Site modelling methods for detecting hydrologic alteration of flood frequency and flood duration in the floodplain below the carlyle dam,lower Kaskaskia River,Illinois, USA

Reports concerning the influence of dams on river hydrology vary among researchers, interest groups and government agencies. These often contradicting statements may occur because changes in hydrology caused by dams are distinct for each dam and river watershed. The objective of this research was to use site specific techniques to determine if the 1967 installation of the Carlyle Dam, lower Kaskaskia River, Illinois, altered flood frequency and duration within the forested floodplain located below the dam. Results indicated a decrease in flood duration and frequency, and a decrease in annual flood frequency variation at a site 6.4 km below the dam. Pre‐dam versus post‐dam differences in flood frequency and duration at the site 32.2 km below the dam were related to climate rather than dam effects. Although dam impacts are a concern, this research shows that distance downstream from the dam and downstream tributary and watershed characteristics should be considered before assuming that the dam has changed hydrologic parameters for portions of rivers. This research also indicates that areas of the lower Kaskaskia River may still maintain hydrologic ecological integrity, and could be targeted for restoration and adaptive management purposes. Hydrologic modelling combined with river gage and on‐site well measurement techniques presented in this study could provide detailed flood frequency and duration information for land use, sociological and geomorphological questions in focus areas within river floodplains. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The influence of major dams on hydrology through the drainage network of the Sacramento River basin,California

This paper reports basinwide patterns of hydrograph alteration via statistical and graphical analysis from a network of long‐term streamflow gauges located various distances downstream of major dams and confluences in the Sacramento River basin in California, USA. Streamflow data from 10 gauging stations downstream of major dams were divided into hydrologic series corresponding to the periods before and after dam construction. Pre‐ and post‐dam flows were compared with respect to hydrograph characteristics representing frequency, magnitude and shape: annual flood peak, annual flow trough, annual flood volume, time to flood peak, flood drawdown time and interarrival time. The use of such a suite of characteristics within a statistical and graphical framework allows for generalising distinct strategies of flood control operation that can be identified without any a priori knowledge of operations rules. Dam operation is highly dependent on the ratio of reservoir capacity to annual flood volume (impounded runoff index). Dams with high values of this index generally completely cut off flood peaks thus reducing time to peak, drawdown time and annual flood volume. Those with low values conduct early and late flow releases to extend the hydrograph, increasing time to peak, drawdown time and annual flood volume. The analyses reveal minimal flood control benefits from foothill dams in the lower Sacramento River (i.e. dissipation of the down‐valley flood control signal). The lower part of the basin is instead reliant on a weir and bypass system to control lowland flooding. Data from a control gauge (i.e. with no upstream dams) suggest a background signature of global climate change expressed as shortened flood hydrograph falling limbs and lengthened flood interarrival times at low exceedence probabilities. This research has implications for flood control, water resource management, aquatic and riparian ecosystems and for rehabilitation strategies involving flow alteration and/or manipulation of sediment supplies. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

MULTISTAGE ANALYSIS OF HYDROLOGIC ALTERATIONS IN THE YELLOW RIVER,CHINA

Natural river flow regimes provide an array of ecological and social functions by sustaining the health of riverine ecosystems. To identify the hydrologic alterations in the lower Yellow River basin caused by natural factors and human activities, we developed multistage hydrologic analysis to investigate the temporal variability of the river's flow regimes. We used a cumulative departure curve and Mann–Whitney–Pettitt nonparametric tests to determine possible change points based on hydrologic data from 1950 to 2006. We then used the range of variability approach to characterize and to quantify the temporal variability of the hydrologic regimes that were associated with perturbations such as dam operation, flow diversions or intensive conversion of land use within the watershed. In the case study, three stages in hydrologic alterations of the flow regime were found: a stage without human impacts, a stage with excessive human impacts and a reservoir‐regulation stage. Our results indicated that (i) after 1997, dam operation efficiently achieved flood control using sediment regulation activities; (ii) although effective in flood control, the Xiaolangdi Reservoir could not handle situations with extremely low flow, such as during droughts; and (iii) under the arid climate of the Yellow River basin, water consumption by agriculture was the main cause of water shortages. The current study shows that multistage hydrologic analysis can greatly assist regional water resources management and the restoration of riparian eco‐environmental systems affected by dam construction under a changing environment. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

