First trimester screening for Down's syndrome using maternal serum PAPP-A and free beta-hCG in combination with fetal nuchal translucency thickness

The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential effectiveness of maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) and free beta-hCG in combination with nuchal translucency thickness in first trimester screening for Down's syndrome. Maternal serum levels of PAPP-A and free beta-hCG were assayed in stored sera from 32 Down's syndrome and 200 unaffected pregnancies. Fetal nuchal translucency was measured by ultrasound at the time of blood sampling. Screening of Down's syndrome using a combination of maternal age, PAPP-A, free beta-hCG and nuchal translucency would achieve a detection rate of 75.8% for a false positive rate of 5%.     

Serum screening of pregnant women reveals Down syndrome. Analysis of biochemical markers for earlier detection

Second trimester maternal serum screening for fetal Down's syndrome (DS), using the AFP (alpha-fetoprotein), hCG (human chorionic gonadotrophin) and uE3 (unconjugated oestriol) triple test, is as well documented procedure associated with a DS-detection rate of about 70 per cent, for an amniocentesis rate of about 7 per cent. The triple test is relatively little used in the Nordic countries, though its wider use would result in more efficient diagnosis of DS and various fetal malformtions. The maternal age indication currently used leaves gravidae under 35 years of age without prenatal diagnostics, although it is in just this age group that the majority (70 per cent) of cases of fetal DS occur. In Denmark, where 12 per cent of gravidae undergo invasive diagnostic procedures, the proportion of induced abortions due to the procedures is far too high, in relation to the DS detection rates obtained. Maternal serum screening yields a much better ratio between the risk of abortion after amniocentesis and the likelihood of DS detection than does maternal age alone. Maternal serum screening at 7-14 weeks of gestation, using pregnancy-associated plasma protein A and free hCG beta subunit concentrations, will become available within the next few years, thus reducing the incidence of some of the psychological and technical problems associated with second trimester screening, especially that of third trimester abortion. Irrespective of whether it is performed in the first or the second trimester, maternal serum screening will be the cornerstone of prenatal DS diagnosis in the future.     

Screening for fetal anomalies in the 12th week of pregnancy by transvaginal sonography in an unselected population

The advantages and limitations of transvaginal (TV) sonography in detecting fetal anomalies in the 12th week of pregnancy were examined in a prospective screening study of an unselected population. During a 3-year period, 3991 examinations were performed and 35 fetuses were identified as having 43 anomalies (0.9 per cent). Most of these malformations were either severe structural disorders or isolated nuchal changes when karyotyping revealed chromosomal aberration in six cases. Twenty-one pregnancies were terminated and three fetuses died. Routine transabdominal (TA) ultrasonographic examinations were performed at 18 and 30 weeks in all those pregnancies where the TV scan had not found fetal anomalies. TA sonography identified 19 abnormal fetuses and ten cases remained undetected. TV sonography detected 51 per cent of malformed fetuses which were diagnosed prenatally (not including cases with nuchal oedema) and 41 per cent of the total were found in this study. Besides offering the possibility of early termination, first trimester screening has the advantage of identifying a transient sonographic sign, nuchal oedema, which can be used as a marker in screening for fetal chromosomal abnormalities. However, standard mid-second-trimester TA scanning is still recommended, since a significant number of malformations cannot be detected so early in pregnancy.     

Levels of urinary beta-core fragment, total oestriol, and the ratio of the two in second-trimester screening for Down syndrome

