Hyperplasia of the aorticopulmonary paraganglia: a new insight into the pathogenesis of sudden infant death syndrome?

OBJECTIVE: To study the effect of using an Intensive Care Information System (ICIS) on severity scores and prognostic indices: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II), and Mortality Probability Models II (MPM II). DESIGN: Prospective pilot study. SETTING: A 20-bed medical-surgical intensive care unit (ICU) in a teaching hospital. PATIENTS: 50 consecutive adult patients admitted to the ICU on a bed equipped with an ICIS. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: In each patient all the physiologic variables, as required by the severity scores, were both manually charted and recorded by ICIS. ICIS registration resulted in the extraction of more abnormal values for all physiologic variables (except temperature): p < 0.05. Higher severity scores and mortality prediction were achieved by using ICIS charting: predicted mortality increased by 15% for APACHE II compared to manual charting, 25% for SAPS II, and 24% for MPM0. ICIS charting resulted in higher severity scores and mortality prediction for 29 of the 50 patients using APACHE II with a mean increase in mortality prediction in this subgroup of 27%. In the case of SAPS II, ICIS charting resulted in higher scores in 23 of the 50 patients and in the case of MPM0 in 13 patients, the mean increase in mortality in these subgroups being 64 and 148%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The use of ICIS charting to acquire the most abnormal physiologic values for severity scores and the derived prognostic indices results in a higher mortality prediction. Comparison of groups of patients and/or ICUs based on severity scores is impossible without standardization of data collection. The mortality prediction models have to be revalidated for the use of ICIS charting. While awaiting this, we suggest that every patient record in local regional, national, or international ICU databases should be marked as being recorded by manual or by ICIS charting.     

Elevation of cyclic adenosine 3',5'-monophosphate potentiates activation of mitogen-activated protein kinase by growth factors in LNCaP prostate cancer cells

OBJECTIVE: Proinflammatory cytokines are involved in the pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis. The value of serum levels of tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukin-1-beta, interleukin-6, and interleukin-8 in predicting the outcome of acute pancreatitis was evaluated. METHODS: In 50 patients with acute pancreatitis, the serum concentrations of tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukin-1-beta, interleukin-6, interleukin-8, and C-reactive protein were determined on days 1, 2, 3, 4, and 7 after admission. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) scores were recorded on days 1, 2, and 3. RESULTS: Serum concentrations of interleukin-1-beta, interleukin-6, interleukin-8, and C-reactive protein on days 1-7 were significantly higher in patients with severe pancreatitis than in patients with mild pancreatitis. Patients with severe attacks had significantly elevated serum tumor necrosis factor-alpha concentrations on days 1-3 compared with those with mild attacks, but not on days 4 and 7. The median peak value of tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukin-1-beta, interleukin-6, and interleukin-8 was reached on day 1, in contrast to the median peak of C-reactive protein, which was reached on day 2. Using cutoff levels of 12 pg/ml for tumor necrosis factor-alpha, 1 pg/ml for interleukin-1-beta, 400 pg/ml for interleukin-6, 100 pg/ml for interleukin-8, 12 mg/dl for C-reactive protein, and 10 for the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score, the accuracy rates for detecting severe pancreatitis were 72%, 82%, 88%, 74%, 80%, and 72%, respectively, on day 1 and 78%, 74%, 80%, 76%, 80%, and 78%, respectively, on day 2. CONCLUSION: Among the proinflammatory cytokines, interleukin-6 is the most useful parameter for early prediction of the prognosis of acute pancreatitis.     