FLOOD INUNDATION MAPPING FOR INTEGRATED FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT: UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER SYSTEM

Natural hydrogeomorphic characteristics and hydrologic alterations are important ecological drivers, and hydrology is also a common ecological, flood control and navigation system indicator. Hydrologic characteristics change dramatically from one end of the Upper Mississippi River System to the other, and hydraulic characteristics also differ spatially across the river channels and floodplain in response to dams, levees and diversions. Low flow surface water spatial change in response to navigation and flood control has been well known for many years, but little information was available on the spatial distribution of frequent floods. The flow frequency data presented here were developed to better estimate contemporary floods after historic flooding in 1993. Flood stage estimates are enhanced in GIS to help quantify and map potential floodplain inundation for more than 1000 river miles on the Upper Mississippi and Illinois Rivers. Potential flood inundation is mapped for the 50% to 0.2% annual exceedance probability flood stage (i.e. 2‐ to 500‐year expected recurrence interval flood) and also for alternative floodplain management scenarios within the existing flood protection infrastructure. Our analysis documents: (i) impoundment effects, (ii) a hydrologic gradient within the navigation pools that creates repeating patterns of riverine, backwater and impounded aquatic habitat conditions, (iii) potential floodplain inundation patterns for over 2 million acres and (iv) several integrated floodplain management scenarios. Extreme flood events are more common in recent decades, and they are expected to continue to occur at greater frequency in response to climate change. Floodplain managers can use the results presented here to help optimize land management and flood damage reduction on the Upper Mississippi River System. Published 2012. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.     

Determining the effects of dams on subdaily variation in river flows at a whole‐basin scale

River regulation can alter the frequency and magnitude of subdaily flow variations causing major impacts on ecological structure and function. We developed an approach to quantify subdaily flow variation for multiple sites across a large watershed to assess the potential impacts of different dam operations (flood control, run‐of‐river hydropower and peaking hydropower) on natural communities. We used hourly flow data over a 9‐year period from 30 stream gages throughout the Connecticut River basin to calculate four metrics of subdaily flow variation and to compare sites downstream of dams with unregulated sites. Our objectives were to (1) determine the temporal scale of data needed to characterize subdaily variability; (2) compare the frequency of days with high subdaily flow variation downstream of dams and unregulated sites; (3) analyse the magnitude of subdaily variation at all sites and (4) identify individual sites that had subdaily variation significantly higher than unregulated locations. We found that estimates of flow variability based on daily mean flow data were not sufficient to characterize subdaily flow patterns. Alteration of subdaily flows was evident in the number of days natural ranges of variability were exceeded, rather than in the magnitude of subdaily variation, suggesting that all rivers may exhibit highly variable subdaily flows, but altered rivers exhibit this variability more frequently. Peaking hydropower facilities had the most highly altered subdaily flows; however, we observed significantly altered ranges of subdaily variability downstream of some flood‐control and run‐of‐river hydropower dams. Our analysis can be used to identify situations where dam operating procedures could be modified to reduce the level of hydrologic alteration. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Cumulative impacts of river engineering,Mississippi and Lower Missouri rivers

The goal of this study was to construct a large, data‐rich model to test hydrological responses to engineering modifications on over 3200 km of the Mississippi and Lower Missouri Rivers. We compiled model explanatory variables from a geospatial database quantifying construction of all bridges, wing dikes, bendway weirs, levees, artificial meander cutoffs, channel constriction and navigational dams over the past 100–150 years. Response variables were derived from 68 rated and un‐rated hydrologic stations in the study area, with responses analysed across a range of discharges from within‐channel flows up to moderate floods. Correlation analysis, multiple linear regression and stepwise regression analyses document strong and consistent responses to construction history, both in individual reach‐scale models and systemwide. Meander cutoffs are associated with degradation and acceleration of flow that has reduced stages across the full discharge range. Navigational dams on the Upper Mississippi River increased low‐flow stages and flood levels to a lesser extent, with little or no post‐dam change. One of the strongest signals was the hydrologic response to wing‐dike construction, which resulted in large back‐water increases in stage upstream of wing dikes and mixed effects downstream, including the overlapping effects of incision and velocity losses. Levees were associated with local flow concentration, overbank storage loss and floodplain conveyance loss depending on reach‐scale conditions. The results presented here (1) quantify incremental and cumulative hydrologic responses to a range of engineering activities and (2) provide an empirical tool for verifying and assessing hydraulic and other models of river‐system change. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Assessment of hydrologic alteration induced by the Three Gorges Dam in Dongting Lake,China

