Leon Battista Alberti as Author of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Hypnerotomachia Poliphili</Emphasis>

The enigmatic Hypnerotomachia Poliphili published anonymously in 1499 has long posed puzzles for historians and other scholars. This present text argues that the volume can credibly be attributed, not to Francesca Colonna as is often done, but to the Renaissance humanist and polymath Leon Battista Alberti. Evidence for this is found in the unravelling of arithmogrammatical evidence sprinkled throughout the work, similar to those found in other of Alberti’s works.     

Shifted robust multi-objective test problems

In 2013 Gaspar-Cunha et al. proposed a set of novel robust multi-objective benchmark functions to increase the difficulty of the current test problems and effectively mimic the characteristics of real search spaces. Despite the merits of the proposed benchmark problems, it is observed that the robust Pareto optimal fronts are located on the boundaries of the search space, which may result in the infeasibility of solutions obtained in case of perturbations along the negative side of the second parameter. This paper modifies the proposed test functions by Gaspar-Cunha et al. to mimic real problems better and allow the parameters to be fluctuated by any degree of perturbations. In fact, the robust fronts are shifted to the centre of the search space, so that any degree of uncertainties can be considered. The paper considers theoretical and experimental analysis of both set of test functions as well.     

Creating geometrically robust designs for highly sensitive problems using topology optimization

Resonance and wave-propagation problems are known to be highly sensitive towards parameter variations. This paper discusses topology optimization formulations for creating designs that perform robustly under spatial variations for acoustic cavity problems. For several structural problems, robust topology optimization methods have already proven their worth. However, it is shown that direct application of such methods is not suitable for the acoustic problem under consideration. A new double filter approach is suggested which makes robust optimization for spatial variations possible. Its effect and limitations are discussed. In addition, a known explicit penalization approach is considered for comparison. For near-uniform spatial variations it is shown that highly robust designs can be obtained using the double filter approach. It is finally demonstrated that taking non-uniform variations into account further improves the robustness of the designs.     

3D interactive topology optimization on hand-held devices

This educational paper describes the implementation aspects, user interface design considerations and workflow potential of the recently published TopOpt 3D App. The app solves the standard minimum compliance problem in 3D and allows the user to change design settings interactively at any point in time during the optimization. Apart from its educational nature, the app may point towards future ways of performing industrial design. Instead of the usual geometrize, then model and optimize approach, the geometry now automatically adapts to the varying boundary and loading conditions. The app is freely available for iOS at Apple’s App Store and at http://www.topopt.dtu.dk/TopOpt3D for Windows and OSX.     

Experiment and multiobjective optimization design of tape-spring hinges

Flexible tape-spring hinges can be folded elastically and are able to self-deploy by releasing stored strain energy with fewer component parts and slight weights. This study presents a detailed investigation of the folding and deployment of single-layer tape-spring (SLTS) hinges and double-layer tape-spring (DLTS) hinges under pure bend loading. The material properties of tape-spring hinges are measured using an INSTRON machine. A DLTS hinge construction is created, and its moment-rotation relationship during quasi-static deployment is measured. An experiment is conducted to verify the validation of the numerical models for the DLTS hinges. The quasi-static deployment behavior of SLTS hinges and DLTS hinges is then analyzed using nonlinear finite element ABAQUS/Explicit solver, starting from the complete folded configuration. The DLTS hinge has good quasi-static deployment performances with regard to maximum stress (S _m ), steady moment (M ^*) and the peak moment (M _d ) during the DLTS hinge quasi-static deployment. In addition, the sampling designs of the DLTS hinges are created based on a three-level full factorial design of experiments (DOE) method. The surrogate models of S _m , M ^* and M _d of the DLTS hinges are derived using response surface method (RSM) to reduce the computational cost of quasi-static folding and deployment of numerical simulations. The Multiobjective optimization design (MOD) of the DLTS hinge is performed using modified non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II) algorithm to achieve the optimal design. The finite element models for the optimal design based on numerical method are established to validate the optimization results.     

