共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 31 毫秒
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《Geothermics》1987,16(1):91-99
The Monte Carlo technique is a powerful method for quantifying the various risks in geothermal development. G.E.V.A. uses this method to allow users to realistically estimate the range of costs to be expected in geothermal electricity development. Such risk analysis offers a number of distinct advantages over the conventional single estimate approach:
- 1.(1) Risk is made explicit: the uncertainty perceived in the resource estimates are incorporated directly into the cost analysis. Knowledge of both the most likely outcome as well as the range of possibilities helps to create a more rational and informed decision-making process.
- 2.(2) Variability of outcome is measured: the dispersion in the possible outcome is estimated. Other things being equal, lower variability in the estimated cost of power is desirable.
- 3.(3) Promotes better decisions: the simulation approach requires more judgement in estimating the values for the uncertain elements in the investment. Recognizing what is known and not known with regard to the resource, leads to a more careful analysis. The analysis process is documented so that decision makers can build on past experiences.
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Y. Kotera 《International Journal of Hydrogen Energy》1976,1(2):219-220
This short communication describes work now underway at the National Chemical Laboratory for Industry (N.C.L.I.) in Tokyo, Japan on the production of hydrogen from H2S or H2O by thermochemical processes. Emphasis is placed on the chemistry of the processes and the use of catalysts in various reactions. 相似文献
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As part of the development of a complete cost model for low-enthalpy geothermal energy systems, a detailed investigation was carried out on the major cost components involved in drilling wells in sedimentary regions. A drilling cost model, WDCM, was produced as a result of this work. This paper reports the use of the model in explaining differences in the cost of U.S. oil and gas wells and U.K. low-enthalpy geothermal wells, in particular. A comparison with the cost of French low-enthalpy geothermal wells is included. 相似文献