基于语言共识模型的电子商务信用风险评价方法

电子商务信用风险评价能够更好地维护市场规则并防范交易主体的合法权益.从语言评价信息的角度,利用多属性群决策方法对电子商务信用风险评价方法进行探讨.首先,提出个体语言共识测度和群体语言共识测度;然后,针对共识性水平较低的决策群体,构建一种整数规划模型,用于调整决策者给出的初始语言决策信息;最后,提出一种基于语言共识模型的电子商务信用风险评价方法,并通过电子商务信用风险评价问题说明该方法的可行性和有效性.     

犹豫模糊语言群决策的共识性模型

针对犹豫模糊语言群决策问题,研究其共识性调整方法.首先,定义犹豫模糊语言术语集的距离测度;然后,基于该距离测度定义犹豫模糊决策矩阵间的共识性水平及其相关概念,建立共识性调整模型,该模型采用反馈机制,并且尽可能提供给专家较多的信息,以方便专家进行信息修正,达到群体共识;最后,通过具体实例说明了所提出的共识性方法的可行性和实用性.     

基于重要度引导偏好识别修正的多粒度语言共识模型

研究多粒度语言偏好信息下的群体共识决策问题. 首先, 从个体和群体两个角度充分挖掘偏好信息下隐含的专家重要度信息, 基于个体一致度及个体与群体的相似度构建确定专家重要度的优化模型; 其次, 以专家重要度引导非共识偏好的识别和修正过程, 提出一种自适应的语言共识模型; 然后, 给出一种群决策方法, 确保在集结专家意见前群体达成一定程度的共识; 最后, 通过算例验证所提出方法的可行性和有效性.

     

考虑个体累积共识贡献的犹豫模糊语言自适应共识模型

针对犹豫模糊语言信息下的多属性群决策问题,提出一种基于个体累积共识贡献的自适应共识决策模型.首先,利用犹豫模糊语言得分函数,基于经典的信息熵和相对熵理论,综合考虑同一属性下不同方案间的信息差异,以及各方案分别与正理想方案和负理想方案的信息差异,构建确定属性权重的优化模型;然后,提出个体累积共识贡献测度和全局共识测度,利用全局共识度进行共识控制,依据个体累积共识贡献度对专家权重进行自适应修正,构建一种新的犹豫模糊语言自适应共识过程.该过程的特点是对拥有较少合作的非全共识专家执行专家权重惩罚,而且专家权重的更新引起属性权重的自适应更新,反过来又影响个体共识贡献的累积.最后通过一个应急医疗设施选址的共识决策例子表明方法的可行性和有效性.     

不确定语言信息下的大规模群体DEMATEL决策方法

针对现有不确定语言决策试验和评价实验(DEMATEL)方法大多仅适用于中小规模群体,且未考虑不确定语言变量采用非均匀标度的情况,探讨一种新的不确定语言信息下的大规模群体DEMATEL决策方法.首先,给出一种群体不确定语言DEMATEL矩阵的聚类方法,并对大规模群体DEMATEL意见进行合理分组;然后,定义三维不确定语言密度算子,并对大规模群体DEMATEL意见进行有效集结;最后,提出一种改进的基于不确定语言DEMATEL的指标权重确定方法,并在此基础上进行多属性决策.算例分析验证了所提方法的可行性与有效性,该方法采用非均匀标度来表征和呈现不确定语言变量,而且考虑了大规模群体决策的共识度,使得决策结果更为客观合理且更为可靠.     

基于新型距离测度的概率语言多属性群决策方法

研究属性权重和专家权重均未知条件下的概率语言多属性群决策问题.首先,针对传统概率语言术语集距离测度的不足,提出改进的距离测度,并证明其性质和优越性.其次,基于新的距离公式,定义决策者的平均相似度,并结合专家之间的信任度矩阵计算每个属性下决策者的综合权重;构建基于相似-信任分析的群体共识调节模型,尽可能保留各属性下权威专家的意见;考虑到属性之间的相关性以及各个属性的重要程度,构建基于广义Choquet积分和离差最大化法的主客观综合赋权模型.随后,在新的距离测度的基础上,结合TODIM方法构建概率语言多属性群决策框架,实现对多个备选方案的排序.最后,以光伏电站的选址为例,验证所提出方法的有效性和合理性.     

