Risk factors for a medically inappropriate admission to a Department of Internal Medicine

OBJECTIVE: To identify patient- and admission-related risk factors for a medically inappropriate admission to a department of internal medicine. METHODS: Cross-sectional study of a systematic sample of 500 admissions to the department of internal medicine of an urban teaching hospital. The appropriateness of each admission and reasons for inappropriate admissions were assessed using the Appropriateness Evaluation Protocol. Risk factors included the time (day of week and holidays) and manner (through emergency department or direct admission) of admission, patient age and sex, health status of patient and spouse, living arrangements, formal home care services, and informal support from family or friends. RESULTS: Overall, 76 (15.2%) hospital admissions were rated as medically inappropriate by the Appropriateness Evaluation Protocol. In multivariate analysis, the likelihood of an inappropriate admission was increased by better physical functioning of the patient (odds ratio [OR], 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-2.1 [for 1 SD in Physical Functioning scores]), lower mental health status of the patient's spouse (OR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.3-5.6), receipt of informal help from family or friends (OR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.5-7.2), and hospitalization by one's physician (OR, 3.6; 95% CI, 1.7-7.5). Receiving formal adult home care was not associated with inappropriateness of hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Inappropriate admissions to internal medicine wards are determined by a mix of factors, including the patient's health and social environment. In addition, the private practitioners' discretionary ability to hospitalize their patients directly may also favor medically inappropriate admissions.     

TNF-alpha receptor knockout mice are protected from the fibroproliferative effects of inhaled asbestos fibers

We performed a prospective observational cohort study of the epidemiology and etiology of nosocomial pneumonia in 358 medical ICU patients in two university-affiliated hospitals. Protected bronchoscopic techniques (protected specimen brush and bronchoalveolar lavage) were used for diagnosis to minimize misclassification. Risk factors for ventilator-associated pneumonia were identified using multiple logistic regression analysis. Twenty-eight cases of pneumonia occurred in 358 patients for a cumulative incidence of 7.8% and incidence rates of 12.5 cases per 1, 000 patient days and 20.5 cases per 1,000 ventilator days. Staphylococcus aureus, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Hemophilus species made up 65% of isolates from the lower respiratory tract, whereas only 12.5% of isolates were enteric gram-negative bacilli. Daily surveillance cultures of the nares, oropharynx, trachea, and stomach demonstrated that tracheal colonization preceded ventilator-associated pneumonia in 93.5%, whereas gastric colonization preceded tracheal colonization for only four of 31 (13%) eventual pathogens. By multiple logistic regression, independent risk factors for ventilator- associated pneumonia were admission serum albumin <= 2.2 g/dl (odds ratio [OR] 5.9; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.0-17.6; p = 0.0013), maximum positive end-expiratory pressure >= 7.5 cm H2O (OR, 4.6; 95% CI, 1.4 to 15.1; p = 0.012), absence of antibiotic therapy (OR, 6.7; 95% CI, 1.8 to 25.3; p = 0.0054), colonization of the upper respiratory tract by respiratory gram-negative bacilli (OR, 3.4; 95% CI, 1.1 to 10.1; p = 0.028), pack-years of smoking (OR, 2.3 for 50 pack-years; 95% CI, 1. 2 to 4.2; p = 0.012), and duration of mechanical ventilation (OR, 3. 4 for 14 d; 95% CI, 1.5 to 7.8; p = 0.0044). Several of these risk factors for ventilator-associated pneumonia appear amenable to intervention.     

