Effect of allowing for ethnic group in prenatal screening for Down's syndrome

We conducted a study to investigate ethnic group differences in levels of serum markers used in screening for Down's syndrome [serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), unconjugated oestriol (uE3), total human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), free alpha- and free beta-hCG, and dimeric inhibin-A], to estimate the extent to which maternal weight differences between ethnic groups explain these differences, and to estimate the effect of adjusting for ethnic group and maternal weight on screening performance. Serum measurements were taken from women who were screened prenatally for Down's syndrome. AFP, uE3, and hCG concentrations were available from 9462 white, 4215 black, and 4392 South Asian women with singleton pregnancies without Down's syndrome or neural tube defects between 15 and 22 weeks' gestational age. Frozen serum samples were available from a subset of 922 white, 449 black, and 135 South Asian women and were used for measurement of free alpha-hCG, free beta-hCG, and inhibin. Values were expressed as multiples of the median (MOM) for women of the same gestational age. There were statistically significant differences in the serum marker levels between ethnic groups that were not explained by differences in maternal weight. The main differences were found in black women compared with white women; black women had serum AFP levels 22 per cent higher (95 per cent confidence interval 20-24 per cent), total hCG levels 19 per cent higher (16-22 per cent), and free beta-hCG levels 12 per cent (3-21 per cent) higher. The other differences were less than 10 per cent. Adjusting for ethnic group only had a small estimated effect on screening performance: a maximum of about 0.5 per cent extra detection at a 5 per cent false-positive rate. At a fixed risk cut-off level, the false-positive rate will not be materially different between different ethnic groups. Adjusting serum markers for ethnic groups improves Down's syndrome screening performance to a very small extent. It is worthwhile because of its established value in AFP screening for open neural tube defects.     

Serum markers for Down's syndrome in relation to number of previous births and maternal age

We conducted a study to investigate the effect of parity on the following six serum markers used in screening for Down's syndrome, after adjusting them for ethnic group and maternal weight: alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), unconjugated oestriol (uE3), total human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), free alpha-hCG, free beta-hCG, and dimeric inhibin A. We aimed to estimate the effect of adjusting for any differences found on the screening performance. AFP, uE3, and hCG concentrations were available from 16,666 women with singleton pregnancies without Down's syndrome or neural tube defects and without insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, who were screened between 15 and 22 weeks' gestational age. Stored serum samples were available on a subset of 1347 women and these were used to measure free alpha-hCG, free beta-hCG, and inhibin A. Serum concentrations were expressed as multiples of the median (MOM) for women of the same gestational age, weight, and ethnic group. Of the six markers, only hCG levels were affected by parity; hCG levels decreased by 3.1 per cent per previous birth (95 per cent confidence interval 2.2-4.0 per cent); there was no significant relationship between the number of previous abortions and hCG level after adjustment for the number of previous births. The effect of previous births on hCG was not due to maternal age. Only AFP was affected by maternal age, but the effect was small; levels increased by 4.4 per cent per 10 years of age (3.2-5.7 per cent). It is not worthwhile adjusting serum markers for parity or for maternal age in prenatal screening for Down's syndrome because their effect on the performance of screening is negligible.     

