Managing fire risk onboard offshore platforms: Lessons from Piper Alpha and probabilistic assessment of risk reduction measures

The offshore oil platform Piper Alpha was destroyed in July 1988 by a catastrophic fire. The causes of the accident included a combination of technical and organizational factors. In this paper, I describe the accident, its chronology, and the dependencies involved. I then examine some of the human errors that led to the disaster and their organizational roots, such as economic pressures, the permit-to-work system, and the inadequacy of regulatory oversight in the United Kingdom at the time of the accident. Risk-reduction measures can be costly, however, and priorities must be set based on costs and benefits. To this end, I describe a probabilistic risk analysis model that can be used to assess the benefits of different fire safety measures, focusing on reinforcing the emergency water pumps.     

Holiday weight management by successful weight losers and normal weight individuals.

This study compared weight control strategies during the winter holidays among successful weight losers (SWL) in the National Weight Control Registry and normal weight individuals (NW) with no history of obesity. SWL (n = 178) had lost a mean of 34.9 kg and had kept ≥13.6 kg off for a mean of 5.9 years. NW (n = 101) had a body mass index of 18.5-24.9 kg/m2. More SWL than NW reported plans to be extremely strict in maintaining their usual dietary routine (27.3% vs. 0%) and exercise routine (59.1% vs. 14.3%) over the holidays. Main effects for group indicated that SWL maintained greater exercise, greater attention to weight and eating, greater stimulus control, and greater dietary restraint, both before and during the holidays. A Group × Time interaction indicated that, over the holidays, attention to weight and eating declined significantly more in SW than in NW. More SWL (38.9%) than NW (16.7%) gained ≥1 kg over the holidays, and this effect persisted 1 month later (28.3% and 10.7%, respectively). SWL worked harder than NW did to manage their weight, but they appeared more vulnerable to weight gain during the holidays. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

A C finite element method for the analysis of inextensible pipe lines

A C⁰ finite element method in which rotations and displacements are coupled by a penalty function formulation is developed for pipe line analysis. Inextensibility is also handled by a penalty method. Simplicity and effectiveness of this approach is illustrated by three dimensional computations including contact problems and an appendix giving all necessary stiffness matrices.     

Gas enema for the reduction of intussusception: relationship between clinical signs and symptoms and outcome

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to establish the extent to which the clinical features of intussusception can be used to predict successful outcome of gas enema and to determine whether the nonsurgical management of intussusception in children can be improved by refining the criteria used to select patients for gas enema. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Clinical data on 282 consecutive episodes of intussusception (255 patients) were collected prospectively from January 1987 to July 1991. Gas enema was performed in 273 episodes, in which the clinical signs and symptoms were studied by using logistic regression. Nine patients had primary surgery. RESULTS: Gas enema was successful in 216 (79%) of 273 enemas attempted. Fifty-seven patients had surgery after unsuccessful enema. Univariate analysis showed significant associations between successful enema and duration of signs and symptoms less than 12 hr, no rectal bleeding, absence of small-bowel obstruction, presence of a palpable mass, and normal hydration. Multivariate analysis showed that dehydration, small-bowel obstruction, and duration of signs and symptoms longer than 12 hr were significant predictors of unsuccessful enema; yet, in these groups the rate of success still justified attempted enema. Even in severe dehydration, the successful enema reduction rate was 31%. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that although the factors identified had some predictive value in determining the outcome of attempted enema reduction, they could not be used to indicate patients in whom enema reduction should not be attempted. All patients with intussusception should have a gas enema if the absolute contraindications to enema (i.e., peritonitis or perforation) are absent.     