Levels of beta-core fragment and total oestriol in second-trimester maternal urine samples were measured in 32 Down syndrome pregnancies and 206 control pregnancies. Beta-core fragment and total oestriol values were corrected for the urinary creatinine level and expressed as multiples of the control medians (MOM). In addition, the ratio of the beta-core fragment level to the total oestriol level, without creatinine correction, was calculated, and expressed as MOM values. The median beta-core fragment, total oestriol, and ratio levels in Down syndrome cases were 5.42, 0.64, and 9.32 MOM, respectively. In the Down syndrome pregnancies, 66 per cent of the beta-core fragment levels were above the 95th centile of control levels, while 22 per cent of the total oestriol levels were below the fifth centile of control levels. In combination with maternal age, measurement of beta-core fragment and total oestriol levels in Down syndrome pregnancy resulted in an 80 per cent detection rate at a 5 per cent false-positive rate. Use of the ratio resulted in a univariate detection rate of 72 per cent. In combination with maternal age, the ratio resulted in a detection rate of 81 per cent at a 5 per cent false-positive rate. Based on this unmatched study, the measurement of a ratio of beta-core fragment to total oestriol levels, without the need for creatinine correction, may be useful in screening for fetal Down syndrome in second-trimester urine.     

Effect of allowing for ethnic group in prenatal screening for Down's syndrome

We conducted a study to investigate ethnic group differences in levels of serum markers used in screening for Down's syndrome [serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), unconjugated oestriol (uE3), total human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), free alpha- and free beta-hCG, and dimeric inhibin-A], to estimate the extent to which maternal weight differences between ethnic groups explain these differences, and to estimate the effect of adjusting for ethnic group and maternal weight on screening performance. Serum measurements were taken from women who were screened prenatally for Down's syndrome. AFP, uE3, and hCG concentrations were available from 9462 white, 4215 black, and 4392 South Asian women with singleton pregnancies without Down's syndrome or neural tube defects between 15 and 22 weeks' gestational age. Frozen serum samples were available from a subset of 922 white, 449 black, and 135 South Asian women and were used for measurement of free alpha-hCG, free beta-hCG, and inhibin. Values were expressed as multiples of the median (MOM) for women of the same gestational age. There were statistically significant differences in the serum marker levels between ethnic groups that were not explained by differences in maternal weight. The main differences were found in black women compared with white women; black women had serum AFP levels 22 per cent higher (95 per cent confidence interval 20-24 per cent), total hCG levels 19 per cent higher (16-22 per cent), and free beta-hCG levels 12 per cent (3-21 per cent) higher. The other differences were less than 10 per cent. Adjusting for ethnic group only had a small estimated effect on screening performance: a maximum of about 0.5 per cent extra detection at a 5 per cent false-positive rate. At a fixed risk cut-off level, the false-positive rate will not be materially different between different ethnic groups. Adjusting serum markers for ethnic groups improves Down's syndrome screening performance to a very small extent. It is worthwhile because of its established value in AFP screening for open neural tube defects.     

Inclusion of serum marker measurements from a previous pregnancy improves Down syndrome screening performance

A predisposition for high or low levels of serum marker concentrations in second trimester Down syndrome screening reflecting itself in consecutive pregnancies in the same woman has been demonstrated, but hitherto the possible effect of including previous marker results in a current risk evaluation has been considered negligible. Using published data on correlations between the markers AFP, hCG and uE3 in different normal pregnancies in the same women and age-related a priori probabilities we found, that in triple marker screening the inclusion of results from a previous pregnancy in a likelihood ratio based risk calculation could increase the detection rate for women having had an earlier pregnancy from 68.0 per cent to 70.2 per cent at a risk cut-off = 1:250. The screen positive rate for normals for the same population of women, being on average older than the total population, fell from 7.1 per cent to 6.8 per cent. These figures, that are based on an assumption of the same correlations between one normal and one Down syndrome pregnancy as between two normal pregnancies, corresponds to an expected reduction, in the population considered, of the number of children born with Down syndrome of 6.7 per cent and of the number of screen positive normals of 4.7 per cent. Considering that this can be achieved at no extra cost, it is concluded that implementation of a procedure for taking information from previous pregnancies into account in second trimester screening should be considered at centres that can handle the software problems involved in doing so. However, better data on the correlations between a normal and a subsequent Down syndrome pregnancy in the same woman should probably be awaited before this is done.     