Postoperative changes in the coagulation and fibrinolytic systems in endoluminal stent-graft treatment of thoracic aortic aneurysms

Length of stay (LOS) predictions in acute pancreatitis could be used to stratify patients with severe acute pancreatitis, make treatment and resource allocation decisions, and for quality assurance. Artificial neural networks have been used to predict LOS in other conditions but not acute pancreatitis. The hypothesis of this study was that a neural network could predict LOS in patients with acute pancreatitis. The medical records of 195 patients admitted with acute pancreatitis were reviewed. A backpropagation neural network was developed to predict LOS >7 days. The network was trained on 156 randomly selected cases and tested on the remaining 39 cases. The neural network had the highest sensitivity (75%) for predicting LOS >7 days. Ranson criteria had the highest specificity (94%) for making this prediction. All methods incorrectly predicted LOS in two patients with severe acute pancreatitis who died early in their hospital course. An artificial neural network can predict LOS >7 days. The network and traditional prognostic indices were least accurate for predicting LOS in patients with severe acute pancreatitis who died early in their hospital course. The neural network has the advantage of making this prediction using admission data.     

Is the association of serum lipase with beta2-microglobulin or C-reactive protein useful for establishing the diagnosis and prognosis of patients with acute pancreatitis?

In the Emergency Department it is mandatory to establish the diagnosis and the prognosis of acute pancreatitis as soon as possible. To evaluate whether the association of serum lipase either with serum beta2-microglobulin or with C-reactive protein allows simultaneously to establish the diagnosis and the prognosis of acute pancreatitis, 96 patients with acute abdomen were studied. Fifty-eight patients had non-pancreatic acute abdomen and the remaining 38 had acute pancreatitis: 23 mild acute pancreatitis, and 15 severe acute pancreatitis. Forty healthy subjects were studied as controls. Lipase, beta2-microglobulin and C-reactive protein were determined in the serum of all subjects, using commercial kits. One patient with acute pancreatitis was not correctly classified when lipase was used to discriminate between patients with non-pancreatic acute abdomen and those with acute pancreatitis. For the discrimination of patients with severe acute pancreatitis from those with the mild form of the disease in the remaining 37 acute pancreatitis patients, beta2-microglobulin had a sensitivity of 53.3 %, specificity of 81.8%, and prognostic accuracy of 70.3 % (27 of the 37 patients correctly classified); 87.5 % of the 96 cases were correctly classified. C-reactive protein showed a lower prognostic accuracy than beta2-microglobulin: sensitivity 86.7%, specificity 45.5%, accuracy 62.2 %; 84.4 % of the cases were correctly classified. Using the polychotomous logistic regression analysis we found the same accuracy in discriminating between patients with acute pancreatitis and those with non-pancreatic acute abdomen (99.0%) but a lower accuracy (54.1%) between patients with severe acute pancreatitis and those with the mild form of the disease. Our study shows that the association of serum lipase with beta2-microglobulin or with C-reactive protein is not useful in simultaneously establishing the diagnosis and prognosis of acute pancreatitis.     

Seizure control after stimulation of the vagus nerve: clinical outcome measures

Our objective was to determine whether pleural effusion is a predictor of severity in acute pancreatitis and, if so, whether it is an independent predictor. One hundred ninety-six consecutive cases of acute pancreatitis from October 1, 1994, to September 30, 1995, were reviewed. Medical records were analyzed for evidence of pleural effusion by chest radiograph and severe acute pancreatitis by identification of pancreatic necrosis or organ system dysfunction. Data were analyzed to determine if identification of pleural effusion provided an early sign of severity. Among 135 patients who underwent chest radiography, pleural effusion was seen in 16 of 19 (84.2%) with severe pancreatitis and 10 of 116 (8.6%) of patients with mild pancreatitis (p < 0.001). Pleural effusion was noted in severe pancreatitis prior to clinical or computed tomography evidence of severity in only 20% of cases. Pleural effusion is strongly associated with severity in acute pancreatitis but provides independent information on severity in only a minority of cases.     

