The forecast of the sediment yield generated within a watershed is an important input in the water resources planning and management. The methods for the estimation of sediment yield based on the properties of flow and sediment have limitations attributed to the simplification of important parameters and boundary conditions. Under such circumstances, soft computing approaches have proven to be an efficient tool in modelling the sediment yield. The focus of present study is to deal with the development of decision tree based M5 Model Tree and wavelet regression models for modeling sediment yield in Nagwa watershed in India. A comparison is also performed with the artificial neural network (ANN) model for streamflow forecasting. The root mean square errors (RMSE), Nash-Sutcliff efficiency index (N-S Index), and correlation coefficient (R) statistics are used for the statistical criteria. A comparative evaluation of the performance of M5 Model Tree and wavelet regression versus ANN clearly shows that M5 Model Tree and wavelet regression can prove more useful than ANN models in estimation of sediment yield. Further, M5 model tree offers explicit expressions for use by design engineers. 相似文献
The objective of this study is to develop soft computing and data reconstruction techniques for modeling monthly California Irrigation Management Information System (CIMIS) evapotranspiration (ETo) at two stations, U.C. Riverside and Durham, in California. The nonlinear dynamics of monthly CIMIS ETo is examined using autocorrelation function, phase space reconstruction, and close returns plot. The generalized regression neural networks and genetic algorithm (GRNN-GA) conjunction model is developed for modeling monthly CIMIS ETo. Among different input variables considered, solar radiation (RAD) is found to be the most effective variable for modeling monthly CIMIS ETo using GRNN-GA for both stations. Adding other input variables to the best 1-input combination improves the model performance. The generalized regression neural networks and backpropagation algorithm (GRNN-BP) conjunction model is compared with the results of GRNN-GA for modeling monthly CIMIS ETo. Two bootstrap resampling methods are implemented to reconstruct the training data. Method 1 (1-BGRNN-GA) employs simple extensions of training data using the bootstrap resampling method. For each training data, method 2 (2-BGRNN-GA) uses individual bootstrap resampling of original training data. Results indicate that Method 2 (2-BGRNN-GA) improves modeling of monthly CIMIS ETo and is more stable and reliable than are GRNN-GA, GRNN-BP, and Method 1 (1-BGRNN-GA). 相似文献
In this study, the AdaBoost, MultiBoost and RealAdaBoost methods were combined with the Quadratic Discriminant Analysis method to develop three new GIS-based Machine Learning ensemble models, i.e., ABQDA, MBQDA, and RABQDA for groundwater potential mapping in the Dak Nong Province, Vietnam. In total, 227 groundwater wells and 12 conditioning factors (infiltration, rainfall, river density, topographic wetness index, sediment transport index, stream power index, elevation, aspect, curvature, slope, soil, and land use) were used for this study. Performance of the models was evaluated using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve AUC (AUC) and several other performance metrics. The results showed that the ABQDA model that achieved AUC?=?0.741 was superior to the other models in producing an accurate map of groundwater potential for the Dak Nong Province. The models and potential maps produced here can help policymakers and water resources managers to preserve an optimal exploit from these vital resources.
Pipe failure prediction has become a crucial demand of operators in daily operation and asset management due to the increase in operation risks of water distribution networks. In this paper, two machine learning algorithms, namely, random forest (RF) and logistic regression (LR) algorithms are employed for pipe failure prediction. RF algorithm consists of a group of decision trees that predicts pipe failure independently and makes the final decision by voting together. For the LR algorithm, the mapping relationship between existing data and decision variables is expressed by the logistic function. Then, the prediction is made by comparing the conditional probability with the fixed threshold value. The proposed algorithms are illustrated using an actual water distribution network in China. Results indicate that the RF algorithm performs better than the LR algorithm in terms of accuracy, recall, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The effects of seven characteristics on pipe failures are analyzed, and diameter and length are identified as the top two influential factors.
Water Resources Management - In the present study, prediction of runoff and sediment at Polavaram and Pathagudem sites of the Godavari basin was carried out using machine learning models such as... 相似文献
Water Resources Management - Accurate water level forecasting is important to understand and provide an early warning of flood risk and discharge. It is also crucial for many plants and animal... 相似文献
Water Resources Management - This study develops and applies three hybrid models, including wavelet packet-artificial neural network (WPANN), wavelet packet-adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system... 相似文献
From a watershed management perspective, streamflow need to be predicted accurately using simple, reliable, and cost-effective tools. Present study demonstrates the first applications of a novel optimized deep-learning algorithm of a convolutional neural network (CNN) using BAT metaheuristic algorithm (i.e., CNN-BAT). Using the prediction powers of 4 well-known algorithms as benchmarks – multilayer perceptron (MLP-BAT), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS-BAT), support vector regression (SVR-BAT) and random forest (RF-BAT), the CNN-BAT model is tested for daily streamflow (Qt) prediction in the Korkorsar catchment in northern Iran. Fifteen years of daily rainfall (Rt) and streamflow data from 1997 to 2012 were collected and used for model development and evaluation. The dataset was divided into two groups for building and testing models. The correlation coefficient (r) between rainfall and streamflow with and without antecedent events (i.e., Rt-1, Rt-2, etc.) (as the input variables) and Qt (as the output variable) served as the basis for constructing different input scenarios. Several quantitative and visually-based evaluation metrics were used to validate and compare the model’s performance. The results indicate that Rt was the most effective input variable on Qt prediction and the integration of Rt, Rt-1, and Qt-1 was the optimal input combination. The evaluation metrics show that the CNN-BAT algorithm outperforms the other algorithms. The Friedman and Wilcoxon signed-rank test indicates that the prediction power of CNN-BAT algorithm is significantly/statistically different from the other developed algorithms.