Serum markers for Down's syndrome in relation to number of previous births and maternal age

We conducted a study to investigate the effect of parity on the following six serum markers used in screening for Down's syndrome, after adjusting them for ethnic group and maternal weight: alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), unconjugated oestriol (uE3), total human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), free alpha-hCG, free beta-hCG, and dimeric inhibin A. We aimed to estimate the effect of adjusting for any differences found on the screening performance. AFP, uE3, and hCG concentrations were available from 16,666 women with singleton pregnancies without Down's syndrome or neural tube defects and without insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, who were screened between 15 and 22 weeks' gestational age. Stored serum samples were available on a subset of 1347 women and these were used to measure free alpha-hCG, free beta-hCG, and inhibin A. Serum concentrations were expressed as multiples of the median (MOM) for women of the same gestational age, weight, and ethnic group. Of the six markers, only hCG levels were affected by parity; hCG levels decreased by 3.1 per cent per previous birth (95 per cent confidence interval 2.2-4.0 per cent); there was no significant relationship between the number of previous abortions and hCG level after adjustment for the number of previous births. The effect of previous births on hCG was not due to maternal age. Only AFP was affected by maternal age, but the effect was small; levels increased by 4.4 per cent per 10 years of age (3.2-5.7 per cent). It is not worthwhile adjusting serum markers for parity or for maternal age in prenatal screening for Down's syndrome because their effect on the performance of screening is negligible.     

Maternal serum screening for Down syndrome and neural tube defects

OBJECTIVE: Evaluation of maternal serum screening for Down's syndrome (DS) and neural tube defects (NTDs). DESIGN: Longitudinal study. SETTING: Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University Hospital Utrecht, the Netherlands. METHOD: 6362 pregnant women underwent serum screening for DS and (or) NTD between the 15th and 21st weeks of pregnancy between March 1991 and March 1996. Screening was performed using alpha-foetoprotein, unconjugated oestriol, human chorionic gonadotrophin and maternal age. The result of each individual test was a calculated risk for delivering a child with DS and (or) NTD. RESULTS: Nine out of 12 singleton pregnancies of a foetus with DS were detected. To this purpose, 573 women who, according to the serum screening had an increased risk of a child with the abnormality, were offered amniocentesis, which was performed in 471 of them. Two twin pregnancies with a total of 3 DS affected foetuses were also detected; one twin pregnancy of a DS foetus was screen-negative. The one case of spina bifida was screen-positive. The proportion of women eligible for invasive prenatal diagnosis because of maternal age increased from 9% to 25% in the course of the study. Of 1118 women aged > or = 36 years 913 (82%) declined invasive investigation compared with 40% in the general population. CONCLUSION: The results of the maternal serum screening program in Utrecht were comparable with other studies. Maternal serum screening is accepted as an alternative by women above 36 years, and allows to decrease the need for amniocentesis without a significant loss in detection rate.     

First-trimester urine free beta hCG, beta core, and total oestriol in pregnancies affected by Down's syndrome: implications for first-trimester screening with nuchal translucency and serum free beta hCG

We have examined maternal urine concentrations of beta core, free beta human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), and total oestriol in 373 control pregnancies and 43 pregnancies affected by aneuploidy (including 22 cases of Down's syndrome) in an attempt to see if any of the analytes have a value in Down's syndrome screening between the tenth and 14th week of pregnancy. We have compared the performance of these analytes against nuchal translucency measurement combined with maternal serum free beta hCG at the same period of pregnancy. Our results show that levels of urine free beta hCG and beta core are increased in Down's syndrome with average multiple of the median levels of 1.81 and 2.91, respectively. Urine total oestriol was reduced (0.83) whilst maternal serum free beta hCG was increased (1.72). In trisomy 18 the levels of all analytes were reduced, although serum free beta hCG was the most discriminating. The spread of results in the control and the Down's group for urine beta core was more than three times than that for serum free beta hCG and with urine free beta hCG it was two times wider. In combination with maternal age, urine total oestriol had a 32 per cent detection rate at a fixed 5 per cent false-positive rate; urine beta core 34 per cent, urine free beta hCG 36 per cent, maternal serum free beta hCG 44 per cent, and nuchal translucency 82 per cent. In combination with nuchal translucency, urine total oestriol added an extra 1 per cent detection, urine beta core an extra 2 per cent, urine free beta hCG an extra 3 per cent, and serum free beta hCG an extra 5 per cent. It is unlikely that any of the urine markers will be of value in first-trimester screening. Optimal first-trimester screening programmes will rely for the foreseeable future on nuchal translucency, serum free beta hCG, and possibly pregnancy-associated plasma protein A.     