Water‐level variations are an internal aspect of lake ecosystems that play a key role in structuring aquatic diversity and providing ecosystem services. In this study, the hydrologic alteration of Dongting Lake induced by the Three Gorges Dam (TGD) was assessed using indicators of hydrologic alteration and range of variability approach. The results demonstrate a declining trend in autumn water level (0.52–2.26 m) and 5–35 days' advancement for date of minimum annual water level because of the impound of water by the TGD in early autumn. The spatial patterns in the degree of the indicators of hydrologic alteration were different among the sub‐lake regions. Annual minimum water level and timing of annual extreme water level suffered a high degree of alteration in the eastern part of the lake, whereas autumn water level, date of minimum water level, and number of reversals in the western part of the lake showed a high degree of alteration. The average integrated degree of hydrologic alteration (D₀) for Dongting Lake was 50.40%, indicating that the hydrologic regime suffered a moderate alteration. The most ecologically relevant hydrologic indicators are critical for understanding eco‐hydrology. On the basis of principal component analysis, the five selected ecologically relevant hydrologic indicators were 90‐day minimum, date of minimum, high pulse duration, date of maximum, and May water level. Further studies are required to understand the impact of the TGD on water conditions in Dongting Lake, especially related to the response of the aquatic ecosystem.     

Understanding the Thermal Regime of Rivers Influenced by Small and Medium Size Dams in Eastern Canada

Although small and medium‐size dams are prevalent in North America, few studies have described their year‐round impacts on the thermal regime of rivers. The objective of this study was to quantify the impacts of two types of dams (run‐of‐river, storage with shallow reservoirs) on the thermal regime of rivers in eastern Canada. Thermal impacts of dams were assessed (i) for the open water period by evaluating their influence on the annual cycle in daily mean water temperature and residual variability and (ii) for the ice‐covered winter period by evaluating their influence on water temperature duration curves. Overall, results showed that the run‐of‐river dam (with limited storage capacity) did not have a significant effect on the thermal regime of the regulated river. At the two rivers regulated by storage dams with shallow reservoirs (mean depth < 6 m), the annual cycle in daily mean water temperature was significantly modified which led to warmer water temperatures in summer and autumn. From August to October, the monthly mean water temperature at rivers regulated by storage dams was 1.4 to 3.9°C warmer than at their respective reference sites. During the open water period, the two storage dams also reduced water temperature variability at a daily timescale while increased variability was observed in regulated rivers during the winter. Storage dams also had a warming effect during the winter and the winter median water temperature ranged between 1.0 and 2.1°C downstream of the two storage dams whereas water temperature remained stable and close to 0°C in unregulated rivers. The biological implications of the altered thermal regimes at rivers regulated by storage dams are discussed, in particular for salmonids. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

南水北调西线一期工程调水对下游水文情势影响

南水北调西线一期工程从雅砻江、大渡河上游7条河流调水80亿m3,调水河流下游的水文情势将发生变化。根据雅砻江、大渡河现有水文站网收集的水文资料,主要从径流、水位两方面研究西线一期工程调水后对下游河流的影响。参照国际惯例和现行规范标准,将调水对水文情势的影响分为3类研究区。西线一期工程调水对径流影响较大的时段主要为连续枯水年和每年的丰水期,调水使得一类研究区水文过程均一化,小流量常态化。调水对水位的影响主要集中在一类水文情势研究分区的近坝河段。     

THE MANAGEMENT MODES OF SEASONAL FLOODS AND THEIR IMPACT ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CLIMATE AND STREAMFLOW DOWNSTREAM FROM DAMS IN QUEBEC (CANADA)