Antenatal screening for Down's syndrome

BACKGROUND: In 1968 the first antenatal diagnosis of Down's syndrome was made and screening on the basis of selecting women of advanced maternal age for amniocentesis was gradually introduced into medical practice. In 1983 it was shown that low maternal serum alpha fetoprotein (AFP) was associated with Down's syndrome. Later, raised maternal serum human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), and low unconjugated oestriol (uE3) were found to be markers of Down's syndrome. In 1988 the three biochemical markers were used together with maternal age as a method of screening, and this has been widely adopted. PRINCIPLES OF ANTENATAL SCREENING FOR DOWN'S SYNDROME: Methods of screening need to be fully evaluated before being introduced into routine clinical practice. This included choosing markers for which there is sufficient scientific evidence of efficacy, quantifying performance in terms of detection and false positive rates, and establishing methods of monitoring performance. Screening needs to be provided as an integrated service, coordinating and managing the separate aspects of the screening process. SERUM MARKERS AT 15-22 WEEKS OF PREGNANCY: A large number of serum markers have been found to be associated with Down's syndrome between 15 and 22 weeks of pregnancy. The principal markers are AFP, hCG or its individual subunits (free alpha- and free beta-hCG), uE3, and inhibin A. Screening performance varies according to the choice of markers used and whether ultrasound is used to estimate gestational age (table 1). When an ultrasound scan is used to estimate gestational age the detection rate for a 5% false positive rate is estimated to be 59% using the double test (AFP and hCG), 69% using the triple test (AFP, hCG, uE3), and 76% using the quadruple test (AFP, hCG, uE3, inhibin A), all in combination with maternal age. Other factors that can usefully be taken into account in screening are maternal weight, the presence of insulin dependent diabetes mellitus, multiple pregnancy, ethnic origin, previous Down's syndrome pregnancy, and whether the test is the first one in a pregnancy or a repeat. Factors such as parity and smoking are associated with one or more of the serum markers, but the effect is too small to justify adjusting for these factors in interpreting a screening test. URINARY MARKERS AND FETAL CELLS IN MATERNAL BLOOD: Urinary beta-core hCG has been investigated in a number of studies and shown to be raised in pregnancies with Down's syndrome. This area is currently the subject of active research and the use of urine in future screening programmes may be a practical possibility. Other urinary markers, such as total oestriol and free beta-hCG may also be of value. Fetal cells can be identified in the maternal circulation and techniques such as fluorescent in situ hybridisation can be used to identify aneuploidies, including Down's syndrome and trisomy 18. This approach may, in the future, be of value in screening or diagnosis. Currently, the techniques available do not have the performance, simplicity, or economy needed to replace existing methods. DEMONSTRATION PROJECTS: Demonstration projects are valuable in determining the feasibility of screening and in refining the practical application of screening. They are of less value in determining the performance of different screening methods. Several demonstration projects have been conducted using the triple and double tests. In general, the uptake of screening was about 80%. The screen positive rates were about 5-6%. About 80% of women with positive screening results had an invasive diagnostic test, and of those found to have a pregnancy with Down's syndrome, about 90% chose to have a termination of pregnancy. ULTRASOUND MARKERS AT 15-22 WEEKS OF PREGNANCY: There are a number of ultrasound markers of Down's syndrome at 15-22 weeks, including nuchal fold thickness, cardiac abnormalities, duodenal atresia, femur length, humerus length, pyelectasis, and hyperechogenic bowel. (ABSTRA     

NG-nitro-L-arginine methyl ester inhibits bone metastasis after modified intracardiac injection of human breast cancer cells in a nude mouse model

A retrospective evaluation of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), and unconjugated oestriol (uE3) levels in maternal blood in the second trimester was conducted for cases of aneuploid pregnancies identified from a series of women who underwent amniocentesis. Blood samples were collected from 1078 women just before genetic amniocentesis was performed, mainly for individuals of advanced maternal age (greater than 35 years). Twenty-five maternal serum samples from pregnant women with an aneuploid fetus, including 14 with Down's syndrome, were available for analysis of all three parameters. An algorithm to detect Down's syndrome was used for this analysis with a risk of > or = 1:299 classified as screen-positive, this being found for 20.4 per cent of the cases (220/1078). The actual Down's syndrome detection rate was 85.7 per cent (12/14), whereas the detection rate for all aneuploidies was 72.0 per cent (18/25). Those that were not detected were two cases of trisomy 21, one trisomy 18, two trisomy 13, three sex chromosome abnormalities, and one case of an additional marker chromosome. The data indicate that this tri-analyte test should be provided after thorough genetic counselling and informed decision-making regarding maternal serum screening for women who wish for a prenatal diagnosis.     