NG-nitro-L-arginine methyl ester inhibits bone metastasis after modified intracardiac injection of human breast cancer cells in a nude mouse model

A retrospective evaluation of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), and unconjugated oestriol (uE3) levels in maternal blood in the second trimester was conducted for cases of aneuploid pregnancies identified from a series of women who underwent amniocentesis. Blood samples were collected from 1078 women just before genetic amniocentesis was performed, mainly for individuals of advanced maternal age (greater than 35 years). Twenty-five maternal serum samples from pregnant women with an aneuploid fetus, including 14 with Down's syndrome, were available for analysis of all three parameters. An algorithm to detect Down's syndrome was used for this analysis with a risk of > or = 1:299 classified as screen-positive, this being found for 20.4 per cent of the cases (220/1078). The actual Down's syndrome detection rate was 85.7 per cent (12/14), whereas the detection rate for all aneuploidies was 72.0 per cent (18/25). Those that were not detected were two cases of trisomy 21, one trisomy 18, two trisomy 13, three sex chromosome abnormalities, and one case of an additional marker chromosome. The data indicate that this tri-analyte test should be provided after thorough genetic counselling and informed decision-making regarding maternal serum screening for women who wish for a prenatal diagnosis.     

Fetal blood sampling--indication-related losses

The aim of this study, was to determine the fetal loss rate after fetal blood sampling (FBS) in relation to the indication. In total, 1981 FBS procedures (1878 pregnancies) were included, of which 117 were performed for the detection of congenital infection (group 1), 1437 for the detection of haemoglobinopathy (group 2), 233 for prenatal diagnosis with normal ultrasound findings (group 3), 121 for rapid karyotyping in cases with abnormal sonographic findings (group 4) and 73 for severe growth retardation (group 5). All the procedures were performed with a free-hand technique under continuous ultrasound guidance. Pregnancy losses occurring within two weeks of FBS were considered procedure-related losses. 343 pregnancies were terminated. Of the remaining 1535 continuing pregnancies, 73 (4.8 per cent) were lost, of which 39 (2.5 per cent) were lost within two weeks of the procedure. The procedure-related losses were 3 in 103 (2.9 per cent), 17 in 1090 (1.6 per cent), 2 in 191 (1 per cent), 11 in 84 (13.1 per cent) and 6 in 67 (8.9 per cent) in groups 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5, respectively. The differences in procedural loss between the five groups were highly significant, suggesting that the method entails a much higher risk when the fetus is structurally abnormal, or severely growth retarded. Patients should therefore be counselled before the procedure accordingly.     

Gestational meconium: a sign of poor neonatal prognosis

Seventy five pregnancies where the presence of antepartum meconium was detected by transabdominal amniocentesis, were compared with 224 cases showing clear amniotic fluid (A.F.). The statistical differences were analized in terms of data of anamnesis, diseases complicating pregnancy, gestational age, fetal maturity diagnosis from the A.F. study, oxytocin test, labor characteristics, perinatal mortality and neurologic morbidity during the first nine months of life. The results suggest that the presence of antepartum meconium implies an increase in fetal risk, demanding an adequate analysis of the obstetric solutions, which is discussed.     

