A multiple-design-point approach for reliability-based design optimization

The application of design-point-based reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) methods is hindered by the challenge of multiple-design-point problems. In this article, to improve the commonality of design-point-based RBDO methods, a novel multiple-design-point (MDP) approach is developed. The MDP approach uses the trace of the design points from consequent reliability analysis iterations to identify whether there are multiple design points, then all of the design points are used to calculate shifting vectors for the sequential optimization and reliability assessment method, and the corresponding probabilistic constraints are moved to the feasible region along these multiple shifting vectors at the same time. With multiple shifted probabilistic constraints, the design feasibility associated with this probabilistic constraint will be satisfied. Two mathematical examples, a speed reducer design and a honeycomb crashworthiness design, are presented to validate the effectiveness of the MDP method. The results show that the MDP approach is effective for handling multiple-design-point problems.     

Enhanced modified reliability index approach for efficient and robust reliability-based design optimization

The reliability index approach (RIA) is one of the effective tools for solving the reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) probabilistic model, which models the uncertainties with probability constraints. However, its wide application in engineering is limited due to low efficiency and convergence problems. The RIA-based modified reliability index approach (MRIA) appears to be very robust and accurate than RIA but yields inefficient for the most probable point (MPP) search with highly nonlinear probabilistic constraints. In this study, an enhanced modified reliability index approach (EMRIA) is developed to improve the efficiency and robustness of searching for MPP and is utilized for RBDO. In the EMRIA, an innovative active set using rigorous inequality is applied to construct the region of exploring for MPP, where the unnecessary probabilistic constraint could be eliminated adaptively during the iterative process. Moreover, the double loop strategy (DLS) is integrated into the EMRIA to strengthen the efficiency and robustness of large-scale RBDO problems. Two numerical examples demonstrated that the EMRIA is an efficient and robust method for MPP search in comparison with current first-order reliability methods. Six RBDO problems quoted also indicate that DLS-based EMRIA has good performance to solve complex RBDO problems.     

Reliability analysis and reliability-based design optimization of roadway horizontal curves using a first-order reliability method

This article presents reliability analysis and reliability-based optimization of roadway minimum radius design based on vehicle dynamics, mainly focusing on exit ramps and interchanges. The performance functions are formulated as failure modes of vehicle rollover and sideslip. To accurately describe the failure modes, analytical models for rollover and sideslip are derived considering nonlinear characteristics of vehicle behaviour using the commercial software TruckSim. The probability of an accident is evaluated using the first-order reliability method and numerical studies are conducted using a single-unit truck model. To propose a practical application for the study, the reliability analysis for the minimum radius recommended by American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials is conducted. The results show that, even if there are deviations from assumed design conditions of the current design guideline, the proposed design method can guarantee given target margins of safety against rollover and sideslip. Based on the reliability analysis, reliability-based design optimization is carried out and the results indicate new recommendations for minimum radii satisfying given target reliability levels.     

An inverse reliability analysis method for reliability-based design optimization with random and dependent interval variables constrained within ellipsoids

In practical design problems, interval variables exist. Many existing methods can handle only independent interval variables. Some interval variables, however, are dependent. In this work, dependent interval variables constrained within a multi-ellipsoid convex set are considered and incorporated into reliability-based design optimization (RBDO). An efficient RBDO method is proposed by employing the sequential single-loop procedure, which separates the coupled reliability analysis procedure from the deterministic optimization procedure. In the reliability analysis procedure, a single-loop optimization for the inverse reliability analysis is performed, and an efficient inverse reliability analysis method for searching for the worst-case most probable point (WMPP) is developed. The search method contains two stages. The first stage deals the situation where the WMPP is on the boundary of the feasible region, while the second stage accommodates the situation where the WMPP is inside the feasible region by interpolation. Three examples are used for a demonstration.     