Biochemical markers of trisomy 21 and the pathophysiology of Down's syndrome pregnancies

Using biochemical and immunocytochemical methods, we have investigated endogenous levels of various markers in tissues obtained from 67 Down's syndrome pregnancies after therapeutic abortion in the second trimester and in corresponding tissues from unaffected abortuses. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), intact and free beta human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), pregnancy-specific beta-1 glycoprotein (SP-1), placental alkaline phosphatase (PALP), pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A), and gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT) were investigated in placental tissue; AFP and GGT in fetal liver; and GGT in fetal intestine. The results indicate that maternal serum levels of placental products reflect those found in the placenta: intact hCG, free beta hCG, and SP-1 levels were elevated in Down's syndrome pregnancies, while PAPP-A and PALP levels were little changed. This suggests that membrane passage of these markers is not affected but there is altered synthesis of hCG and SP-1. AFP levels were strikingly elevated in placental homogenates and unchanged in liver homogenates from Down's syndrome pregnancies, while the levels in maternal serum were reduced, pointing to a possible transport defect specific to AFP. GGT levels were high in placenta and liver from Down's syndrome pregnancies but low in fetal intestine.     

Bicarbonate binding to the water-oxidizing complex in the photosystem II. A Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy study

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between a low unconjugated estriol (uE3) in the second trimester and adverse pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: Three hundred nine women who underwent second-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-hCG-uE3 screening were divided into two groups: those with uE3 at most 0.75 multiples of the median (MoM) (n = 81) and those with uE3 exceeding 0.75 MoM (n = 228). Entry criteria included: hCG below 2 MoM, AFP below 2 MoM, age less than 35 years at delivery, complete prenatal records, and completed delivery. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for a variety of adverse pregnancy outcomes. RESULTS: After adjusting for smoking and hCG, women with uE3 at or below 0.75 MoM were found to have significantly higher odds of developing fetal growth restriction, low amniotic fluid index (AFI), and small for gestational age (SGA) with ORs (and 95% CIs) of 6.73 (2.55, 17.74), 3.85 (1.53, 9.68), and 2.89 (1.27, 6.57), respectively, for each of the outcomes. CONCLUSION: Low uE3 in the second trimester appears to be associated with fetal growth restriction, low AFI, and SGA, and the risk seems to be independent of risk for adverse infant outcome associated with elevated AFP or hCG.     

Primary alcohols and phosphatidylcholine metabolism in rat brain synaptosomal membranes via phospholipase D

The prognostic value of maternal serum triple analyte screening with AFP, hCG and uE3 (unconjugated estriol) was studied early in the second trimester of pregnancy. In this case-control study of 38 women and 76 matched controls derived from a consecutive screened population of 28,897, case selection was based upon elevated MSAFP and MShCG (> or = 2 MOM) and low MSuE3 (< or = 0.6 MOM). Adverse pregnancy outcome was found in 65.8% of cases and 2.6% of controls (RR 25, 95% CI 6.3-100.0). When increased odds (> or = 1 in 270) for Down's syndrome were considered with the abnormal analyte screen, fetal/congenital defects, fetal neonatal loss or low birth weight were noted in 17/26 cases (65.4%). Elevated MSAFP and MShCG with low values for estriol, with or without increased odds for Down's syndrome, imply an unfavorable prognosis for both the fetus and the child.     

Screening of maternal serum for fetal Down's syndrome in the first trimester

BACKGROUND: Screening of maternal serum to identify fetuses with Down's syndrome is now routinely offered during the second trimester of pregnancy. Prenatal screening by means of serum assays or ultrasonographic measurements, either alone or in combination, may also be possible in the first trimester. METHODS: We measured serum alpha-fetoprotein, unconjugated estriol, human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), the free beta subunit of hCG, and pregnancy-associated protein A in 4412 women (82 percent of whom were 35 years of age or older) who came to 16 prenatal diagnostic centers for chorionic-villus sampling or early amniocentesis at 9 to 15 weeks of gestation. Ultrasound measurements of fetal nuchal translucency were also reported. Fetal chromosomal analysis was performed in all pregnancies. Altogether, there were 61 fetuses with Down's syndrome. RESULTS: A total of 48 pregnancies affected by Down's syndrome and 3169 unaffected pregnancies were identified before 14 weeks of gestation; the rates of detection of Down's syndrome for the five serum markers were as follows: 17 percent for alpha-fetoprotein, 4 percent for unconjugated estriol, 29 percent for hCG, 25 percent for the free beta subunit of hCG, and 42 percent for pregnancy-associated protein A, at false positive rates of 5 percent. The results of the measurements of serum hCG and its free beta subunit were highly correlated. When used in combination with the serum concentration of pregnancy-associated protein A and maternal age, the detection rate was 63 percent for hCG (95 percent confidence interval, 47 to 76 percent) and 60 percent for its free beta subunit (95 percent confidence interval, 45 to 74 percent). Measurements of nuchal translucency varied considerably between centers and could not be reliably incorporated into our calculations. CONCLUSIONS: Screening for Down's syndrome in the first trimester is feasible, with use of measurements of pregnancy-associated protein A and either hCG or its free beta subunit in maternal serum.     