Health sector reform: priorities and packages

Using time-resolved fluorometry, a simple one-step dual-label immunometric assay has been developed, which allows simultaneous determination of pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) and free beta-subunit of human chorionic gonadotrophin (beta-hCG) in first-trimester maternal serum samples. Two monoclonal antibodies were biotinylated and immobilized onto the surface of streptavidin-coated microtitration plates, and used to capture PAPP-A and beta-hCG. respectively. Europium (Eu) and Samarium (Sm) chelates were conjugated to two additional monoclonal antibodies acting as detection antibodies for PAPP-A and beta-hCG. The assay was performed using a 4-h one-step format. The within-run precision with buffer-based calibrators was below 8% over the working range of PAPP-A (40-10000 mIU/l) and beta-hCG (7.3-525 micrograms/l) and no hook effect was observed. The intra- and inter-assay coefficients of variation were below 7.1% for serum samples. PAPP-A and beta-hCG concentrations measured by the dual assay in 39 first-trimester serum samples correlated excellently with those obtained by DELFIA single-label PAPP-A (r = 0.997) and the beta-hCG part (r = 0.993) of the DELFIA AFP/beta hCG dual-label assay.     

Antenatal screening for Down's syndrome

BACKGROUND: In 1968 the first antenatal diagnosis of Down's syndrome was made and screening on the basis of selecting women of advanced maternal age for amniocentesis was gradually introduced into medical practice. In 1983 it was shown that low maternal serum alpha fetoprotein (AFP) was associated with Down's syndrome. Later, raised maternal serum human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), and low unconjugated oestriol (uE3) were found to be markers of Down's syndrome. In 1988 the three biochemical markers were used together with maternal age as a method of screening, and this has been widely adopted. PRINCIPLES OF ANTENATAL SCREENING FOR DOWN'S SYNDROME: Methods of screening need to be fully evaluated before being introduced into routine clinical practice. This included choosing markers for which there is sufficient scientific evidence of efficacy, quantifying performance in terms of detection and false positive rates, and establishing methods of monitoring performance. Screening needs to be provided as an integrated service, coordinating and managing the separate aspects of the screening process. SERUM MARKERS AT 15-22 WEEKS OF PREGNANCY: A large number of serum markers have been found to be associated with Down's syndrome between 15 and 22 weeks of pregnancy. The principal markers are AFP, hCG or its individual subunits (free alpha- and free beta-hCG), uE3, and inhibin A. Screening performance varies according to the choice of markers used and whether ultrasound is used to estimate gestational age (table 1). When an ultrasound scan is used to estimate gestational age the detection rate for a 5% false positive rate is estimated to be 59% using the double test (AFP and hCG), 69% using the triple test (AFP, hCG, uE3), and 76% using the quadruple test (AFP, hCG, uE3, inhibin A), all in combination with maternal age. Other factors that can usefully be taken into account in screening are maternal weight, the presence of insulin dependent diabetes mellitus, multiple pregnancy, ethnic origin, previous Down's syndrome pregnancy, and whether the test is the first one in a pregnancy or a repeat. Factors such as parity and smoking are associated with one or more of the serum markers, but the effect is too small to justify adjusting for these factors in interpreting a screening test. URINARY MARKERS AND FETAL CELLS IN MATERNAL BLOOD: Urinary beta-core hCG has been investigated in a number of studies and shown to be raised in pregnancies with Down's syndrome. This area is currently the subject of active research and the use of urine in future screening programmes may be a practical possibility. Other urinary markers, such as total oestriol and free beta-hCG may also be of value. Fetal cells can be identified in the maternal circulation and techniques such as fluorescent in situ hybridisation can be used to identify aneuploidies, including Down's syndrome and trisomy 18. This approach may, in the future, be of value in screening or diagnosis. Currently, the techniques available do not have the performance, simplicity, or economy needed to replace existing methods. DEMONSTRATION PROJECTS: Demonstration projects are valuable in determining the feasibility of screening and in refining the practical application of screening. They are of less value in determining the performance of different screening methods. Several demonstration projects have been conducted using the triple and double tests. In general, the uptake of screening was about 80%. The screen positive rates were about 5-6%. About 80% of women with positive screening results had an invasive diagnostic test, and of those found to have a pregnancy with Down's syndrome, about 90% chose to have a termination of pregnancy. ULTRASOUND MARKERS AT 15-22 WEEKS OF PREGNANCY: There are a number of ultrasound markers of Down's syndrome at 15-22 weeks, including nuchal fold thickness, cardiac abnormalities, duodenal atresia, femur length, humerus length, pyelectasis, and hyperechogenic bowel. (ABSTRA     

