Cost-effectiveness of chemoprophylaxis after occupational exposure to HIV

OBJECTIVES: To assess the economic efficiency of recent US Public Health Service recommendations for chemoprophylaxis with a combination of antiretroviral drugs following high-risk occupational exposure to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). To provide a framework for evaluating the relative effectiveness and costs associated with candidate postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) regimens. METHODS: Standard techniques of cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis were used. The analysis compares the costs and consequences of a hypothetical, voluntary combination-drug PEP program consisting of counseling for all HIV-exposed health care workers, followed by chemoprophylaxis for those who elect it vs an alternative in which PEP is not offered. A societal perspective was adopted and a 5% discount rate was used. Hospital costs of recommended treatment regimens (zidovudine alone or in combination with lamivudine and indinavir) were used, following the dosing schedules recommended by the US Public Health Service. Estimates of lifetime treatment costs for HIV and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome were obtained from the literature. Because the effectiveness of combination PEP has not been established, the effectiveness of zidovudine PEP was used in the base-case analyses. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Net PEP program costs, number of HIV infections averted, cost per HIV infection averted, and cost-utility ratio (net cost per discounted quality-adjusted life-year saved) for zidovudine, lamivudine, and indinavir combination PEP. Lower bounds on the effectiveness required for combination regimens to be considered incrementally cost saving, relative to zidovudine PEP alone, were calculated. Multiple sensitivity and threshold analyses were performed to assess the impact of uncertainty in key parameters. RESULTS: Under base-case assumptions, the net cost of a combination PEP program for a hypothetical cohort of 10,000 HIV-exposed health care workers is about $4.8 million. Nearly 18 HIV infections are prevented. The net cost per averted infection is just less than $400,000, which exceeds estimated lifetime HIV and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome treatment costs. Although combination PEP is not cost saving, the cost-utility ratio (about $37,000 per quality-adjusted life-year in the base case) is within the range conventionally considered cost-effective, provided that chemoprophylaxis is delivered in accordance with Public Health Service guidelines. Small incremental improvements in the effectiveness of PEP are associated with large overall societal savings. CONCLUSIONS: Under most reasonable assumptions, chemoprophylaxis with zidovudine, lamivudine, and indinavir following moderate- to high-risk occupational exposures is cost-effective for society. If combination PEP is minimally more effective than zidovudine PEP, then the added expense of including lamivudine and indinavir in the drug regimen is clearly justified.     

Perinatal intervention trial in Africa: effect of a birth canal cleansing intervention to prevent HIV transmission

BACKGROUND: Perinatal transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 contributes significantly to infant mortality. Exposure in the birth canal may account for some transmission. We examined the efficacy of a birth canal washing procedure in reducing perinatal transmission in Malawi. METHODS: The infection status of infants of 3327 control women (conventional delivery procedures) was compared with that of 3637 infants of intervention-delivered women. The infants' HIV status was determined by polymerase chain reaction on dried blood spots collected at 6 and 12 weeks of age. The intervention consisted of manual cleansing of the birth canal with a cotton pad soaked in 0.25% chlorhexidine, which was done on admission in labour and every 4 h until delivery. FINDINGS: No adverse reactions to the intervention procedure were seen. 2094 (30%) of the enrolled women were HIV-infected, and 59% of their infants were seen in follow-up. Among 982 vaginal vertex singleton deliveries to HIV-infected women, 269 (27%) infants were infected. The intervention had no significant impact on HIV transmission rates (27% in 505 intervention women compared with 28% in 477 control women), except when membranes were ruptured more than 4 h before delivery (transmission 25% in the intervention group vs 39% in the control group). INTERPRETATION: If birth canal exposure is an important risk factor, different or additional methods to reduce the risk of perinatal HIV transmission should be tested. Alternatively, perhaps birth canal exposure is not a major contributor to perinatal infection risk.     

