Long range peak demand forecasting under conditions of high growth

An extended logistic model with a varying asymptotic upper bound for long-range peak demand forecasting is described. The model has been applied to a typical fast growing system, the Saudi Consolidated Electric Company. The forecasts are compared with actual demands and with those obtained from classical forecasting methods. The model gave relatively accurate peak demand forecasts compared with other classical methods. The model with a single load observation is capable of producing several peak demand forecasts corresponding to different levels of maximum temperature and various levels of social activity. The forecasts produced by the model were also stable irrespective of the length of the ex-post simulation period     

The flame retardant mechanism of polyolefins modified with chalk and silicone elastomer

This paper presents the current understanding of the flame retardant mechanism of Casico?. The study includes the flame retardant effect of each individual component: ethylene–acrylate copolymer, chalk and silicone elastomer, as well as the formation of an intumescent structure during heating. The flame retardant properties were investigated by cone calorimetry and oxygen index tests. To obtain insight into the flame retardant mechanism, heat treatment under different conditions has also been performed. The results indicate that the flame retardant mechanism of Casico is complex and is related to a number of reactions, e.g. ester pyrolysis of acrylate groups, formation of carbon dioxide by reaction between carboxylic acid and chalk, ionomer formation and formation of an intumescent structure stabilized by a protecting char. Special emphasis is given to the formation of the intumescent structure and its molecular structure as evaluated from ¹³C MAS‐NMR and ²⁹Si MAS‐NMR, ESCA and XRD analysis. After treatment at 500°C the intumescent structure consists mainly of silicon oxides and calcium carbonate and after treatment at 1000°C the intumescent structure consists of calcium silicate, calcium oxide and calcium hydroxide. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Neurotoxicity of Chronic Co-Exposure of Lead and Ionic Liquid in Common Carp: Synergistic or Antagonistic?

Previous studies have indicated that the harmful heavy metal lead (Pb) contamination in aquatic systems has caused intelligence development disorders and nervous system function abnormalities in juveniles due to the increased permeability of the blood–brain barrier. Ionic liquids (ILs) are considered “green” organic solvents that can replace traditional organic solvents. Studies have found the presence of ILs in soil and water due to chemical applications or unintentional leakage. Therefore, what would happen if Pb interacted with ILs in a body of water? Could ILs enable Pb to more easily cross the blood–brain barrier? Therefore, we examined the combined exposure of Pb and ILs in common carp at low concentration (18.3 mg L⁻¹ of Pb(CH₃COO)₂•3 H₂O and 11 mg L⁻¹ of the IL 1-methyl-3-octylimidazolium chloride, 5% of their LC₅₀) for 28 days in the present study. The result of a neurobehavioral assay showed that chronic exposure of lead at lower concentrations significantly altered fish movement and neurobehaviors, indicating that lead exposure caused neurotoxicity in the carp. Increases in the neurotransmitter dopamine levels and injuries in the fish brain accounted for neurobehavioral abnormalities induced by lead exposure. Moreover, we also found that lead could easily cross the blood–brain barrier and caused significant bioaccumulation in the brain. Particularly, our study indicated that the ionic liquid could not synergistically promote blood–brain barrier permeability and hence failed to increase the absorption of lead in the fish brain, suggesting that the combined exposure of lead and ILs was not a synergistic effect but antagonism to the neurotoxicity. The results of this study suggested that ILs could recede the Pb induced neurotoxicity in fish.     

The mode features of an annular sector microstrip antenna

A rigorous analysis of the features of the modes of an annular sector printed microstrip antenna is presented. General expressions for its radiation field are derived by using the cavity model. The expressions are used to study the radiation patterns, radiation peak in the broadside direction, and beamwidth of different structures for various sector angles, widths, and modes of excitation. This includes the special cases of quarter-, half-, three-quarters-, and ideal-gap open-ring structures. Compared to a closed ring, the results indicate that the TM₁₂ mode is superior to the TM₁₁ mode with regard to the radiation properties in the annular sector as its angle approaches 2π     

On accounting for screen resolution in adaptive video streaming: QoE-driven bandwidth sharing framework

Screen resolution along with network conditions are main objective factors impacting the user experience, in particular for video streaming applications. User terminals on their side feature more and more advanced characteristics resulting in different network requirements for good visual experience. Previous studies tried to link mean opinion score (MOS) to video bitrate for different screen types (e.g., Common Intermediate Format [CIF], Quarter Common Intermediate Format [QCIF], and High Definition [HD]). We leverage such studies and formulate a Quality of Experience (QoE)-driven resource allocation problem to pinpoint the optimal bandwidth allocation that maximizes the QoE over all users of a network service provider located behind the same bottleneck link, while accounting for the characteristics of the screens they use for video playout. For our optimization problem, QoE functions are built using curve fitting on datasets capturing the relationship between MOS, screen characteristics, and bandwidth requirements. We propose a simple heuristic based on Lagrangian relaxation and Karush Kuhn Tucker (KKT) conditions to efficiently solve the optimization problem. Our numerical simulations show that the proposed heuristic is able to increase overall QoE up to 20% compared to an allocation with a TCP look-alike strategy implementing max-min fairness.     

On ACK filtering on a slow reverse channel

Acknowledgement (ACK) filtering has been proposed as a technique to alleviate the congestion at the input of a slow channel located on the reverse path of a TCP connection. Old ACKs waiting at the input of the slow channel are erased when new ACKs are to be queued. In the literature the case of one‐ACK per connection at a time has been studied. In this paper we show that this is too aggressive for short transfers where ACKs arrive in bursts due to the slow start phase, and where the TCP source needs to receive the maximum number of ACKs to increase fast its window. We study first static filtering where a certain ACK queue length is allowed. We show analytically how this length needs to be chosen. We present then some algorithms that adapt the filtering of ACKs as a function of the slow channel utilization rather than the ACK queue length. These algorithms provide a good compromise between reducing the ACK queueing delay and passing a large number of ACKs that guarantee a fast window increase. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Metal-Clad Multilayer Waveguide: Circle-Chain Convergent Method and Two Perturbation Methods

Computer modeling studies for the calculation of the propagation constants and attenuation coefficients of TE mode in an asymmetric metal/ dielectric/dielectric layers structure are presented. Two different perturbation methods, circle chain convergent method and Downhill method are used. The last two methods can be used easily for the waveguides consist of any number of layers with complex refractive index due to gain and loss. The developed programs were run on a personal computer and numerical results are presented.     

Bio-Inspired Artificial Fast-Adaptive and Slow-Adaptive Mechanoreceptors With Synapse-Like Functions

Development of artificial mechanoreceptors capable of sensing and pre-processing external mechanical stimuli is a crucial step toward constructing neuromorphic perception systems that can learn and store information. Here, bio-inspired artificial fast-adaptive (FA) and slow-adaptive (SA) mechanoreceptors with synapse-like functions are demonstrated for tactile perception. These mechanoreceptors integrate self-powered piezoelectric pressure sensors with synaptic electrolyte-gated field-effect transistors (EGFETs) featuring a reduced graphene oxide channel. The FA pressure sensor is based on a piezoelectric poly(vinylidene fluoride-trifluoroethylene) (P(VDF-TrFE)) thin film, while the SA pressure sensor is enabled by a piezoelectric ionogel with the piezoelectric-ionic coupling effect based on P(VDF-TrFE) and an ionic liquid. Changes in post-synaptic current are achieved through the synaptic effect of the EGFET by regulating the amplitude, number, duration, and frequency of tactile stimuli (pre-synaptic pulses). These devices have great potential to serve as artificial biological mechanoreceptors for future artificial neuromorphic perception systems.