The goal of the study was to compare the modes of management of seasonal floods for different dams and to constrain their impact on the relationship between climate variables and streamflow downstream from the dams. At the Rawdon dam, downstream from which the Ouareau River is characterized by a natural‐type regulated flow regime, a ‘type A’ flood management mode prevails, in which the same rainfall and/or snowmelt events account for seasonal floods both in the unregulated (natural) stretch of river upstream from the dam and in the river downstream from the dam. As a result, seasonal floods in the natural setting and downstream from the dam are nearly synchronous. In contrast, downstream from the Matawin dam (Matawin River), which produces an inversion‐type regulated flow regime, the prevalent flood management modes are of types B and D, whereby seasonal floods observed upstream and downstream from the dam are not caused by the same rainfall and/or snowmelt events and, as a result, are not synchronous. This difference in seasonal flood management modes affects the interannual variability of the magnitude of seasonal daily maximum flows related to the seasonal floods. Thus, the interannual variability of these flows downstream from the Matawin dam differs significantly from that of flows upstream. No correlation is observed between climate variables and streamflow downstream from the Matawin dam. This absence of correlation disappears gradually at the annual scale, at which streamflow is correlated with rainfall, as is observed upstream from the dam. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A dynamic model to predict responses of millets (Echinochloa sp.) to different hydrologic conditions for the Illinois floodplain–River

Millets grow on floodplain mud flats exposed when seasonal floods recede, and the seeds of this plant are an important food source for waterfowl during their spring and autumn migrations in the Mississippi Flyway. Productivity of millets along the Illinois River has declined because of unnaturally frequent floods that inundate the mud flats and drown the plants during the summer growing season. These small floods are caused by operation of the navigation dams on the main channel and by alterations of the floodplain and tributary watersheds and channels. Predictive models are needed to evaluate the most cost‐effective combination of approaches for restoring plant productivity. We developed a moist‐soil plant model that simulates millet growth on 1 m² in response to daily water levels during the summer growing season. The model responds to daily water depth, flood timing (within the growing season), and flood duration, and was qualitatively verified using historical (1938–1959) water levels and plant coverage for three areas along the Illinois River. In the absence of untimely floods, the model predicts net above‐ground primary productivity of ～500 g m^?2 yr^?1 and plant heights of up to 130 cm by the end of the growing season. As expected, growth declines with decreasing land elevation or with more frequent flooding (or a shorter duration of the dry period) at the same elevation. A dry period of >85 days is required to achieve at least 50% of maximum production during the growing season, which is somewhat longer than the 70‐day recommendation based on reported field observations. The model predictions of plant success or failure agree with historical observations, indicating that water regime is a major factor limiting plant success. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Using wavelet analysis to detect changes in water temperature regimes at multiple scales: effects of multi‐purpose dams in the Willamette River basin

Maintaining the natural complexity of water temperature regimes is a key to maintaining diverse biological communities. Insect communities, food webs, and fish respond to the magnitude and duration of water temperature fluctuations. Disruption of these natural patterns has the potential to alter physiological processes, behavioural adaptations, and community structure and dynamics. We analysed multiple >300‐day time series of water temperature from the Willamette River basin, Oregon, to assess the impact of large multi‐purpose dams on water temperature variability at temporal scales ranging from 1 to 32 days, short temporal scales that are commonly ignored. We applied wavelet analysis to quantify the variability of water temperature at multiple temporal scales simultaneously. We compared water temperature regimes above and below dams and before and after dam construction. The advantages of wavelet analysis are the ability to examine all temporal scales simultaneously and independently as well as the ability to preserve the temporal context of the wavelet coefficients. We were able to detect significant (p < 0.0001) reductions in water temperature variability, defined as the variability of the wavelet coefficients, as a result of dams at the 1‐, 2‐, 4‐, and 8‐day scales. There were no significant differences in water temperature variability between managed and natural flows at the 16‐ and 32‐day scale (p = 0.80). In addition to the well‐documented effects of dams on seasonal patterns in water temperature or on water temperature extremes, our results demonstrate that dams have significantly muted the small temporal scale variance in water temperature patterns to which many organisms may have been adapted. Conserving or restoring natural temperature patterns in rivers will require attention to these small‐scale complexities. Published in 2007 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Effects of river regulation on aquatic macrophyte growth and floods in the Hadejia‐Nguru Wetlands and flow in the Yobe River,northern Nigeria; implications for future water management