Inclusion of serum marker measurements from a previous pregnancy improves Down syndrome screening performance

A predisposition for high or low levels of serum marker concentrations in second trimester Down syndrome screening reflecting itself in consecutive pregnancies in the same woman has been demonstrated, but hitherto the possible effect of including previous marker results in a current risk evaluation has been considered negligible. Using published data on correlations between the markers AFP, hCG and uE3 in different normal pregnancies in the same women and age-related a priori probabilities we found, that in triple marker screening the inclusion of results from a previous pregnancy in a likelihood ratio based risk calculation could increase the detection rate for women having had an earlier pregnancy from 68.0 per cent to 70.2 per cent at a risk cut-off = 1:250. The screen positive rate for normals for the same population of women, being on average older than the total population, fell from 7.1 per cent to 6.8 per cent. These figures, that are based on an assumption of the same correlations between one normal and one Down syndrome pregnancy as between two normal pregnancies, corresponds to an expected reduction, in the population considered, of the number of children born with Down syndrome of 6.7 per cent and of the number of screen positive normals of 4.7 per cent. Considering that this can be achieved at no extra cost, it is concluded that implementation of a procedure for taking information from previous pregnancies into account in second trimester screening should be considered at centres that can handle the software problems involved in doing so. However, better data on the correlations between a normal and a subsequent Down syndrome pregnancy in the same woman should probably be awaited before this is done.     

Effect of routine screening for Down's syndrome on the significance of isolated fetal hydronephrosis

OBJECTIVE: To determine the risk of Down's syndrome in fetuses with isolated hydronephrosis at 18-23 weeks in an unselected general population after routine screening for Down's syndrome, using first trimester nuchal translucency measurement and second trimester maternal serum biochemistry. POPULATION: All pregnant women undergoing a routine 18-23 week ultrasound scan, from a population who had been offered screening for Down's syndrome. SETTING: A district general hospital serving a low risk obstetric population. METHODS: Prospective study of all routine 18-23 weeks ultrasound scans. The prevalence of isolated hydronephrosis and Down's syndrome was determined and the relative risk for Down's syndrome was calculated for different ultrasound findings. RESULTS: 10,971 women were scanned at 18-23 weeks during the study period. Down's syndrome was diagnosed in 14 of 20 cases before this stage using first trimester nuchal translucency measurement and second trimester maternal serum biochemistry. Isolated fetal hydronephrosis was diagnosed in 423 pregnancies (3.9%); none of these pregnancies were affected by Down's syndrome. The relative risk for Down's syndrome was 0.18 (95% CI 0.06-0.53) for women with a normal scan (n = 9983). When multiple ultrasound markers were found (n = 565), the relative risk for Down's syndrome was 2.00 (95% CI 0.18-22.10) and 9.00 (95% CI 1.14-71.30) for all other aneuploidies. CONCLUSION: The finding of isolated fetal hydronephrosis does not significantly increase the age-related risk for Down's syndrome. The presence of multiple ultrasound markers is associated with an increased risk of aneuploidies other than Down's syndiome. These findings are explained by the reduced prevalence of Down's syndrome as a result of prior screening and diagnosis of this condition.     