Comparative evaluation of performance measures for human driving skills

In this paper, we evaluate the adequacy of several performance measures for the evaluation of driving skills between different drivers. This work was motivated by the need for a training system that captures the driving skills of an expert driver and transfers the skills to novice drivers using a haptic-enabled driving simulator. The performance measures examined include traditional task performance measures, e.g., the mean position error, and a stochastic distance between a pair of hidden Markov models (HMMs), each of which is trained for an individual driver. The emphasis of the latter is on the differences between the stochastic somatosensory processes of human driving skills. For the evaluation, we developed a driving simulator and carried out an experiment that collected the driving data of an expert driver whose data were used as a reference for comparison and of many other subjects. The performance measures were computed from the experimental data, and they were compared to each other. We also collected the subjective judgement scores of the driver’s skills made by a highly-experienced external evaluator, and these subjective scores were compared with the objective performance measures. Analysis results showed that the HMM-based distance metric had a moderately high correlation between the subjective scores and it was also consistent with the other task performance measures, indicating the adequacy of the HMM-based metric as an objective performance measure for driving skill learning. The findings of this work can contribute to developing a driving simulator for training with an objective assessment function of driving skills.     

Estimating the Economic Value of Landscape Losses Due to Flooding by Hydropower Plants in the Chilean Patagonia

This paper presents a contingent valuation study concerning landscape impacts generated by the construction of one dam (Baker 1) of the HIDROAYSEN hydropower project located in the Chilean Patagonia. A survey was used to collect information about citizens’ opinions towards the hydropower project in four major cities in Chile. Specifically, a One-and-One-Half-Bound (OOHB) willingness to pay eliciting format was applied to capture citizens’ WTP. The economic loss, associated to the landscape impacts for people living in urban areas of the country, is found to be approximately US$ 205 million, which is nearly 28% of the total investment. Our results also show that the cities’ distance from the dam affects citizens’ willingness to pay.     

Singular Spectrum Analysis and ARIMA Hybrid Model for Annual Runoff Forecasting

High accuracy forecasting of medium and long-term hydrological runoff is beneficial to reservoir operation and management. A hybrid model is proposed for medium and long-term hydrological forecasting in this paper. The hybrid model consists of two methods, Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) and Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). In this model, the time series of annual runoff are first decomposed into several sub-series corresponding to some tendentious and periodic motions by using SSA and then each sub-series is predicted, respectively, through an appropriate ARIMA model, and lastly a correction procedure is conducted for the sum of the prediction results to ensure the superposed residual to be a pure random series. The annual runoff data of two reservoirs in China are analyzed as case studies. The results have been compared with the predictions made by ARIMA and Singular Spectrum Analysis-Linear Recurrent Formulae (SSA-LRF). It is shown that hybrid model has the best performance.     

Assessment of Sustainable Yield of Karst Water in Huaibei,China

This paper presents the assessment of sustainable yield in the Huaibei karst water area of Anhui province, China. A review of sustainable yield definition is introduced first in this paper, and sustainable development in karst areas is more difficult due to the complicated hydrogeologic conditions. General hydrogeology of the study area is provided to characterize hydraulic connections between the karst aquifer and an overlying porous aquifer. Groundwater level declines continuously due to over-exploitation of the karst groundwater, and two layers of groundwater dropping funnel were formed in Huaibei. These problems not only threaten the eco-geo-environment, but also compromise the water utilization which depends on the shallow porous water. A “critical water level” is proposed in this study to assess the sustainable yield, and it is determined by the historical exploitation data which represent the relationship between the karst water and the shallow porous water uses. A three layer Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model is used to understand the complex relationship of the karst water level and its influencing factors. Precipitation, exploitation and water level of latest period are chosen as the input nodes, seasonal records of water level are simulated by the ANN model. The sustainable yield is calculated by the trail-and-error adjusting method, and is equal to the pumping rate when the “critical water level” is maintained. The rate of 30.05 MCM/a is the sustainable yield for the Huaibei karst area in 2008, and it is less than the real pumping rate of 35.92 MCM/a. This assessment is meaningful to the management for the Huaibei karst water.