Antiretroviral drugs as a public health intervention for pregnant HIV-infected women in rural South Africa: an issue of cost-effectiveness and capacity

OBJECTIVE: To estimate cost-effectiveness and capacity requirements for providing antiretroviral drugs to pregnant HIV-infected women in rural South Africa. SETTING: Hlabisa health district, where HIV prevalence among pregnant women was 26.0% in 1997. METHODS: Calculation of the number of paediatric HIV infections averted under three scenarios, and their cost. No intervention was compared with scenario A (zidovudine delivered within current infrastructure), scenario B (zidovudine delivered through enhanced infrastructure), and scenario C (short-course zidovudine plus lamivudine delivered through enhanced infrastructure). Cost-effectiveness was defined as cost per infection averted and cost per potential life-year gained. Capacity was determined in terms of staff and infrastructure required to effectively implement the scenarios. RESULTS: With no intervention, 657 paediatric HIV infections were projected for 1997. In scenario A this could be reduced by 15% at a cost of US$ 574 825, in scenario B by 42% at US$ 1520770, and in scenario C by 47% at US$ 764901. In scenario C, drugs accounted for 76% of costs, whereas additional staff accounted for 18%. Cost per infection averted was US$ 2492 and cost per potential life-year gained (discounted at 3%) was US$ 88. Cost of scenario C was equivalent to 14% of the 1997 district health budget. At least 12 extra counsellors and nurses and one laboratory technician, together with substantial logistical and managerial support, would be needed to deliver an effective intervention. CONCLUSION: Although antiretrovirals may be relatively cost-effective in this setting, the budget required is currently unaffordable. Developing the capacity required to deliver the intervention would pose both a major challenge, and an opportunity, to improve health services.     

Cost-effectiveness of a community-level HIV risk reduction intervention

OBJECTIVES: The authors evaluated the cost-effectiveness of a community-level HIV prevention intervention that used peer leaders to endorse risk reduction among gay men. METHODS: A mathematical model of HIV transmission was used to translate reported changes in sexual behavior into an estimate of the number of HIV infections averted. RESULTS: The intervention cost $17,150, or about $65,000 per infection averted, and was therefore cost-saving, even under very conservative modeling assumptions. CONCLUSIONS: For this intervention, the cost of HIV prevention was more than offset by savings in averted future medical care costs. Community-level interventions to prevent HIV transmission that use existing social networks can be highly cost-effective.     

Uptake of interventions to reduce mother-to-child transmission of HIV in the United Kingdom and Ireland

OBJECTIVES: To describe the uptake of interventions to reduce mother-to-child transmission of HIV infection. DESIGN: Voluntary confidential reporting of HIV infection in pregnancy and childhood; telephone interview with key professionals in all London maternity units. SUBJECTS AND SETTING: HIV-infected pregnant women and children in the United Kingdom and Ireland. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Trends in breastfeeding, use of zidovudine, mode of delivery and terminations of pregnancy. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 1995, 14 (4%) out of 314 women diagnosed with HIV infection before delivery breastfed compared with 109 (77%) out of 142 diagnosed after delivery. Since 1994, zidovudine use has increased in each 6-month period (14, 39, 67, and 75%; chi 2 = 17.5, P < 0.001), although in 1995 it was the policy of only 48% of London maternity units to offer zidovudine to HIV-infected women. During 1995, 44% of HIV-infected women were delivered by elective Cesarean section. Since 1990, 20% of women first diagnosed in pregnancy were reported to have their pregnancy terminated. CONCLUSIONS: Although detection of previously undiagnosed HIV infection in pregnancy remains low in the United Kingdom, and particularly in London, HIV-infected pregnant women who are aware of their status are increasingly active in taking up interventions to reduce transmission to their infants. If all HIV-infected women attending for antenatal care in London consented to testing and took up interventions and termination of pregnancy at the rates observed in this study, the number of vertically infected babies born in London each year could be reduced from an estimated 41 to 13.     

Causes of chronic persistent cough in adult patients: the results of a systematic management protocol

BACKGROUND AND METHODS: In Japan, 26 children who vertically acquired human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection had been reported as at February 1997. Little information was published about their epidemiological backgrounds and the rate of perinatal HIV transmission in Japan remains unknown. To learn the epidemiological features of perinatal HIV infection in Japan, we examined the medical records of five perinatally infected children. RESULTS: Three of five mothers were Japanese and two others were South East Asian. Four of them acquired HIV infection abroad and one became infected through her spouse who had acquired infection abroad. Therefore, HIV infection in these five cases can be regarded as an imported infectious disease. None of the five mothers noticed their HIV infection before their pregnancy. One mother was found to be HIV seropositive during her pregnancy, but the others did not notice their HIV infection until their delivery. CONCLUSIONS: To reduce the incidence of perinatally HIV-infected children it is necessary to lower the incidence of mother-to-infant HIV transmission. In Western countries they have succeeded in reducing the risk for perinatal HIV transmission with perinatal zidovudine therapy. To prescribe the preventive therapy against perinatal HIV transmission, it is essential to know if pregnant women are infected with HIV or not. Therefore, women of childbearing age should accept voluntary prenatal HIV testing. At the same time, they should be offered such programs that can enable them to receive timely counseling, besides medical treatment, if they are found to be HIV infected.     

