaths in hospital or shortly after discharge. INTERPRETATION: Hospital outcomes may vary from one subgroup of patients to another and should be assessed independently of patients' areas of residence. Measures of performance that do not provide valid comparisons could diminish public confidence in hospital services.     

Are non-allergenic environmental factors important in asthma?

OBJECTIVE: To review the roles of viral respiratory tract infections, environmental tobacco smoke and air pollution in asthma. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE (1992-1995) searches were conducted for publications on asthma, environmental tobacco smoke, ozone, nitrogen dioxide and particulates. STUDY SELECTION: Representative original experimental and epidemiological studies and reviews of viral infections in asthma. DATA SYNTHESIS: Respiratory virus infections are the most common and important trigger of asthma attacks in children and probably also in adults. Their role in promoting development of asthma is not so clear. Exposure to environmental tobacco smoke is almost certainly responsible for some cases of childhood asthma, and can also trigger symptoms of bronchoconstriction in adults with asthma. Exposure to ozone or nitrogen dioxide is associated with symptoms, impaired lung function, bronchial hyperresponsiveness and hospital presentations for asthma. These pollutants may also act as cofactors in the development of allergen-specific bronchial hyperresponsiveness. CONCLUSIONS: Research on preventing upper respiratory viral infections may reduce asthma morbidity. The move to non-smoking workplaces is welcome, but new interventions are needed to prevent young women taking up smoking and subsequently exposing their children. The ambient air quality guideline for ozone should be revised and a health-based guideline for respirable particulates introduced.