Successful treatment of advanced interstitial pregnancy with methotrexate and hysteroscopy. A case report

BACKGROUND: Data concerning medical treatment of interstitial ectopic pregnancies are scarce. These pregnancies are characterized by late and serious clinical manifestations. We report a case of advanced interstitial pregnancy treated successfully by combining methotrexate (MTX) and hysteroscopy. CASE: A routine ultrasonic evaluation of a 10-week pregnancy revealed a right interstitial gestational sac 58 mm in diameter and containing an embryo with a crownrump length of 29 mm and embryonic heartbeats. Serum beta-human chorionic gonadatropin (hCG) level was 97,950 mIU/mL. The patient was treated with a systemic MTX/leucovorin regimen. At the end of the one-week course, no embryonic cardiac activity was detected, and a decrease in beta-hCG levels commenced. Persistent trophoblastic tissue, manifested by a low (26 mIU/mL) beta-hCG level in plateau, was successfully removed by way of hysteroscopy. CONCLUSION: Early detection of interstitial pregnancy may facilitate conservative medical treatment.     

Prenatal diagnosis of congenital toxoplasmosis in 261 pregnancies

Two hundred and sixty-one pregnant women underwent prenatal screening by cordocentesis and/or amniocentesis between 1987 and 1994. The following tests were used: (i) detection of anti-Toxoplasma gondii IgM, IgA, and IgE antibodies by immunocapture and the comparative immunological profile method based on enzyme-linked immunofiltration assay of fetal blood and (ii) direct detection of the parasite in cell culture and by mouse inoculation with fetal blood (FB) and/or amniotic fluid (AF). Of the 31 cases of congenital toxoplasmosis, 24 (77 per cent) were detected prenatally. Overall, the FB and AF inoculation methods were the most effective (50 per cent sensitivity with FB inoculation to mice and/or cell culture and 74 per cent with AF). However, antibody detection in FB was the only positive test in three cases. Of 18 surviving children diagnosed prenatally, only one developed chorioretinitis (9 months of age). Seven newborns (23 per cent) with negative prenatal tests were diagnosed by postnatal laboratory monitoring, but none of these children developed clinical toxoplasmosis. There may have been more false negatives, as only 48 per cent of unaffected children were followed up for at least 12 months. All the tests had a specificity of 100 per cent. Fetal blood sampling has considerable value but also carries some risks and is currently being abandoned in favour of amniocentesis alone with gene amplification and mouse inoculation.     

Low maternal serum levels of pregnancy associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) in the first trimester in association with abnormal fetal karyotype

OBJECTIVE: To assess the relation between maternal serum pregnancy associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) in the first trimester and the outcome of pregnancy by karyotype. DESIGN: A retrospective study of PAPP-A levels in blood samples collected prior to chorionic villus sampling. SETTING: Milan, Italy. SUBJECTS: Five hundred twenty-two women aged 20 to 47, at 7 to 11 weeks gestation, prior to undergoing chorionic villus sampling. Four hundred forty-five women had a pregnancy with a normal karyotype; in 30 pregnancies the karyotype was abnormal (including 14 cases of Down's syndrome and 7 of trisomy 18). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Normal or abnormal fetal karyotype. Serum PAPP-A at 6 to 11 weeks gestation measured by radioimmunoassay. RESULTS: The median value of PAPP-A in the abnormal group was 0.27 multiples of the normal median (MoM). This is significantly lower than the median value in the normal group (1.01 MoM) (95% CI for the difference 0.46-0.84 MoM; P < 0.00001 Mann-Whitney test). CONCLUSIONS: There is an association between low levels of PAPP-A in the first trimester with chromosome anomalies. Screening by measurement of PAPP-A might detect 60% of cases of Down's syndrome in the first trimester with a false positive rate of 5%.     