Demographic determinants of hepatitis C virus seroprevalence among blood donors

OBJECTIVE: To measure demographic determinants of hepatitis C virus (HCV) seroprevalence among blood donors in the United States. DESIGN: Cross-sectional epidemiological study. SETTING: Five blood centers in different regions of the United States. SUBJECTS: A total of 862,398 consecutive volunteer blood donors with one or more nonautologous donations from March 1992 through December 1993. METHODS: Demographic data collection, serological screening with second-generation anti-HCV enzyme immunoassay, and confirmation with anti-HCV recombinant immunoblot. RESULTS: There were 3126 donors with at least one blood donation confirmed HCV-seropositive, for a crude prevalence of 3.6 per 1000. Age-specific HCV seroprevalence rose from 0.5 per 1000 donors younger than 20 years to a maximum of 6.9 per 1000 in donors aged 30 to 39 years and declined in older age groups. There was interaction between age and educational attainment, with 30- to 49-year-olds with less than a high school diploma at highest risk of HCV infection (odds ratio [OR], 33.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 23.0 to 47.2 compared with those younger than 30 years with a bachelor's degree or higher degree). Other independent risk factors for HCV seropositivity included male sex (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.8 to 2.1), black race (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.6 to 1.9), Hispanic ethnicity (OR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.5), previous blood transfusion (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.5 to 3.1), and first/only time donor status (OR, 4.2; 95% CI, 3.9 to 4.5 compared with repeat donors). Seropositivity for human T-lymphotropic virus types I and II, human immunodeficiency virus, or hepatitis B core antigen was highly associated with HCV seropositivity (OR, 10.4; 95% CI, 9.6 to 11.4 for one vs no marker). CONCLUSIONS: Despite a low overall HCV prevalence in blood donors in the United States, there is a marked variation in HCV seroprevalence by demographic subgroup, even after controlling for prior blood transfusion, a recognized risk factor for HCV. Further study of the prevalence of other parenteral risk factors such as past injection drug use among blood donors is needed.     

Influence of socioeconomic and cultural factors on racial differences in late-stage presentation of breast cancer

CONTEXT: Breast cancer mortality is higher among African American women than among white women in the United States, but the reasons for the racial difference are not known. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the influence of socioeconomic and cultural factors on the racial difference in breast cancer stage at diagnosis. DESIGN: Case-control study of patients diagnosed as having breast cancer at the University Medical Center of Eastern Carolina from 1985 through 1992. SETTING: The major health care facility for 2 rural counties in eastern North Carolina. SUBJECTS: Five hundred forty of 743 patients with newly diagnosed breast cancer and 414 control women from the community matched by age, race, and area of residence. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Breast cancer stage at diagnosis. RESULTS: Of the 540 patients, 94 (17.4%) presented with TNM stage III or IV disease. The following demographic and socioeconomic factors were significant predictors of advanced stage: being African American (odds ratio [OR], 3.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9-4.7); having low income (OR, 3.7; 95% CI, 2.1-6.5); never having been married (OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.4-5.9); having no private health insurance (OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.6-4.0); delaying seeing a physician because of money (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1-2.5); or lacking transportation (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.2-3.6). Univariate analysis also revealed a large number of cultural beliefs to be significant predictors. Examples include the following beliefs: air causes a cancer to spread (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.8-4.3); the devil can cause a person to get cancer (OR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.2-3.5); women who have breast surgery are no longer attractive to men (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.1-3.5); and chiropractic is an effective treatment for breast cancer (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.4-4.4). When the demographic and socioeconomic variables were included in a multivariate logistic regression model, the OR for late stage among African Americans decreased to 1.8 (95% CI, 1.1 -3.2) compared with 3.0 (95% CI, 1.9-4.7) for race alone. However, when the belief measures were included with the demographic and socioeconomic variables, the OR for late stage among African Americans decreased further to 1.2 (95% CI, 0.6-2.5). CONCLUSIONS: Socioeconomic factors alone were not sufficient to explain the dramatic effect of race on breast cancer stage; however, socioeconomic variables in conjunction with cultural beliefs and attitudes could largely account for the observed effect.     