The history of otolaryngology in the Canadian military: from first to last

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate changes in serial Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scores in patients with intrathoracic oesophageal anastomotic leaks and to assess their prognostic significance. DESIGN: Retrospective study. SETTING: Teaching hospital, Taiwan. SUBJECTS: 18 patients (4%) who developed intrathoracic oesophageal anastomotic leaks in a total of 491 patients who underwent oesophagogastrectomy for adenocarcinoma of the gastric cardia between 1980 and 1994. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: APACHE II scores in those that survived (n = 10) compared with those who died (n = 8). RESULTS: Of the 18 patients, 8 (44%) died. The preoperative general condition, biochemical data, and perioperative APACHE II scores were similar in the two groups. Leakage from the oesophageal anastomoses caused similar degrees of sepsis in the two groups in terms of APACHE II scoring, but the APACHE II scores of survivors started to decline within a week of initial management. In contrast, the APACHE II scores of those who died had increased one week after the leak had been diagnosed despite initial management. There were significant differences in the APACHE II scores of survivors and those who died from one week after leakage until discharge or death (p < 0.001). Only one patient (1/9) survived if the APACHE II score one week after diagnosis of the leak was more than 10. None died of the leak if the APACHE II scores were equal to or less than 10 after a week. CONCLUSIONS: Adequate surgical drainage, antibiotic cover according to the microbiological picture, and nutritional support are essential in the management of intrathoracic oesophageal fistulas. Early reoperation to close early leaks by simple suture or secondary wrapping and to improve local drainage is recommended. The APACHE II scoring system is valuable in evaluating the severity of sepsis caused by intrathoracic oesophagovisceral anastomosis leaks and may serve as an indicator of adequate management. Aggressive surgical measures should be considered if APACHE II scores rise during initial management.     

Periodontal repair in intrabony defects treated with a calcium carbonate implant and guided tissue regeneration

OBJECTIVE: To determine mortality and factors that might predict outcome in severe community-acquired pneumococcal pneumonia treated by a standard protocol. DESIGN: Prospective, non-concurrent study. SETTING: Respiratory intensive care unit (ICU) in a teaching hospital. PATIENTS: 63 patients who were diagnosed by positive blood culture or Gram stain and culture of sputum or tracheal aspirate were included. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Clinical features, severity scores including Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, organ failure and lung injury scores, and the clinical course in the ICU were documented; 79% of patients required mechanical ventilation. Bacteraemia was present in 34 patients (54%); there were no distinguishing clinical features between bacteraemic and non-bacteraemic cases. The overall mortality was 21%, with only 5 deaths (15% mortality) in the bacteraemic group. Shock and a very low serum albumin (< 26 g/l) were the only clinical features that differentiated survivors from non-survivors; lung injury, APACHE II and multiple organ failure scores were all predictive of outcome. The positive predictive value and specificity in predicting death in individuals for the modified British Thoracic Society rule 1 were 26 and 64%; APACHE II > 2057 and 88%; > 2 organ failure 64 and 92%; and lung injury > 233 and 73%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that even in bacteraemic cases mortality should be below 25% with intensive care management and that conventional scoring systems, while predictive of group mortality, are unreliable in individuals.     

Oxidative stress: an important phenomenon with pathogenetic significance in the progression of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND: Reactive oxygen species and related oxidative damage have been implicated in the initiation of acute pancreatitis. Changes in these parameters during disease progression merit further investigation. AIMS: To evaluate changes and the clinical relevance of superoxide radicals, endogenous antioxidants, and lipid peroxidation during the course of acute pancreatitis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Superoxide radicals (measured as lucigenin amplified chemiluminescence), ascorbic acid, dehydroascorbic acid, alpha tocopherol, and lipid peroxidation (measured as thiobarbiturate reactive substances) were analysed in blood samples from 56 healthy subjects, 30 patients with mild acute pancreatitis, and 23 patients with severe acute pancreatitis. The association with grades of disease severity was analysed. Measurements were repeated one and two weeks after onset of pancreatitis. RESULTS: In the blood from patients with acute pancreatitis, there were increased levels of the superoxide radical as well as lipid peroxides. There was notable depletion of ascorbic acid and an increased fraction of dehydroascorbic acid. Changes in alpha tocopherol were not great except in one case with poor prognosis. Differences between severe and mild acute pancreatitis were significant (p < 0.01). Variable but significant correlations with disease severity scores were found for most of these markers. The normalisation of these indexes postdated clinical recovery one or two weeks after onset of disease. CONCLUSIONS: Heightened oxidative stress appears early in the course of acute pancreatitis and lasts longer than the clinical manifestations. The dependence of disease severity on the imbalance between oxidants and natural defences suggests that oxidative stress may have a pivotal role in the progression of pancreatitis and may provide a target for treatment.     

