基于鞍点逼近的机械结构可靠性稳健优化设计

将可靠性优化设计理论与可靠性灵敏度分析方法相结合,讨论了机械零部件稳健优化设计的问题.系统地推导了基于鞍点逼近的可靠性灵敏度公式,并把可靠性灵敏度计算结果融入可靠性稳健优化设计模型之中,将可靠性稳健优化设计归结为满足可靠性要求的多目标优化问题.在基本随机参数概率分布已知的前提下,应用鞍点逼近技术,得到极限状态函数的分布函数与概率密度函数,并且将此结果应用到机械零部件的可靠性灵敏度分析中,进而实现了机械零部件的可靠性稳健优化设计.通过与Monte-Carlo方法计算所得的结果相比可知,应用鞍点逼近技术可以迅速、准确地得到机械零部件可靠性稳健设计信息．     

Reliability-based design optimization using a moment method and a kriging metamodel

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been used for optimizing engineering systems with uncertainties in design variables and system parameters. RBDO involves reliability analysis, which requires a large amount of computational effort, so it is important to select an efficient method for reliability analysis. Of the many methods for reliability analysis, a moment method, which is called the fourth moment method, is known to be less expensive for moderate size problems and requires neither iteration nor the computation of derivatives. Despite these advantages, previous research on RBDO has been mainly based on the first-order reliability method and relatively little attention has been paid to moment-based RBDO. This article considers difficulties in implementing the moment method into RBDO; they are solved using a kriging metamodel with an active constraint strategy. Three numerical examples are tested and the results show that the proposed method is efficient and accurate.     

A sequential approximation method using neural networks for engineering design optimization problems

There are three characteristics in engineering design optimization problems: (1) the design variables are often discrete physical quantities; (2) the constraint functions often cannot be expressed analytically in terms of design variables; (3) in many engineering design applications, critical constraints are often ‘pass–fail’, ‘0–1’ type binary constraints. This paper presents a sequential approximation method specifically for engineering optimization problems with the three characteristics. In this method a back-propagation neural network is trained to simulate a rough map of the feasible domain formed by the constraints using a few representative training data. A training data point consists of a discrete design point and whether this design point is feasible or infeasible. Function values of the constraints are not required. A search algorithm then searches for the optimal point in the feasible domain simulated by the neural network. This new design point is checked against the true constraints to see whether it is feasible, and is then added to the training set. The neural network is trained again with this added information, in the hope that the network will better simulate the boundary of the feasible domain of the true optimization problem. Then a further search is made for the optimal point in this new approximated feasible domain. This process continues in an iterative manner until the approximate model locates the same optimal point in consecutive iterations. A restart strategy is also employed so that the method may have a better chance to reach a global optimum. Design examples with large discrete design spaces and implicit constraints are solved to demonstrate the practicality of this method.     

Reliability-based design optimization of knuckle component using conservative method of moving least squares meta-models

This paper discusses reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of an automotive knuckle component under bump and brake loading conditions. The probabilistic design problem is to minimize the weight of a knuckle component subject to stresses, deformations, and frequency constraints in order to meet the given target reliability. The initial design is generated based on an actual vehicle specification. The finite element analysis is conducted using ABAQUS, and the probabilistic optimal solutions are obtained via the moving least squares method (MLSM) in the context of approximate optimization. For the meta-modeling of inequality constraint functions, a constraint-feasible moving least squares method (CF-MLSM) is used in the present study. The method of CF-MLSM based RBDO has been shown to not only ensure constraint feasibility in a case where the meta-model-based RBDO process is employed, but also to require low expense, as compared with both conventional MLSM and non-approximate RBDO methods.     

Reliability-based design optimization with frequency constraints using a new safest point approach

In the reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) model, the mean values of uncertain variables are usually applied as design variables, and the cost is optimized subject to prescribed probabilistic constraints as defined by a nonlinear mathematical programming problem. Therefore, an RBDO solution that reduces the structural weight in non-critical regions provides not only an improved design, but also a higher level of confidence in the design. Solving such nested optimization problems is extremely expensive for large-scale multidisciplinary systems that are likewise computationally intensive. This article focuses on the study of a particular problem representing the failure mode of structural vibration analysis. A new method is proposed, called safest point, that can efficiently give the reliability-based optimum solution under frequency constraints, and then several probability distributions are developed, which are mathematically nonlinear functions, for the proposed method. Finally, the efficiency of the extended approach is demonstrated for probability distributions such as log-normal and uniform distributions, and its applicability to the design of structures undergoing fluid–structure interaction phenomena, especially the design process of aeroelastic structures, is also demonstrated.     