Expression of somatostatin receptors in peritumoral veins of human tumors

We prospectively evaluated the relation of upper airway, lower airway, and gastric colonization patterns with the development of pneumonia and its etiology in 48 patients with surgical (n = 25) and medical (n = 23) head injury. Initial colonization was assessed by cultures of nasal and pharyngeal swabs, tracheobronchial aspirates, gastric juice, and bronchoscopically retrieved protected specimen brush. Follow-up colonization was determined until the end points extubation, suspected ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP), or death. The initial colonization rate at any site at ICU admission was 39/47 (83%). It mainly accounted for Group I pathogens (Streptococcus pneumoniae, Staphylococcus aureus, Hemophilus influenzae) of the upper and lower airways. At follow-up, colonization rates with Group II pathogens (Gram-negative enteric bacilli and Pseudomonas spp.) increased significantly. The high initial bacterial load with Group I pathogens of the upper airways and trachea decreased during Days 2 to 4, whereas that of Group II pathogens increased. Upper airway colonization was an independent predictor of follow-up tracheobronchial colonization (odds ratio [OR], 9.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.8 to 56.3 for initial colonization with Group I pathogens; OR, 23.9; 95% CI, 3.8 to 153.3 for follow-up colonization with Group II pathogens). Previous (short-term) antibiotics had a protective effect against colonization with Group I pathogens of the lower respiratory tract (OR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.05 to 0.86), but they were a risk factor for colonization with Group II pathogens (OR, 6.1; 95% CI, 1.3 to 29). Initial tracheobronchial colonization with Group I pathogens was associated with a higher probability of early onset pneumonia (OR, 4. 1; 95% CI, 0.7 to 23.3), whereas prolonged antibiotic treatment (> 24 h) independently predicted late-onset pneumonia (OR, 9.2; 95% CI, 1.7 to 51.3). We conclude that patients with head injury are colonized in the airways mainly by Group I pathogens early in the evolution of illness. The upper airways represent the main reservoir for subsequent lower airway colonization with Group I pathogens. Previous (short-term) antibiotic treatment is protective against initial tracheobronchial colonization with Group I pathogens, but it represents a risk factor for subsequent lower airway colonization by Group II pathogens.     

Alcohol, smoking, and cataracts: the Blue Mountains Eye Study

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the associations between alcohol consumption, tobacco smoking, and cataract. DESIGN: A population-based, cross-sectional study. SETTING: An urban community in the Blue Mountains, close to Sydney, Australia. PARTICIPANTS: Three thousand six hundred fifty-four people aged 49 to 97 years. The participation rate was 82%. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Smoking history and details of current alcohol consumption were assessed by questionnaire. Lens photographs were taken and graded for presence and severity of cortical, nuclear, and posterior subcapsular cataracts. RESULTS: After adjusting for multiple potential confounders, people who had ever smoked cigarettes had a higher prevalence than nonsmokers of more severe nuclear (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-1.6) and posterior subcapsular (adjusted OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.1) cataracts. The association between pipe smoking and nuclear cataract (adjusted OR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.5-8.2) was stronger than the association with cigarette smoking. Alcohol consumption was associated with a reduced prevalence of cortical cataract: compared with people who did not drink, the adjusted OR for cortical cataract among people who drank at least 1 drink a day was 0.7 (95% CI, 0.6-0.9). Heavy alcohol consumption (> or =4 drinks a day) was associated with nuclear cataract in current smokers (adjusted OR compared with nondrinkers, 3.9; 95% CI, 0.9-16.6) but not in never smokers. CONCLUSIONS: Consistent with other studies, smoking was associated with a higher prevalence of nuclear and posterior subcapsular cataracts. The only adverse effect of alcohol was among smokers: people who smoked and drank heavily had an increased prevalence of nuclear cataract.     

Uniparental disomies in unselected populations

Risk factors for Escherichia coli O157:H7 infection were investigated in a case-control study at 10 medical centers throughout the United States. Among 73 case-patients and 142 matched controls, exposures in the 7 days before illness associated with E. coli O157:H7 infection in univariate analysis included consumption of hamburger (matched odds ratio [MOR], 3.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9-7.9), undercooked hamburger (MOR, 4.5; 95% CI, 1.6-12.2), or hot dogs (MOR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.1-4.4); eating at a fast-food restaurant (MOR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.1-4.6); drinking unchlorinated well water (MOR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.1-5.7); swimming in a pond (MOR, 5.4; 95% CI, 1.1-26.0); and having a household member with diarrhea (MOR, 11.9; 95% CI, 2.7-53.5). In multivariate analysis, only eating undercooked hamburger remained associated with infection. Seven (8%) of 93 patients developed hemolytic uremic syndrome and 1 died. Prevention strategies aimed at modifying risk factors may help to reduce the risk of infection with E. coli O157:H7.     