First-trimester urine free beta hCG, beta core, and total oestriol in pregnancies affected by Down's syndrome: implications for first-trimester screening with nuchal translucency and serum free beta hCG

We have examined maternal urine concentrations of beta core, free beta human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), and total oestriol in 373 control pregnancies and 43 pregnancies affected by aneuploidy (including 22 cases of Down's syndrome) in an attempt to see if any of the analytes have a value in Down's syndrome screening between the tenth and 14th week of pregnancy. We have compared the performance of these analytes against nuchal translucency measurement combined with maternal serum free beta hCG at the same period of pregnancy. Our results show that levels of urine free beta hCG and beta core are increased in Down's syndrome with average multiple of the median levels of 1.81 and 2.91, respectively. Urine total oestriol was reduced (0.83) whilst maternal serum free beta hCG was increased (1.72). In trisomy 18 the levels of all analytes were reduced, although serum free beta hCG was the most discriminating. The spread of results in the control and the Down's group for urine beta core was more than three times than that for serum free beta hCG and with urine free beta hCG it was two times wider. In combination with maternal age, urine total oestriol had a 32 per cent detection rate at a fixed 5 per cent false-positive rate; urine beta core 34 per cent, urine free beta hCG 36 per cent, maternal serum free beta hCG 44 per cent, and nuchal translucency 82 per cent. In combination with nuchal translucency, urine total oestriol added an extra 1 per cent detection, urine beta core an extra 2 per cent, urine free beta hCG an extra 3 per cent, and serum free beta hCG an extra 5 per cent. It is unlikely that any of the urine markers will be of value in first-trimester screening. Optimal first-trimester screening programmes will rely for the foreseeable future on nuchal translucency, serum free beta hCG, and possibly pregnancy-associated plasma protein A.     

Serum screening of pregnant women reveals Down syndrome. Analysis of biochemical markers for earlier detection

Second trimester maternal serum screening for fetal Down's syndrome (DS), using the AFP (alpha-fetoprotein), hCG (human chorionic gonadotrophin) and uE3 (unconjugated oestriol) triple test, is as well documented procedure associated with a DS-detection rate of about 70 per cent, for an amniocentesis rate of about 7 per cent. The triple test is relatively little used in the Nordic countries, though its wider use would result in more efficient diagnosis of DS and various fetal malformtions. The maternal age indication currently used leaves gravidae under 35 years of age without prenatal diagnostics, although it is in just this age group that the majority (70 per cent) of cases of fetal DS occur. In Denmark, where 12 per cent of gravidae undergo invasive diagnostic procedures, the proportion of induced abortions due to the procedures is far too high, in relation to the DS detection rates obtained. Maternal serum screening yields a much better ratio between the risk of abortion after amniocentesis and the likelihood of DS detection than does maternal age alone. Maternal serum screening at 7-14 weeks of gestation, using pregnancy-associated plasma protein A and free hCG beta subunit concentrations, will become available within the next few years, thus reducing the incidence of some of the psychological and technical problems associated with second trimester screening, especially that of third trimester abortion. Irrespective of whether it is performed in the first or the second trimester, maternal serum screening will be the cornerstone of prenatal DS diagnosis in the future.     

Evaluation of boys with marked breast development at puberty

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the efficiency of second-trimester maternal serum screening for Down's syndrome and open neural tube defects using alpha-fetoprotein and free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin as serum markers. METHODS: 3, 188 women underwent testing between 14th and 22nd week of pregnancy. Of all tested patients, 25.4% were >/=35 years old. A cut-off risk of >/=1:250 for Down's syndrome and MS-AFP >/=2.0 MoM for open neural tube defect were considered screen-positive. RESULTS: The detection rate for Down's syndrome was 77.8% (7/9) with 8.2% screen-positive rate (7.9% false-positive rate). When evaluated separately, in patients younger than 35 and in those >/=35 years old, the screen-positive rates were 3.1 and 23.3%, respectively. A total of 52 (1.6%) were found screen-positive for open neural tube defect; 2 cases of encephalocela and 1 case of gastroschisis were confirmed prenatally. CONCLUSION: The respectable number of cases with trisomy 21 identified in this study confirms that routine mid-trimester screening for Down's syndrome including MS-AFP, free beta-hCG and maternal age is useful in identifying pregnancies at increased risk.     

