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Random-effects regression modelling is proposed for analysis of correlated grouped-time survival data. Two analysis approaches are considered. The first treats survival time as an ordinal outcome, which is either right-censored or not. The second approach treats survival time as a set of dichotomous indicators of whether the event occurred for time periods up to the period of the event or censor. For either approach both proportional hazards and proportional odds versions of the random-effects model are developed, while partial proportional hazards and odds generalizations are described for the latter approach. For estimation, a full-information maximum marginal likelihood solution is implemented using numerical quadrature to integrate over the distribution of multiple random effects. The quadrature solution allows some flexibility in the choice of distributions for the random effects; both normal and rectangular distributions are considered in this article. An analysis of a dataset where students are clustered within schools is used to illustrate features of random-effects analysis of clustered grouped-time survival data. 相似文献
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本文旨在通过对石墨防爆片的变形、应力分布及爆破压力的试验研究,探讨以石墨电极为原材料加工石墨防爆片的可行性。文中运用有限单元法及薄板理论对该防爆破片的应力分布做了初步分析,并以电测和爆破试验验证了以薄板理论为基础的爆破压力计算公式,可供进一步研究时参考。 相似文献
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中国石化扬子石油化工股份有限公司烯烃厂1号乙烯装置两台乙烷炉运行周期一直偏低,辐射段炉管使用寿命较短,并影响急冷油减粘系统的稳定运行。应用结焦抑制剂N-360后,乙烷炉运行周期与辐射段炉管使用寿命大幅延长,并且能耗下降、产品收率提高。 相似文献
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In this article, the polycondensation of terephthaloyl chloride and p-phenylenediamine was systematically studied, including the liquid–crystalline state of the solution and the spinning of poly(1,4-phenyleneterephthalamide) (PPTA). High-molecular-weight PPTA with εinh = 5–7 was prepared and the main factors influencing the solution polycondensation of 1,4-phenylenediamine with terephthaloyl chloride were studied in detail. Experimental results showed that the water content of the reaction system, reactant concentration, and volume ratio of mix solvents have a great influence on the inherent viscosity of the poly(1,4-phenyleneterephthalamide) obtained. The highest εinh was obtained at 0.3M/liter reactant concentration in a mixed solvent ratio HMPA/DMAC of 4/1 (by volume), at 0.35M/liter reactant concentration in a mixed solvent of HMPA/NMP = 7/3, and at 0.5M/liter of reactant concentration in a mixed solvent of HMPA/THF = 9/1. The water content must be controlled to less than 100 ppm in the polymerization system. In the early stage of the polycondensation process, the εinh of the polymer obtained increased rapidly with time. The system gelled within 2 or 3 min, while the monomer conversion reached about 100%. However, the reaction of polycondensation continued after gelation and the εinh of the polymer increased appreciably. We have studied the viscosity behavior at 20–155°C for the anisotropic solution of PPTA in 100% sulfuric acid (εinh of PPTA 2.5–4.9). Experimental results showed that, at low concentrations the viscosity of isotropic solution increases with the increase of polymer concentration to reach a maxium near the critical polymer concentration, beyond which the solution changes to an anisotropic liquid–crystalline solution. The appropriate spinning region was obtained as shown in the phase diagram determined by viscosity, degree of depolarization anisotropy, and region of thermal depolymerization. Fibers of PPTA with high modulus and high tenacity were obtained by dry-jet wet spinning. The fibers obtained have a tenacity of ~22 g/denier, a modulus of ~600 g/denier, and elongation at break ~3.5%. 相似文献
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枸杞黑果病是枸杞产区的主要病害.发病后造成黑花、黑蕾和黑果,使枸杞产量降低,品质变劣。为探明四种杀菌剂对枸杞黑果病的防治效果及最佳剂量,2003年对下述四种杀菌剂进行了田间药效对比试验,调查防效结果如下:20%三苯基醋酸锡WP450~281g/hm^2(以有效成分计,下同),20%氟硅唑EC21.08g/hm^21.5%噻霉酮EW16、88~21.08g/hm^2、40%氟硅唑EC450g/hm^2和70%甲基托布津WP787.5g/hm^2对枸杞黑果病防效均在88.25%以上。经LSD检验各处理间防效无显著差异。 相似文献