Reliability-based design optimization of a car body using dimension- reduced Chebyshev polynomial

A reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) method of a car body is presented on basis of dimension-reduced Chebyshev polynomial method (DCM). To improve calculation efficiency and save computational time, complex models are often approximated by metamodels in reliability analysis. Traditional metamodels require a large number of sample points, which is time-consuming. To improve the efficiency, DCM is proposed to approximate the performance function of the car body. First, the performance function is decomposed by the dimension-reduction method into a sum of univariate functions, which are then fitted through Chebyshev polynomials. The reliability of the car body is predicted by the Taylor expansion method and the fourth-moment method. Finally, the result of RBDO is obtained using an improved adaptive genetic algorithm. The proposed method saves on the calculation time with high precision. Besides, the improved adaptive genetic algorithm reduces the number of iterations in the car body optimization and improves the efficiency.     

Finite-circle method for component approximation and packing design optimization

In this article, the finite-circle method is introduced for 2D packing optimization. Each component is approximated with a group of circles and the non-overlapping constraints between components are converted into simple constraints between circles. Three new algorithms—the bisection algorithm, the three-step algorithm, and the improved three-step algorithm with gap—are developed to automatically generate fewer circles approximating the components. The approximation accuracy, the circle number, and the computing time are analyzed in detail. Considering the fact that packing optimization is an NP-hard problem, both genetic and gradient-based algorithms are integrated in the finite-circle method to solve the problem. A mixed approach is proposed when the number of components is relatively large. Various tests are carried out to validate the proposed algorithms and design approach. Satisfactory results are obtained.     

Design space optimization using a numerical design continuation method

A generalized optimization problem in which design space is also a design to be found is defined and a numerical implementation method is proposed. In conventional optimization, only a portion of structural parameters is designated as design variables while the remaining set of other parameters related to the design space are often taken for granted. A design space is specified by the number of design variables, and the layout or configuration. To solve this type of design space problems, a simple initial design space is selected and gradually improved while the usual design variables are being optimized. To make the design space evolve into a better one, one may increase the number of design variables, but, in this transition, there are discontinuities in the objective and constraint functions. Accordingly, the sensitivity analysis methods based on continuity will not apply to this discontinuous stage. To overcome the difficulties, a numerical continuation scheme is proposed based on a new concept of a pivot phase design space. Two new categories of structural optimization problems are formulated and concrete examples shown. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Probabilistic physics-of-failure models for component reliabilities using Monte Carlo simulation and Weibull analysis: a parametric study

In reliability engineering, component failures are generally classified in one of three ways: (1) early life failures; (2) failures having random onset times; and (3) late life or ‘wear out’ failures. When the time-distribution of failures of a population of components is analysed in terms of a Weibull distribution, these failure types may be associated with shape parameters β having values <1, 1, and >1 respectively. Early life failures are frequently attributed to poor design (e.g. poor materials selection) or problems associated with manufacturing or assembly processes.

We describe a methodology for the implementation of physics-of-failure models of component lifetimes in the presence of parameter and model uncertainties. This treats uncertain parameters as random variables described by some appropriate statistical distribution, which may be sampled using Monte Carlo methods. The number of simulations required depends upon the desired accuracy of the predicted lifetime. Provided that the number of sampled variables is relatively small, an accuracy of 1–2% can be obtained using typically 1000 simulations.

The resulting collection of times-to-failure are then sorted into ascending order and fitted to a Weibull distribution to obtain a shape factor β and a characteristic life-time η.

Examples are given of the results obtained using three different models: (1) the Eyring–Peck (EP) model for corrosion of printed circuit boards; (2) a power-law corrosion growth (PCG) model which represents the progressive deterioration of oil and gas pipelines; and (3) a random shock-loading model of mechanical failure. It is shown that for any specific model the values of the Weibull shape parameters obtained may be strongly dependent on the degree of uncertainty of the underlying input parameters. Both the EP and PCG models can yield a wide range of values of β, from β>1, characteristic of wear-out behaviour, to β<1, characteristic of early-life failure, depending on the degree of dispersion of the uncertain parameters. If there is no uncertainty, a single, sharp value of the component lifetime is predicted, corresponding to the limit β=∞. In contrast, the shock-loading model is inherently random, and its predictions correspond closely to those of a constant hazard rate model, characterized by a value of β close to 1 for all finite degrees of parameter uncertainty.

