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11.
A simple analytical model of the Trombe wall is considered in which all the various parameters affecting the wall performance can be analyzed. Several design criteria for optimizing the wall performance are considered, and comparisons with previous methods are given.  相似文献   
12.
There is widespread application of indicators to the assessment of environmental condition of streams. These indicators are intended for use by managers in making various comparative and absolute assessments and often have a role in resource allocation and performance assessment. Therefore, the problem of formally defining confidence in the results is important but difficult because the sampling strategies used are commonly based on a compromise between the requirements of statistical rigour and the pragmatic issues of access and resources. It is rare to see this compromise explicitly considered and consequently there is seldom quantification of the uncertainty that could affect the confidence a manager has in an indicator. In this paper, we present a method for quantitatively assessing the tradeoffs between sampling density and uncertainty in meeting various monitoring objectives. Assessments using judgement‐based representative reaches are shown to be unreliable; instead a sampling approach is recommended based on the random selection of measuring sites. A detailed dataset was collected along two streams in Victoria, Australia, and the effect of sampling density was assessed by subsampling from this dataset with precision related to the number of sites assessed per reach length and the intensity of the sampling at each site. The sampling scheme to achieve a given precision is shown to depend on the monitoring objective. In particular, three objectives were considered: (1) making a baseline assessment of current condition; (2) change detection; and (3) detection of a critical threshold in condition. Change detection is shown to be more demanding than assessing baseline condition with additional sampling effort required to achieve the same precision. Sampling to detect a critical threshold depends on nominating acceptable values of Type I and II error and the size of the effect to be detected. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
13.
The relative effects of varied interviewee cues on line managers' hiring decisions were examined, as was the relative predictability of various criteria by line managers' interview impressions. Aggregate and individual regression analyses revealed that 3 nursing directors' impressions of 186 nursing applicants shaped their hiring recommendations more than did the applicants' resume credentials. Moreover, managers' interview impressions significantly predicted employees' job attitudes, though predictions of attitudes did not exceed predictions of performance. Finally, individual managers based hiring decisions on different interview impressions, and these impressions forecast employees' job attitudes with differential validity. Implications for future interviewing research are discussed. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)  相似文献   
14.
Analysis of a large number of VLF scattering events associated with sprites results in an average scattering distribution having a strong frontal lobe, and also having strong large-angle scattering. This is consistent with the scattering pattern produced by a theoretical model of the sprite as an array of interacting vertical plasma columns, indicating that some part of the sprite is “hard” and contains complex structure (most likely the “stalactites” seen in optical sprites). Attempting to determine the scattering distribution due to sprites using a high threshold for event detection could result in observation of only the frontal lobe and the minima on either side of it, and not the scattering at larger angles. This problem would be worsened by the use of only amplitude, and not phase, monitoring to detect perturbations, and could lead experimenters to the conclusion that sprites are narrow-angle scatterers, with a smoothly varying diffuse structure  相似文献   
15.
A 3-year-old Thoroughbred colt was presented for evaluation of azotemia and anorexia. Physical examination revealed a ureterolith in the left ureter, approximately 10 cm from the bladder, which was thought to obstruct urine flow by approximately 90% when viewed cystoscopically. Ultrasonographic examination of both kidneys revealed indistinct corticomedullary junctions, and the right kidney was more hyperechoic. A percutaneous biopsy of the right kidney revealed chronic interstitial nephritis with marked interstitial medullary fibrosis. Medical therapy consisting of IV fluids, sodium chloride PO, and ammonium chloride PO was initiated. Ureteroscopic electrohydraulic lithotripsy via a perineal urethrostomy was used to successfully remove the stone. Klebsiella oxytoca, which responded to oral enrofloxacin therapy, was cultured from the urine after surgery. Azotemia resolved and the horse resumed training.  相似文献   
16.
