Variable sampling interval exponentially weighted moving average median chart with estimated process parameters

The variable sampling interval exponentially weighted moving average median chart with estimated process parameters is proposed. The charting statistic, optimal design, performance evaluation, and implementation of the proposed chart are discussed. The average of the average time to signal (AATS) criterion is adopted to evaluate the performance of the proposed chart. The estimated process parameter‐based VSI EWMA median (VSI EWMA median‐e) chart is compared with the estimated process parameter‐based Shewhart median (SH median‐e), EWMA median (EWMA median‐e), and variable sampling interval run sum median (VSI RS median‐e) charts, in terms of the AATS criterion, where the VSI EWMA median‐e chart is shown to be superior. When process parameters are estimated, the standard deviation of the average time to signal (SDATS) criterion is used to evaluate the AATS performance of the VSI EWMA median‐e chart. Based on the SDATS criterion, the minimum number of phase‐I samples required by the VSI EWMA median‐e chart so that its performance is close to the known process parameters VSI EWMA median chart is recommended.     

Adaptive multivariate double sampling and variable sampling interval Hotelling's T2 charts

In this article, two adaptive multivariate charts, which combine the double sampling (DS) and variable sampling interval (VSI) features, called the adaptive multivariate double sampling variable sampling interval T² (AMDSVSI T²) and the adaptive multivariate double sampling variable sampling interval combined T² (AMDSVSIC T²) charts, are proposed. The real purpose of using the proposed charts is to provide flexibility by enabling the sampling interval length of the DS T² chart to be varied so that the chart's sensitivity can be enhanced. The fundamental difference between the two proposed charts is that when a second sample is taken, the AMDSVSI T² chart uses the information of the combined sample mean vectors while the AMDSVSIC T² chart uses the information of the combined T² statistics, in deciding about the process status. This research is motivated by existing combined DS and VSI charts in the literature, which show convincing performance improvement over the standard DS chart. Consequently, it is believed that adopting this existing approach in the multivariate case will enable superior multivariate DS charts to be proposed. Numerical results show that the proposed charts outperform the existing standard T² and other adaptive multivariate charts, in detecting shifts in the mean vector, for the zero‐state and steady‐state cases. The performances of both charts when the shift sizes in the mean vector are unknown are also measured. The application of the AMDSVSI T² chart is illustrated with an example.     

Model‐based Multivariate Monitoring Charts for Autocorrelated Processes

Autocorrelation or nonstationarity may seriously impact the performance of conventional Hotelling's T² charts. We suggest modeling processes with multivariate autoregressive integrated moving average time series models and propose two model‐based monitoring charts. One monitors the predicted value and provides information about the need for mean adjustments. The other is a Hotelling's T² control chart applied to the residuals. The average run length performance of the residual‐based Hotelling's T² chart is compared with the observed data‐based Hotelling's T² chart for a group of first‐order vector autoregressive models. We show that the new chart in most cases performs well. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Variable sampling interval hotelling's T2 charts with runs rules for switching between sampling interval lengths

The use of runs rules is proposed for switching between the sampling interval lengths of variable sampling interval Hotelling's T² charts. The purpose of applying these rules is to reduce the frequency of the switches which causes inconvenience in the administration of the charts. The expressions for the performance measures for the charts with these rules are derived. The effects of different runs rules on the performances are evaluated through numerical comparisons. The runs rules substantially reduce the frequency of switches during the in‐control period and during the out‐of‐control periods due to the small to moderate shifts in the process mean vector. They also fairly improve the statistical performances of the charts in detecting the small shifts and do not affect that in detecting the large shifts. However, some runs rules slightly worsen the statistical performances in detecting the moderate shifts. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An improved variable sample size and sampling interval S control chart

The standard deviation chart (S chart) is used to monitor process variability. This paper proposes an upper‐sided improved variable sample size and sampling interval (VSSI_t) S chart by improving the existing upper‐sided variable sample size and sampling interval (VSSI) S chart through the inclusion of an additional sampling interval. The optimal designs of the VSSI_t S chart together with the competing charts under consideration, such as the VSSI S and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) S charts, by minimizing the out‐of‐control average time to signal (ATS₁) and expected average time to signal (EATS₁) criteria, are performed using the MATLAB programs. The performances of the standard S, VSSI S, EWMA S, and VSSI_t S charts are compared, in terms of the ATS₁ and EATS₁ criteria, where the results show that the VSSI_t S chart surpasses the other charts in detecting moderate and large shifts, while the EWMA S is the best performing chart in detecting small shifts. An illustrative example is given to explain the implementation of the VSSI_t S chart.     