The Hadejia River is a tributary of the Yobe River in semi‐arid northern Nigeria and is regulated by two major dams. The other main tributary is uncontrolled. Comparison of the discharge data for the controlled and uncontrolled rivers shows an average decrease of 33% in annual flow in the upstream part of the Hadejia River. The total annual flow and the peak flow in the Hadejia River further downstream, just above the Hadejia‐Nguru Wetlands (HNW), however, did not show a significant reduction in discharge. This is related to a relatively small river flow reduction at lower flows in the upstream part of the Hadejia River and the fact that the formal large upstream water users are not (yet) working at full capacity. The major impact of the dams on the downstream part of the river is the change in regime from ephemeral to perennial. The introduced dry season flows created favourable circumstances for the development of aquatic macrophyte blockages in the HNW. Owing to these blockages, the Hadejia River stopped contributing to the flow in the Yobe River for much of the year. Furthermore, after the completion of the dams, the timing of the floods in the HNW became less predictable. Suggestions for improvement of water management are made. These comprise engineering structures, including a flow diversion structure to regulate flows in the HNW, implementation of environmentally acceptable river flow strategies and water allocation management. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

长江南京河段洪水成因及趋势的水文学分析

根据长江南京河段积累的水文资料，分析了该河段的洪水组成，洪水波运动特点，以及该河段中南京站年最高水位形成和出现时间规律，洪水位在９．０ｍ以上大洪水的特点，江淮洪水遭遇和年最高水位的未来变化趋势，对于大洪水年份，汉口－大通区间的洪水，对长江南京河段的大洪水形成起着相当重要的作用，因为洞庭湖对宜昌－汉口河段洪水过程有很大的调蓄作用，所以即使川江发生特大洪水，只要其不与宜昌－大通区间特大洪水发生遭遇，一     

Evaluating upstream passage and timing of approach by adult bigheaded carps at a gated dam on the Illinois River

Dams are a conservation threat because they function as barriers to native fish movement; however, they may prevent the spread of invasive species. Invasive bigheaded carps (Hypophthalmichthys spp.) threaten the Great Lakes ecosystem and are advancing towards Lake Michigan via the Illinois River. Navigation dams on the Illinois River may deter bigheaded carps' upstream movement. We investigated the permeability of the Starved Rock Lock and Dam (SRLD), the most downstream gated Illinois River dam, to bigheaded carps' migration by examining the timing of individuals approaching and passing through SRLD in relation to gate openness, tailwater elevation, and water temperature. Using acoustic telemetry of (N = ~104 per year) tagged fish, 13 upstream passages of bigheaded carps occurred through SRLD between 2013 and 2016. Eleven passages occurred through the dam gates and 2 through the lock chamber, indicating deterrents (e.g., CO₂) placed in SRLD lock chamber may only limit passage of a small proportion of all fish passing through the lock‐and‐dam structure. Passages were documented only in 2013 and 2015. Most of the dam gate passages occurred during high water when gates were completely out of the water. Timing of bigheaded carps approaching SRLD was positively correlated with rising water temperature and high tailwater elevation, and all fish approached during late March through mid‐September. Movement through dams is rare; modifying gate operations to reduce gate openness during late spring and summer could further reduce the permeability of gated dams such as SRLD to bigheaded carps, slowing their upstream advance.     

Hydrologic Variability Influences Local Probability of Pallid Sturgeon Occurrence in a Missouri River Tributary

A river's flow regime creates and maintains spatial variability in habitat and dictates the distribution and abundance of riverine fishes. Changes to patterns of natural hydrologic variation and disturbance create novel flow conditions and may influence distribution of native fishes. We examined local and regional‐scale factors that influenced the presence of pallid sturgeon Scaphirhynchus albus in the Platte River, a large tributary to the Missouri River in Nebraska, USA. Daily river discharge, diel flow variability, season and location in the study area were the most supported variables in logistic regression models explaining pallid sturgeon distribution. The probability of pallid sturgeon occurrence was greatest during periods of high discharge (>90th percentile flows) in the spring and fall. Pallid sturgeon occurrence was always lower when variability in diel flow patterns was high (i.e. hydropeaking). Our results indicate that pallid sturgeon use of the lower Platte River was strongly tied to the flow regime. Therefore, the lower Platte River may provide an opportunity to preserve and restore sturgeon and possibly other large‐river fishes through appropriate water management strategies. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Hydrologic thresholds for riparian forest conservation in a regulated large Mediterranean river