BACKGROUND: Since the introduction of cyclosporine (CsA), 1-year renal allograft survival has improved, but concern persists about the long-term adverse effects of CsA, especially with respect to renal function and blood pressure. This randomized controlled trial was set up to establish whether withdrawal of CsA would alter long-term outcome. METHODS: Adult patients who, at 1 year after renal transplantation, had a stable serum creatinine of less than 300 micromol/L and who had not had acute rejection within the last 6 months were eligible for entry. Patients were randomized either to continue on CsA (n=114) or to stop CsA and start azathioprine (Aza, n=102). All patients remained on prednisolone. Median follow-up was 93 months after transplantation (range: 52-133 months). RESULTS: There was no significant difference in actuarial 10-year patient or graft survival (Kaplan-Meier), despite an increased incidence of acute rejection within the first few months after conversion. Median serum creatinine was lower in the Aza group (Aza: 119 micromol/L; CsA. 153 micromol/L at 5 years after randomization, P=0.0002). The requirement for antihypertensive treatment was also reduced after conversion to Aza; 75% of patients required antihypertensive treatment at the start of the study, decreasing to 55% from 1 year after randomization in the Aza group and increasing to >80% in the CsA group (55% (Aza) and 84% (CsA) at 5 years after randomization, P<0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Conversion from CsA to Aza at 1 year after renal transplantation results in improvement in both blood pressure control and renal allograft function, and is not associated with significant adverse effects on long-term patient or graft survival.  相似文献   
17.
Understanding the retention time of water in waterbodies during periods of no surface flow in dryland rivers provides an important context for evaluating the ecological importance of a waterhole to the river system. Time series of water level data were collected from 10 waterbodies spread across three river systems of the Lake Eyre Basin (LBE), Australia. Observed loss rates in the absence of surface flow were compared to modelled evaporation rates in order to determine whether open water evaporation was the main loss process from isolated waterholes and to what extent there is evidence of interaction between the surface water and any shallow groundwater aquifers. The modelled evaporation rates were determined using the Penman combination equation and meteorological data from the closest climate station in the region of the waterbodies. The modelled evaporation data were able to explain only some of the variability in the observed loss data but did highlight periods where other processes (including observation error) need to be invoked. These other possible processes, which include temporary groundwater connection and the effect of heat storage on the evaporation losses, probably contribute as much to the observed data variability as error introduced by the use of regional meteorological data. Assuming evaporation is the dominant process determining water loss in the absence of flow, the persistence of a waterhole is primarily dependent upon its depth when flow ceases. The annual loss shown by most waterbodies lies within the range of the modelled evaporation rate using the Penman combination equation and equates between 1.5 and 2.5 m per annum. The use of water level data in conjunction with the modelled evaporation rates was able to provide important insights into controls on waterbody loss rates and persistence. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
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19.
OBJECTIVE: To identify and determine trends in the prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody in stored sera from 1971 to 1975 and to determine associations with HCV seropositivity, including markers for other hepatitis infections and possible routes of transmission. DESIGN: A retrospective cross-sectional study. PATIENTS AND SETTING: 1511 adults admitted to Fairfield Infectious Diseases Hospital, Victoria, with a clinical and biochemical diagnosis of hepatitis between 1 January 1971 and 31 December 1975. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence over study period of hepatitis A virus antibody (anti-HAV) IgM, hepatitis B core antibody (anti-HBc), hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis C virus antibody (anti-HCV) in stored sera; sociodemographic data and risk factors for blood-borne viruses documented in original medical records. RESULTS: Anti-HCV was detected in 17% of adults admitted with hepatitis from 1971 through 1975. Prevalence increased significantly over this period. Most cases were in young men who had a history of injecting drug use. HCV seropositivity was also significantly associated with markers for hepatitis B infection. CONCLUSIONS: Given the 20-30-year period between infection with hepatitis and the development of liver disease, our findings predict significant liver-related morbidity in Australia in the next decade. The increase in prevalence over the five years studied suggests rapid spread of HCV through susceptible populations, principally injecting drug users.  相似文献   
20.
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