Methodology for Estimating Streamflow by Water Balance and Rating Curve Methods Based on Logistic Regression

Both water balance (WB) and rating curve (RC) are methods for estimating streamflow. The first is mostly used to estimate reservoir outflows, while the second is usually adopted in hydrometeorological network streamflow gauges. While WB uses hourly collected data, the RC estimates streamflow using current water level and extrapolation techniques. The objective of this study was to analyze variations in the reservoir’s hourly outflow at Queimado Hydroelectric Power Plant (HPP Queimado) and to propose a method to evaluate whether the estimate of the daily outflows, obtained by the WB method, is similar to the flow values obtained at a conventional station. The logistic regression (LR) model was used because it is a method that adopts binary, categorically dependent variables to identify the event of interest. The results showed that the values of streamflow, obtained from an average of two daily readings, were a good representation of the flows in the region. The LR was able to identify atypical data, especially in the rainy season. This means that data consistency analysis can be faster and safer, when adequately employed and considering the proposed conditions, contributing to both management policies and the management of water resources.

     

Mechanical and thermomechanical properties of NC base propellants

Abstract

Compressive mechanical properties have been investigated as a function of temperature and strain rate for a modified'' double-base propellant (JA2) and comparison made with similar studies for a triple-base propellant. Measurements were made at strain rates of 10 sec.^?1 and 10^?3 sec.^?1 and temperatures of 80°C to -60°C. At the higher strain rate the double-base propellant shows ductile behavior at 20°C and brittle failure at the low temperature. However, comparison with triple-base propellants indicates that this double-base propellant is much less brittle at the lower temperature and considerably less fragmentation is observed for the double-base propellant. While the ductile-to-brittle transition can be related to a glass type transition temperature, the difference in fragmentation is apparently related to composition and structure. The relationship of ductile and brittle failure to abnormal burning and the related unsafe gun firing conditions is discussed.     

Survival of Listeria innocua in Minas Traditional Serro cheese during ripening

Cheese produced with raw milk can be a risk to consumer health. It is known that lactic acid bacteria present in raw milk and in natural starters can produce antimicrobial compounds against some foodborne bacteria. This work aimed to evaluate the survival of Listeria innocua in Minas Traditional Serro cheese during cheese ripening. The cheeses were inoculated with 10¹, 10² or 10³ CFU mL⁻¹ of the bacterium and were analyzed for 60 days of ripening at 30 °C. It was observed that the time and the dose of bacteria inoculated affected (p < 0.05) the survival of L. innocua. Even when the lowest dose was inoculated, at the end of the 60 days, approximately 10² CFU mL⁻¹ of L. innocua was detected in the cheese. The lactic acid bacteria present in the milk and in the natural starter were not sufficient to guarantee the absence of L. innocua in Minas Traditional Serro cheese even after 60 days of storage, as is required by Brazilian legislation.     

The influence of impurities on the acid-catalyzed reaction of glycerol with acetone

The acid-catalyzed reaction of glycerol with acetone was studied in the presence of impurities that might be present in the crude glycerin of biodiesel production. These are mainly methanol, water and sodium chloride, in different amounts. The results indicated that methanol has minor effect on the glycerol conversion, whereas the concomitant addition of water and sodium chloride produces a drastic decrease of the conversion. The nature of the acid catalyst also affects the conversion in the presence of impurities. Amberlyst-15™ acid resin is more sensible to the water content than zeolite Beta. The results of the glycerol adulteration with different contaminants were compared with the reaction using a crude glycerin from a Brazilian biodiesel industrial plant.     

Enhanced convergence of eigenfunction expansions in convection-diffusion with multiscale space variable coefficients

ABSTRACT

A convergence enhancement technique known as the integral balance approach is employed in combination with the Generalized Integral Transform Technique (GITT) for solving diffusion or convection-diffusion problems in physical domains with subregions of markedly different materials properties and/or spatial scales. GITT is employed in the solution of the differential eigenvalue problem with space variable coefficients, by adopting simpler auxiliary eigenproblems for the eigenfunction representation. The examples provided deal with heat conduction in heterogeneous media and forced convection in a microchannel embedded in a substrate. The convergence characteristics of the proposed novel solution are critically compared against the conventional approach through integral transforms without the integral balance enhancement, with the aid of fully converged results from the available exact solutions.     

