Dealing with uncertainties in water management is an important issue and is one which will only increase in light of global changes, particularly climate change. So far, uncertainties in water management have mostly been assessed from a scientific point of view, and in quantitative terms. In this paper, we focus on the perspectives from water management practice, adopting a qualitative approach. We consider it important to know how uncertainties are framed in water management practice in order to develop practice relevant strategies for dealing with uncertainties. Framing refers to how people make sense of the world. With the aim of identifying what are important parameters for the framing of uncertainties in water management practice, in this paper we analyze uncertainty situations described by decision-makers in water management. The analysis builds on a series of “Uncertainty Dialogues” carried out within the NeWater project with water managers in the Rhine, Elbe and Guadiana basins in 2006. During these dialogues, representatives of these river basins were asked what uncertainties they encountered in their professional work life and how they confronted them. Analysing these dialogues we identified several important parameters of how uncertainties get framed. Our assumption is that making framing of uncertainty explicit for water managers will allow for better dealing with the respective uncertainty situations. 相似文献
The role of superconducting film contacts when transporting critical current density was investigated using d.c. and electric short pulses. It was found that both d.c. and pulse current exceeding critical current Icdissipate at the film contacts, i.e. at the metal/superconductor planar interface containing an intermediate layer of degraded superconductor. Current I > Icdissipation at the contacts initiates electric-thermal destruction of the superconducting film cathode. The resulting damage to the film is explained in terms of the formation of a (p/i/n) junction at the normal-metal(n)/mixed-state super-conductor(p) interface containing (i) layer of low electric conductivity.相似文献
Recent experimental results have shown that adding nanoparticles inside a bulk material can enhance the thermoelectric performance
by reducing the thermal conductivity and increasing the Seebeck coefficient. In this paper we investigate electron scattering
from nanoparticles using different models. We compare the results of the Born approximation to that of the partial-wave method
for a single nanoparticle scattering. The partial-wave method is more accurate for particle sizes in the 1 nm to 5 nm range
where the point scattering approximation is not valid. The two methods can have different predictions for the thermoelectric
properties such as the electrical conductivity and the Seebeck coefficient. To include a random distribution of nanoparticles,
we consider an effective medium for the electron scattering using the coherent potential approximation. We compare various
theoretical results with the experimental data obtained with ErAs nanoparticles in an InGaAlAs matrix. Reasonably good agreement
is found between the measured and theoretical electrical conductivity and Seebeck data in the 300 K to 850 K temperature range. 相似文献
Bayesian change-point detection, with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation of high-dimensional time-series with heterogeneous statistical nature. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer a discrete representation via subsets of latent variables. For this particular model, full inference is computationally unfeasible and pseudo-observations based on point-estimates of latent variables are used instead. However, if their estimation is not certain enough, change-point detection gets affected. To circumvent this problem, we propose a multinomial sampling methodology that improves the detection rate and reduces the delay while keeping complexity stable and inference analytically tractable. Our experiments show results that outperform the baseline method and we also provide an example oriented to a human behavioral study.
The effect of modified-atmosphere packaging (MAP) on the amount of soluble phenolics in, and the visual appearance of, white,
green and red tissues of minimally processed “Lollo Rosso” lettuce were evaluated. Minimal processing induced a two-fold increase
in the amount of soluble phenylpropanoids in the midribs during storage in air at 5°C. When the lettuce was stored in the
presence of 2–3% O2 and 12–14% CO2, this increase was not induced and no browning was observed. A particularly marked decrease in the amount of phenylpropanoids
was observed in MAP-stored green and red tissues. The concentrations of flavonoids and anthocyanins did not change much in
midribs and green tissues, while they were significantly degraded in red tissues under MAP conditions. MAP storage proved
useful in the prevention of browning, the main cause of quality loss in minimally processed “Lollo Rosso” lettuce. However,
MAP storage was not so beneficial for the preservation of the quality of red tissues and, in fact, their overall visual quality,
texture, aroma and macroscopic breakdown under MAP conditions were worse than those of air-stored tissues.
Received: 5 November 1997 相似文献