Depression and suicidal ideation in dermatology patients with acne, alopecia areata, atopic dermatitis and psoriasis

OBJECTIVE: To determine the birth prevalence of and risk factors associated with congenital esotropia. DESIGN: Population-based prevalence study with nested case-control study. PARTICIPANTS: All residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota who were diagnosed with congenital esotropia and born between January 1, 1980 and December 31, 1989 (n = 47). Control subjects were chosen by selecting the next two sequential births to parents residing in Olmsted County, Minnesota (n = 94). METHODS: Cases were identified through the Medical Diagnostic Index of Mayo and the Rochester Epidemiology Project. The community medical records were reviewed to confirm case status and ascertain risk factor information. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Birth prevalence of congenital esotropia. RESULTS: Forty-seven cases were identified from 17,536 live births, for a birth prevalence of 27 per 10,000 (95% confidence interval [CI], 20-35). Congenital esotropia was associated with prematurity (odds ratio [OR], 11.5; 95% CI, 3.4-39.2), a birth weight less than 2500 grams (OR, 4.6; 95% CI, 1.7-12.9), a low Apgar score at 1 minute (OR, 4.3; 95% CI, 1.7-11.2) and at 5 minutes (OR, 6.3; 95% CI, 1.3-30.7), and a family history of strabismus (OR, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.5-8.3). CONCLUSIONS: The birth prevalence of congenital esotropia in Olmsted County, Minnesota is lower than previous estimates. Prematurity, low birth weight, low Apgar scores, and a family history of strabismus are significant risk factors for congenital esotropia.     

Chlorella virus NY-2A encodes at least 12 DNA endonuclease/methyltransferase genes

OBJECTIVE: To describe outcome and determine predictive factors in juvenile rheumatoid arthritis (JRA) and juvenile spondyloarthopathy (JSpA). METHODS: Seventy-two children with chronic arthritis were studied on first admission to the pediatric rheumatology clinic and after a mean of 9.7 +/- 1.8 yrs of disease duration. RESULTS: At followup, 53 patients had JRA and 19 had JSpA. Eleven (21%) of the patients with JRA did not meet the criteria for JRA on first admission, and 12 (22%) of 54 children diagnosed as having JRA on first admission were later reclassified as having another disease. Remission occurred in 43 (60%) of the 72 patients with JRA and JSpA. Forty-four patients (60%) reported no disability by the childhood or adult Health Assessment Questionnaire and 18 patients (25%) had developed joint erosions. Disease modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARD) were given to 49 patients (68%) after a median of 0.8 yrs (range 0.2-10.8) disease duration. The patients who developed erosions and disability tended to have started treatment later than those who did not (NS). Active disease 5 years after onset was a predictor of disability in JRA and JSpA (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.6-12.5). Predictors of joint erosions were long duration of elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) (OR 3.7/yr of elevated ESR, 95% CI 1.9-7.2), long disease duration before first admission (OR 1.5/yr of duration, 95% CI 1.1-2.1), long disease duration before treatment with DMARD (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.0-3.3), and IgM rheumatoid factor (OR 12 x 10(4), 95% CI 0-1.2 x 10[52]). CONCLUSION: The longterm outcome in JRA and JSpA was more favorable than previously reported. This may be explained by less selection in favor of severely diseased patients and by the use of early aggressive treatment regimes.     