Prevention of perinatal transmission of HIV in Arkansas

In 1994, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended zidovudine (ZDV) prophylaxis to reduce perinatal transmission of HIV. Caregivers at the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences (UAMS) instituted a program of universal voluntary HIV testing of pregnant females combined with maternal education regarding ZDV prophylaxis in October 1994. Since that time, 7 of 39 (18%) infants referred to Arkansas Children's Hospital (ACH) for evaluation of perinatal HIV exposure have been infected compared to 21 of 53 (40%) referred prior to October 1994, (p = 0.042). Unfortunately, of the 39 infants referred to ACH after October 1994, 21 were born to HIV-infected mothers who did not comply with prophylaxis. Fifteen of these mothers were not offered intravenous ZDV during delivery; five have children infected with HIV. These data indicate the need for increased efforts by health officials in Arkansas to institute nationally recommended methods of prevention of perinatal HIV.     

Cost-effectiveness of tissue plasminogen activator for acute ischemic stroke. NINDS rt-PA Stroke Study Group

Tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) has been shown to improve 3-month outcome in stroke patients treated within 3 hours of symptom onset. The costs associated with this new treatment will be a factor in determining the extent of its utilization. Data from the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial and the medical literature were used to estimate the health and economic outcomes associated with using tPA in acute stroke patients. A Markov model was developed to estimate the costs per 1,000 patients eligible for treatment with tPA compared with the costs per 1,000 untreated patients. One-way and multiway sensitivity analyses (using Monte Carlo simulation) were performed to estimate the overall uncertainty of the model results. In the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial, the average length of stay was significantly shorter in tPA-treated patients than in placebo-treated patients (10.9 versus 12.4 days; p = 0.02) and more tPA patients were discharged to home than to inpatient rehabilitation or a nursing home (48% versus 36%; p = 0.002). The Markov model estimated an increase in hospitalization costs of $1.7 million and a decrease in rehabilitation costs of $1.4 million and nursing home cost of $4.8 million per 1,000 eligible treated patients for a health care system that includes acute through long-term care facilities. Multiway sensitivity analysis revealed a greater than 90% probability of cost savings. The estimated impact on long-term health outcomes was 564 (3 to 850) quality-adjusted life-years saved over 30 years of the model per 1,000 patients. Treating acute ischemic stroke patients with tPA within 3 hours of symptom onset improves functional outcome at 3 months and is likely to result in a net cost savings to the health care system.     

Cost-effectiveness of improved treatment services for sexually transmitted diseases in preventing HIV-1 infection in Mwanza Region, Tanzania

Improved management of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) is consistently advocated as an effective strategy for HIV prevention. The impact, cost, and cost-effectiveness of this approach were evaluated in a prospective, comparative study of six communities in Tanzania's Mwanza Region in which primary health care center workers were trained to provide improved STD treatment and six matched non-intervention communities. The baseline prevalence of HIV was 4% in both groups. During the 2-year study period, 11,632 cases of STDs were treated in the intervention health units. The HIV seroconversion rate was 1.16% in the intervention communities and 1.86% in the comparison communities--a difference in HIV incidence of 0.70 (95% confidence interval, 0.37-1.09) and a reduction of about 40%. The total annual cost of the intervention was US$59,060 ($0.39 per person served). The cost of STD treatment was $10.15 per case. An estimated 252 HIV-1 infections were averted each year. The incremental annual cost of the program was $54,839, equivalent to $217.62 per HIV infection averted and $10.33 per disability-adjusted-life-year (DALY) saved. The estimated cost-effectiveness compares favorably with that of childhood immunization programs ($12-17 per DALY saved) and could be further enhanced through implementation of the intervention on a wider scale. The intervention subsequently has been expanded to encompass 65 health units in Mwanza Region, with no increase in investment costs.     