Most riparian trees are phreatophytic, water table‐dependent plants which broadly differ in their tolerance to drought and permanent flooding. In semi‐arid settings, as water is limiting, inundations may be regarded as inputs rather than stresses for the survival of phreatophytes. In this study, the mortality rates and abundances of Populus alba, P. nigra, Salix alba and local Tamarix spp. were examined in 43 plots with different hydrologic conditions distributed across the floodplain of a large semi‐arid and Mediterranean river, the Ebro River (Spain). The objectives were to determine hydrologic thresholds for the maintenance of declining populations of those species, while providing novel information on their phreatophytic nature, and to examine shifts in the species composition along hydrologic gradients. All species exhibited significant relationships between mortality rates and hydrologic variables (deepest water table—WT, flood duration—FD and flood frequency—FF). S. alba was found to be the species with lowest tolerance to drier conditions (hydrologic thresholds for maintaining a mortality rate <50%: WT > ?1.22 m; FD: out of observation range; FF > 5.4 events y^?1), followed by P. nigra (WT > ?2.18 m; FD > 11.1%; FF > 3.8 events y^?1), Tamarix spp. (WT > ?2.96 m; FD > 3.7%; FF > 2.5 events y^?1) and P. alba (WT > ?3.45 m; FD > 1.7%; FF > 2.0 events y^?1). Only a significant reduction in S. alba relative abundance was observed as conditions got drier. The results provided quantitative information useful to guide management plans for the protection of Mediterranean phreatophytic tree species from further degradation and suggested that eventual natural or regulation‐induced droughts and groundwater declines would accelerate the loss of all phreatophytic species, especially S. alba. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

思贤滘近期水文情势分析

该文根据近期实测水文资料对马口站和三水站河床演变、水位流量关系、分流比和过滘流量进行了分析。结果表明1989—2007年思贤滘水文情势变化明显:2 m以下河道过水面积,三水站2007年是1993年的2.1倍,马口站为1.5倍,三水站比马口站下切严重。河床下切导致年平均水位不断下降,在相同年平均流量下三水站1993年与2006年年平均水位相差近1 m。三水站和马口站河床下切的不平衡导致洪水期思贤滘过滘流量转变为西江流向北江,枯水期北江流向西江的流量减小,三水站分流比从而逐渐增大。2005年此后,随着采砂活动的有效控制,三水站和马口站河床较为稳定,2007—2014年思贤滘水文情势变化较小,无明显趋势性变化规律。     

岷江上游的水沙变化及其与森林破坏的关系

森林与水之间的关系是当今林学和生态学领域研究的核心问题.岷江上游森林在水土保持和调节流域水量平衡等方面具有重要的生态功能,但20世纪以来森林被大量砍伐,生态功能遭到破坏,水沙条件发生改变.以岷江上游紫坪铺控制站长系列水文资料对岷江上游水文特征变化进行分析,并结合森林破坏对森林水文效应进行探讨.其结果表明,由于岷江上游森林破坏,使流域的蒸腾量减小,年径流量增大,枯枝落叶层减少,枯水期径流量减小,河流含沙量增大,洪峰流量减弱,大洪水发生的机率显著下降.     

一种新的水文情势改变度综合估算法

基于 33 个水文改变指标,分别采用变化范围法、直方图匹配法、直方图比较法和修正变化范围法 4 种方法, 计算汉江中下游黄家港水文站的水文变异性,并对比分析各方法的优缺点。变化范围法忽略了水文指标在极值 和目标范围的具体变化;直方图匹配法和比较法考虑了水文指标在各范围的分布;修正变化范围法涵盖了形态变 化的概念。通过主客观组合赋权,融合直方图比较法和修正变化范围法的结果,提出一种新的综合估算法,既保 留水文情势的分布、频率和时空变化信息,又避免数据冗余。综合估算法结果表明：各月月均流量和极端流量大 小的改变度均为中度改变,分别为 41.28% 和 64.83%;流量增减变化率的改变度为高度改变（80.53%）;汉江中下游 水文情势的整体改变度为中度改变（55.70%）。该法可降低计算结果的不确定性,避免水文变异性结果出现异常, 从而更加合理可靠。