Child restraint device use in patients leaving a children's hospital

OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency of and factors associated with the use of child restraint devices (CRDs) in patients leaving an urban children's hospital. DESIGN: Verbally administered survey, followed by observation of CRD use. SETTING: Main parking area at an urban children's hospital with mandated use of parking attendants. PARTICIPANTS: A convenience sample of 295 parents or guardians who were leaving the hospital and were accompanied by at least 1 child younger than 48 months. RESULTS: Eighty percent of the respondents were female; 77% of the respondents were white and 22% were African American. Two hundred thirty-five (80%) used CRDs. Subjects who were at risk of CRD noncompliance included nonwhite individuals (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 6.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.0-14.5), those whose primary source of medical care was from a public clinic (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.1-5.3) or from a specialty clinic (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 0.8-6.6), and those who were older than 24 months (OR, 8.7; 95% CI, 3.5-21.9). Parental education and income level were not important predictors of CRD compliance controlling for race, primary medical care source, and age. Study participants were observed for incorrect CRD use; 30% (30/ 99 of infants younger than 12 months were incorrectly placed in the forward-facing position, and 23% (54/ 235 of all CRD users did not use its harness. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who use public clinics or pediatric subspecialists as their primary source of medical care, especially those who are African Americans, are at risk of CRD noncompliance. Children's hospitals should take an active role in improving CRD use in these patients.     

Spectrum of disease among HIV-infected adults hospitalised in a respiratory medicine unit in Abidjan, C?te d'Ivoire

SETTING: Respiratory medicine wards of the University Teaching Hospital, Abidjan, C?te d'Ivoire. OBJECTIVES: To describe the spectrum of opportunistic infection among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected adults hospitalised in the respiratory medicine unit in Abidjan, and the level of immunosuppression at which these diseases occur. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. RESULTS: Overall, 75% of patients were HIV-positive: among these patients, the most frequent diagnosis was tuberculosis, in 61%, followed by bacterial pneumonia (15%), Gram-negative septicaemia (particularly non-typhoid Salmonella) (9%) and empyema (5%). Atypical pneumonias appeared to be rare. Most HIV-positive patients had CD4 counts indicative of advanced immunosuppression: 36% had CD4 counts below 100 x 10(6)/l, 19% between 100 and 199 x 10(6)/l, 29% between 200 and 499 x 10(6)/l, and 16% above 500 x 10(6)/l. Overall in-hospital mortality was 27% for HIV-positive patients and 22% for HIV-negative patients (P = 0.5). In a multivariate analysis, the strongest independent risk factors for death were cachexia (odds ratio [OR] 7.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.1-26.3), male sex (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.2-17.4) and age over 40 (OR 4.1, 95% CI 1.0-17.2). CONCLUSIONS: Tuberculosis and bacterial infections are the major causes of respiratory morbidity in immunosuppressed HIV-infected adults in this population. Efforts to improve the management of HIV-related disease need to focus on prevention and treatment of these infections.     

Why patients use alternative medicine: results of a national study

CONTEXT: Research both in the United States and abroad suggests that significant numbers of people are involved with various forms of alternative medicine. However, the reasons for such use are, at present, poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: To investigate possible predictors of alternative health care use. METHODS: Three primary hypotheses were tested. People seek out these alternatives because (1) they are dissatisfied in some way with conventional treatment; (2) they see alternative treatments as offering more personal autonomy and control over health care decisions; and (3) the alternatives are seen as more compatible with the patients' values, worldview, or beliefs regarding the nature and meaning of health and illness. Additional predictor variables explored included demographics and health status. DESIGN: A written survey examining use of alternative health care, health status, values, and attitudes toward conventional medicine. Multiple logistic regression analyses were used in an effort to identify predictors of alternative health care use. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1035 individuals randomly selected from a panel who had agreed to participate in mail surveys and who live throughout the United States. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Use of alternative medicine within the previous year. RESULTS: The response rate was 69%. The following variables emerged as predictors of alternative health care use: more education (odds ratio [OR], 1.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-1.3); poorer health status (OR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5); a holistic orientation to health (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1-1.9); having had a transformational experience that changed the person's worldview (OR, 1 .8; 95% CI, 1 .3-2.5); any of the following health problems: anxiety (OR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.6-6.0); back problems (OR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1 .7-3.2); chronic pain (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1 -3.5); urinarytract problems (OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.3-3.5); and classification in a cultural group identifiable by their commitment to environmentalism, commitment to feminism, and interest in spirituality and personal growth psychology (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.4-2.7). Dissatisfaction with conventional medicine did not predict use of alternative medicine. Only 4.4% of those surveyed reported relying primarily on alternative therapies. CONCLUSION: Along with being more educated and reporting poorer health status, the majority of alternative medicine users appear to be doing so not so much as a result of being dissatisfied with conventional medicine but largely because they find these health care alternatives to be more congruent with their own values, beliefs, and philosophical orientations toward health and life.     