Costs and benefits of respiratory syncytial virus immunoglobulin to prevent hospitalization for lower respiratory tract illness in very low birth weight infants

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus immunoglobulin intravenous (RSV-IGIV) has been shown to reduce the risk of lower respiratory illness (LRI) hospitalization in preterm infants and infants with bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). The purpose of this analysis was to estimate the economic costs and benefits of prophylaxis with RSV-IGIV in these groups. METHODS: The analysis was performed from a payer's perspective and therefore included only costs and cost savings that would be realized by an insurer. Estimates of the direct costs of prophylaxis and the risk and cost of LRI hospitalization were based on data about preterm very low birth weight infants cared for at our medical center. Estimates of the reduction in risk of LRI hospitalization associated with RSV-IGIV were based on data from a randomized trial (the PREVENT Study). RESULTS: The range of cost for a five-dose course of RSV-IGIV was estimated to be $3280 to $8800 for infants weighing 1.2 to 10.0 kg at the time of the initial dose. Risks of LRI hospitalization were estimated to be 12, 17 and 28%, respectively, for preterm infants without BPD, with mild BPD and with moderate to severe BPD. Estimates of duration and per diem cost of LRI hospitalizations were, respectively, 5 days and $971. The estimated net cost of prophylaxis per infant ranged between $5415 for a 6-kg infant without BPD to $1689 for an infant with BPD and age < or =3 months. CONCLUSIONS: The cost of RSV-IGIV typically exceeds the cost of hospitalizations prevented by several thousand dollars. Cost minus benefit is lower for infants with BPD and infants 3 months of age or younger.     

Cost-effectiveness of HIV-prevention skills training for men who have sex with men

OBJECTIVE: A previous study empirically compared the effects of two HIV-prevention interventions for men who have sex with men: (i) a safer sex lecture, and (ii) the same lecture coupled with a 1.5 h skills-training group session. The skills-training intervention led to a significant increase in condom use at 12-month follow-up, compared with the lecture-only condition. The current study retrospectively assesses the incremental cost-effectiveness of skills training to determine whether it is worth the extra cost to add this component to an HIV-prevention intervention that would otherwise consist of a safer sex lecture only. DESIGN: Standard techniques of incremental cost-utility analysis were employed. METHODS: A societal perspective and a 5% discount rate were used. Cost categories assessed included: staff salary, fringe benefits, quality assurance, session materials, client transportation, client time valuation, and costs shared with other programs. A Bernoulli-process model of HIV transmission was used to estimate the number of HIV infections averted by the skills-training intervention component. For each infection averted, the discounted medical costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) saved were estimated. One- and multi-way sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of base-case results to changes in modeling assumptions. RESULTS: Under base-case assumptions, the incremental cost of the skills training was less than $13,000 (or about $40 per person). The discounted medical costs averted by incrementally preventing HIV infections were over $170,000; more than 21 discounted QALY were saved. The cost per QALY saved was negative, indicating cost-savings. These results are robust to changes in most modeling assumptions. However, the model is moderately sensitive to changes in the per-contact risk of HIV transmission. CONCLUSIONS: Under most reasonable assumptions, the incremental costs of the skills training were outweighed by the medical costs saved. Thus, not only is skills training effective in reducing risky behavior, it is also cost-saving.     

Abbreviated regimens of zidovudine prophylaxis and perinatal transmission of the human immunodeficiency virus

BACKGROUND: The Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 076 reported a reduction in the rate of perinatal transmission of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) from 25.5 percent to 8.3 percent with a three-part regimen of zidovudine given ante partum, intra partum, and to the newborn. We examined the effects of abbreviated zidovudine regimens on perinatal HIV transmission using data from the HIV polymerase-chain-reaction (PCR) testing service of the New York State Department of Health. Pregnant women who received abbreviated regimens rather than the recommended regimens did so because of limited prenatal care or by choice. METHODS: The requisition form used by the PCR testing service included information on the demographic characteristics of the infants and the timing of any perinatal treatment with zidovudine. We also analyzed data on the timing of zidovudine prophylaxis collected by chart review in a subgroup of 454 infants as a means of validating the results in the entire cohort. RESULTS: From August 1, 1995, through January 31, 1997, specimens from 939 HIV-exposed infants who were 180 days of age or younger were submitted for PCR testing. The rates of perinatal HIV transmission varied depending on when zidovudine prophylaxis was begun. When treatment was begun in the prenatal period, the rate of HIV transmission was 6.1 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 4.1 to 8.9 percent); when begun intra partum, the rate was 10.0 percent (3.3 to 21.8 percent); when begun within the first 48 hours of life, the rate was 9.3 percent (4.1 to 17.5 percent); and when begun on day 3 of life or later, the rate was 18.4 percent (7.7 to 34.3 percent). In the absence of zidovudine prophylaxis, the rate of HIV transmission was 26.6 percent (21.1 to 32.7 percent). CONCLUSIONS: These results confirm the efficacy of zidovudine prophylaxis and suggest that there are reductions in the rates of perinatal transmission of HIV even with the use of abbreviated regimens that are begun intra partum or in the first 48 hours of life.     