Alternative Hotelling's T2 Charts using Winsorized Modified One‐Step M‐estimator

Hotelling's T² chart is a popular tool for monitoring statistical process control. However, this chart is sensitive in the presence of outliers. To alleviate the problem, this paper proposed alternative Hotelling's T² charts for individual observations using robust location and scale matrix instead of the usual mean vector and the covariance matrix, respectively. The usual mean vector in the Hotelling T² chart is replaced by the winsorized modified one‐step M‐estimator (MOM) whereas the usual covariance matrix is replaced by the winsorized covariance matrix. MOM empirically trims the data based on the shape of the data distribution. This study also investigated on the different trimming criteria used in MOM. Two robust scale estimators with highest breakdown point, namely S_n and T_n were selected to suit the criteria. The upper control limits for the proposed robust charts were calculated based on simulated data. The performance of each control chart is based on the false alarm and the probability of outlier's detection. In general, the performance of an alternative robust Hotelling's T² charts is better than the performance of the traditional Hotelling's T² chart. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An adaptive exponentially weighted moving average chart for the mean with variable sampling intervals

The AEWMA control chart is an adaptive EWMA (exponentially weighted moving average) type chart that combines the Shewhart and the classical EWMA schemes in a smooth way. To improve the detection performance of the FSI (fixed sampling interval) AEWMA control chart 7 in terms of the ATS(average time to signal), this paper proposes a new VSI (variable sampling interval) AEWMA control chart. A Markov chain approach is used to calculate the ATS values of the new VSI AEWMA control chart, and comparative results show that the proposed control chart performs better than the standard FSI AEWMA control chart and than other VSI control charts over a wide range of shifts.     

A comparative study of phase II robust multivariate control charts for individual observations

Use of Hotelling's T² charts with high breakdown robust estimates to monitor multivariate individual observations are the recent trend in the control chart methodology. Vargas (J. Qual. Tech. 2003; 35: 367‐376) introduced Hotelling's T² charts based on the minimum volume ellipsoid (MVE) and the minimum covariance determinant (MCD) estimates to identify outliers in Phase I data. Studies carried out by Jensen et al. (Qual. Rel. Eng. Int. 2007; 23: 615‐629) indicated that the performance of these charts heavily depends on the sample size, amount of outliers and the dimensionality of the Phase I data. Chenouri et al. (J. Qual. Tech. 2009; 41: 259‐271) recently proposed robust Hotelling's T² control charts for monitoring Phase II data based on the reweighted MCD (RMCD) estimates of the mean vector and covariance matrix from Phase I. They showed that Phase II RMCD charts have better performance compared with Phase II standard Hotelling's T² charts based on outlier free Phase I data, where the outlier free Phase I data were obtained by applying MCD and MVE T² charts to historical data. Reweighted MVE (RMVE) and S‐estimators are two competitors of the RMCD estimators and it is a natural question whether the performance of Phase II Hotelling's T² charts with RMCD and RMVE estimates exhibits similar pattern observed by Jensen et al. (Qual. Rel. Eng. Int. 2007; 23: 615‐629) in the case of MCD and MVE‐based Phase I Hotelling's T² charts. In this paper, we conduct a comparative study to assess the performance of Hotelling's T² charts with RMCD, RMVE and S‐estimators using large number of Monte Carlo simulations by considering different data scenarios. Our results are generally in favor of the RMCD‐based charts irrespective of sample size, outliers and dimensionality of Phase I data. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Optimal designs of the multivariate synthetic chart for monitoring the process mean vector based on median run length

The average run length (ARL) is usually used as a sole measure of performance of a multivariate control chart. The Hotelling's T², multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) and multivariate cumulative sum (MCUSUM) charts are commonly optimally designed based on the ARL. Similar to the case of univariate quality control, in multivariate quality control, the shape of the run length distribution changes in accordance to the magnitude of the shift in the mean vector, from highly skewed when the process is in‐control to nearly symmetric for large shifts. Because the shape of the run length distribution changes with the magnitude of the shift in the mean vector, the median run length (MRL) provides additional and more meaningful information about the in‐control and out‐of‐control performances of multivariate charts, not given by the ARL. This paper provides a procedure for optimal designs of the multivariate synthetic T² chart for the process mean, based on MRL, for both the zero and steady‐state modes. Two Mathematica programs, each for the zero state and steady‐state modes are given for a quick computation of the optimal parameters of the synthetic T² chart, designed based on MRL. These optimal parameters are provided in the paper, for the bivariate case with sample sizes, nin{4, 7, 10}. The MRL performances of the synthetic T², MEWMA and Hotelling's T² charts are also compared. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Economic statistical design of a T2 control chart with double warning lines