The results are discussed in the context of traditional methods for reliability analysis and conventional views on the nature of early-life failures.     

Designing an optimal water quality monitoring network for river systems using constrained discrete optimization via simulation

The problem of designing a water quality monitoring network for river systems is to find the optimal location of a finite number of monitoring devices that minimizes the expected detection time of a contaminant spill event while guaranteeing good detection reliability. When uncertainties in spill and rain events are considered, both the expected detection time and detection reliability need to be estimated by stochastic simulation. This problem is formulated as a stochastic discrete optimization via simulation (OvS) problem on the expected detection time with a stochastic constraint on detection reliability; and it is solved with an OvS algorithm combined with a recently proposed method called penalty function with memory (PFM). The performance of the algorithm is tested on the Altamaha River and compared with that of a genetic algorithm due to Telci, Nam, Guan and Aral (2009) Telci, I. T., K. Nam, J. Guan, and M.M. Aral, 2009. “Optimal Water Quality Monitoring Network Design for River Systems.” Journal of Environmental Management, 90 (3–4): 2987–2998. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2009.04.011[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar].     

Risk assessment and optimization of a safety system using the maros simulation package

The performance of a pressure-surge relief system which acts as a safety mechanism within the export facility of an oil terminal is analysed in detail. Dynamic simulation methods are integrated with failure mode effects analysis to establish the risk of catastrophic failure of the terminal. An optimization procedure is presented which demonstrates the use of simulation to establish suitable inspection, testing and preventive maintenance schedules which maximize the effectiveness of the surge relief system over its design life. The importance of such activities is evident — left unattended the surge-relief system will not meet minimum safety standards, whereas planned maintenance and testing is shown to improve safety standards above the minimum required.     

A desirability function method for optimizing mean and variability of multiple responses using a posterior preference articulation approach

A desirability function approach has been widely used in multi‐response optimization due to its simplicity. Most of the existing desirability function‐based methods assume that the variability of the response variables is stable; thus, they focus mainly on the optimization of the mean of multiple responses. However, this stable variability assumption often does not apply in practical situations; thus, the quality of the product or process can be severely degraded due to the high variability of multiple responses. In this regard, we propose a new desirability function method to simultaneously optimize both the mean and variability of multiple responses. In particular, the proposed method uses a posterior preference articulation approach, which has an advantage in investigating tradeoffs between the mean and variability of multiple responses. It is expected that process engineers can use this method to better understand the tradeoffs, thereby obtaining a satisfactory compromise solution.     

Lightweight and crashworthiness design of an electric vehicle using a six-sigma robust design optimization method

Design optimization plays an important role in electric vehicle (EV) design. However, fluctuations in design variables and noise factors during the forming process affect the stability of optimization results. This study uses six-sigma robust design optimization to explore the lightweight design and crashworthiness of EVs with uncertainty. A full-scale finite element model of an EV is established. Then, multi-objective design optimization is performed by integrating optimal Latin hypercube sampling, radial basis functions and non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II to achieve minimum peak acceleration and mass. Finally, six-sigma robust optimization designs are applied to improve the reliability and sigma level. Robust optimization using adaptive importance sampling is shown to be more efficient than that using Monte Carlo sampling. Moreover, deformation of the battery compartment and peak acceleration of the B-pillar are greatly decreased. The EV’s safety performance is improved and the lightweight effect is remarkable, validating the strong engineering practicability of the method.     

Multiobjective design of actively controlled structures using a hybrid optimization method

A multiobjective approach to the combined structure and control optimization problem for flexible space structures is presented. The proposed formulation addresses robustness considerations for controller design, as well as a simultaneous determination of optimum actuator locations. The structural weight, controlled system energy, stability robustness index and damping augmentation provided by the active controller are considered as objective functions of the multiobjective problem which is solved using a cooperative game-theoretic approach. The actuator locations and the cross-sectional areas of structural members are treated as design variables. Since the actuator locations are spatially discrete, whereas the cross-sectional areas are continuous, the optimization problem has mixed discrete-continuous design variables. A solution approach to this problem based on a hybrid optimization scheme is presented. The hybrid optimizer is a synergetic blend of artificial genetic search and gradient-based search techniques. The computational procedure is demonstrated through the design of an ACOSS-FOUR space structure. The optimum solutions obtained using the hybrid optimizer are shown to outperform the optimum results obtained using gradient-based search techniques.     