A novel thermoresponsive hydrogel matrix based on poly(N-ethoxypropylacrylamide)

Summary A new temperature sensitive hydrogel matrix, poly(N-ethoxypropylacrylamide), PNEPAM, was obtained by the bulk polymerization of N-ethoxypropylacrylamide (NEPAM). The monomer, NEPAM was synthesized by the nucleophilic substitution reaction of 3-ethoxypropylamine and acryloyl chloride. The polymerization was performed at +4 °C, by using N,N-methylenebisacrylamide (MBAM) as crosslinker, polyethyleneglycol (PEG) 4000 as diluent, and potassium persulfate (KPS) and tetramethylethylenediamine (TEMED) as the initiator and accelerator, respectively. PNEPAM gel matrices exhibited a thermosensitive bahaviour reasonably similar to poly(N-isopropylacrylamide), PNIPAM gels. The equilibrium swelling ratio at constant temperature increased with increasing initiator concentration and decreasing monomer concentration. The use of PEG 4000 as a diluent in the gel synthesis resulted in a significant enhacement in the thermosensitivity of gel matrix. The equilibrium swelling ratios up to 60 g water/g dry gel were observed in the low-temperature region. The results indicated that PNEPAM gel is a new alternative thermosensitive material to the NIPAM based gels.     

Personal and peers' word associations in relation to children's false recognition errors.

Attempted to show that false recognition errors would be more frequently elicited by children's personal associates to a set of target words than by associates based on peer norms; Ss were 80 White middle-class 2nd and 5th graders (mean ages, 7.6 and 10.6 yrs, respectively). In Session 1 Ss gave oral associations to 34 words. In the 1st phase of Session 2, target words were each read aloud once and Ss were required to memorize them; in the 2nd phase Ss worked for 5 min on a maze task to prevent rehearsal; and in the final phase, a 40-item recognition list was read. Ss determined whether a word was one they had been asked to remember. As predicted, responses occurred with decreasing frequency to target, personal, peer, and control words. Consistent with the expectation that personal associates would more frequently elicit false recognition errors than would peer associates, the difference between personal and control responses was larger than the difference between peer and control. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Temperature dependence of the sound velocity in liquid4He

We have measured the temperature dependence of the sound velocity in liquid ⁴ He from 0.07 to 0.7 K for frequencies from 12 to 105 MHz. While the data show an approximateT ⁴ temperature dependence, the frequency ordering of the curves is observed to undergo an inversion at about 0.2 K. Above this temperature we confirm that the velocity shift decreases with frequency, while below this temperature we now find that the velocity shift increases with frequency as predicted by theory.Based on work performed under the auspices of the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission.     

Structure and properties of thermal-mechanically treated 304 stainless steel

Mechanical and thermal-mechanical treatments of 304 stainless steel enables yield strengths of over 200,000 psi to be obtained with elongations better than 10 pct. Electron microscopy, X-ray, and magnetic techniques show that during deformation, strain induced γ → ∈ → α transformation occurs with further thermal nucleation of α achieved by aging up to 400°C. The yield strength is linearly proportional to the amount of ° irrespective of the treatment used to form α. The yield strength is given by α_y = 225f + 48.65 ksi, where ƒ is the volume fraction of martensite. Softening occurs by aging at 500°C and above due to a decrease in percent α which may occur by renucleation of γ. The system is an unusual form of composite strengthening; hard martensite particles are formed within the austenite, and the percent α (and thereby the mechanical properties), can be controlled by the mechanical/thermal-mechanical processing. Formerly with the Department of Materials Science and Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, Calif.     

Kinetics of aspartame precursor synthesis catalysed by Pseudomonas aeruginosa elastase

Elastase isolated from Pseudomonas aeruginosa IFO 3455 was found to be an efficient protease to catalyse the synthesis of N-benzyloxycarbonyl-aspartyl-phenylalanine methyl ester, the precursor of the dipeptide sweetener, aspartame. The influence of methanol as a cosolvent in this synthetic reaction was investigated. It was found that the synthesis of the dipeptide precursor was most efficient in 25% (v/v) methanol, pH 7·0 at about 25°C for a reaction time of about 3 h. However, the activity of the enzyme was greatly reduced in 90% methanol. The values of K and k₂ for N-benzyloxycarbonyl-aspartic acid were 0·17 mol dm^?3 and 11·9 mol dm^?3 s^?1 respectively.