Bayesian Nonparametric Joint Mixture Model for Clustering Spatially Correlated Time Series

Abstract

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric joint mixture model for clustering spatially correlated time series based on both spatial and temporal similarities. In the temporal perspective, the pattern of a time series is flexibly modeled as a mixture of Gaussian processes, with a Dirichlet process (DP) prior over mixture components. In the spatial perspective, the spatial location is incorporated as a feature for clustering, like a time series being incorporated as a feature. Namely, we model the spatial distribution of each cluster as a DP Gaussian mixture density. For the proposed model, the number of clusters does not need to be specified in advance, but rather is automatically determined during the clustering procedure. Moreover, the spatial distribution of each cluster can be flexibly modeled with multiple modes, without determining the number of modes or specifying spatial neighborhood structures in advance. Variational inference is employed for the efficient posterior computation of the proposed model. We validate the proposed model using simulated and real-data examples. Supplementary materials for the article are available online.     

水工隧洞渗漏与衬砌结构性病害分析与治理

在已建成运行的水工隧洞中,其病害主要为渗漏水、衬砌裂损与洞径收敛变形,结合多年的工作经验,在对主要病害成因进行分析的基础上,着重介绍了治理技术及新型材料.     

农民集中居住村环境问题调查——对安徽省当涂县湖阳乡开展村庄环境整治的建议

笔者系南京林业大学森林与环境学院的大三学生,“五一”节期间,到其父辈的家乡──安徽省当涂县湖阳乡大邢村就农村环境问题进行了调查。总体的感觉是,中央作出建设社会主义新农村建设的重大决策以后,省市县乡各级的有关部署正在农村得到实施,特别是农民合作医疗保险、农村特困家庭生活保障等制度已经建立,村村通水泥路、村村通自来水、村村通有线电视等工程已经落实,农民非常高兴。但村容整洁似乎做得不够,农民生活的环境需要加快改善,笔者的调研情况如下。一、大邢村人居环境存在的主要问题大邢村与所在的湖阳乡地处当涂县东南部,东临石臼…     

Role of phosphorus in eutrophication and diffuse source control

Many lakes and some streams and estuaries are showing signs of excessive fertilization due to the input of aquatic plant nutrients from man-associated sources. The key element often found limiting aquatic plant populations is phosphorus. The attempt to control phosphorus input to natural waters as the overall approach for controlling excessive fertilization is technically sound and economically feasible for many natural waters. However, a much better understanding of the relationship between the phosphorus input to a lake and the excessive growths of aquatic plants within the lake must be developed. This development will require a combined biological and chemical approach toward assessing the role of phosphorus in eutrophication for a specific water body. The biological approach will use tissue content, enzymatic and kinetic uptake analysis of phosphorus limitations as well as bioassays of phosphorus availability in order to determine the limiting nutrient for a body of water. The chemical aaproach will utilize amounts of each of the forms of phosphorus present in the lake and the rates of interchange of phosphorus between these various forms.There will be some waters where control of phosphorus from treatment of domestic waste water input and removal of phosphorus from detergents will not result in significant improvement in water quality. This is because these waters derive their phosphorus from diffuse sources, such as urban and rural stormwater drainage, the atmosphere, and ground waters. In these instances, it may be necessary to initiate in-lake control of phosphorus by the addition of alum or iron salts.     

几种不同地基沉降量计算方法的分析

介绍了几种常用的地基沉降量的计算方法，讨论了各种方法的适用情况，对各种方法存在的问题进行了综合分析并加以改进，以便在实际工程中更准确地计算地基的最终沉降量。     

A Microcomputer Model for Flood Prediction with Applications

Abstract: A generally applicable mathematical model, tailored for use on a Personal Computer, as the design tool to simulate unsteady flood flow in a network of interconnected rivers has been developed and applied to the Sham Chun River along the border between Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The effect on the improved Sham Chun River due to the proposed river training in the River Indus, one of its tributaries, is evaluated. The one-dimensional unsteady flow model itself is broadly applicable to a wide range of hydrologic conditions and varying field situations. It incorporates real hydraulic features including branched channels and 'tidal flats' flooding and drying. The time history of water stages and discharges are computed at any desired location throughout the connected essentially one-dimensional channel network subject to initial and boundary conditions. Details are given of techniques adapted in using the computational scheme to quantify the unsteady flow condition and the means to assure an efficient numerical solution as well as to verify the accuracy of the computed outputs by subjection to carefully selected schematic simplified test cases and real prototype cases with numerical solution method is a useful predictive engineering tool in river design.     