A second unrelated bone marrow transplant with an unrelated donor marrow: treatment of a patient with relapsed leukemia

To investigate whether statistical parameters used in Down syndrome screening between 15 and 22 weeks of pregnancy can be used at 14 weeks, we assayed alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), unconjugated oestriol (uE3), total human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), free alpha-hCG, free beta-hCG, and inhibin-A in 16 pregnancies with Down syndrome in the 14th week of pregnancy and expressed values in multiples of the normal median. The median and standard deviation values for these 16 pregnancies were not materially different from those published for 15-22 weeks. It is reasonable, therefore, to offer Down syndrome screening using these markers starting at 14 completed weeks of pregnancy instead of 15 weeks. It needs to be recognized, however, that serum AFP measurement for neural tube defect screening is less effective at this time than between 16 and 18 weeks of pregnancy.     

Endocrine analytes in multiple-marker screening

Prenatal serum screening is based on the observation that secretory products of the placenta and fetus are altered in maternal serum of pregnancies affected with certain birth defects. Most of these products are hormones that have been previously characterized, although the pathophysiologic basis of the altered maternal serum levels of these products that occurs in association with fetal chromosome for the most part is unknown. Prenatal serum screening is in a period of transition, with the relatively recent advance of second trimester triple-marker screening (AFP, uE3, hCG) and now the improved performance of the four-marker test that adds inhibin. A. Proposed first trimester screening and other new second trimester serum markers may dramatically change prenatal screening practices as we enter the next century.     

Maternal serum screening for Down syndrome and neural tube defects

OBJECTIVE: Evaluation of maternal serum screening for Down's syndrome (DS) and neural tube defects (NTDs). DESIGN: Longitudinal study. SETTING: Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University Hospital Utrecht, the Netherlands. METHOD: 6362 pregnant women underwent serum screening for DS and (or) NTD between the 15th and 21st weeks of pregnancy between March 1991 and March 1996. Screening was performed using alpha-foetoprotein, unconjugated oestriol, human chorionic gonadotrophin and maternal age. The result of each individual test was a calculated risk for delivering a child with DS and (or) NTD. RESULTS: Nine out of 12 singleton pregnancies of a foetus with DS were detected. To this purpose, 573 women who, according to the serum screening had an increased risk of a child with the abnormality, were offered amniocentesis, which was performed in 471 of them. Two twin pregnancies with a total of 3 DS affected foetuses were also detected; one twin pregnancy of a DS foetus was screen-negative. The one case of spina bifida was screen-positive. The proportion of women eligible for invasive prenatal diagnosis because of maternal age increased from 9% to 25% in the course of the study. Of 1118 women aged > or = 36 years 913 (82%) declined invasive investigation compared with 40% in the general population. CONCLUSION: The results of the maternal serum screening program in Utrecht were comparable with other studies. Maternal serum screening is accepted as an alternative by women above 36 years, and allows to decrease the need for amniocentesis without a significant loss in detection rate.     

Amniotic fluid alpha-fetoprotein levels during midtrimester of trisomy pregnancies

To investigate the association between low amniotic fluid alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and trisomy pregnancies, we retrospectively reviewed 26 trisomy pregnancies including 18 fetuses with Down's syndrome and eight with trisomy 18. The amniotic fluid AFP median values of Down's syndrome, trisomy 18, and the study groups were 0.73 MoM, 1.15 MoM, and 0.85 MoM, respectively. There was a significant difference between the mean values of the Down's syndrome-affected fetuses (0.78 +/- 0.29 MoM) and that of the control group (p < 0.001), whereas no such difference was found for that of trisomy 18-affected fetuses (1.16 +/- 0.38 MoM). Only three patients in the study group (3/26, 11.5%) had an amniotic fluid AFP value below 0.5 MoM, including the two cases of Down's syndrome (2/18, 11.1%) and one case of trisomy 18 (1/8, 12.5%). Most of the values for the trisomy pregnancies were within the normal range, thereby precluding the possibility of using this measurement as an alternative to fetal karyotyping as a screening test for Down's syndrome or other trisomy pregnancies.     