Acute phase proteins in acute pancreatitis

INTRODUCTION: Most attacks of acute pancreatitis are self-limiting, but in 10-20% of cases, however, severe diseases with systemic complications develop. During the last few years, it has been recognized that acute phase proteins have an important role in the pathophysiology of acute pancreatitis. The present study examines the value of C-reactive protein, alpha-1-antitrypsin and orosomucoid in the assessment of severity of acute pancreatitis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: 150 adult patients suffering from acute pancreatitis by Mayer's clinical criteria (10) were divided in two groups. The first one (n = 50) consisted of patients with severe form of the disease and the second (n = 100) of patients with a mild form of acute pancreatitis. Acute phase proteins (C-reactive protein, alpha-lantitrypsin and orosomucoid) were determined quantitatively in both groups on the 1, 2, 3, 7 and 14th day of the disease onset. RESULTS: Increase in C-reactive protein values was observed in both groups. There was statistically significant greater increase in C-reactive protein in patients with severe acute pancreatitis than in those with mild form of the disease. C-reactive protein values fell slowly in all patients. Serum alpha-1 antitrypsin values were less increased than C-reactive protein values. There was a greater increase in patients with severe form of disease. The increase of orosomucoid was seen only after the third day of the disease onset and there was not a significant difference in values between the two groups. DISCUSSION: One of the most important problems in treating patients with acute pancreatitis is to detect patients with a severe form of the disease as early as possible, so that adequate treatment can be started immediately. The severity of acute pancreatitis is graded by Ranson and Imrie scores, but they request 48 hours for prognosis to be defined. Despite intensive research, no single laboratory test or pathophysiologic parameters have been found to accomplish early diagnosis. Recent studies suggest that single biologic markers such as acute phase proteins may soon allow a simple and early assessment of the prognosis. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that a C-reactive protein is a good early marker for the severity of acute pancreatitis. The high increased levels at the beginning point to serious course of disease in future. The increase of alpha-1-antitrypsin is of a similar importance, while the increased orosomucoid, appearing only after the third day, is of no importance in relation to the prognosis of the disease.     

Intensity of treatment and severity of illness in the intensive care unit (ICU)

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS), length of ICU stay and severity of illness. DESIGN: Prospective study lasting 1 year. SETTING: Two 4-bed surgical-medical ICU. PATIENTS: All consecutively ICU admitted patients. METHODS: Every day TISS of each patient during the last 24 h was computed. Age, sex, type of admission, SAPS II and APACHE II, length of ICU stay and hospital outcome were recorded. Out of 446 admissions, 14 were excluded since the ICU stay was < 16 h. Severity of illness was considered in 405 of the remaining 432; total TISS of readmitted patients resulted from all ICU admissions during the same hospital stay. RESULTS: Median TISS on day 1 was 24 (range 3-58, CI 95% 0.57) and median TISS +/- CI 95% during the first 10 ICU days ranged from 20 to 26. Spearman's correlation coefficient between TISS total and length of stay in ICU was 0.962. Total TISS increased with risk of hospital death predicted by both SAPS II and APACHE II. Total TISS of non surviving patients was significantly (p < 0.001) higher than that of the surviving up to probability of death of 20%. CONCLUSIONS: Intensity of treatment is essentially steady and total TISS is well related to length of ICU stay. Total TISS increases with increasing risk of hospital death predicted by SAPS II and APACHE II, but it is high especially in non surviving patients with low probability of hospital mortality at the admission.     