Effect of chlorine content in feeding wastes of incineration on the emission of polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins/dibenzofurans

This study attempts to clarify the effects of chlorine content in waste on the formation mechanisms of polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans (PCDD/Fs) in full scale incinerators by proposing and using the principal component analysis (PCA) to compare the congener profiles of PCDD/Fs in the stack flue gases of 17 emission sources, including incinerators and vehicles. Four incinerators, among these 17 emission sources, were sampled and analyzed in this study, and the data for the other 13 emission sources were selected from previous studies. These 17 emission sources can be classified into four categories, including medical waste incinerators (MWIs, H1-H5), municipal solid waste incinerators (MSWIs, M1-M8), vehicle fuel combustion (unleaded gas-fueled vehicles, UGFV; diesel-fueled vehicles, DFV, n = 2) and polyvinylchloride (PVC) facility vent combustors (PVC1 and PVC2, n = 2). PCA was conducted for these emission sources with the fractions of 17 2,3,7,8-congeners in the stack flue gases as variables to clarify the effect of chlorine content in feeding wastes on the emission of PCDD/Fs. From the results of PCA, we extrapolated that the threshold value of the chlorine content was at 0.8-1.1%, and the formation mechanisms of PCDD/Fs are influenced first by whether the chlorine content in the feeding waste is over or below the threshold value then by other factors, which furnaces or APCDs represent. When the chlorine level in the waste is below the threshold value at 0.8-1.1%, the formation of PCDDs dominates, probably because the chlorine is used to chlorinate the non-substituted phenol to produce chlorophenols, which are important precursors for PCDDs. rather than chlorinate the dibenzofuran. While the chlorine level in the waste exceeds this threshold (0.8-1.1%), the rates of formation of PCDFs increase faster than those of PCDDs, probably because the chlorine content in the waste contributes to the deterioration of combustion conditions, and many products of incomplete combustion (PICs) like PAHs, will grow to a substantial level. When PCDD/Fs are formed from PAHs, the formation rates of PCDFs are higher than those of PCDDs.     

我国最大的悬臂结构机库设计与竖向地震力的试验研究

阐明如何在学习国外先进经验基础上,结合我国国情,设计出这个中国最大也是亚洲最大的悬臂结构机库。在许多关键性技术上,做出了较好的尝试。实践证明,完全可靠,为今后设计同类结构提供了宝贵经验,尤其是对长悬臂结构竖向地震力,做了较系统的试验研究,提出了一批有价值的科学数据。这对今后悬臂结构竖向地震力的计算和规范修订都有参考依据。     

On the shear strength of reinforced concrete deep beam with web opening

An objective of this study is to establish the shear strength of reinforced concrete deep beam with web opening. Eighteen beams were tested with the variables of the steel ratio and strength of longitudinal bars, concrete strength, and shear span‐to‐depth ratio. It was observed that the opening is strengthened by longitudinal bars but the load‐carrying capacity of deep beams with openings can be largely improved by the increase in concrete strength. Modifying the softened truss model derived by Mau and Hsu and utilizing the results of this experiment carried out with the variables of concrete strength, cross‐section size, shear‐span‐to‐depth ratio, and the strength and steel ratio of longitudinal bars, this study proposes an improved model to predict the shear strength. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

刘志峰:大力发展中小套型住宅构建和谐社会

“使90平方米以下的中小套型住宅成为社会主导产品,有利于促进住宅与房地产业的可持续发展,推动建立资源节约型和环境友好型社会。”这是建设部副部长刘志峰在2006年12月16日“中小套型竞赛”颁奖典礼上做此番表述的。据刘志峰透露,建设部目前正在组织编制“90平方米以下中小套