Reliability-based robust design optimization of gap size of annular nuclear fuels using kriging and inverse distance weighting methods

In this study, the design optimization of the gap size of annular nuclear fuels used in pressurized water reactors (PWRs) was performed. For this, thermoelastic–plasticity–creep (TEPC) analysis of PWR annular fuels was carried out using an in-house code to investigate the performance of nuclear fuels. Surrogate models based on the kriging and inverse distance weighting models were generated using computational performance data based on optimal Latin hypercube design. Using these surrogate models, the gap size of PWR annular fuel was deterministically optimized using the micro-genetic algorithm to improve the heat transfer efficiency and maintain a lower level of stress. Reliability-based design optimization and reliability-based robust design optimization were conducted to satisfy target reliability and secure the robustness of the PWRs’ performance. The optimal gap size was validated through TEPC analysis and the optimum solutions were compared according to the approximate method and reliability index.     

Operational design of a supply chain system using the Taguchi method,response surface methodology,simulation, and optimization

Managing a supply chain to meet an organization's objectives is a challenge to many firms. It involves collaboration in multiple dimensions, such as cooperation, information sharing, and capacity planning. In this research, we focus on identifying the ‘best’ operating conditions for a supply chain. We propose a hybrid approach that incorporates simulation, Taguchi techniques, and response surface methodology to examine the interactions among the factors, and to search for the combination of factor levels throughout the supply chain to achieve the ‘optimal’ performance. This study makes it possible for firms to understand the dynamic relations among various factors, and provides guidelines for management to minimize the impact of demand uncertainty on the performance of the supply chain. The results help the manufacturer determine the proper plant capacity and adopt the right level of delayed differentiation strategy for its products. We also quantify the potential gains of cooperation among different members of the supply chain. Using such knowledge, a manufacturer can develop an appropriate incentive plan to motivate the retailers and suppliers to collaborate, and to realize the potential of the entire supply chain.     

Applying the approximation method PAINT and the interactive method NIMBUS to the multiobjective optimization of operating a wastewater treatment plant

Using an interactive multiobjective optimization method called NIMBUS and an approximation method called PAINT, preferable solutions to a five-objective problem of operating a wastewater treatment plant are found. The decision maker giving preference information is an expert in wastewater treatment plant design at the engineering company Pöyry Finland Ltd. The wastewater treatment problem is computationally expensive and requires running a simulator to evaluate the values of the objective functions. This often leads to problems with interactive methods as the decision maker may get frustrated while waiting for new solutions to be computed. Thus, a newly developed PAINT method is used to speed up the iterations of the NIMBUS method. The PAINT method interpolates between a given set of Pareto optimal outcomes and constructs a computationally inexpensive mixed integer linear surrogate problem for the original wastewater treatment problem. With the mixed integer surrogate problem, the time required from the decision maker is comparatively short. In addition, a new IND-NIMBUS^® PAINT module is developed to allow the smooth interoperability of the NIMBUS method and the PAINT method.     

Multiphase topology optimization with a single variable using the phase-field design method

In this study, a multimaterial topology optimization method using a single variable is proposed by combining the solid isotropic material with penalization method and the reaction-diffusion equation. Unlike ordinary multimaterial optimization, which requires several variables depending on the number of material types, this method intends to represent various materials as one variable. The proposed method combines two special functions in the sensitivity analysis of the objective function to converge the design variable into prespecified density values defined for each of the multimaterials. The composition constraint based on a normal distribution function is also introduced to estimate the distribution of each target density value in a single variable. It enables density exchange between multiple materials by increasing or decreasing the amount of a specific material. The proposed method is applied to structural and electromagnetic problems to verify its effectiveness, and its usefulness is also confirmed from the viewpoint of cost and computation time.     

Numerical simulation of point-to-plane corona discharge using a Monte Carlo method

Monte Carlo simulation techniques are used to study the dynamical properties of charged particles in point-to-plane corona discharge. The numerical model includes the release of electron-ion pairs by photoionization and secondary electron emission from cathode as well as the first Townsend ionization. The simulation results of negative corona discharge in nitrogen show that electron avalanche takes place in the region of high electric field near pin electrode and the photoionization is the essential mechanism to sustain the discharge as well as electron impact ionization.     

基于广义多项式混沌的跨座式单轨车辆随机平稳性分析

借助参数化UM(universal mechanism)仿真模型,考虑车辆载重、悬挂参数和轮轨参数的随机性,建立某型跨座式单轨车辆的随机平稳性模型.然后,在有限试验设计样本数限制下,以最佳近似精度为目标,结合低阶交互截断、最小角回归、最小二乘法和留一法交叉验证等实现广义多项式混沌(generalized polynom...