Liver metabolism during cold ischemic incubation in UW solution in the rat model]

Mother-to-child transmission near the time of birth is the primary route of HIV-1 infection among infants and young children. Throughout the world, 1000 babies a day become infected with HIV, and cumulative global estimates are that 3 million children have been infected since the HIV pandemic began. Although major advances have been made in reducing mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in the USA and Europe through the use of an intensive regimen of zidovudine, many research questions remain unresolved. These include (1) viral and host characteristics which hinder or facilitate perinatal HIV transmission (i.e. the role played by viral load, the placenta and obstetric risk factors); (2) the proportion of transmission occurring in utero, intrapartum or during the breast feeding period; and (3) the mode of action of the successful zidovudine regimen. Studies published within the past year have shed light on several of these research topics. In 1996-1997 a number of important studies were published which support a general correlation between maternal viral load and infant HIV infection. The most recent studies do not, however, support the theory that there is a threshold below which transmission cannot occur, and also indicate that zidovudine, given according to the US Public Health Service guidelines, can significantly reduce the risk of transmission across all levels of maternal viral load. Analyses of viral load data from the successful clinical trial with zidovudine (AIDS Clinical Trial Group 076) suggest that its primary action is not by reducing the viral load, and raise the possibility that administering antiretroviral prophylaxis to the infant at the time of highest exposure may be another reason for the reduction in transmission. Obstetric risk factors for mother-to-child HIV transmission have been evaluated in several large cohort studies. A duration of membrane rupture of more than 4 h, and procedures such as amniocentesis, preterm labor, and the presence of sexually transmitted diseases during pregnancy were found to be significant risk factors. Still unresolved is the potential protective effect of cesarean section in reducing the risk of transmission. Likewise, the role played by the placenta in preventing or facilitating perinatal transmission is not well understood, and requires further research. This year did see the publication of consistent findings from diverse geographical regions regarding the probable timing of perinatal HIV transmission. On the basis of the timing of the first infant positive polymerase chain reaction or culture, most transmission would appear to occur around the intrapartum or very late prenatal period, and only approximately 12-14% is related to breast feeding. These advances should help focus and refine future research efforts to reduce mother-to-child HIV transmission worldwide.     

Advanced HIV infection treated with zidovudine monotherapy: lifetime values of absolute cost-effectiveness as a pharmacoeconomic reference for future studies evaluating antiretroviral combination treatments. The Osservatorio SIFO sui Farmaci

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to evaluate the cost and the effectiveness of zidovudine monotherapy in patients with advanced HIV infection and to derive preliminary data on the cost-effectiveness of the triple treatment with saquinavir plus zalcitabine plus zidovudine compared with zidovudine alone. DESIGN: We used a combined method of survival analysis utilizing both the quality-adjusted time without symptoms or toxicity (Q-TWIST) method and the Gompertz approach. This combined method was applied to assess the absolute cost-effectiveness and cost-utility ratios of zidovudine monotherapy and to perform a preliminary incremental cost-effectiveness comparison of saquinavir plus zalcitabine plus zidovudine versus zidovudine alone. The clinical material used in our study was derived from two reports on the treatment of advanced HIV infection. Data of lifetime costs of HIV infection were obtained from published information. RESULTS: In patients with advanced HIV infection treated with zidovudine monotherapy, lifetime survival was 252.1 discounted person-years per 100 patients. Using an average lifetime cost of $93,000 (discounted) per individual, the absolute ratio of cost-effectiveness for zidovudine monotherapy was $36,980 per life-year, while the absolute cost-utility ratio was $47,112 per quality-adjusted life-year. In the comparative analysis of saquinavir plus zalcitabine plus zidovudine versus zidovudine alone, our calculations showed that the administration of the triple treatment can have an "average" cost-effectiveness, provided that mean lifetime survival per patient (discounted) is improved to at least 3.68 years (with an average survival gain of at least 14 mo per patient). CONCLUSIONS: The values of absolute cost-effectiveness and cost-utility ratios for zidovudine monotherapy are a useful reference point for further pharmacoeconomic studies in the area of antiretroviral drugs.     