Leptospirosis: prognostic factors associated with mortality

To determine the prognostic factors for leptospirosis, we conducted a retrospective study of data collected in the emergency department of our hospital between 1989 and 1993. Sixty-eight patients, for whom the diagnosis of leptospirosis was based on pertinent clinical and epidemiological data and positive serology, were included in this study. Fifty-six patients (82%) were discharged from the hospital, and 12 (18%) died. Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that five factors were independently associated with mortality: dyspnea (odds ratio [OR], 11.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.8-48.5; P < .05), oliguria (OR, 9; CI, 2.1-37.9; P < .05); white blood cell count, >12,900/mm3 (OR, 2.5; CI, 1.8-3.5; P < or = .01), repolarization abnormalities on electrocardiograms (OR, 5.9; CI, 1.4-24.8; P < or = .01), and alveolar infiltrates on chest radiographs (OR, 7.3; CI, 1.7-31.7; P < or = .01). Identification of these factors on admission might provide useful selection criteria for patients who need early transfer to the intensive care unit.     

Risk factors for subarachnoid hemorrhage: a systematic review

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Knowledge of modifiable risk factors for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is important in terms of prevention. We therefore conducted a systematic review of studies on risk factors for SAH, with emphasis on sufficiently precise criteria for the diagnosis of SAH. METHODS: To identify studies we performed a Medline search from 1966 to 1994 and searched the reference lists of all relevant publications. Studies were included only if they fulfilled predefined methodological criteria. Case-control studies were included if the diagnosis of SAH was proved by CT, angiography, or autopsy in at least 70% of patients. Longitudinal studies were included if the criteria for SAH were based on a review of the medical records. RESULTS: Nine longitudinal studies and 11 case-control studies were included. Significant risk factors were as follows: (1) smoking (relative risk [RR] for longitudinal studies, 1.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5 to 2.3; odds ratio [OR] for case-control studies, 3.5; 95% CI, 2.9 to 4.3); (2) hypertension (RR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.1 to 3.6; OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 2.4 to 3.7) and (3) drinking 150 g or more of alcohol per week (RR, 4.7; 95% CI, 2.1 to 10.5; OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.9). Use of oral contraceptives, hormone replacement therapy, hypercholesterolemia, and physical activity were not significantly related to the risk of SAH. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that smoking, hypertension, and alcohol abuse are important risk factors for SAH. Reduction of exposure to these risk factors might result in a decreased incidence of SAH.     

Prognostic factors and etiology in patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia admitted at the ICU. Spanish multicenter study. Study Group on Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia in Spain

OBJECTIVE: To determine the techniques used for the etiological diagnosis of community-acquired pneumonia in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and to describe the predominant causative organisms as well as prognostic factors of ICU mortality. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 262 patients with community-acquired pneumonia admitted to 26 ICUs between 1 November of 1991 and 31 October of 1992 were included in a prospective, open, multicenter study. RESULTS: The diagnostic techniques most frequently used were blood culture (243 cases) and simple tracheal aspirate (166 cases). Simple tracheal aspirate (58.4%), bronchoalveolar lavage (47.7%), and protected-specimen brush (44.2%) were the techniques that showed the highest diagnostic reliability. In 220 cases, techniques considered of high diagnostic probability were employed. With the use of these procedures, the most frequent causative pathogens were Streptococcus pneumoniae (13.6%) and Legionella pneumophila (9.5%). In 100 cases (45.5%), no pathogen was isolated. A total of 88 patients (33.6%) died during the ICU stay. Predictive variables of poor outcome selected by means of a multivariate analysis were as follows: multisystemic failure (OR = 28.6; 95% CI: 12.8-65.1; p = 0.0001), APACHE II at the time of ICU admission (OR = 5.3; 95% CI: 2.5-11.3; p = 0.0001), progression and/or spread of lung infection (OR = 4.5; 95% CI: 2.4-8.4; p = 0.0001), and shock on admission (OR = 8.48; 95% CI: 4.5-15.9; p = 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: In 45.5% of patients with community-acquired pneumonia admitted to ICU, no causative pathogen was identified. The prognosis of these patients was influenced by the severity of disease assessed by APACHE II score and presence of multisystemic failure and shock at the time of ICU admission.     

