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1.
National surveillance data from Denmark and Sweden were analyzed for trends in the incidence of HIV and AIDS. By the end of 1995, the cumulative number of AIDS cases was higher in Denmark than in Sweden, but since the annual incidence was still increasing in Sweden and slightly decreasing in Denmark, the Denmark:Sweden ratio of the overall annual AIDS incidence has decreased since 1992, and so has this ratio of incidence among homo/bisexual men. The cumulative number of acquired infections was estimated to be higher in Denmark than in Sweden, although the bi-annual proportional increase in incidence from 1987 to 1993 was higher in Sweden than in Denmark. In both countries, the annual number of new identified HIV infections among homo/bisexual men has become stable, although the Denmark:Sweden ratio has decreased since 1990. In conclusion, the national epidemiological data do not indicate that the Swedish strategy has been more effective than the Danish in preventing new HIV infections.  相似文献   

2.
OBJECTIVE: To describe the incidence of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in Australia between 1982 and 1991. DESIGN: State and Territory Health Departments notified new diagnoses of AIDS to the National AIDS Registry. Information reported for each case included sex, date of birth, date of AIDS diagnosis, presumed mode of exposure to the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and illness(es) on which the diagnosis of AIDS was based. RESULTS: To the end of March 1992, 3,160 cases of AIDS were reported as having been diagnosed between 1982 and the end of 1991. The cumulative incidence per head of population was about twice as high in New South Wales as in Australia as a whole. Over 97% of cases were in men, of whom 91% were adults or adolescents reporting homosexual contact. In women, 40% of cases were acquired through receipt of blood, blood products or tissue. The annual incidence of AIDS rose sharply until about 1988, but the annual rates of increase slowed in subsequent years. This trend was also apparent in cases acquired through sexual contact between men. In other exposure groups, numbers of cases were much smaller and trends less apparent. However, there was no indication of a similar levelling in AIDS incidence, except among blood transfusion recipients, in whom incidence may be declining. CONCLUSION: Transmission of HIV among people with AIDS in Australia has been overwhelmingly attributed to sexual contact between men. The annual incidence of cases attributed to sexual contact between men appears to be stabilising.  相似文献   

3.
Up to 1996, 368 persons in Norway (population 4.3 million) had been reported as being HIV-infected because of intravenous drug use. 72 of these had developed AIDS and 59 had died from AIDS. HIV-testing is very common among drug users in Norway and new cases are rarely detected at treatment centres or at autopsy. Some 15-30 cases may still be undiagnosed. HIV spread very rapidly among drug users in Norway in 1984 and 1985, by around 100 new cases per year. Since then, the annual incidence has decreased from 30-40 cases in 1986 to 10-15 in 1995. Although the drug users seldom shared syringes even before the advent of the HIV epidemic, we believe that the public rehabilitation programmes, needle exchange programmes and health information have contributed to control HIV in this group. We expect an annual incidence of 10-15 cases the next five years.  相似文献   

4.
Every year more than one million fractures of the proximal femur occur in the world, especially in older persons. Given the continuous aging experienced by populations, such fractures will become more frequent from year to year and will constitute a growing public health problem. The largest increase is expected to occur in countries of Latin America around the year 2050. Since nearly 70% of all atraumatic fractures in persons over 45 are due to osteoporosis, a case-control study was conducted in the city of Mar del Plata, Argentina, for the purpose of investigating the incidence of and the risk factors associated with proximal femur fractures due to osteoporosis. Between 1 August 1992 and 31 July 1993, a record was kept of all fractures of the proximal femur due to osteoporosis in persons over 50 years of age that visited any of the city's 30 public and private health centers. A total of 246 cases was recorded. The incidence rate per 100,000 inhabitants in the above-50 population was 259 among women and 92 among men, for a ratio of 2.8:1. The incidence was consistently higher in the older age groups, especially in persons over 75. Factors associated with a statistically significant increased risk of fracture of the proximal femur were: a history of neurologic disorders, psychotherapeutic drug use, alcohol consumption, previous fractures, cardiovascular disease, and a decreased intake of milk products. There were no observed differences between cases and controls with respect to age at menopause, weight, height, previous activity, smoking habits, or sun exposure, nor were such differences detected in terms of the percentage of women who had undergone oophorectomy.  相似文献   