Intra-abdominal Candida infection during acute necrotizing pancreatitis has a high prevalence and is associated with increased mortality

OBJECTIVES: To analyze the frequency of intra-abdominal Candida infection during acute necrotizing pancreatitis and to compare the outcome to patients without Candida infections. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of data from 37 patients with and without Candida infection. SETTING: Surgical intensive care unit (ICU) in a university hospital. PATIENTS: Thirty-seven patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis. INTERVENTIONS: Patients were subject to necrosectomy and programmed lavage. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Clinical parameters contained in the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score were monitored, as were microbiological results from the intra-abdominal primary focus and from sites of secondary infections. Body mass index, distribution of underlying diseases, length of ICU stay, number of operations, and outcome were recorded. Multivariate logistic regression analysis for mortality as the dependent variable was performed. Intra-abdominal Candida infection was observed in 13 of 37 cases and was associated with a four-fold greater mortality rate compared with intra-abdominal bacterial infection alone. Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that Candida infection contributed to mortality significantly (p < .025) and independently from APACHE II (p < .006; mortality odds ratio for the two parameters=12.5). Lack of antimycotic treatment was associated with an increase to 29.2 (p<.001) in the odds ratio. CONCLUSIONS: Given the impact of Candida infection on mortality to acute necrotizing pancreatitis and the apparent benefit from antimycotic chemotherapy, the data argue for an early fungicide chemotherapeutic intervention.     

Improving postoperative care: the role of the surgeon in the high dependency unit

A number of attempts have been made to develop measures of severity of illness for patients in the intensive care unit (ICU), but the impact of these indices in a Respiratory Intensive Care Unit (RICU) has not really been studied. At present, outcome can be accurately predicted in approximately 85% of ICU patients, while no data are available for the RICU. These indices will be reviewed in the article. The sophisticated Mortality Probability Model (MPM) II is used to predict the outcome of ICU patients. This technique is based on statistically-derived weights for its variables. The "most popular" indices are the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Education (APACHE), the Simplified Acute Physiological Score (SAPS) and the Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS). Overall, the predictive accuracy of the latest APACHE III equation and score is rather good, but there are important limitations concerning its use in the RICU. The SAPS includes 17 variables, and can be considered as a simplified version of APACHE sharing with it the same problems of application. The TISS requires data on approximately 70 treatment variables and assigns each a score ranging 1-4. A high score represents serious intervention, while a low score illness requires much less medical or nursing intervention. The sum of these scores indicates severity of illness because more critical patients are presumed to require higher levels of interventions. The RICU is also characterized by the use of noninvasive mechanical ventilation (NMV) in the treatment of acute respiratory failure. Some indices able to predict the success of NMV, have been developed recently during a brief trial of NMV, and included the level of acidosis and hypercapnia.     

Prognostic significance of the expressions of metallothionein, glutathione-S-transferase-pi, and P-glycoprotein in curatively resected gastric cancer

OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of adding a trained intensivist on patient care and educational outcomes in a community teaching hospital. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed outcomes for patients admitted to the medical intensive-care unit (MICU) of a 270-bed community teaching hospital between July 1992 and June 1994. Mortality rates and durations of stay were determined for the year before (BD, 1992 through 1993) and the first year after (AD, 1993 through 1994) introduction of a full-time director of critical care. Performance of resident trainees on a standardized critical-care examination was measured for the same periods. RESULTS: Overall, 459 patients in the BD period were compared with 471 patients in the AD period. The mix of cases and severity of illness (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation or APACHE II scores) on admission were similar for the BD and AD periods. MICU mortality decreased from 20.9% during the BD to 14.9% during the AD period (P = 0.02), and in-hospital mortality decreased from 34.0% to 24.6% (P = 0.002). Disease-specific mortalities were lower during the AD period for most categories of illness. Detailed analysis of a subgroup of patients (those with pneumonia) demonstrated no differences in distribution of patients by gender, race, or acuity of illness (APACHE II scores). The mortality rate due to pneumonia decreased from 46% during the BD period to 31% during the AD period. This decrease was consistent across categories of APACHE II scores. From BD to AD periods, mean durations of total hospital stay decreased from 22.6 +/- 1.4 days to 17.7 +/- 1.0 days, and mean MICU stay decreased from 5.0 +/- 0.3 days to 3.9 +/- 0.3 days (P < 0.05). Critical-care in-service examination scores for 22 residents increased from 53.8 +/- 1.7% to 67.5 +/- 2.2% (P < 0.01), and AD scores were significantly higher than BD scores for residents at similar levels of training. CONCLUSION: Addition of a medical intensivist was temporally associated with improved clinical and educational outcomes in our community teaching hospital.     