模糊语言多属性群决策的客观综合赋权方法

针对一类属性及专家权重完全未知且评价值为直觉不确定语言数的多属性群决策问题,提出一种基于客观综合赋权模型的模糊群决策方法。通过定义直觉不确定语言数的不确定度和距离测度,对单个专家内部以及专家群体之间的评价值进行分析,分别建立基于离差最大化和熵值的属性综合赋权模型以及基于不确定度和偏离度的专家综合赋权模型,提出一种基于客观综合权重的直觉不确定语言多属性群决策方法。通过实例分析表明了该方法的可行性和实用性。     

考虑专家偏好关联的群决策方法及其应用

通过分析群决策过程,提出使用模糊测度描述专家偏好之间可能存在的关联关系,并给出了一种考虑专家偏好关联的群决策方法.该方法从参评专家知识结构的相似性及判断结果的相似性出发,通过计算得到相应的2-可加模糊测度来描述专家的重要程度,并使用Choquet积分将多个专家的偏好信息聚合为群体的判断结果.最后,通过一个潜艇装备论证的例子验证了所提出方法的可行性和合理性.     

基于语言判断矩阵的专家群体判断一致性分析

针对群决策中基于语言判断矩阵的专家群体判断一致性问题,提出了一种分析方法．首先给出有关语言判断矩阵,导出矩阵和相客性的若干定义,得出了语言判断矩阵具有完全一致性或满意一致性的充要条件,其相应的导出矩阵也具有同样的结论;然后通过定义有关专家群体判断各个方案以及专家群体判断的一致性指标,给出了专家群体判断一致性的判别方法及专家群体判断不一致的调整方法;最后通过一个算例说明了所提出方法的有效性。     

考虑决策者可靠性自判的语言群决策方法

研究带有决策者判断可靠性的语言信息群决策问题.针对以语言变量表示的决策者意见自判可靠性,构建基于语言信息灰度的可靠性测度方法,提出依据群体一致性、语言信息灰度和先验信息的专家综合权重确定方法.基于信息集结后的语言信息灰度,计算并分析决策可靠度,提出考虑语言信息灰度的排序算法.通过算例表明了所提出方法的有效性.     

A decision support model for group decision making with intuitionistic fuzzy linguistic preferences relations

As a new preference structure, the intuitionistic fuzzy linguistic preference relation (IFLPR) was introduced to efficiently cope with situations in which the membership degree and non-membership degree are represented as linguistic terms. For group decision making (GDM) problems with IFLPRs, two significant and challenging issues are individual consistency and group consensus before deriving the reliable priority weights of alternatives. In this paper, a novel decision support model is investigated to simultaneously deal with the individual consistency and group consensus for GDM with IFLPRs. First, the concepts of multiplicative consistency and weak transitivity for IFLPRs are introduced and followed by a discussion of their desirable properties. Then, a transformation approach is developed to convert the normalized intuitionistic fuzzy priority weights into multiplicative consistent IFLPR. Based on the distance of IFLPRs, the consistency index, individual consensus degree and group consensus degree for IFLPRs are further defined. In addition, two convergent automatic iterative algorithms are proposed in the investigated decision support model. The first algorithm is utilized to convert an unacceptable multiplicative consistent IFLPR to an acceptable one. The second algorithm can assist the group decision makers to achieve a predefined consensus level. The main characteristic of the investigated decision support model is that it guarantees each IFLPR is still acceptable multiplicative consistent when the predefined consensus level is achieved. Finally, several numerical examples are provided, and comparative analyses with existing approaches are performed to demonstrate the effectiveness and practicality of the investigated model.

     

Adaptive consensus model with multiplicative linguistic preferences based on fuzzy information granulation

An adaptive consensus model based on fuzzy information granulation (fuzzy IG) is presented for group consensus decision-making problems with multiplicative linguistic preference relations (MLPRs). Firstly, a granular representation of linguistic terms is concerned with the triangular fuzzy formation of a family of information granules over given Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) numerical scales. On this basis, the individual consistency and group consensus measure indices using fuzzy granulation technique are constructed, respectively. Then, the optimal cut-off points of fuzzy information granules are obtained by establishing a multi-objective optimization model together with a multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO) algorithm. A novel group consensus decision-making approach where consensus reaching process (CRP) is achieved by adaptively adjusting individual preferences through the optimization of the cut-off points is proposed. After conflict elimination, the obtained group preference gives the ranking of the alternatives. Finally, a real emergency decision-making case for liquid ammonia leak is given to illustrate the application steps of the proposed method and comparative analysis with the existing GDM methods. Comparative results demonstrate that the proposed method has some advantages in aspects of avoiding information loss or distortion and improving consensus performance.     

