国际油价下行:基于经济学模型的诠释

自2014年6月中旬以来,国际油价开始步入下行通道,油价一路暴跌,引发了国际媒体的极大关注。运用经济学理论及经济模型,诠释国际油价下跌的原因及趋势。     

Novel predictive model for metallic structure corrosion status in presence of stray current in DC mass transit systems简

The novel method to analyze metallic structure corrosion status was proposed in the presence of stray current in DC mass transit systems. Firstly, the characteristic parameter and the influence parameters for the corrosion status were determined. Secondly, an experimental system was established for simulating the corrosion process within the stray current interference. Then, a predictive model for the corrosion status was built, using a support vector machine （SVM） method and experimental data. The data were divided into two sets, including training set and testing set. The training set was used to generate the SVM model and the testing set was used to evaluate the predictive performance of the SVM model. The results show that the relationship between the characteristic parameter and the influence parameters is nonlinear and the SVM model is suitable for predicting the corrosion status.     

创新农村社会治理的有益探索——来自新乡县张青村坚持推行“村民代表提案制”的调研

“村民代表提案制”是新乡县张青村农村社会治理的制度创新,党员干部素质和村民素质提升制度是其配套制度。该制度理顺了农村党组织、村民代表会议、村委会的职权关系,能及时发现、解决群众生产生活中的矛盾与难题,最大限度地实现了社会和谐。这种做法启示意义在于既突出主体制度,又注重配套制度,处理好了“民主、民生、民心”三者的关系,而且简便易行,可操作性强。     

贺兰山东麓两次大暴雨天气过程对比分析

利用NCEP再分析资料和常规观测资料,对2006年7月13日和2012年7月29日2次发生在贺兰山东麓的大暴雨天气过程进行天气学分析,并对物理量场进行诊断分析,得出造成宁夏暴雨的主要影响系统有副热带高压、青藏高压、西风槽、西风急流.其中,副热带高压为暴雨提供充沛的水汽与能量,青藏高压提供了高空辐散场的维持机制和次级垂直环流的加强作用;700 hPa相对湿度≥80%为宁夏暴雨出现的必要条件,而相对湿度≥90%是大暴雨出现的必要条件;当暴雨发生时,暴雨区上空存在低空辐合高空辐散的垂直结构和次级环流;抬升指数LI均对强降水的预报有较好的指示意义.     

区块链在分布式电力交易中的研究领域及现状分析

国家发改委、能源局陆续指出:要全面放开经营性电联用户发电计划,支持中小用户参与市场化交易,健全全面放开经营性发电计划后的价格形成机制。行政引导市场,市场发展技术,基于区块链技术的电力交易研究迎来了前所未有的行政和市场机遇。区块链以分布、公开、不可篡的区域共治模式,为社会和市场提出了一套全新的商业解决方案。该文依托区块链技术,探讨了基于分布式交易的电力交易市场、产消者以及相关服务产业的需求和行业现状,分析了区块链电力交易的发展趋势;归纳了电力交易领域区块链追求创新实验的主要方向,研究了电力交易区块链的总体架构设计创新、电力交易场景应用创新和区块链性能提升研究创新等内容;最后通过文献综述和百余个区块链电力交易系统实施案例,梳理了区块链技术在电力交易行业面临的挑战与应用前景。以期通过该文综述对分布式电力交易领域的未来研究有一定贡献。     

国内首条非开挖钻杆加厚生产线

非开挖钻杆加厚生产线是以生产非开挖加厚钻杆为主要产品的成套设备.本文分析了一种典型的非开挖钻杆的加厚工艺,提出了生产线的研制方式,介绍了其组成设备的结构和功能,并且充分考虑到了对短管加厚的需要,成功建造了国内首条非开挖钻杆加厚生产线.     

石油钻杆管端加厚工艺研究

简要介绍了石油钻杆管端加厚工艺基本原理、加厚方式 ,提出了加厚工艺方案及工艺规程设计、分别计算出在专用液压机和机械平锻机上的成形力     

蒸汽轮机自带冠静叶隔板瞬时焊接变形研究

在实际生产中发展蒸汽轮机的自带冠静叶隔板焊接后节圆径向变形过大，严重影响了静叶隔板通流尺寸的精度。深入研究自带冠静叶隔板的焊接变形对于提高整个机组的效率具有重要的意义。本研究针对蒸汽轮机自带冠静叶隔板生产过程中产生的焊接变形过大问题，通过对蒸汽轮机自带冠静叶隔板进行现场跟踪监测，获得了实际生产中的瞬时焊接变形数据，根据监测数据对自带冠静叶隔板的节圆直径变形、半径变形、节圆收缩率和倾斜变形进行了全面分析，提出了优化和减小焊接变形的设计及工艺措施。     

Effect of temperature on vacuum hot bulge forming of BT20 titanium alloy cylindrical workpiece

Temperature is one of the key parameters for BT20 titanium alloy cylindrical workpiece manufactured by vacuum hot bulge forming. A two-dimensional nonlinear thermo-mechanical coupled FE model was established. Numerical simulation of vacuum hot bulge forming process of titanium alloy cylindrical workpiece was carried out using FE analysis software MSC Marc. The effects of temperature on vacuum hot bulge forming of BT20 titanium alloy cylindrical workpiece were analyzed by numerical simulation. The simulated results show that the Y-direction displacement and the equivalent plastic strain of the workpiece increase with increasing bulge temperature. The residual stress decreases with increasing bulge temperature. The optimal temperature range of BT20 titanium alloy during vacuum hot bulge forming is 750-850 ℃. The corresponding experiments were carried out. The simulated results agreed well with the experimental results.     

Effect of Y content on microstructure and mechanical properties of 2519 aluminum alloy

The effects of yttrium（Y） content on precipitation hardening, elevated temperature mechanical properties and morphologies of 2519 aluminum alloy were investigated by means of microhardness test, tensile test, optical microscopy（OM）, transmission electron microscopy（TEM） and scanning electron microscopy（SEM）. The results show that the tensile strength increases from 485 MPa to 490 MPa by increasing Y content from 0 to 0.10%（mass fraction） at room temperature, and from 155 MPa to 205 MPa by increasing Y content from 0 to 0.20% at 300 ~C. The high strength of 2519 aluminum alloy is attributed to the high density of fine 0＇ precipitates and intermetallic compound AICuY with high thermal stability. Addition of Y above 0.20% in 2519 aluminum alloy may induce the decrease in the tensile strength both at room temperature （20 ℃） and 300℃.