5.
BACKGROUND: Animal experiments and epidemiologic data have suggested that the use of nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) may decrease the incidence of large bowel carcinoma. Our purpose was to assess the relation of the use of aspirin and nonaspirin NSAIDs with the risk of large bowel carcinoma. METHODS: A population-based case-control study of colon and rectal carcinoma was conducted in Massachusetts from 1992 to 1994. Data on NSAID use and risk factors for large bowel carcinoma were collected by interview from 1201 incident cases of large bowel carcinoma and 1201 controls matched by age, gender, and area of residence. RESULTS: Regular NSAID use that continued into the year before diagnosis was associated with a significantly decreased relative risk estimate overall (0.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.5-0.8) and among Stage II-IV tumors (0.6; 95% CI, 0.4-0.7). There was no reduction in risk for discontinued use. The inverse association with regular continuing use was present across age and gender and for both colon and rectal carcinoma. Similar inverse associations were present for regular continuing use of aspirin and nonaspirin NSAIDs. There was no significant evidence of a trend for the relative risk to decrease as the duration of use increased, nor was there a trend across the dose of aspirin, which ranged from less than one-half of a 325 mg tablet per day to > or = 2 tablets per day. Discontinuation of use in response to symptoms of carcinoma did not appear to explain the inverse association, nor did bias related to diagnosis of the carcinoma. CONCLUSIONS: These data add to the growing body of evidence that suggests a protective effect of NSAIDs against large bowel carcinoma.  相似文献   

6.
Disseminated Penicillium marneffei infections are common AIDS-defining opportunistic infections among persons with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in northern Thailand. Penicilliosis due to P. marneffei is the third most frequent AIDS-defining infection in this population, after tuberculosis and cryptococcosis. Very little is known about the epidemiology and natural reservoir of P. marneffei. The seasonal distribution of two common AIDS-defining fungal infections was compared among patients diagnosed between 1991 and 1994 at Chiang Mai University Hospital. There were 550 cases (492 male, 58 female patients) of P. marneffei and 793 cases (685 male, 108 female patients) of Cryptococcus neoformans infection diagnosed. In each year, P. marneffei but not C. neoformans infections were more frequent in the rainy than the dry season. Seasonal variation of P. marneffei infections in AIDS patients in northern Thailand may provide valuable information in determining the important reservoirs and exposures to this organism that lead to disseminated disease in these patients.  相似文献   

7.
OBJECTIVES: In Spain the number of new acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) cases among injection drug users continues to rise. The time trend up to 1994 has been analyzed, with special attention paid to the different generations. METHODS: The source for injection drug use-related cases was the Spanish AIDS Register. Independent analyses of annual specific rates were run for each sex with the use of an age-period-cohort log-linear model. RESULTS: After adjustment for age and year of diagnosis, AIDS incidence related to injection drug use is associated with specific birth cohorts. Rising values are observed in the successive generations born during the 1950s, peaking in men born in 1962 and women born in 1964. In subsequent cohorts, there is a marked falloff in incidence for both sexes, but this decline is seen to halt in men from the 1972 birth cohort onwards. The overall period effect is upward, yet the trend flattens in the last years. There is a pronounced age effect with maximum values in men and women at ages 29 and 27, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: It is essential to urge avoidance of risk behaviors in new generations.  相似文献   

8.
The study evaluated the incidence of infections and neoplasms in 55 out of 104 patients with AIDS who died in Poland from January 1986 to April 1994 (the estimated autopsy rate-52.8%). Histopathological examination revealed 103 infections and 11 neoplasms. In 40 persons (73%) either multiple infections or a neoplasm and an infection were diagnosed. Cytomegalovirus infection was most common. (65.5% of cases) followed by Pneumocystis carinii (24% of cases). These infections were the leading cause of death in 20% and 16% of cases, respectively. The results of this study showed a significantly lower incidence of Pneumocystis carinii, Kaposi's sarcoma and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in comparison with the results of similar studies in countries with a large number of AIDS cases.  相似文献   