Routine prenatal screening for HIV in a low-prevalence setting

BACKGROUND: The objectives of this study were to assess the effect of British Columbia's June 1994 guidelines for prenatal HIV screening on the rate of maternal-fetal HIV transmission and to estimate the cost-effectiveness of such screening. METHODS: The authors conducted a retrospective review of pregnancy and delivery statistics, HIV screening practices, laboratory testing volume, prenatal and labour management decisions of HIV-positive women, maternal-fetal transmission rates and associated costs. RESULTS: Over 1995 and 1996, 135,681 women were pregnant and 92,645 carried to term. The rate of HIV testing increased from 55% to 76% of pregnancies on chart review at one hospital between November 1995 and November 1996. On the basis of seroprevalence studies, an estimated 50.2 pregnancies and 34.3 (95% confidence interval 17.6 to 51.0) live births to HIV-positive women were expected. Of 42 identified mother-infant pairs with an estimated date of delivery during 1995 or 1996, 25 were known only through screening. Of these 25 cases, there were 10 terminations, 1 spontaneous abortion and 14 cases in which the woman elected to carry the pregnancy to term with antiretroviral therapy. There was one stillbirth. One instance of maternal-fetal HIV transmission occurred among the 13 live births. The net savings attributable to prevented infections among babies carried to term were $165,586, with a saving per prevented case of $75,266. INTERPRETATION: A routine offer of pregnancy screening for HIV in a low-prevalence setting reduces the rate of maternal-fetal HIV transmission and may rival other widely accepted health care expenditures in terms of cost-effectiveness.     

Increased transmission of vertical hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected infants of HIV- and HCV-coinfected women

The transmission of perinatal hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection was studied retrospectively in 62 infants born to 54 HCV- and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-coinfected women enrolled in a prospective natural history study of HIV transmission. Infant HCV infection was assessed by nested RNA polymerase chain reaction. The overall rate of vertical HCV transmission was 16.4% (9/62). Most HCV-infected children did not develop antibodies to HCV. The rate of HCV infection was higher among HIV-infected infants (40%) than among HIV-uninfected infants (7.5%; odds ratio, 8.2; P = .009). This difference in transmission was not related to differences in maternal HCV load, as measured by branched DNA assay, or mode of delivery. Why HIV-infected infants of HCV- and HIV-coinfected women have significantly higher rates of perinatal HCV transmission remains to be elucidated. The rate of HCV transmission in HIV-uninfected infants of HCV- and HIV-coinfected women is similar to that reported for infants born to HIV-seronegative mothers.     

Financing HIV service provision in England: estimated impact of the cost of antiretroviral combination therapy

The objective of this study was to provide population-based estimates on the cost of HIV service provision in England and the use of dual or triple antiretroviral combination therapy. Contemporary cost estimates of treating HIV-infected individuals by clinical stage of HIV infection (indexed to 1995/96 prices) were linked to the number of diagnosed HIV-infected individuals using statutory medical services in England during 1996. Two cost measures were used: the first one was based on average hospital prices derived from a number of English HIV units. These results were compared with those estimated using standard unit costs obtained through specific costing studies performed at a national HIV referral centre. Overall annual expenditure on HIV service provision was estimated for different treatment scenarios as was expenditure by clinical stage of HIV infection. Using hospital prices, in 1996 the total annual cost estimate for HIV service provision amounted to pound sterling 131 m (range pound sterling 83 m to pound sterling 233 m), or pound sterling 150 m (95% CI pound sterling 126 m to pound sterling 173 m) using standard costs, if all patients with HIV disease were treated with AZT monotherapy. For all eligible patients to be treated with dual therapy, cost estimates amounted to pound sterling 161 m (range pound sterling 126 m to pound sterling 173 m) per year using hospital prices or pound sterling 180 m (95% CI pound sterling 156 m to pound sterling 203 m) when using standard cost estimates, while for triple therapy annual estimated expenditure amounted to pound sterling 204 m per year (range pound sterling 157 m to pound sterling 306 m) when using hospital prices or pound sterling 223 m (95% CI pound sterling 199 m to pound sterling 246 m) using standard costs. Increasingly costs will be more evenly distributed across the 3 stages of HIV infection, with a greater proportion of costs generated by HIV-infected individuals before the onset of AIDS. Using non-standardized hospital prices may systematically underestimate the real cost of service provision. Monitoring prospectively the use, cost and outcome of HIV service provision in a standardized format will provide information on the actual cost impact over the next 2-3 years of combination therapy compared with the scenario-based estimates produced in this paper.     