Multi-objective system reliability-based optimization method for design of a fully parametric concept car body

This article investigates multi-objective optimization under reliability constraints with applications in vehicle structural design. To improve computational efficiency, an improved multi-objective system reliability-based design optimization (MOSRBDO) method is developed, and used to explore the lightweight and high-performance design of a concept car body under uncertainty. A parametric model knowledge base is established, followed by the construction of a fully parametric concept car body of a multi-purpose vehicle (FPCCB-MPV) based on the knowledge base. The structural shape, gauge and topology optimization are then designed on the basis of FPCCB-MPV. The numerical implementation of MOSRBDO employs the double-loop method with design optimization in the outer loop and system reliability analysis in the inner loop. Multi-objective particle swarm optimization is used as the outer loop optimization solver. An improved multi-modal radial-based importance sampling (MRBIS) method is utilized as the system reliability solver for multi-constraint analysis in the inner loop. The accuracy and efficiency of the MRBIS method are demonstrated on three widely used test problems. In conclusion, MOSRBDO has been successfully applied for the design of a full parametric concept car body. The results show that the improved MOSRBDO method is more effective and efficient than the traditional MOSRBDO while achieving the same accuracy, and that the optimized body-in-white structure signifies a noticeable improvement from the baseline model.     

考虑可靠度可信区间的结构可靠性优化设计

 在贝叶斯统计理论和结构可靠性优化设计方法的基础上,研究了结构在小样本情况下考虑可靠度可信区间的结构可靠性优化设计问题.将结构可靠度作为随机变量,根据先验信息和样本信息,采用贝叶斯推断技术获得结构可靠度的概率分布,给出了可靠度的点估计及区间估计.建立了考虑可靠度可信区间的结构可靠性优化设计模型,提出了考虑可靠度可信区间的结构可靠性优化设计方法.所提出的方法为解决小样本情况下的结构可靠性优化设计问题提供了新的解决方案.数值算例验证了所提出的结构可靠性优化设计方法的有效性和正确性.     

Tolerance synthesis by a new method for system reliability-based optimization

The performance–cost ratio of a product may be significantly improved by a better tolerance assignment. Current practice guided by experience usually leads to a conservative and costly design. Because yield in mechanical engineering is analogous to system reliability in structural engineering, this article applies a system reliability-based optimization formulation to tolerance synthesis and presents a sequential approximate programming method. This method is an extension of the approach for the optimization with component reliability constraints. Two often-quoted examples are analyzed in detail to illustrate its effectiveness and a strategy for tolerance assignment is recommended.     

A new hybrid reliability-based design optimization method under random and interval uncertainties

This article proposes a new method for hybrid reliability-based design optimization under random and interval uncertainties (HRBDO-RI). In this method, Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is employed to estimate the upper bound of failure probability, and stochastic sensitivity analysis (SSA) is extended to calculate the sensitivity information of failure probability in HRBDO-RI. Due to a large number of samples involved in MCS and SSA, Kriging metamodels are constructed to substitute true constraints. To avoid unnecessary computational cost on Kriging metamodel construction, a new screening criterion based on the coefficient of variation of failure probability is developed to judge active constraints in HRBDO-RI. Then a projection-outline-based active learning Kriging is achieved by sequentially select update points around the projection outlines on the limit-state surfaces of active constraints. Furthermore, the prediction uncertainty of Kriging metamodel is quantified and considered in the termination of Kriging update. Several examples, including a piezoelectric energy harvester design, are presented to test the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method for HRBDO-RI.     

An accurate and efficient reliability-based design optimization using the second order reliability method and improved stability transformation method

The first order reliability method has been extensively adopted for reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), but it shows inaccuracy in calculating the failure probability with highly nonlinear performance functions. Thus, the second order reliability method is required to evaluate the reliability accurately. However, its application for RBDO is quite challenge owing to the expensive computational cost incurred by the repeated reliability evaluation and Hessian calculation of probabilistic constraints. In this article, a new improved stability transformation method is proposed to search the most probable point efficiently, and the Hessian matrix is calculated by the symmetric rank-one update. The computational capability of the proposed method is illustrated and compared to the existing RBDO approaches through three mathematical and two engineering examples. The comparison results indicate that the proposed method is very efficient and accurate, providing an alternative tool for RBDO of engineering structures.     

