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鉴于地下水数值模拟模型预测结果受参数不确定性的影响较大,故以晋祠泉域岩溶地下水系统为例,在建立研究区地下水流数值模型的基础上,选择研究区水文地质参数为代表参数,利用GLUE方法进行初步敏感性分析得出对晋祠泉流量预测最敏感的参数为渗透系数,并筛选出167组较优渗透系数组合,再通过其与不同气象和压采条件下的六个方案的结合进行模拟预测,从而定量分析渗透系数的不确定性对晋祠泉流量预测的影响。结果表明,整体上模型参数的不确定性对泉流量预测产生了较大影响,在开采量大且补给量较小的条件下影响最大,在压采且补给量大的条件下影响最小,但仅压采或仅补源并非加快晋祠泉复流的有效措施。 相似文献
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针对传统的统计学方法难以精确刻画岩溶地下河日流量变化的非线性动态特性,引入有源自回归神经网络(NARX)技术,建立了基于NARX模型的岩溶地下河日流量预测模型,基于寨底地下河2013年1月15日~2014年6月30日的降雨量和流量数据,利用该模型对寨底地下河日流量进行了短期预测。结果表明,该模型预测效果较好,能够很好地预测岩溶地下河流量的变化趋势和极值等动态特性,另外该模型神经元个数越多,延迟阶数越大,神经网络对数据的学习能力和灵活性越强,但该模型不宜进行归一化处理。 相似文献
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为提高径流预报精度,采用单相关系数法挑选预报因子,建立了基于遗传算法的参数投影寻踪回归径流预报模型,利用该模型对雅砻江二滩水电站月平均流量进行了预报。结果表明,与BP神经网络模型预报结果相比,投影寻踪回归模型具有更好的预报结果和更高的预报精度。 相似文献
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在济钢中板厂ACC现场采集数据并进行统计,借助MATLAB平台,对影响ACC水冷模型中的换热系数进行了回归分析,建立了水冷换热系数模型。研究表明,利用MATLAB进行二元线性回归得到的水冷换热系数模型与现场实测数据吻合程度高,此模型可为中板厂ACC现场生产提供理论参考。 相似文献
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随着城市发展,济南城市供水与保泉问题的矛盾日益突出,必须在保证不影响泉水的前提下合理开发地下水资源。选取济南地区1990~2005年的月降雨量、趵突泉泉群水位数据,利用降雨量移动平均值法分析降雨补给特征及泉域水位对降雨量的响应滞后性特征,在降雨量三点移动平均值时开始与泉域水位具有相关性,降雨量十点移动平均值与泉域水位的相关性最强,泉域水位与前十个月的综合降雨量关系密切。降雨量经十点移动平均处理后,降雨量和泉域水位同时上下波动,通过对比分析城区、济东、济西地下水开采量数据,证明泉域水位与城区、济西地下水文单元水力联系密切,与济东地下水文单元不存在水力联系,可合理开采济东地下水单元。 相似文献
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《International Journal of Hydrogen Energy》2022,47(63):26789-26797
The issues related to the reliability of hydrogen engines of unmanned vehicles and increasing the efficiency of using hydrogen as fuel when using the method of its production during the decomposition of hydrogen-containing molecules of liquid-phase organic compounds in a plasma discharge under the action of intense ultrasonic exposure are considered. Experiments have shown that as a result of decomposition in the acoustoplasma discharge of liquid hydrocarbons, solid-phase carbon-containing products are formed, chemical transformations occur in the liquid phase and hydrogen-containing combustible gas is formed. Hydrogen-containing gas can be used as fuel immediately after synthesis, i.e. it does not require separation, since in addition to hydrogen it contains only impurities of CO2 and water vapor. The purpose of the study is to formalize the basic conditions for tightening the control of mutual compliance with the efficiency of hydrogen engines of the same series in the conditions of their mass production. Methods of mathematical statistics and hardware-software modeling were used in the study. The term “unerroric of quality mutual compliance control” is introduced to describe a set of hardware and software tools for such control. The principle of in-depth testing of the technical condition of such engines of one series is described in a multidimensional formulation of the quality control problem for three of their operating parameters at once. The conditions for increasing the mutual correspondence of the measured values of such parameters in the conditions of serial production of hydrogen engines are formalized. 相似文献
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Linear and nonlinear analyses of the instabilities and distortion of liquid streams injected into a gaseous media are discussed. The various fundamental mechanisms and the predictive capabilities for the distortions are emphasized. Round jets, planar sheets, annular sheets, and conical sheets are discussed in detail. The balance between capillary and inertial forces is primarily examined. The method for simplifying the analyses in the case of thin liquid sheets is discussed. The capabilities for representing the droplet size distribution that follows the stream disintegration are outlined. 相似文献
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基于《水工混凝土掺用氧化镁技术规范》中的Ⅰ型氧化镁(MgO),研究了该型MgO膨胀剂(MEA)细度对掺粉煤灰水泥浆体膨胀性能的影响。即采用X射线衍射分析(XRD)及同步热分析(TG DSC)分析了掺MEA水泥浆体中MgO的水化性。结果表明,养护温度相同时,MEA的细度对水泥浆体内MEA中MgO的水化和水泥浆体的膨胀无显著影响,产生的膨胀均能补偿水泥浆体的收缩;MEA的细度可从试验设计采用的45 μm筛筛余15%左右增加到30%左右,这将有利于MEA生产企业的节能降耗。 相似文献
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使用ANSYS8.0软件对高速列车车轮进行了三维有限元分析,计算出车轮在直线、曲线和道岔条件下牵引、制动共6种工况时孔边薄弱部位的应力,分别通过Mises等效平均应力方法、Sines平均主应力方法和应力分量中考虑平均应力方法计算出应力在极值位置时的等效应力幅、等效平均应力,从而进一步算出车轮的安全系数,对其疲劳强度进行评定,并对3种方法进行了比较研究。 相似文献
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M.R. Salimpour M. SharifhasanE. Shirani 《International Communications in Heat and Mass Transfer》2011,38(1):93-99
This paper documents the geometric optimization of an array of circular and non-circular ducts. The optimization was carried out numerically using finite volume method. As optimal dimensions were independent of the array configuration, the numerical simulation was performed on a unit cell. Numerical optimization for circular, square and isosceles right triangle cross-sections of channels was performed. Based on the results of this investigation, some correlations were proposed to predict the optimal hydraulic diameter and dimensionless heat transfer per unit volume. In addition to examining the effect of pressure drop on these parameters, it was showed that among the different geometries of this study, square cross-section has the most efficiency for a given volume. The numerical results of the present study were compared with approximate results reported in the literature which a good agreement was observed. 相似文献
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General expressions for the heat of vaporization of mixtures at constant pressure; at constant temperature; and at constant pressure, temperature, and composition are proposed. The last one is related to the liquid-vapor interface where steady vaporization or condensation is taking place. Numerical examples by the proposed expressions are shown for binary mixtures of HCFC22(R22) and (HCFC123(R123) © 1997 Scripta Technica, Inc. Heat Trans Jpn Res, 25(1): 12–24, 1996 相似文献
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本文对漫灰均温物体在常物性条件下对外辐射传热的Yong值计算建立了数学模型。通过与物体内能Yong公式的数值计算比较,得出了辐射能量的Yong值不大于内能Yong值的结论。从初步的热射Yong值计算公式发现。Yong与物体表面辐射率有关。 相似文献