9.
The incidence and spectrum of primary AIDS-defining illnesses in human immunodeficiency virus-positive patients receiving antiretroviral drugs may have changed since the introduction of newer antiretroviral agents. We performed a retrospective analysis of patients enrolled in the British Columbia Drug Treatment Program who were ever prescribed antiretroviral drugs between 1 January 1994 and 31 December 1996. Rates were calculated on a 6-month basis. There were 344 AIDS cases diagnosed among 2,533 participants between 1994 and 1996. The incidence of primary AIDS diseases decreased from 1994 to 1996, with a sharp decline in 1995 and 1996. There was no statistically significant change in the incidence of primary AIDS diagnoses relative to one another, and Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia and Kaposi's sarcoma remain the most common AIDS index diagnoses. In patients receiving antiretroviral therapy in the modern era, the incidence of AIDS-defining illnesses has decreased substantially, but the spectrum of AIDS-defining illnesses remains unchanged.  相似文献   

10.
BACKGROUND: The general trend in incidence of myocardial infarction (MI) in the Stockholm area changed from increasing to decreasing around 1980. The objective of this study is to examine time trends in incidence in major socioeconomic strata, relative risk between socioeconomic groups and population risk attributable to socioeconomic differences during this period. METHODS: All cases of MI from 1971 to 1986 were identified from hospital discharge and cause-of-death registers. Person-years for each year of follow-up were calculated from the population register in the Stockholm region 1971-1986. Census registers were used for information on socioeconomic status. Register information was individually linked through the Swedish personal identification number. Supplementary information for 1992-1994 was taken from the case-control study SHEEP (Stockholm Heart Epidemiology Program). RESULTS: The decline in MI risk among male high- and middle-level employees started in 1976 and in male manual workers in 1981. For women incidence increased from 1971 to 1986 among manual workers and decreased among high- and middle-level employees. The increase over time of the relative risk from low socioeconomic position continued into the 1990s. Despite the reduction of the category of manual workers, the population attributable risk from socioeconomic differences also increased over time. The process of social change influencing the size of the socioeconomic groups contributes to the change in time trends of MI morbidity. CONCLUSIONS: The increase over time of relative and population attributable risks of MI from low socioeconomic status add to the public health importance of social inequity.  相似文献   

11.
BACKGROUND: Incidence of tuberculosis in persons coinfected with HIV is very high. The aim of this study was to determine the risk factors for tuberculosis in AIDS patients in Spain. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A study was carried into AIDS cases (1993 European AIDS case definition) over 12 years old, diagnosed in Spain in 1994. A comparison was run between cases with tuberculosis and the remaining reported AIDS cases on the register, by sex, age, transmission category and prison record. Multiple logistic regression was used to assess the independent effect of each variable, with the adjusted odds ratio (ORa) and their 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Annual incidence of AIDS and tuberculosis comorbidity was 8.9 per 100,000 inhabitants. Multivariate analysis revealed that tuberculosis in AIDS patients appeared with higher frequency in: males (ORa = 1.4; CI 95%, 1.3-1.6); the 13-29 age group (ORa = 1.3; CI 95%, 1.1-1.5) and the 30-39 year old group (ORa = 1.1; CI 95%, 1.0-1.3), injecting drug users (IDU) (ORa = 1.4; CI 95%, 1.2-1.6), and those patients with a prison record (ORa = 2.1; CI 95%, 1.9-2.4). CONCLUSIONS: In Spain, male AIDS patients, under age 40 years with a prison record and IDU have a higher risk of tuberculosis. Control measures for tuberculosis should therefore be intensified among these patients.  相似文献   