Interaction of flagellar inner arm dynein isolated from sea urchin sperm with microtubules in the presence of ATP

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In acute pancreatitis, contrast-enhanced CT is widely accepted to give reliable information in the early assessment of severity. This study critically evaluates the clinical data, outcome, and CE-CT findings in patients with incorrect radiological estimation of the severity of the condition. MATERIAL AND METHODS: All patients suspected of having severe pancreatitis underwent contrast-enhanced CT. Clinical data and CE-CT findings of 341 patients were re-examined. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: In 28 patients (8.2%) the radiological diagnosis was inconsistent with the clinical findings. The most common reason--in 20 of the 28 patients (71.4%)--for failure to estimate the severity of pancreatitis was partial necrosis of the gland. In severe cases the partial necrosis was overlooked in nine patients (32.1%). In mild cases clinical significance of partial necrosis--overestimated as representative for the whole gland and technical failure both explained the incorrect interpretation in six (21.4%) patients; and in five patients (17.9%) intermediate patchy enhancement was incorrectly regarded as low. The misleading estimation remained inexplicable in only two (7.1%) patients. These results emphasize adequate assessment of CE-CT and inclusion of all areas of the pancreas in the estimation of enhancement.     

Acute pancreatitis of unknown etiology in the elderly

OBJECTIVE: The incidence of acute pancreatitis in the elderly patient is increasing, and a significant number of such patients have no clearly defined etiology of their pancreatitis. To delineate the role of early organ failure versus progressive pancreatic disease in the morbidity and mortality, the authors' experience with patients older than 60 years with acute pancreatitis was reviewed. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: As many as 30%-40% of elderly patients with acute pancreatitis have an unclear etiology and such patients have high rates of early organ failure and death. While some authorities have shown that pre-existing disease in these elderly patients did not contribute to subsequent morbidity, others have demonstrated that poor outcome was related to co-existing medical illness. METHODS: Their review of acute pancreatitis in the elderly was grouped into known and unknown etiology patients. Various parameters such as morbidity, mortality and length of stay were then compared between the two groups. Severity of organ failure and acute pancreatitis on admission were both graded and attempts made to correlate this severity with subsequent outcome. RESULTS: Unknown etiology patients had a greater number of Ranson's criteria (3.5 +/- .44 vs. 2.4 +/- .18) (p < 0.02), higher morbidity (48% vs. 22%) (p < 0.05), higher mortality (24% vs. 8.3%), and more SICU days (4.4 +/- 1.3 vs. 1.6 +/- .44) (p < 0.05) when compared with the known etiology group. Duration of symptoms, admission hypotension, and Ranson's criteria were unsuccessful in predicting mortality. Functional status of the various organ systems on admission did predict subsequent mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Elderly patients with acute pancreatitis of unknown etiology present with a more severe disease, have higher morbidity and longer SICU stays, and appear to have greater compromise of organ function. Organ function compromise correlates with mortality and appears more significant than severity of pancreatic disease. Aggressive support of such organ systems may be beneficial in the management of these patients.     

