指数方法在武器装备体系效能评估中的应用

研究现代战争正向着多样化、体系化的方向发展,针对战争的不可实验性和现代武器装备体系的复杂性,武器装备体系的效能难以进行合理有效的评估和验证。为解决评估问题,提出了很多种不同的方法,提出的将指数方法应用在武器装备体系的效能评估中。通过对杜派指数方法的深入分析和研究,通过建立陆军武器装备体系效能评估指数方案,并将方案经多维模糊推理模型应用在武器装备体系效能的评估上。经过仿真软件的多次运行验证,证明方法是可用可信的。     

AUV控制系统规划层使命与任务协调方法研究

以地形勘查使命为背景,对AUV(自治式水下机器人)规划层使命与任务协调方法进行了研究．介绍了AUV控制系统的逻辑结构,采用分层Petri网对AUV规划层离散事件系统进行了建模,通过对向目标区域航行任务库所进行扩展阐述了任务规划层的分层Petri网模型．提出了一种基于改进RW离散事件监控理论的协调方法,分别阐述了AUV使命与任务规划层离散事件系统的监控与协调．最后,通过湖试试验验证了AUV规划层使命与任务协调方法的正确性．     

武器装备体系作战需求分析框架研究

武器装备体系作战需求分析是信息时代作战需求分析领域的新概念,对联合作战能力的发展意义重大.在深入研究美军的联合能力集成开发系统基础上,提出一种新的武器装备体系作战需求分析框架.该框架基于两项关键技术:作战任务形式化描述与作战能力量化,包含四个主要步骤:基本任务需求分析、作战能力需求分析、解决方案生成与事后独立分析.实验表明,该框架能有效地将联合作战概念、联合使命转换为相应的作战需求,具有很好的应用前景.     

面向任务的装备保障能力评估模型研究

面向任务的装备保障能力评估是保障指挥决策的基础．本文给出了装备任务、保障过程以及保障资源之间关联关系的描述方法，提出了基于GOOPN的面向任务的装备保障能力评估建模方法．模型引入了公共库所及对象的模块表示，具有较好的模块性、重用性及可维护性．本文同时给出了一个实例．     

基于灰色AHP法的武器装备体系作战能力评估

为对武器装备体系作战能力进行评估,分析武器装备体系的结构组成,建立武器装备体系的作战能力评估指标;针对武器装备体系复杂性的特点,提出灰色层次分析法对武器装备体系作战能力进行评估,通过算例验证所建模型是合理、可行的。     

基于灰色AHP法的武器装备体系作战能力评估

为对武器装备体系作战能力进行评估．分析武器装备体系的结构组成．建立武器装备体系的作战能力评估指标;针对武器装备体系复杂性的特点,提出灰色层次分析法对武器装备体系作战能力进行评估,通过算例验证所建模型是合理、可行的。     

武器装备体系需求建模质量评价方法研究

武器装备体系需求建模过程充满了不确定性,而体系需求建模的质量直接影响到需求模型的有效性和可靠性,最终影响待建武器装备体系的构建效果。在重点分析武器装备体系需求建模利益相关者和需求建模内容中存在的不确定性因素的基础上,提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络（BN）的武器装备需求建模质量评价方法。该方法在充分利用专家知识和统计数据的基础上,利用BN的状态描述与推理机制,可以有效描述、处理体系需求建模过程中出现的不确定性问题;并且利用BN的诊断推理可以找出影响建模质量的关键因素组合。最后通过仿真实例对方法进行了验证。     

武器装备体系能力需求论证方法初探

武器装备体系具有很强的动态性,这种动态性主要表现为装备对象、关系和环境的动态性,因此,在全面考虑体系作战能力需求时,将面临大量的不确定性因素.针对武器装备体系能力需求论证可能面临的不确定性因素,依据国内外在武器装备体系论证领域的研究成果,总结出处理不确定性的三种方法:以价值为中心的方法、探索性分析方法、层次化递阶实验方法.三种方法提出的基点是在获取有效的论证结果的同时,尽量降低论证工作的复杂度.在武器装备体系能力需求论证过程中,根据所面临的不确定性选择合适的论证方法,将能以最少的资源获取最有效的论证结果,为决策者的决策提供所需的参考资料.     

面向多航天器协同的自主任务规划方法研究

针对多航天器的协同任务规划,设计了一种基于多Agent技术的体系结构,将航天器任务体系分为多航天器协同层、系统层和分系统层的多层结构,分析了同构式多航天器以及异构式多航天器的任务差异,给出了多航天器协同任务模型。在此基础上,提出了多航天器的招投标任务协商策略和评估发布协商策略,以及基于SGPLAN的任务协同算法。以多航天器进行推进补加问题为例进行了验证,仿真表明了模型的合理性以及算法的有效性,为多航天器协同任务实际应用提供了一种可行的方法。     

基于QFD的装备体系使命任务需求满足度评估方法

为评估作战试验中装备体系的使命任务需求满足度,提高装备体系短板弱项的分析能力,提出一种基于质量功能展开(Quality Function Deployment,QFD)的评估方法。在简要介绍QFD原理的基础上,根据使命任务需求满足度评估特点,梳理明确QFD质量屋中各组成结构与评估所需内容的对应关系;按照“使命任务-待检验作战能力-检验指标”的映射关系,提出确定映射域指标集、确定需求重要度、确定关系矩阵、计算使命任务满足度等评估步骤,并给出需求满足度计算公式;以某合成部队装备体系检验评估任务为例,说明使命任务需求满足度的具体求解过程,评估结果与实际情况相符,并根据评估结果分析装备体系中存在的不足,为后续装备体系改进升级提供检验结论支撑。     

Mission evaluation: expert evaluation system for large-scale combat tasks of the weapon system of systems

Mission evaluation is a new requirement for capability evaluation of the weapon system of systems (WSOS) in the era of big data, and is based on evaluating large-scale tasks with similar attributes. The use of traditional methods by military experts to evaluate large scale tasks incurs significant time cost and results in low accuracy, and is caused by a variety of factors that cause confusion. Therefore, we developed a system to assist military personnel in improving the efficiency of mission evaluation; the main innovations of our work include the qualitative and quantitative visualization of complex information is realized in a three-pane interface. We also realize the iterative and interactive evaluation modes of large-scale tasks by using the active learning method; moreover, the overall display of large-scale task evaluation results is realized using statistical graphics. In practical application, the system not only improves the users’ efficiency and accuracy scores, but also helps to achieve the recognition evaluation for the overall scoring results.     