12.
BACKGROUND: Few studies have compared the incidence of deep venous thrombosis among ethnic groups. OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence of deep venous thrombosis among ethnic groups. Design: Analysis of the linked California Patient Discharge Data Set from 1991 to 1994. Setting: California. PATIENTS: 17991 patients with idiopathic deep venous thrombosis (thrombosis without cancer or hospitalization within preceding 6 months) and 5573 patients with secondary thromboembolism (thromboembolism occurring within 3 months of seven different events). MEASUREMENTS: Ethnicity was determined by using race as documented in the data set. For idiopathic deep venous thrombosis, standardized age- and sex-adjusted incidences were calculated. For secondary thromboembolism, proportional hazards modeling was done. RESULTS: The annual incidence of idiopathic deep venous thrombosis per 1000000 persons older than 18 years of age was 230 for white persons, 293 for African Americans (rate ratio, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.07 to 1.51]), 139 for Hispanic persons (rate ratio, 0.60 [CI, 0.54 to 0.67]), and 60 for Asians and Pacific Islanders (rate ratio, 0.26 [CI, 0.22 to 0.30]). Compared with white persons, Asians and Pacific Islanders who developed secondary thromboembolism had a significantly lower relative risk (range, 0.22 to 0.61) for all seven conditions analyzed. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with white persons, Asians and Pacific Islanders have a very low incidence of idiopathic deep venous thrombosis and a very low relative risk for secondary venous thromboembolism.  相似文献   

13.
BACKGROUND: Data on incidence of cytomegalovirus (CMV) seroconversion in HIV-infected (HIV(+)) subjects was sparse. GOAL: To determine the incidence of CMV seroconversion in sexually active HIV(+) subjects and sexual factors associated with CMV seroconversion. STUDY DESIGN: One hundred eighty four persons not infected by CMV at enrollment in a cohort of HIV(+) persons were studied. A case-control study within the cohort was conducted to determine the effect of sexual behavior in the 6 months prior to CMV seroconversion. Thirty seven cases of CMV seroconversion were compared with 136 controls. RESULTS: The overall incidence of CMV seroconversion was 9.18 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval (CI), 6.67-12.28) and was particularly high among homosexual men. After adjustment for age, socio-professional category, sexual orientation, and casual sex, the risk of CMV seroconversion was higher in subjects who never used condoms than in those who used them systematically (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 3.37;95% CI, 1.05-11.00). CONCLUSIONS: In addition to the need to protect their sexual partners from HIV infection, HIV(+) subjects free of CMV infection should use condoms to avoid CMV infection and its complications.  相似文献   

14.
To evaluate the impact of the 1993 expansion of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) surveillance definition on reporting of persons with no HIV risk exposure information, we compared persons reported with and without risk in 1992 and 1993. The expanded case definition resulted in a large increase in both the number of persons reported with risk (121% increase) and without risk (167% increase). The changes in demographic characteristics for each group were similar from 1992 to 1993. Persons reported based on immunologic criteria were more likely and persons with pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) less likely than those meeting the pre-1993 definition criteria to be reported with risk. Many persons with PTB were retrospectively identified from tuberculosis registries that do not systematically include HIV risk information. Ascertainment of risk information continues to be an essential part of AIDS surveillance with >90% of reports including risk exposure.  相似文献   