Risk factors for incident radiographic knee osteoarthritis in the elderly: the Framingham Study

OBJECTIVE: Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is highly prevalent, especially in the elderly. Preventive strategies require a knowledge of risk factors that precede disease onset. The present study was conducted to determine the longitudinal risk factors for knee OA in an elderly population. METHODS: A longitudinal study of knee OA involving members of the Framingham Study cohort was performed. Weight-bearing knee radiographs were obtained in 1983-1985 (baseline) and again in 1992-1993. Incident disease was defined as the occurrence of new radiographic OA (Kellgren and Lawrence grade > or = 2 on a 0-4 scale) in those without radiographic OA at baseline. Risk factors assessed at baseline and in the interim were tested in univariate and multivariate equations to evaluate their association with incident knee OA. RESULTS: Of 598 patients without knee OA at baseline (mean age 70.5 years, 63.7% women), 93 (15.6%) developed OA. After adjustment for multiple risk factors, women had a higher risk of OA than did men (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 1.8, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.1-3.1). Higher baseline body mass index increased the risk of OA (OR = 1.6 per 5-unit increase, 95% CI 1.2-2.2), and weight change was directly correlated with the risk of OA (OR = 1.4 per 10-lb change in weight, 95% CI 1.1-1.8). Physical activity increased the risk of OA (for those in the highest quartile, OR = 3.3, 95% CI 1.4-7.5). Smokers had a lower risk than did nonsmokers (for those who smoked an average of > or = 10 cigarettes/day, OR = 0.4, 95% CI 0.2-0.8). Factors not associated with the risk of OA included chondrocalcinosis and a history of hand OA. Weight-related factors affected the risk of OA only in women. CONCLUSION: Elderly persons at high risk of developing radiographic knee OA included obese persons, nonsmokers, and those who were physically active. The direction of weight change correlated directly with the risk of developing OA.     

Risk factors for Clostridium difficile-associated diarrhoea in HIV-infected patients

OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors associated with a first episode of Clostridium difficile-associated diarrhoea (CDAD) in patients with HIV infection. DESIGN: A case-control study. SETTING: University teaching hospital HIV inpatient unit. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Nineteen HIV-infected patients with CDAD, defined as diarrhoea with positive stool culture for Clostridium difficile (CD) and positive stool cytotoxin B assay, were compared with 38 randomly selected controls (HIV-infected patients hospitalized on the ward on the day the matched case was diagnosed). CD isolates were phenotyped by electrophoretic protein patterns. RESULTS: The incidence of CDAD among HIV-infected patients was 4.1/100 of patient-admissions. On univariate analysis, cases were more likely to have used clindamycin [11 out of 19 compared with four out of 38; odds ratio (OR) 19; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2-160; P = 0.0007], and pyrimethamine (14 out of 19 compared with 13 out of 38; OR, 4.8; 95% CI, 1.4-16, P = 0.02) in the month before diagnosis, and to have had cerebral toxoplasmosis (12 out of 19 compared with 13 out of 38; OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 0.9-8.6; P = 0.09). There was also a significant increase of the risk of CDAD as duration of hospitalization in the ward increased (chi 2 for trend, P = 0.007). Multivariate models associated two risk factors with CDAD: clindamycin use (OR, 42; 95% CI, 2-813; P = 0.01), and prolonged hospitalization in the ward (OR, 3.6 per week in the ward; 95% CI, 1-13, P = 0.048). Of 18 available CD isolates, 15 (83%) had identical electrophoretic protein pattern. CONCLUSIONS: Clindamycin use and prolonged hospitalization in the ward were the main risk factors associated with CDAD in this study. These observations, together with the occurrence of one major phenotype of CD, suggest nosocomial transmission of CD in the ward.     