A reliability-based robust optimization design for the drum brake using adaptive Kriging surrogate model

To decrease random parameters’ influence on the drum brake reliability, the reliability-based robust optimization design (RBROD) of the electric vehicle brake is proposed. Based on the assumption that the maximum temperature of the brake cannot exceed the allowable temperature, a performance function model of thermal–mechanical coupling reliability of drum brakes is established by the adaptive Kriging method, and the analysis of reliability sensitivity and RBROD are conducted. The accuracy of the proposed model is verified by temperature measurement experiment under emergency braking condition. The robust optimization design improves the drum brake reliability to 0.99998 and reduce the influence of the design parameters on the reliability, with the absolute values of the reliability sensitivity and the weight of the drum brake are significantly smaller. Therefore, the objectives of reliability design, robustness design, and optimization design are simultaneously achieved by the proposed methods. Besides, the relative error of the proposed method is 0.373%, the number of function evaluations is 39, and the comparison with four meta-model methods show that the proposed method holds high-accuracy and high-efficiency. This study provides a high-precision theoretical explanation for the robust optimization design of drum brake.     

Dynamic reliability-based robust design optimization with time-variant probabilistic constraints

With the increasing complexity of engineering systems, ensuring high system reliability and system performance robustness throughout a product life cycle is of vital importance in practical engineering design. Dynamic reliability analysis, which is generally encountered due to time-variant system random inputs, becomes a primary challenge in reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO). This article presents a new approach to efficiently carry out dynamic reliability analysis for RBRDO. The key idea of the proposed approach is to convert time-variant probabilistic constraints to time-invariant ones by efficiently constructing a nested extreme response surface (NERS) and then carry out dynamic reliability analysis using NERS in an iterative RBRDO process. The NERS employs an efficient global optimization technique to identify the extreme time responses that correspond to the worst case scenario of system time-variant limit state functions. With these extreme time samples, a kriging-based time prediction model is built and used to estimate extreme responses for any given arbitrary design in the design space. An adaptive response prediction and model maturation mechanism is developed to guarantee the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed NERS approach. The NERS is integrated with RBRDO with time-variant probabilistic constraints to achieve optimum designs of engineered systems with desired reliability and performance robustness. Two case studies are used to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach.     

A reliability-based fatigue design for mechanical components under material variability

The mechanical components subjected cyclic load unusually fail due to fatigue. The traditional deterministic design method still has the risk of failure while the safety factor method sometimes is overconservative and uneconomic. In this study, reliability-based design optimization is applied in structural design of components under low cycle fatigue. A constitutive model (Jiang and Sehitoglu model) was written into user-defined material subroutine of finite element software to make simulation more accurate. In addition, an adaptive least squares support vector machines (LS-SVM)-based response surface method is employed to improve the efficiency of design process. After constructing the implicit life model, a hybrid directional step method is employed to implement the performance measure approach. Finally, a simple case (thickness optimization for cantilever tube) is used to demonstrate the whole procedure of proposed design procedure.     

多失效模式机械系统可靠性稳健设计方法研究

将机械系统可靠性设计理论和稳健设计方法相结合,讨论了多失效模式机械系统可靠性稳健设计问题,提出了多失效模式机械系统可靠性稳健设计的计算方法．把可靠性灵敏度融入可靠性优化设计模型之中,将机械系统可靠性稳健设计归结为满足可靠性要求的多目标优化问题．在基本随机参数的前二阶矩已知的情况下,可以迅速准确地得到机械系统可靠性稳健设计信息．     

Crashworthiness design optimization using successive response surface approximations

