电力大用户最大需量控制是降低电网峰值负荷、节约用户电费成本的重要技术手段.面向强波动性和冲击性工业电能需量控制,研究了超短期需量负荷的多步预测问题.基于集成经验模态分解(EE-MD)方法,通过二次分解有效分离时间序列中不同频率的信号,采用长短期记忆网络(LSTM)对各信号子序列进行独立预测,最后组合预测结果.实验结果表明,本方法能很好的预测工业需量负荷变化,M A PE/MAE/NRMSE精度指标基本控制在2％ 以内,明显优于多种现行主流时序预测模型和最新文献方法,且消除了多步预测的传递误差,预测模型精度和稳定性满足需量控制要求. 相似文献
Large scale online kernel learning aims to build an efficient and scalable kernel-based predictive model incrementally from a sequence of potentially infinite data points. Current state-of-the-art large scale online kernel learning focuses on improving efficiency. Two key approaches to gain efficiency through approximation are (1) limiting the number of support vectors, and (2) using an approximate feature map. They often employ a kernel with a feature map with intractable dimensionality. While these approaches can deal with large scale datasets efficiently, this outcome is achieved by compromising predictive accuracy because of the approximation. We offer an alternative approach that puts the kernel used at the heart of the approach. It focuses on creating a sparse and finite-dimensional feature map of a kernel called Isolation Kernel. Using this new approach, to achieve the above aim of large scale online kernel learning becomes extremely simple—simply use Isolation Kernel instead of a kernel having a feature map with intractable dimensionality. We show that, using Isolation Kernel, large scale online kernel learning can be achieved efficiently without sacrificing accuracy.