Short-term economic and health benefits of smoking cessation: myocardial infarction and stroke

BACKGROUND: Most analyses of the economic benefits of smoking cessation consider long-term effects, which are often not of interest to public and private policy makers. These analyses fail to account for the time course of the short-run cost savings from the rapid decline in risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and stroke. METHODS AND RESULTS: We estimate the time course of the fall in risk of AMI and stroke after smoking cessation and simulate the impact of a 1% absolute reduction in smoking prevalence on the number of and short-term direct medical costs associated with the prevented AMIs and strokes. In the first year, there would be 924+/-679 (mean+/-SD) fewer hospitalizations for AMI and 538+/-508 for stroke, resulting in an immediate savings of $44+/-26 million. A 7-year program that reduced smoking prevalence by 1% per year would result in a total of 63,840+/-15,521 fewer hospitalizations for AMI and 34,261+/-9133 fewer for stroke, resulting in a total savings of $3.20+/-0.59 billion in costs, and would prevent approximately 13,100 deaths resulting from AMI that occur before people reach the hospital. Creating a new nonsmoker reduces anticipated medical costs associated with AMI and stroke by $47 in the first year and by $853 during the next 7 years (discounting 2.5% per year). CONCLUSIONS: Although primary prevention of smoking among teenagers is important, reducing adult smoking pays more immediate dividends, both in terms of health improvements and cost savings.     

Comparison of cefoxitin and ceftizoxime in a hospital therapeutic interchange program

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether (a) ceftizoxime can replace cefoxitin in the prevention and treatment of various infections in a major teaching hospital, (b) a previously applied two-stage intervention program is an effective method of instituting a therapeutic interchange of ceftizoxime for cefoxitin and (c) the replacement of cefoxitin with ceftizoxime results in a more cost-effective therapy. DESIGN: Two-phase, open, sequential study. SETTING: Tertiary care teaching hospital. PATIENTS: One hundred patients who received cefoxitin during the 6 months immediately before the start of the interchange program (phase 1) and 100 who received ceftizoxime during the 6 months immediately after the start of the program (phase 2) were randomly selected. RESULTS: The demographic characteristics of the two patient groups were similar except for sex (p < 0.05). The cefoxitin doses were usually given every 6 hours (in 33% of the cases) or every 8 hours (in 61%), whereas the ceftizoxime doses were usually given every 12 hours (in 98%). Prescriber distribution was stable throughout the study period, the Department of General Surgery being responsible for about 70% of the orders. Prophylactic indications accounted for over 60% of the treatment courses. The proportion of prophylactic treatment courses that resulted in a successful clinical outcome did not differ between the two groups (cefoxitin 92% and ceftizoxime 91%). Of the empiric or directed treatment courses clinical success or improvement was observed in 89% of the cefoxitin and 91% of the ceftizoxime recipients. Microbiologic eradication was seen in 65% of the cefoxitin and 90% of the ceftizoxime directed treatment courses. Pathogens isolated during therapy were similar in the two treatment groups. Diarrhea was the most common adverse effect, occurring in 8% of the cefoxitin and 10% of the ceftizoxime recipients; no Clostridium difficile or C.-difficile-producing toxin was identified in these patients. The ceftizoxime therapy was 36% less expensive than the cefoxitin therapy on average, and the annual savings was estimated to be $83,123. An estimated 5615 drug doses were avoided annually, for an additional savings of $24,875 in drug administration. Therefore, the total estimated annual cost savings resulting from this two-stage interchange program was $107,998. Given the cost of $4856 to implement and maintain the program, the estimated net savings for the first year was $103,142. CONCLUSION: Ceftizoxime can replace cefoxitin in the prevention and treatment of various infections. The form of evaluation described herein is valuable when any formulary modification is being considered in a hospital.