15.
Because considerable information about progression of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection has been provided by studies of cohorts of individuals with prevalent HIV infection, this study was designed to investigate bias due to onset confounding (differential time-since-infection distributions) and differential length-biased sampling in epidemiologic analyses of data from such cohorts. Subjects were participants in the Italian Seroconverters Study, a seroincident cohort of more than 1,200 adults seen at ambulatory care clinics in Italy, with observed HIV seroconversion in 1980-1988. Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) diagnoses, based on the 1987 Centers for Disease Control case definition, and mortality were ascertained through Italian national registries through 1994. To estimate bias in prevalent cohorts, a series of pseudoseroprevalent (PSP) cohorts were drawn by sampling, from among the total seroincident cohort, prevalent AIDS-free subjects in each calendar year. The relative AIDS risk associated with a given covariate was calculated in each PSP cohort and compared with the relative AIDS risk for that covariate in the seroincident cohort. Relative risks were estimated by both the ratio of AIDS incidence densities and the relative AIDS hazards from proportional hazards regression. Differential length bias was not evident, as assessed in the following way: Among 338 individuals with seroconversion dates in 1983-1986, the relative risk of AIDS for subjects born before 1951 compared with those born more recently was 1.67 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.30-2.14). Although differential length-biased sampling was expected to bias this relative risk toward 1.0, the observed relative risk for earlier birth ranged from 1.79 to 2.86 in 1987-1992 PSP cohorts. Onset bias was observed: Among 644 subjects with seroconversion in 1980-1988, the AIDS relative risk for 1980-1985 seroconverters compared with 1986-1988 seroconverters was 1.09 (95% CI 0.76-1.55). Onset bias was seen in 1988-1990 PSP cohorts (relative risks for early seroconversion = 1.47, 1.46, and 1.34, respectively); in 1991-1992, relative risks were close to the expected value of 1.09, and CIs on relative risks from all PSP cohorts after 1989 included 1.0. Confounding attributable to differential length-biased sampling in prevalent cohorts does not necessarily bias estimates of the impact of covariates on rate of progression to AIDS. Bias can arise when a covariate suspected of affecting AIDS risk is closely linked to date of acquisition of HIV infection. However, onset bias appears to wane as subjects' dates of infection become more remote.  相似文献   

16.
Our aim was to draw up a first general view of cancer pathology among the EDF-GDF women thanks to the cancer register among active employees created by the social security department of the French national electric and gas company EDF-GDF. Between 1978 and 1992, 764 cases of cancer were diagnosed. Breast cancer was the most common (52.4%), followed by gynaecological cancers: uterus (8.6%) and ovary (6.2%), and colon and rectum cancers (5.4%). The age-standardized breast cancer incidence using the 1978-1982 period as a basis increased over time. A higher incidence for breast cancer and a lower incidence for uterus cancer were observed among the EDF-GDF women during the 1978-1982 and 1983-1987 periods, compared to French women of same age. The study of the relationship between breast cancer risk and socioeconomic status, by means of indirect standardization, showed that the breast cancer risk increased with increasing socioeconomic status. Thus manual workers had a lower breast cancer risk than the EDF-GDF woman cohort (SIR = 0.72), foremen had the same risk (SIR = 1.05) and managers had a significantly higher risk (SIR = 1.64). Moreover a case-control study showed that the change in socioeconomic status between the beginning (20 years old) and the middle of a career (35 years old) was important but it was essentially the socioeconomic status at the beginning which determined the breast cancer risk. The results support the hypothesis of a "social class" effect through risk factors during the first part of the life.  相似文献   

17.
BACKGROUND: Surveillance systems based on the reporting of AIDS cases do not provide a completely up to date picture of the trend of the HIV epidemic, stressing the need for systems based on the diagnosis of HIV infection. However, implementation of these systems has been hindered by low feasibility, poor access to HIV testing, and problems related to confidentiality. The advantages and disadvantages of the two systems and of combined use were explored by comparing and integrating information from AIDS and HIV testing registries in a region of Northern Italy. METHODS: Linkage of AIDS and HIV testing registries allowed the annual number of incident and prevalent infections to be calculated. For linked cases, concordance of exposure category was determined. RESULTS: Up to the end of 1995, 2186 AIDS cases and 5306 HIV-positive individuals were diagnosed. Linkage identified 1212 individuals reported to both registries. From 1990 to 1995, annual AIDS incidence steadily increased, while incidence of new HIV diagnoses decreased. The AIDS-to-AIDS-free ratio among those infected decreased from 1:5.6 in 1989 to 1:4.2 in 1995. The proportion of women and noninjecting drug users was higher among AIDS-free cases than among AIDS cases. The concordance of the exposure category was high (K = 0.70; 95% CI: 0.67-0.74), but it varied by exposure category; the highest concordance was for injecting drug users. CONCLUSIONS: Integrated use of the information provided by these surveillance systems allowed us to better understand and foresee the AIDS epidemic dynamics. The data also suggested that the reliability of information on exposure category may vary among categories.  相似文献   