基于等信息量转换的区间二元语义多属性群决策方法

针对传统区间二元语义距离计算公式的不足,提出基于离散参数区间二元语义距离公式,构建基于等信息量转换的区间二元语义多属性群决策模型。基于该模型,针对属性权重和专家权重信息完全未知的情形,设计基于极大熵和正理想方案的权重确定模型,给出一种处理区间二元语言评价值的群决策问题求解方法。算例分析表明,所提出的方法可以在一定程度上克服以往基于区间二元语义距离处理方法造成信息扭曲和损失的不足。     

基于相对熵的残缺语言判断矩阵群排序方法

针对残缺语言判断矩阵的群决策问题,提出一种基于相对熵的群排序方法。首先,定义一种用于识别残缺语言判断矩阵可接受的残缺度指标;其次,将残缺语言型偏好转化成残缺数值型偏好,根据相对熵与加性一致性算法,构建决策者对方案排序向量的最优模型;再次,通过构建接近度熵权与相似度熵权指标,对决策者权重进行动态调整,得到稳定的决策者权重,进而得出群体排序向量;最后,通过应用算例进行验证,以表明所提出的方法是可行的。     

A consensus model for group decision making under trapezoidal fuzzy numbers environment

Natural linguistic terms can preferably express the opinions of decision makers in complicated decision environment. Group decision making with multiplicative trapezoidal fuzzy preference relations transforming from natural linguistic terms attracts the attention of researchers for its important research significant. The developed approach is based on consensus improving process by using a new similarity measure and a trapezoidal fuzzy power ordered weighted geometric averaging (TFPOWGA) operator. In order to introduce this approach, firstly, trapezoidal fuzzy power geometric averaging operator and TFPOWGA operator are presented to aggregate trapezoidal fuzzy numbers (TFNs). Secondly, a new similarity measure for TFNs is introduced by combining centroids and areas of TFNs. We further propose a new consensus improving algorithm that consists of consensus measure and a dynamic feedback mechanism containing a multi-objective optimization model and some indirect rules. And then a selection stage is described to rank the alternatives. At last, an example is implemented to demonstrate effectiveness of the approach.

     

基于扩展VIKOR的不确定语言多属性群决策方法

针对不确定语言多属性群决策问题,提出了一种基于扩展多准则妥协优化解(VIKOR)的决策方法。该方法首先借鉴二元语义表示模型定义了不确定语言短语的运算规则及其距离公式,并使用运算规则集结了专家给出的不确定语言评价信息;然后结合属性的效益型和成本型特征分别定义了其正负理想点,通过将VIKOR法扩展到不确定语言环境来获取方案的折衷排序结果;最后,通过算例分析表明了所提出方法的有效性和优越性。     

Adaptive consensus support model for group decision making systems

In this paper, we present an adaptive consensus support model for group decision making systems based on intervals of linguistic 2-tuples. The proposed method has the following advantages: (1) the evaluating values can either be represented by linguistic terms or intervals of linguistic terms, (2) if the required consensus degree is too high, then the proposed adaptive consensus support model can modify experts’ preferences to improve convergence toward a higher consensus degree or a sufficient agreement for group decision making and (3) the proposed method is an interactive method, where each expert can modify the adjustments made by the system during the consensus reaching process if he/she does not agree with the adjustments made by the system. The proposed adaptive consensus support model can overcome the drawback of Mata et al.’s method (2009). It provides us with a useful way for adaptive consensus support for group decision making based on intervals of linguistic 2-tuples.     

Measuring and reaching consensus in group decision making with the linguistic computing model based on discrete fuzzy numbers

The linguistic computing model based on discrete fuzzy numbers has some good properties compared with other existing models and should be further studied, which has been proved by some researchers. However, the research of group consensus with this linguistic model is insufficient, given that group consensus is an important issue in group decision making. Therefore, this paper would concentrate on this subject. It includes two main issues: research on consensus measure and research on the method for improving group consensus in group decision making based on this linguistic computing model. For research on the consensus measure, this paper first studies on the aggregation method for discrete fuzzy numbers. Then, the index of measuring group consensus is determined. For research on improving the group consensus, considering the characteristics of discrete fuzzy numbers, we present an algorithm to improve group consensus. In addition, an illustrative example of a decision-making problem about investment is stated to show the whole solving process. It also illustrates the feasibility, rationality and validity of all the proposed methods. Finally, the comparisons between some proposals and existing studies are made, which helps point out the advantages of the proposed methods.     

多粒度犹豫模糊语言环境下未知权重的多属性群推荐方法

针对群推荐中存在的多粒度、犹豫性、模糊性语言信息问题, 提出多粒度犹豫模糊语言环境下未知权重的多属性群推荐方法. 首先, 提出多粒度犹豫模糊语言术语集的概念, 定义其距离公式; 然后, 在多粒度犹豫模糊语言环境下, 针对属性权重完全未知的情况, 建立目标规划模型, 利用拉格朗日方程求解, 针对属性权重不完全未知的情况, 建立线性规划模型求解; 最后, 通过算例计算和分析表明了上述模型求解权重问题是有效的.