Recent studies have shown that enhancing the common T² control chart by using variable sample sizes (VSS) and variable sample intervals (VSI) sampling policies with a double warning line scheme (DWL) yields improvements in shift detection times over either pure VSI or VSS schemes in detecting almost all shifts in the process mean. In this paper, we look at this problem from an economical perspective, certainly at least as an important criterion as shift detection time if one considers what occurs in the industry today. Our method is to first construct a cost model to find the economic statistical design (ESD) of the DWL T² control chart using the general model of Lorenzen and Vance (Technometrics 1986; 28 :3–11). Subsequently, we find the values of the chart parameters which minimize the cost model using a genetic algorithm optimization method. Cost comparisons of Fixed ratio sampling, VSI, VSS, VSIVSS with DWL, and multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) charts are made, which indicate the economic efficacy of using either VSIVSS with DWL or MEWMA charts in practice if cost minimization is of interest to the control chart user. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A proposed variable parameter control chart for monitoring the multivariate coefficient of variation

An efficient process monitoring system is important for achieving sustainable manufacturing. The control charting technique is one of the most effective techniques to monitor process quality. In certain processes where the process mean and variance are not independent of one another, the coefficient of variation (CV), which measures the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean, should be monitored. In line with industrial settings, where at least two or more variables are monitored simultaneously in most processes, this paper proposes a variable parameter (VP) chart to monitor the multivariate CV (MCV). Formulae and algorithms to optimize the various performance measures are discussed. The proposed VP MCV chart is designed based on a Markov chain approach. The performance comparison shows that the proposed VP MCV chart prevails over the existing MCV charts, in terms of the average time to signal (ATS), standard deviation of the time of signal (SDTS), and expected average time to signal (EATS) criteria. An example is presented to illustrate the implementation of the proposed VP MCV chart.     

Monitoring the coefficient of variation using a variable parameters chart

This article is the first of its kind which proposes a Variable Parameters (VP) chart to monitor the coefficient of variation (CV). Formulae for various performance measures and the algorithms to optimize these performance measures are proposed. The VP CV chart consistently outperforms the five alternative CV charts in the literature, for all shift sizes. Compared to the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) CV² chart, the VP CV chart outperforms it for moderate and large shift sizes, while for small shift sizes, the EWMA CV² chart outperforms the VP CV chart. Subsequently, the VP CV chart is implemented on an industrial example.     

A comparative study of the CRL‐type control charts

The CRL (Conforming Run Length) type control charts have attracted increasing interest recently for attribute Statistical Process Control (SPC). The two most promising charts of this type are identified as the CRL‐CUSUM chart and the SCRL (Sum of CRLs) chart. This article compares the operating characteristics of these two charts in a comprehensive manner. The general findings reveal that the CRL‐CUSUM chart excels the SCRL chart in detecting downward (decreasing) fraction nonconforming (p) shifts and large‐scale upward (increasing) p shifts. However, the SCRL chart is superior to the CRL‐CUSUM chart in detecting the small and moderate scale upward p shifts, especially when the normal p value is small. The information acquired in this study will provide Quality Assurance (QA) engineers with useful guidance for selecting and applying the CRL‐type control charts. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Monitoring the Coefficient of Variation Using a Variable Sampling Interval Control Chart

The coefficient of variation (CV) is a quality characteristic that has several applications in applied statistics and is receiving increasing attention in quality control. Few papers have proposed control charts that monitor this normalized measure of dispersion. In this paper, an adaptive Shewhart control chart implementing a variable sampling interval (VSI) strategy is proposed to monitor the CV. Tables are provided for the statistical properties of the VSI CV chart, and a comparison is performed with a Fixed Sampling Rate Shewhart chart for the CV. An example illustrates the use of these charts on real data gathered from a casting process. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A robust alternative to Hotelling's T2 control chart using trimmed estimators