18.
19.
OBJECTIVE: To study the prevalence, incidence and predictive value for progression to AIDS of the HIV-1 syncytium-inducing (SI) phenotype in HIV-infected injecting drug users (IDU) compared with HIV-infected homosexual men. DESIGN: Two prospective cohort studies on HIV-1 infection among IDU and homosexual men. METHODS: HIV-infected IDU (n = 225) and homosexual men (n = 366) without AIDS were studied from March 1989 through December 1993. Data on laboratory markers, including the presence of SI variants, demographics, behavioural characteristics and clinical events were collected at every visit. RESULTS: At baseline, SI variants were detected in 4% of IDU and 17% of homosexual men. During the study period 18 IDU and 68 homosexual men switched from non-SI to SI phenotype (4-year cumulative incidence, 14.6 and 28.4%, respectively) before AIDS diagnosis. Among participants with a documented date of HIV infection the cumulative incidence of SI was lower among IDU than homosexual men (4-year cumulative incidence, 6.2 and 20.7%, respectively). At AIDS diagnosis, 21% of all AIDS cases among IDU had the SI phenotype compared with 54% among homosexual men. In both risk groups an accelerated CD4 decline was found after the non-SI-to-SI switch. The SI phenotype appeared to be a predictor of AIDS (multivariate relative hazard, 5.33), independent of CD4 cell count and p24 antigen at baseline. In the multivariate time-dependent analysis, the relative hazard of SI phenotype decreased considerably, which is consistent with the hypothesis that the effect of SI phenotype on progression to AIDS is mediated by CD4 cell count. CONCLUSION: The SI phenotype is associated with accelerated CD4 decline and progression to AIDS in both risk groups. The remarkable lower prevalence and incidence of the SI phenotype among IDU may implicate a difference in pathogenesis and natural history of HIV infection linked to transmission group.  相似文献   

20.
OBJECTIVE: To describe a coccidioidomycosis outbreak in Ventura County following the January 1994 earthquake, centered in Northridge, Calif, and to identify factors that increased the risk for acquiring acute coccidioidomycosis infection. DESIGN: Epidemic investigation, population-based skin test survey, and case-control study. SETTING: Ventura County, California. RESULTS: In Ventura County, between January 24 and March 15, 1994, 203 outbreak-associated coccidioidomycosis cases, including 3 fatalities, were identified (attack rate [AR], 30 cases per 100,000 population). The majority of cases (56%) and the highest AR (114 per 100,000 population) occurred in the town of Simi Valley, a community located at the base of a mountain range that experienced numerous landslides associated with the earthquake. Disease onset for cases peaked 2 weeks after the earthquake. The AR was 2.8 times greater for persons 40 years of age and older than for younger persons (relative risk, 2.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1-3.7; P<.001). Environmental data indicated that large dust clouds, generated by landslides following the earthquake and strong aftershocks in the Santa Susana Mountains north of Simi Valley, were dispersed into nearby valleys by northeast winds. Simi Valley case-control study data indicated that physically being in a dust cloud (odds ratio, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.6-5.4; P<.001) and time spent in a dust cloud (P<.001) significantly increased the risk for being diagnosed with acute coccidioidomycosis. CONCLUSIONS: Both the location and timing of cases strongly suggest that the coccidioidomycosis outbreak in Ventura County was caused when arthrospores were spread in dust clouds generated by the earthquake. This is the first report of a coccidioidomycosis outbreak following an earthquake. Public and physician awareness, especially in endemic areas following similar dust cloud-generating events, may result in prevention and early recognition of acute coccidioidomycosis.  相似文献   

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