Combining beta-core fragment and total oestriol measurements to test for Down syndrome pregnancies

Recent articles by Cuckle et al., Canick et al., and Isozaki et al. have evaluated urine beta-core fragment as a screening test for Down syndrome in second-trimester pregnancies. They found over four-fold elevation of beta-core fragment levels in Down syndrome pregnancies, and between 62 and 88 per cent detection of this trisomy at a 5 per cent false-positive rate. Urine beta-core fragment may be a superior screening test for Down syndrome pregnancies. In the present study, urinary total oestriol has been evaluated as a marker to use in combination with beta-core fragment in screening for Down syndrome pregnancies. The two markers were evaluated separately in relation to the urine creatinine concentration. To amplify screening performance, we evaluated the ratio of beta-core fragment to total oestriol levels (creatinine-independent). beta-core fragment and total oestriol levels were determined (normalized to creatinine, ng/mg creatinine) in urine samples from 480 unaffected and 12 Down syndrome pregnancies, collected consecutively at a single prenatal diagnosis centre. The median beta-core fragment level in Down syndrome cases was 4.5 MOM. Fifty-eight per cent of Down syndrome cases had beta-core fragment levels exceeding the 95th centile of unaffected pregnancies. The median total oestriol level in Down syndrome cases was 0.33 MOM. Forty-two per cent of Down syndrome cases had total oestriol levels exceeding the 95th centile of unaffected pregnancies. We investigated the ratio of the two determinants (beta-core fragment, ng/ml divided by total oestriol, ng/ml) in our sample set. The median beta-core fragment:total oestriol ratio in Down syndrome cases was 13 MOM. Seventy-five per cent of Down syndrome cases had a ratio exceeding the 95th and the 99.5th centile of unaffected pregnancies. Total oestriol complements beta-core fragment in urine screening for Down syndrome pregnancies. A test measuring the ratio of the two urine determinants may be a significant improvement over current serum methods for detecting Down syndrome.     

Macrocytic anemia with anisocytosis due to alcohol abuse and vitamin B6 deficiency

The effect of the choice of maternal age-specific prevalence curve on the model predicted Down syndrome detection rate was examined. All 19 published regression curves from 11 birth prevalence series in four meta-analyses were included. The detection rate for a five per cent false-positive rate was estimated for three combinations of markers. For free beta human chorionic gonadotropin and alpha-fetoprotein the lowest predicted detection rate was 62.3 per cent and the highest 64.1 per cent, a range of 1.8 per cent. When unconjugated oestriol was added as a third marker it was 65.6-67.3 per cent, a 1.7 per cent range, and when inhibin A was the fourth marker the detection rate was 72.0-73.4 per cent, a 1.4 per cent range. The number of series included in the regression had the biggest effect: when the authors had used a subset thought to have the highest ascertainment the predicted detection rate generally increased. The type of regression equation used and restrictions on the age range over which the regression was performed were less important factors. The effect of the choice of curve on the predicted increase in detection achieved by incorporating additional markers was relatively small: 3.1-3.3 per cent for unconjugated oestriol and a further 6.1-6.5 per cent for inhibin A. This analysis shows that the model inaccuracy caused by the maternal age curve is not small but is unlikely to be large enough to influence Down syndrome screening policy decisions.     

Obstetric ultrasonic studies in clinical practice

Routine ultrasound screening during pregnancy is being debated. The paper presents the aims of a three-step ultrasound screening during pregnancy care. These are exact dating of the pregnancy, detection and classification of multiple pregnancies and the detection of fetal malformations. In order to achieve these goals, we describe these three examinations. In the Cochrane Database, the efficiency of routine ultrasound screening during pregnancy is presented. Consequences of pregnancy care without routine ultrasound examinations are discussed.