Early prediction of outcome in score-identified, postcardiac surgical patients at high risk for sepsis, using soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-p55 concentrations

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prognostic value of increased serum concentrations of soluble tumor necrosis factor (TNF) receptors in patients at high risk for sepsis. DESIGN: Prospective study. SETTING: Cardiac surgical intensive care unit in a University Hospital. PATIENTS: Those 27 of 870 consecutive postcardiac surgical patients who met a previously validated high-risk criterion for imminent sepsis (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II [APACHE II] score of > or = 24 on the first postoperative day [day 1]). In this population, systemic inflammatory response syndrome was present in 96% of the patients and the in-hospital mortality rate was 30%. In addition, ten postcardiac surgical patients with an uncomplicated course (mortality rate 0%) were studied for comparison. INTERVENTIONS: Blood sampling for measurements of serum concentrations of TNF and soluble TNF receptors 55 kilodalton (TNF receptor-p55) and 75 kilodalton (TNF receptor-p75) on days 1, 2, 3, and 5. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Compared with the ten patients with an uncomplicated course (group A), the high-risk patients had significantly higher baseline (day 1) serum concentrations of soluble TNF receptor-p55 (9.2 vs. 4.2 ng/mL) and soluble TNF receptor-p75 (9.2 vs. 5.5 ng/mL). These high-risk patients could be further differentiated into two subgroups: one (B) with a prompt decrease in APACHE II score and a good prognosis (mortality rate 0%) and another (C) with a persisting high risk of sepsis and mortality rate (40%, p < .05). Although baseline APACHE II score was similar in both high-risk subgroups, soluble TNF receptor-p55 concentrations were significantly higher in subgroup C compared with subgroup B already at baseline (10.7 vs. 4.7 ng/mL). The receiver operating characteristic curve for subgroup classification by soluble TNF receptor-p55 was in a discriminating position with an area (0.773 +/- 0.096), confirming soluble TNF receptor-p55 as a predictor of mortality. TNF and soluble TNF receptor-p75 concentrations were less predictive at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggest that increased soluble TNF receptor-p55 concentrations in the serum of postcardiac surgical patients allow earlier prognostication of subsequent hospital course than APACHE II scores alone. This study further suggests that the combination of physiologic scores and cytokine receptor measurements could improve the predictive power of early postoperative risk stratification.     

The use of APACHE II scores to select candidates for left ventricular assist device placement. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation

BACKGROUND: The growth in left ventricular assist device (LVAD) use has been hampered by high morbidity and mortality rates and cost. The purpose of this study was to help improve patient selection for LVAD placement by determining whether the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scoring system, a multiparameter, physiology-based predictor of outcome, could be used to predict outcome after LVAD placement and thus help determine optimum timing of LVAD placement. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort observational study consisting of 2 groups: (1) 50 patients with severe heart failure who did not receive LVAD placement after initial evaluation and (2) 31 patients who did receive LVAD placement. Patients included in the study were in severe heart failure on the basis of 3 of the following: lung crackles, S3, peripheral edema, ejection fraction < 0.30, systolic blood pressure < 80 mm Hg, progressive prerenal azotemia, altered level of consciousness, gastrointestinal ischemia or congestion, or persistent although reversible pulmonary hypertension in spite of maximal medical therapy, including intravenous inotropes. The decision for LVAD placement was at the discretion of the attending physician. RESULTS: Both LVAD- and non-LVAD-treated patients were similar in cause of heart failure, APACHE II scores, and other baseline laboratory parameters. Survival time with a log-logistic model was better for LVAD-treated patients, p=.0266. Although Kaplan Meier analysis showed a trend toward better survival rates in the LVAD-treated patient, the Cox proportional hazards revealed that LVAD-treated patients had better survival (relative risk ratio, 95% confidence interval=0.305, 0.110 to 0.892; p=.0219) after adjustment for APACHE II score. Each unit increase in APACHE II independently predicted death (relative risk ratios, 95% confidence interval=1.139, 1.055 to 1.231; p=.0009). Patients with medium APACHE II (11 to 20) scores in particular benefitted from LVAD treatment. CONCLUSION: LVAD placement for severe heart failure (not restricted to cardiogenic shock) improves survival. APACHE II can aid in deciding the timing of LVAD placement in patients with heart failure who may not have attained conventional hemodynamic criteria for LVAD placement. Patients who had APACHE II scores between 11 and 20 derived the greatest benefit from LVAD placement.     

