An interpretation of probability in the law of evidence based on pro-et-contra argumentation

The purpose of this paper is to improve on the logical and measure-theoretic foundations for the notion of probability in the law of evidence, which were given in my contributions Åqvist [ (1990) Logical analysis of epistemic modality: an explication of the Bolding–Ekelöf degrees of evidential strength. In: Klami HT (ed) Rätt och Sanning (Law and Truth. A symposium on legal proof-theory in Uppsala May 1989). Iustus Förlag, Uppsala, pp 43–54; (1992) Towards a logical theory of legal evidence: semantic analysis of the Bolding–Ekelöf degrees of evidential strength. In: Martino AA (ed) Expert systems in law. Elsevier Science Publishers BV, Amsterdam, North-Holland, pp 67–86]. The present approach agrees with the one adopted in those contributions in taking its main task to be that of providing a semantic analysis, or explication, of the so called Bolding–Ekelöf degrees of evidential strength (“proof-strength”) as applied to the establishment of matters of fact in law-courts. However, it differs from the one advocated in our earlier work on the subject in explicitly appealing to what is known as “Pro-et-Contra Argumentation”, after the famous Norwegian philosopher Arne Naess. It tries to bring out the logical form of that interesting kind of reasoning, at least in the context of the law of evidence. The formal techniques used here will be seen to be largely inspired by the important work done by Patrick Suppes, notably Suppes [(1957) Introduction to logic. van Nostrand, Princeton and (1972) Finite equal-interval measurement structures. Theoria 38:45–63].     

Anchor bolts in concrete structures: summary of round robin tests and analysis arranged by RILEM TC 90-FMA ‘Fracture Mechanics of Concrete-Applications’

Results are presented from a RILEM Round Robin Investigation on tests and analyses of anchor bolts in concrete. About 60 researchers have performed more than 180 tests and 200 analyses in America, Asia, Australia and Europe. The investigation shows that it is possible to reasonably correctly analyse both plane and axi-symmetric anchor bolt problems. However, there are difficulties to overcome and correct boundary conditions are important both in analyses and tests.     

Density Measurements of Single Granules Using the Atomic Force Microscope

The density of single spray-dried granules has been determined with a new method based on atomic force microscopy (AFM). Spherical granules with a well-defined diameter are attached to the AFM cantilever, which acts as a beam-type spring, and the mass of a granule is estimated from the shift in the resonant frequency. The error of the measurements associated with the method was estimated to vary between 1% and 5%, depending on the size and shape of the granule. Density measurements of spray-dried WC–Co granules are presented, and the effect of a polymeric binder and dispersant on the consolidation during drying is discussed.     

Regressor selection with the analysis of variance method

Identification of non-linear dynamical models of a black box nature involves both structure decisions, i.e., which regressors to use, the selection of a regressor function, and the estimation of the parameters involved. The typical approach in system identification seems to be to mix all these steps, which for example means that the selection of regressors is based on the fits that is achieved for different choices. Alternatively one could then interpret the regressor selection as based on hypothesis tests (F-tests) at a certain confidence level that depends on the data. It would in many cases be desirable to decide which regressors to use independently of the other steps.In this paper we investigate what the well-known method of analysis of variance (ANOVA) can offer for this problem. System identification applications violate many of the ideal conditions for which ANOVA was designed and we study how the method performs under such non-ideal conditions.ANOVA is much faster than a typical parametric estimation method, using e.g. neural networks. It is actually also more reliable, in our tests, in picking the correct structure even under non-ideal conditions. One reason for this may be that ANOVA requires the data set to be balanced, that is, all parts of the regressor space are weighted equally. Just applying tests of fit for the recorded data may give, for structure identification, improper weight to areas with many, or few, samples.     

Taking Synthetic Biology to the Seas: From Blue Chassis Organisms to Marine Aquaforming

Oceans cover 71 % of Earth's surface and are home to hundreds of thousands of species, many of which are microbial. Knowledge about marine microbes has strongly increased in the past decades due to global sampling expeditions, and hundreds of detailed studies on marine microbial ecology, physiology, and biogeochemistry. However, the translation of this knowledge into biotechnological applications or synthetic biology approaches using marine microbes has been limited so far. This review highlights key examples of marine bacteria in synthetic biology and metabolic engineering, and outlines possible future work based on the emerging marine chassis organisms Vibrio natriegens and Halomonas bluephagenesis. Furthermore, the valorization of algal polysaccharides by genetically enhanced microbes is presented as an example of the opportunities and challenges associated with blue biotechnology. Finally, new roles for marine synthetic biology in tackling pressing global challenges, including climate change and marine pollution, are discussed.     