Maternal flu, fever, and the risk of neural tube defects: a population-based case-control study

Results of clinical and epidemiologic studies have shown an increased risk for neural tube defects (NTD) in infants whose mothers were exposed to heat during pregnancy. However, the risk for NTD in infants whose mothers had influenza during pregnancy has not been well studied. This population-based case-control study of infants born in metropolitan Atlanta, Georgia, from 1968 through 1980 included 385 infants with NTD, 3,647 infants with other birth defects, and 2,676 infants without birth defects. Of the 385 mothers of case infants, 31 reported having a 2-day or longer episode of flu with fever from 1 month before through 3 months after conception (odds ratio (OR) = 3.0; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.9-4.7). Infants of mothers who took medications for their episodes of flu with fever had an even higher risk for NTD (OR = 4.3, 95% CI 2.6-7.1). When mothers of infants with birth defects other than NTD were used as controls, an increased risk of NTD remained for flu with fever (OR = 1.7, 95% CI 1.1-2.5). There was no increased risk for NTD among the infants of mothers who reported fever from causes other than flu. Because of the heterogeneity of maternal flu, the individual contributions of infection, fever, and medications remain difficult to disentangle.     

Microbiological factors influencing the outcome of nosocomial bloodstream infections: a 6-year validated, population-based model

All patients (n = 1,745) with nosocomial bloodstream infection identified between 1986 and 1991 at a single 900-bed tertiary care hospital were studied to identify microbiological factors independently associated with mortality due to the infection. Patients were identified by prospective, case-based surveillance and positive blood cultures. Mortality rates were examined for secular trends. Prognostic factors were determined with use of univariate and multivariate analyses, and both derivation and validation sets were used. A total of 1,745 patients developed nosocomial bloodstream infection. The 28-day crude mortality was 22%, and crude in-hospital mortality was 35%. Factors independently (all P < .05) associated with increased 28-day mortality rates were older age, longer length of hospital stay before bloodstream infection, and a diagnosis of cancer or disease of the digestive system. After adjustment for major confounders, Candida species were the only organisms independently influencing the outcome of nosocomial bloodstream infection (odds ratio [OR] for mortality = 1.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22-2.76; P = .0035). The two additional microbiological factors independently associated with increased mortality were pneumonia as a source of secondary infection (OR = 2.74; 95% CI, 1.87-4.00; P < .0001) and polymicrobial infection (OR = 1.68; 95% CI, 1.22-2.32; P = .0014). Our data suggest that microbiological factors independently affect the outcome of nosocomial bloodstream infection.     

Risk factors in the development of ocular surface epithelial dysplasia

BACKGROUND: Ocular surface epithelial dysplasia involves a spectrum of diseases ranging from only minor eye irritation to blindness and potentially death. METHODS: A case-control study involving 60 patients with ocular surface epithelial dysplasia treated between 1972 and 1991 and 60 age- and sex-matched individuals was conducted to compare relative ultraviolet light exposures over their lifetimes. A standardized self-administered ultraviolet exposure questionnaire was used for assessment. RESULTS: Risk factors identified include phenotypic features such as fair skin (odds ratio [OR], 5.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1, 25.6), pale iris (OR, 1.8; 95%; CI, 0.9, 3.8), and propensity to sunburn (OR, 3.8; 95% CI, 0.7, 19.7), history of previous skin cancers removed (OR, 15; 95% CI, 2.0, 113.6), and being outdoors more than 50% of time in the first 6 years of life while living 30 degrees or less from the equator (OR, 7.5; 95% CI, 1.8, 30.6). CONCLUSION: These risk factors suggest that ocular surface epithelial dysplasia is an ultraviolet light-related disease.