 Finite Element (FE) method is among the most powerful tools for crash analysis and simulation. Crashworthiness design of structural members requires repetitive and iterative application of FE simulation. This paper presents a crashworthiness design optimization methodology based on efficient and effective integration of optimization methods, FE simulations, and approximation methods. Optimization methods, although effective in general in solving structural design problems, loose their power in crashworthiness design. Objective and constraint functions in crashworthiness optimization problems are often non-smooth and highly non-linear in terms of design variables and follow from a computationally costly (FE) simulation. In this paper, a sequential approximate optimization method is utilized to deal with both the high computational cost and the non-smooth character. Crashworthiness optimization problem is divided into a series of simpler sub-problems, which are generated using approximations of objective and constraint functions. Approximations are constructed by using statistical model building technique, Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and a Genetic algorithm. The approximate optimization method is applied to solve crashworthiness design problems. These include a cylinder, a simplified vehicle and New Jersey concrete barrier optimization. The results demonstrate that the method is efficient and effective in solving crashworthiness design optimization problems. Received: 30 January 2002 / Accepted: 12 July 2002 Sponsorship for this research by the Federal Highway Administration of US Department of Transportation is gratefully acknowledged. Dr. Nielen Stander at Livermore Software Technology Corporation is also gratefully acknowledged for providing subroutines to create D-optimal experimental designs and the simplified vehicle model.     

Adaptive response surface method based on a double weighted regression technique

In structural reliability analysis where the structural response is computed from the finite element method, the response surface method is frequently used. Typically, the response surface is built from polynomials whereof unknown coefficients are estimated from an implicit limit state function numerically defined at fitting points. The locations of these points must be selected in a judicious way to reduce the computational time without deteriorating the quality of the polynomial approximation. To contribute to the development of this method, we propose some improvements. The response surface is successively formed in a cumulative manner. An adaptive construction of the numerical design is proposed. The response surface is fitted by the weighted regression technique, which allows the fitting points to be weighted according to (i) their distance from the true failure surface and (ii) their distance from the estimated design point. This method aims to minimize computational time while producing satisfactory results. The efficiency and the accuracy of the proposed method can be evaluated from examples taken from the literature.     

Reliability-based design optimization using a moment method and a kriging metamodel

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been used for optimizing engineering systems with uncertainties in design variables and system parameters. RBDO involves reliability analysis, which requires a large amount of computational effort, so it is important to select an efficient method for reliability analysis. Of the many methods for reliability analysis, a moment method, which is called the fourth moment method, is known to be less expensive for moderate size problems and requires neither iteration nor the computation of derivatives. Despite these advantages, previous research on RBDO has been mainly based on the first-order reliability method and relatively little attention has been paid to moment-based RBDO. This article considers difficulties in implementing the moment method into RBDO; they are solved using a kriging metamodel with an active constraint strategy. Three numerical examples are tested and the results show that the proposed method is efficient and accurate.     

An efficient approach for reliability-based topology optimization

This article presents an efficient approach for reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) in which the computational effort involved in solving the RBTO problem is equivalent to that of solving a deterministic topology optimization (DTO) problem. The methodology presented is built upon the bidirectional evolutionary structural optimization (BESO) method used for solving the deterministic optimization problem. The proposed method is suitable for linear elastic problems with independent and normally distributed loads, subjected to deflection and reliability constraints. The linear relationship between the deflection and stiffness matrices along with the principle of superposition are exploited to handle reliability constraints to develop an efficient algorithm for solving RBTO problems. Four example problems with various random variables and single or multiple applied loads are presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach in solving RBTO problems. The major contribution of this article comes from the improved efficiency of the proposed algorithm when measured in terms of the computational effort involved in the finite element analysis runs required to compute the optimum solution. For the examples presented with a single applied load, it is shown that the CPU time required in computing the optimum solution for the RBTO problem is 15–30% less than the time required to solve the DTO problems. The improved computational efficiency allows for incorporation of reliability considerations in topology optimization without an increase in the computational time needed to solve the DTO problem.     

An adaptive response surface method for crashworthiness optimization

Response surface-based design optimization has been commonly used for optimizing large-scale design problems in the automotive industry. However, most response surface models are built by a limited number of design points without considering data uncertainty. In addition, the selection of a response surface in the literature is often arbitrary. This article uses a Bayesian metric to systematically select the best available response surface among several candidates in a library while considering data uncertainty. An adaptive, efficient response surface strategy, which minimizes the number of computationally intensive simulations, was developed for design optimization of large-scale complex problems. This methodology was demonstrated by a crashworthiness optimization example.