Prof. Dr.-Ing. Dr. h. c. Franz Kollmann Zum 65. Geburtstag

Ohne Zusammenfassung     

Bioavailability Studies and in vitro Profiling of the Selective Excitatory Amino Acid Transporter Subtype 1 (EAAT1) Inhibitor UCPH‐102

Although the selective excitatory amino acid transporter subtype 1 (EAAT1) inhibitor UCPH‐101 has become a standard pharmacological tool compound for in vitro and ex vivo studies in the EAAT research field, its inability to penetrate the blood–brain barrier makes it unsuitable for in vivo studies. In the present study, per os (p.o.) administration (40 mg kg^?1) of the closely related analogue UCPH‐102 in rats yielded respective plasma and brain concentrations of 10.5 and 6.67 μm after 1 h. Three analogue series were designed and synthesized to improve the bioavailability profile of UCPH‐102, but none displayed substantially improved properties in this respect. In vitro profiling of UCPH‐102 (10 μm ) at 51 central nervous system targets in radioligand binding assays strongly suggests that the compound is completely selective for EAAT1. Finally, in a rodent locomotor model, p.o. administration of UCPH‐102 (20 mg kg^?1) did not induce acute effects or any visible changes in behavior.     

高效液相色谱法测定枸杞相关食品中枸杞酸和玉米黄质二棕榈酸酯的含量

目的 建立高效液相色谱法分析枸杞原料、提取物和相关配方产品中枸杞酸和玉米黄质二棕榈酸酯的含量。方法 采用Poroshell 120 HILIC柱,以乙腈-磷酸水（90:10, V:V）为流动相进行分离枸杞酸,在紫外检测波长235 nm下进行检测,外标法定量。用Dionex Acclaim C30柱,以甲醇-甲基叔丁基醚为流动相进行梯度分离玉米黄质二棕榈酸酯,在紫外检测波长452 nm下进行检测,外标法定量。结果 枸杞酸的检出限为10 mg/kg,定量限为30 mg/kg;在10～200 mg/L的浓度范围内线性良好,相关系数为0.9999;枸杞原料、提取物和相关配方产品中的加标回收率在84.3%～98.1%之间,相对标准偏差(relative standard deviation, RSD)在1.3%～4.7%之间;精密度的RSD在0.74%～1.2%之间;重复性的RSD分别为1.3%～3.1%之间。玉米黄质二棕榈酸酯的检出限为10 mg/kg,定量限为30 mg/kg;在0.5～10 mg/L的浓度范围内线性良好,相关系数为0.999;枸杞原料、提取物和相关配方产品中的加标回收率在88.6%～98.6%之间,RSD在1.5%～4.5%之间;精密度的RSD在1.2%～2.1%之间;重复性的RSD在2.0%～4.5%之间。结论 本方法操作简便,快速,分离度和准确度高,可用于枸杞原料、提取物和相关配方产品的质量控制。     

超高效液相色谱法测定山楂原料、提取物和相关食品中金丝桃苷和异槲皮苷的含量

目的 建立超高效液相色谱法测定山楂原料、提取物和相关食品中金丝桃苷和异槲皮苷的分析方法。方法 采用ACQUITY UPLC BEH C18柱, 以甲酸乙腈-甲酸水为流动相进行梯度洗脱分离金丝桃苷和异槲皮苷, 在紫外检测波长360 nm下进行检测, 外标法定量。结果 金丝桃苷和异槲皮苷的检出限(limit of detections, LODs, S/N=3)均为2 mg/kg, 定量限(limit of quantifications, LOQs, S/N=10)均为5 mg/kg; 在0.5~10.0 mg/L的浓度范围内线性关系良好, 相关系数均为0.999; 在原料、提取物和相关食品中, 金丝桃苷和异槲皮苷的平均回收率分别为83.0%~108.0%和86.2%~105.0%, 相对标准偏差(relative standard deviations, RSDs)分别为1.6%~5.7%和1.1%~3.9%。结论 本方法操作简便、快速、分离度和准确度高, 可用于山楂原料、提取物和相关食品的质量控制。