First trimester screening for Down's syndrome using maternal serum PAPP-A and free beta-hCG in combination with fetal nuchal translucency thickness

The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential effectiveness of maternal serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) and free beta-hCG in combination with nuchal translucency thickness in first trimester screening for Down's syndrome. Maternal serum levels of PAPP-A and free beta-hCG were assayed in stored sera from 32 Down's syndrome and 200 unaffected pregnancies. Fetal nuchal translucency was measured by ultrasound at the time of blood sampling. Screening of Down's syndrome using a combination of maternal age, PAPP-A, free beta-hCG and nuchal translucency would achieve a detection rate of 75.8% for a false positive rate of 5%.     

The value of screening for Down's syndrome in a socioeconomically deprived area with a high ethnic population

OBJECTIVE: To assess the utility of biochemical antenatal screening for Down's syndrome in a socioeconomically deprived area with a high proportion of Asian women from the Indian Subcontinent. DESIGN: Audit of Down's syndrome biochemical screening service over a four-year period. SETTING: Teaching hospital and community antenatal clinic in inner city Birmingham. POPULATION: Women booked between October 1992 and December 1996. METHODS: Blood for screening was collected between 14 and 21 weeks gestation, alpha-fetoprotein and intact human chorionic gonadotrophin were measured in serum and the risk of Down's syndrome was calculated. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Uptakes of screening and amniocentesis, screen positive rate, odds of being affected given a positive result, miscarriages associated with amniocentesis offered following a high risk result, detection rate, number of Down's cases prevented and a cost analysis. Outcome measures were compared between Asians and Caucasians. RESULTS: Overall 11,974 women (71%) accepted serum screening. The screen positive rate was 8.3% in Asians and 5.0% in Caucasians. The uptake of amniocentesis in women following a high risk result was 54% overall (35% Asian, 67% Caucasian). Nineteen cases of Down's syndrome were identified, of which 13 occurred in women who opted for biochemical screening. The detection rate of the biochemical screening programme was 85% (11/13). Of these 11 cases, six (none of whom were Asian) elected to have an amniocentesis, of whom four thereafter had a termination. CONCLUSION: In this study the public health benefits of screening for Down's syndrome in a socioeconomically deprived area with a high Asian population, were small.     

Antenatal diagnosis of congenital heart disease and Down's syndrome: the potential effect on the practice of paediatric cardiology

OBJECTIVE: To predict the effect of antenatal ultrasound screening for congenital heart disease and maternal serum screening of Down's syndrome on the practice of paediatric cardiology and paediatric cardiac surgery. DESIGN: A retrospective and prospective ascertainment of all congenital heart disease diagnosed in infancy in 1985-1991. SETTING: One English health region. PATIENTS: All congenital heart disease diagnosed in infancy by echocardiography, cardiac catheterisation, surgery, or necropsy was classified as "complex", "significant", or "minor" and as "detectable" or "not detectable" on a routine antenatal ultrasound scan. RESULTS: 1347 infants had congenital heart disease which was "complex" in 13%, "significant" in 55%, and "minor" in 32%. 15% of cases were "detectable" on routine antenatal ultrasound. Assuming 20% detection and termination of 67% of affected pregnancies, liveborn congenital heart disease would be reduced by 2%, infant mortality from congenital heart disease by 5%, and paediatric cardiac surgical activity by 3%. Maternal screening for Down's syndrome, assuming 75% uptake, 60% detection, and termination of all affected pregnancies, would reduce liveborn cases of Down's syndrome by 45%, liveborn cases of congenital heart disease by 3.5%, and cardiac surgery by 2.6%. CONCLUSIONS: Screening for congenital heart disease using the four chamber view in routine obstetric examinations and maternal serum screening for Down's syndrome is likely to have only a small effect on the requirements for paediatric cardiology services and paediatric cardiac surgery.