基于任务次数的舰炮武器系统任务可靠度评估方法

针对GJB899A中规定的可靠性鉴定方法无法应用于机械产品或系统级可靠性指标的验证问题,基于舰炮武器系统特征的基础上简要分析了传统LM法、MML法的应用特点,从任务可靠度的定义出发,简化系统典型任务剖面,构建系统的模拟试验任务剖面,利用GB4087中贝泽-普拉特近似方法给出系统试验方案,并将该方法应用于工程上某舰炮武器系统任务可靠度评估,在最小有效的试验资源消耗的原则下,可以验证系统的任务可靠度水平。最后给出了该方法的简要评价,保证了系统可靠度参数一定的评估精度,较好的适用于舰炮武器系统任务可靠度的验证。     

基于数值分析的装备体系作战能力研究

装备体系的作战能力是部队战斗力的重要组成部分,是分析部队力量编成、评估部队完成任务能力常用的关键性指标。系统采用层次化、可组构、面向实体的数据存储结构对装备体系进行描述,基于“五力”指数指标体系和量化、聚合模型逐层计算装备单元、作战单元和装备体系的作战能力,既保持了数值分析方法使用简单、计算快速的优点,又较好地解决了不同类型武器装备之间的能力聚合和对比分析等问题,可为制定装备发展规划、构建训练模拟系统等提供基础参考数据。     

对象约束语言对武器系统效能评估指标体系的描述与验证

武器系统效能评估是武器系统设计过程中的重要环节,效能评估指标体系作为效能评估的前提和基础,其描述的精确性将直接影响武器系统效能评估的结果.针对武器系统的设计过程,提出了一种效能评估指标体系的描述方法,即元模型描述方法;引入统一建模语言(UML)规范的一部分对象约束语言(OCL)对其进行精确描述.最后,通过实验验证了OCL描述的正确性,为武器系统设计过程中的效能评估提供依据.     

面向绩效的科研预算计划支持系统

科研活动需要投入大量的资金进行研制、开发、试验和定型。而预算的基础,最终在于绩效。即必须通过型号任务的完成,试验的成功,科研成果的积累,科研水平的提高,人才的培养等多个方面的综合测度来进行评价。本文根据科研的特点,在平衡记分法的基础上,应用描述逻辑方法,提出了基于描述逻辑,面向绩效的科研预算计划支持系统框架,并设计了其本体模型,提出了该本体模型的计划方法。     

A system planning method based on templates for large-scale manufacturing information systems

In the field of manufacturing, there is a need to develop large-scale manufacturing information systems. This is especially true in the Japanese steel manufacturing industry where CIM is the core management technology. But developing such systems requires large amounts of time and manpower, and furthermore, these type of projects are very difficult to manage. Therefore, in order to ease the process of analysis and design, we propose procedures based on a two-dimensional template with specific criteria for large-scale manufacturing IS architectures. In each manufacturing system, there are two important elements that correspond to the two dimensions of the template. One is a functional category and the other is a management structure. We show here the effectiveness of applying this method to system planning of large-scale IS in one representative steel manufacturing plant.     

A new method for evaluating weapon systems using fuzzy set theory

This paper presents a new method for evaluating weapon systems using fuzzy set theory. The proposed method is more flexible than the one presented in Mon et al. (1994) due to the fact that it allows each item of criteria to have a different weight represented by a triangular fuzzy number. Furthermore, because the proposed method does not need to perform complicated entropy weight calculations, its execution is much faster than the one shown in the above paper     

Discrete time transfer matrix method for dynamics analysis of complex weapon systems

Efficient, precise dynamic modeling and analysis for complex weapon systems have become more and more important in their dynamic design and performance optimizing. As a new method developed in recent years, the discrete time transfer matrix method of multibody system is highly efficient for multibody system dynamics. In this paper, taking a shipboard gun system as an example, by deducing some new transfer equations of elements, the discrete time transfer matrix method of multibody sys- tem is used to solve ...     

Data management for an interactive graphics system oriented to planning applications

INTRANS is a man-computer interactive graphics system, intended for analysis of urban and transportation planning problems. It is designed to operate primarily under time sharing on IBM 360/370 computers. The paper describes the functional design and the structure of the data management of INTRANS.

The data management is designed to answer the specific needs of planning applications: large data-sets, comparative analysis of several alternatives, and interface with batch processing computer programs. At the same time, the system is designed to operate within an environment of extremely limited resources of core and computing time.     

Mission visualization for planning and training

The question often arises whether virtual reality serves any purpose other than for games and entertainment. We believe VR can provide unique benefits to one problem domain: training for operations where classroom instruction is insufficient but “hands-on” practice is dangerous, expensive, logistically complex, or limited in the possible range of experience. Examples of such applications include law enforcement, emergency response, and rapid deployment military operations. Our research focuses specifically on the use of VR to train people for small-team, close-quarters operations. Our interest is in training a person to handle a specific situation or set of scenarios, rather than to perform a given task