Predicting outcome in the intensive care unit using scoring systems: is new better? A comparison of SAPS and SAPS II in a cohort of 1,393 patients. GiViTi Investigators (Gruppo Italiano per la Valutazione degli interventi in Terapia Intensiva). Simplified Acute Physiology Score

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to compare the performance of the old and new versions of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score, SAPS and SAPS II, in classifying patients according to the risk of hospital mortality. METHODS: To compare the performance of the two systems, measures of association between the scores and observed mortality were adopted, together with discrimination (area under the Receiver Operating Characteristics curve) and calibration (goodness-of-fit statistics) estimates. Subjects were 1,393 eligible patients recruited during 1 month in 1994. The outcome measure was vital status at hospital discharge. RESULTS: SAPS II was associated more strongly with hospital mortality than the earlier version. SAPS II also had better discrimination ability than SAPS (area under Receiver Operating Characteristics curve 0.80 versus 0.74) and predicted an overall number of deaths (416.5) closer to the observed figure (475) than SAPS (267.7). Conversely, neither SAPS nor SAPS II fitted our data. Both P values derived from goodness-of-fit statistics were lower than 0.05. CONCLUSIONS: SAPS II offers a real improvement compared with SAPS in its ability to explain hospital mortality, but its standard parameters do not fit our data from Italy. The role and impact of potential determinants of this lack of fit, such as random errors and confounders related to casemix and/or quality of care should be clarified before this scoring system be used outside formal research projects. Special caution is suggested when SAPS II is adopted to predict mortality to compare intensive care unit performance across different countries and systems of care.     

Controlled clinical trial of pefloxacin versus imipenem in severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Antibiotic prophylaxis in severe pancreatitis has recently yielded promising clinical results, with imipenem significantly reducing the incidence of infected necrosis compared with an untreated control group. On the bases of pefloxacin's spectrum of action and pancreatic penetration, we investigated whether such drugs represent a valid alternative to imipenem. METHODS: In a multicenter study, 60 patients with severe acute pancreatitis with necrosis affecting at least 50% of the pancreas were randomly allocated to receive intravenous treatment for 2 weeks with pefloxacin, 400 mg twice daily (30 patients), or imipenem, 500 mg three times daily (30 patients), within 120 hours of onset of symptoms. Age, sex, body weight, Ranson and Apache II scores, C-reactive protein, etiology, and time from onset of symptoms to treatment were well matched in the two groups. RESULTS: The incidences of infected necrosis and extrapancreatic infections were 34% and 44%, respectively, in the pefloxacin group and 10% and 20% in the imipenem group. Imipenem proved significantly more effective in prevention of pancreatic infections (P 相似文献   

Ascites, pleural, and pericardial effusions in acute pancreatitis. A prospective study of incidence, natural history, and prognostic role

Ascites and pleural and pericardial effusions can be observed during acute pancreatitis. The aims of this study were to evaluate their incidence, natural history, and prognostic role in patients with acute pancreatitis. One hundred patients consecutively admitted with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis were prospectively submitted to abdominal, pleural, and cardiac ultrasonography at admission and during follow-up. Ascites was found in 18 patients, pleural effusion in 20, and pericardial effusion in 17. Twenty-four patients of this series had severe pancreatitis; three of them died. All effusions disappeared spontaneously in patients who survived pancreatitis up to two months after dismissal. At multivariate analysis ascites and pleural effusion were demonstrated to be accurate independent predictors of severity. The respective odds ratios were 5.9 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.5-23.0%) and 8.6 (95% CI, 2.3-32.5%). Furthermore the presence of pleural effusion, ascites, and pericardial effusion were associated with an increased incidence of pseudocyst during follow-up. Ascites and pleural and pericardial effusions are frequent during acute pancreatitis. Pleural effusion and ascites are accurate predictors of severity in these patients.