Identification of the genetic variants of κ-casein in milk by isoelectric focusing electrophoresis

The genetic variants of κ-casein (κ-CN) A and B were analysed in milk from Holstein–Friesian (HF) and Jersey cows by means of isoelectric focusing (IEF) electrophoresis. Milk samples were obtained in triplicate from pure-breed HF and Jersey cows (three of each) to estimate the protein content, casein and purify κ-CN. The protein and casein contents in the milk from both breeds were statistically different ( P <  0.05). The κ-CN A migrates first with an isoelectric point (pI) of 7.2–7.3 and then B with a pI of 7.5–7.7. Differences in the expression proportion of both variants were detected.     

Has a non‐native cichlid of the genus Amatitlania (Actinopterygii,Cichlidae) adapted to the headwaters in Brazilian semi‐arid?

Several fish species from Central America and other regions have been introduced into Brazil. In this study, we evaluated the bioecological aspects of a non‐native cichlid of the genus Amatitlania (convict cichlid) and its possible establishment in high‐altitude forest enclaves of semi‐arid Northeastern Brazil. Specimens of Amatitlania nigrofasciata (Günther, 1867) were captured in a local stream displaying abiotic conditions like those of its natural range of distribution. The individuals collected were predominantly adult, insectivorous and displayed normal length–weight relationships, although we observed some phenotypical plasticity (variation in body depth, and a morphologically abnormal dorsal fin in three cases). Our results indicate that A. nigrofasciata has successfully colonized an Atlantic forest enclave in the Brazilian semi‐arid region, making it necessary to adopt measures to prevent the species from spreading to other water bodies in the surroundings.     

Limnological features of Funil Reservoir (R.J., Brazil) and indicator properties of rotifers and cladocerans of the zooplankton community

Funil Reservoir receives inflow from a highly industrialized region and acts as a natural sink to pollutants. Among the consequences of the uncontrolled nutrient loading is the constant presence and periodic heavy blooms of Microcystis aeruginosa . This study verified limnological features and zooplankton assemblage of the Funil Reservoir focusing on the environmental-indicator properties of rotifers and cladocerans. The summer bloom of M. aeruginosa caused reductions in water transparency, nitrate and orthophosphate concentrations and raises in chlorophyll a , pH, dissolved oxygen and chemical oxygen demand values. All zooplankton species presented spatial and temporal variations with the exception of the copepods, which were present in all samples. According to canonical correspondence analysis, ammonium was the variable most related to zooplankton variability and different Rotifera and Cladocera assemblages indicated distinct environment conditions. Rotifer taxa associated with increases of water temperature and chlorophyll a concentration were found with high densities during M. aeruginosa blooms. Species of rotifer and cladocerans are suggested as indicators that can be used to identify different physical and chemical gradients or eutrophic increases in Funil Reservoir.     

Regional flood frequency analysis in the central‐western river basins of Argentina

Knowing the probability of occurrence of a flood event is an important issue for water resources planning. At‐site probability models require a long extension of hydrological data for robust estimation of low‐frequency events. As the mean record length of 25 gauge stations in western river basins of Argentina is 49 years (until 2010), regional models are an interesting tool to determine mountain rivers system dynamics. This study aims to estimate low‐frequency quantiles of annual maximum flow in Argentinean western river basins (28°S–37°S) applying regional frequency analysis based on the L‐moments method. Besides, mean annual maximum flow of 75 gauge stations (22°S–52°S) was analysed. First, an exploratory data analysis was performed; normality, independence, and randomness were accepted in the 27%, 87%, and 91% of cases, respectively. Increasing trends in annual maximum flows in the north‐western and central‐western rivers of Argentina were detected, whereas decreasing trends in annual maximum flow in the Patagonian Andes were identified. Base on at‐site characteristics and at‐site statistics, a homogeneous region of 12 stations with a record period of 568 years was formed. General extreme value was the most appropriate distribution for this homogeneous study region. Estimation accuracy using Monte Carlo simulations was performed. The error bounds were set at 90%, the mean square error was 9.23%, and the relative bias was 1.6%. The regional method performed better than the at‐site estimation.     

A contribution to the interpretation of polymer viscoelasticity in DMTA testing

Some ideas relevant to the prevailing viscoelasticity interpretations of dynamic mechanical thermal analysis (DMTA) experiments are presented. The main aspect is the inclusion of kinetic energy and inertia as variables, seeing the relaxing mass constantly increasing during strain, assigning inertial variation and not viscosity to energy dissipation. The equations developed make it possible to obtain the values of important viscoelastic properties, under in any experimental condition, with the data taken from previous experiments.