This study is an attempt to find best alternative method to estimate reference evapotranspiration (ETo) for the Mahanadi reservoir project (MRP) command area located at Raipur (Chhattisgarh) in India, when input climatic parameters
are insufficient to apply standard Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations Penman–Monteith (P–M) method.
To identify the best alternative climatic based method that yield results closest to the P–M method, performances of four
climate based methods namely Blaney–Criddle, Radiation, Modified Penman and Pan evaporation were compared with the FAO-56
Penman–Monteith method. Performances were evaluated using the statistical indices. The statistical indices used in the analysis
were the standard error of estimate (SEE), raw standard error of estimate (RSEE) and the model efficiency. Study was extended
to identify the ability of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for estimation of ETo in comparison to climatic based methods. The networks, using varied input combinations of climatic variables have been trained
using the backpropagation with variable learning rate training algorithm. ANN models were performed better than the climatic
based methods in all performance indices. The analyses of results of ANN model suggest that the ETo can be estimated from maximum and minimum temperature using ANN approach in MPR area. 相似文献
Multivariate probability analysis of hydrological elements using copula functions can significantly improve the modeling of complex phenomena by considering several dependent variables simultaneously. The main objectives of this study were to: (i) develop a stand-alone and event-based rainfall-runoff (RR) model using the common bivariate copula functions (i.e. the BCRR model); (ii) improve the structure of the developed copula-based RR model by using a trivariate version of fully-nested Archimedean copulas (i.e. the FCRR model); and (iii) compare the performance of the developed copula-based RR models in an Iranian watershed. Results showed that both of the developed models had acceptable performance. However, the FCRR model outperformed the BCRR model and provided more reliable estimations, especially for lower joint probabilities. For example, when joint probabilities were increased from 0.5 to 0.8 for the peak discharge (qp) variable, the reliability criteria value increased from 0.0039 to 0.8000 in the FCRR model, but only from 0.0010 to 0.6400 in the BCRR model. This is likely because the FCRR considers more than one rainfall predictor, while the BCRR considers only one.
Predicting the dynamics of water-level in lakes plays a vital role in navigation, water resources planning and catchment management. In this paper, the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) approach was used to predict the daily water-level in the Urmia Lake. Daily water-level data from the Urmia Lake in northwest of Iran were used to train, test and validate the employed models. Results showed that the ELM approach can accurately forecast the water-level in the Urmia Lake. Outcomes from the ELM model were also compared with those of genetic programming (GP) and artificial neural networks (ANNs). It was found that the ELM technique outperforms GP and ANN in predicting water-level in the Urmia Lake. It also can learn the relation between the water-level and its influential variables much faster than the GP and ANN. Overall, the results show that the ELM approach can be used to predict dynamics of water-level in lakes. 相似文献
The purpose of this study was to develop and apply the neural networks models to estimate daily pan evaporation (PE) for different climatic zones such as temperate and arid climatic zones, Republic of Korea and Iran. Three kinds of the neural networks models, namely multilayer perceptron-neural networks model (MLP-NNM), generalized regression neural networks model (GRNNM), and support vector machine-neural networks model (SVM-NNM), were used to estimate daily PE. The available climatic variables, consisted of mean air temperature (Tmean), mean wind speed (Umean), sunshine duration (SD), mean relative humidity (RHmean), and extraterrestrial radiation (Ra) were used to estimate daily PE using the various input combinations of climate variables. The measurements for the period of January 1985?CDecember 1990 (Republic of Korea) and January 2002?CDecember 2008 (Iran) were used for training and testing the employed neural networks models. The results obtained by SVM-NNM indicated that it performs better than MLP-NNM and GRNNM for estimating daily PE. A comparison was also made among the employed models, which demonstrated the superiority of MLP-NNM, GRNNM, and SVM-NNM over Linacre model and multiple linear regression model (MLRM). 相似文献
Water Resources Management - In any meta-heuristic algorithm, each search agent must move to the high-fitness areas in the search space while preserving its diversity. At first glance, there is no... 相似文献
In the paper, a new method is introduced for optimally solve the problem of the layout and component size determination of sewer network. Simultaneously Layout and component size optimization of sewer network problem consists of many hydraulic constraints which are generally nonlinear and discrete; which creates a challenge even to the modern heuristic search methods. An algorithm generation of a predefined number of spanning trees is introduced to generate a predefined number of sewer layouts of a base sewer network in order of increasing length. These generated layouts are sorted in ascending order of total cumulative flow and sorted layouts are individually optimized for sewer components sizing. It has been found that the optimal sewer layout for total system optimization is one where the total cumulative flow has the minimal value. The modified particle swarm optimization (MPSO) algorithm has been used to optimally determine the component sizes of the selected layouts. The proposed method is applied to the Sudarshanpura sewer network (situated in Jaipur, India) design problem. The results are presented for optimal cost vs cumulative flow of the layouts. Further results of MPSO has been compared with the original PSO algorithm. 相似文献