A control chart is one of the primary techniques used in statistical process control. In phase I, historical observations are analysed in order to construct a control chart with which to determine whether the process has been in control over the period of time in which the data were collected. The presence of multiple outliers may go undetected by the usual control charts, such as Hotelling's T² due to the masking effect. In this paper we propose a robust alternative to Hotelling's T² control chart with estimators defined using trimming. Simulation studies show that the proposed control chart is more effective than T² in detecting outliers. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Hotelling's T2 control charts with fixed and variable sample sizes for monitoring short production runs

Short production runs are common in enterprises that require a high degree of flexibility and variety in manufacturing processes. To date, past research on short production runs has little focus on the multivariate control charts. In view of this, fixed sample size (FSS) and variable sample size (VSS) Hotelling's T² charts are designed to monitor the process mean when the production horizon is finite. Optimal parameters to minimize the out‐of‐control (1) truncated average run length (TARL) and (2) expected TARL (ETARL) are provided such that the in‐control TARL is equal to the number of inspections (say I). The numerical study considers the run length performances of the FSS and VSS T² short‐run charts for both known and unknown shift sizes. The VSS T² short‐run chart performs well in swiftly detecting various mean shifts in comparison with the FSS T² short‐run chart. Additionally, the VSS T² short‐run chart is superior to the FSS T² short‐run chart, in terms of the truncated standard deviation of the run length, expected truncated standard deviation of the run length, probability that the chart signals an alarm within the I inspections, ie, P(I) and expected P(I). A case study on the impurity profile of a crystalline drug substance illustrates the implementation of the VSS T² short‐run chart.     

A Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart

A multivariate extension of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart is presented, and guidelines given for designing this easy-to-implement multivariate procedure. A comparison shows that the average run length (ARL) performance of this chart is similar to that of multivariate cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts in detecting a shift in the mean vector of a multivariate normal distribution. As with the Hotelling's χ² and multivariate CUSUM charts, the ARL performance of the multivariate EWMA chart depends on the underlying mean vector and covariance matrix only through the value of the noncentrality parameter. Worst-case scenarios show that Hotelling's χ² charts should always be used in conjunction with multivariate CUSUM and EWMA charts to avoid potential inertia problems. Examples are given to illustrate the use of the proposed procedure.     

Hotelling's T2 control chart with adaptive sample sizes

Some quality control schemes have been developed when several related quality characteristics are to be monitored: simultaneous X¯ charts, Hotelling's T² chart, multivariate CUSUM and multivariate EWMA. Hotelling's T² control chart has the advantage of its simplicity but it is slow in detecting small process shifts. The latest developments in variable sample sizes for univariate control charts are applied in this paper to define an adaptive sample sizes T² control chart. As occurs in the univariate case the ARL improvements are very important particularly for small process shifts. An example is given to illustrate the use of the proposed scheme.     

Design of Gamma Charts Based on Average Time to Signal

Gamma charts for time between events are very useful in the high‐quality processes, which monitor the time until the rth event. The average time to signal (ATS) is adopted to evaluate the performance of Gamma charts, because it reflects both the number and the sampling interval of samples inspected until an out‐of‐control signal occurs. An ATS‐unbiased design for Gamma charts with known parameters is proposed based on the hypothesis test of the scale parameter. For the phase I monitoring, a new ATS‐unbiased design with unknown parameters is developed, and a sequential sampling scheme is adopted to start process monitoring as soon as possible. Some specific guidelines to stop updating the control limits are suggested from the convergence of the width between control limits with different phase I sample sizes. Finally, a real example is illustrated to demonstrate the implementation of the proposed approach. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

CCC‐r charts' performance with estimated parameter for high‐quality process

CCC‐r charts are effective in detecting process shifts in the nonconforming rate especially for a high‐quality process. The implementation of the CCC‐r charts is usually under the assumption that the in‐control nonconforming rate is known. However, the nonconforming rate is never known, and accurate estimation is difficult. We investigate the effect of estimation error on the CCC‐r charts' performances through the expected value of the average number of observations to signal (EANOS) as well as the standard deviation of the average number of observations to signal (SDANOS). By comparing the in‐control performance of the CCC‐r charts, the CCC‐r chart with a larger value of r is more susceptible to the effects of parameter estimation. Meanwhile, the performance of the CCC‐r charts can converge when detecting upward shifts in p of out‐of‐control processes. We recommend the use of the CCC‐4 chart when considering its effectiveness in detecting shifts as well as its easier construction in practice. Furthermore, it is investigated that the CCC‐4 chart is less sensitive to parameter estimation while being more effective in detecting different process shifts when compared with Geometric CUSUM chart and synthetic chart.