年最大洪峰流量群居蜘蛛优化投影寻踪预测模型

年最大洪峰流量预测,受较多的复杂因素的影响,不确定性较强,用常规统计方法做出准确预报具有较大困难。从水文序列本身出发,提出将投影回归模型应用于年最大洪峰流量预测,为了更好获得投影寻踪模型参数和预测精度,提出了运用延迟相关系数法确定回归预测因子、群居蜘蛛算法优化投影寻踪模型最佳投影方向参数a、利用最小二乘法确定多项式的权系数c、岭函数个数M的群居蜘蛛优化投影寻踪年最大洪峰流量预测模型,结合长江宜昌站(1882年-2004年)的年最大洪峰流量资料进行实例预测,训练阶段平均绝对相对误差为8.61%,预测阶段平均绝对相对误差为10.51%,该模型预测效果较好,模型结果稳定,可有效应用于年最大洪峰流量预测。     

抗氧剂F对聚甲醛热稳定作用的研究

采用220℃等温热失重率、222℃等温热失重速率、平衡扭矩、多次加工及长期热稳定性等分析方法研究对比了高相对分子质量受阻酚类抗氧剂F与Irganox245对聚甲醛(PCIM)的热稳定作用。结果表明:抗氧剂F可有效改善POM的热氧稳定性能。经五次挤出加工,试样的熔体流动速率(MFR)及黄色指数(YI)均较Irganox245低, MFR上升程度显著低于Irganox245,断裂伸长率及冲击韧性均较Irganox245高;经140℃长期热氧老化,试样的 MFR、YI及力学性能均与使用Irganox245相当,表明抗氧剂F能有效延长POM制品的热、氧寿命,其热稳定效能达到 Irganox245的水平,且用量较少,可将其推广应用于POM的生产中,进一步提高POM的热稳定性,降低生产成本。     

基于GF_1卫星的丹江口水库水面面积-蓄水量-水位相关性研究

基于GF_1卫星16m分辨率多光谱遥感数据及水文观测数据,通过计算NDWI水体指数来提取丹江口水库水面面积,并研究水面面积、水位与蓄水量三者之间的相关性,实现动态分析水库蓄水量变化情况,以期为"南水北调"提供决策支撑。研究发现:(1)南水北调中线首个调度年前后丹江口水库水面面积-水位,水位-蓄水量以及水面面积-蓄水量之间均为显著相关关系,且三对变量依次呈现明显的1次、2次、3次曲线关系,拟合曲线方程的决定系数分别达到0.976、0.999和0.980,因此可以根据其中一个已知变量预测其他两个未知量;(2)水面面积自2014年10月5日至2016年5月5日最大变化幅度相差180km~2,是影响周边环境变化的重要因素;(3)同时蓄水量在首个调度年内,于2014年11月初达到最大值204.10亿m~3,可调水量在16.53~78.93亿m~3范围内浮动,且年内整体变化平缓稳定,保证了2015调度年内南水北调中线工程的供水需求。     

The rate of crystallization of poly(ethylene terephthalate) by differential scanning calorimetry

The value of t_max in differential scanning calorimetry is correlated with the crystallization kinetics of poly(ethylene terephthalate) (PET). The Avrami exponent, n, obtained varies as a result of a change in slope of the curve at the point t_n, a secondary crystallization transition. The plot of t_n vs. t_max shows a linear relationship. The rate of crystallization depends upon both molecular weight and crystallization temperature. Under a nucleation controlling step, the plot of log t_max vs. \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ t_{\max } vs.\frac{1}{{T^2 \Delta T}} $\end{document}gives a linear relationship. Theoretical concepts of the treatment are discussed.     

煤焦油改性酚醛树脂研究

引入含有多环芳烃煤焦油组分来改性酚醛树脂,在反应釜中按一定比例加入苯酚、甲醛、氢氧化钠和煤焦油.在碱性催化剂作用下反应4～7 h,真空脱水,得到了煤焦油改性热固性酚醛树脂.对改性后树脂的固含量、残炭值测定和热失重-差热分析,结果表明煤焦油加入量为苯酚质量的15%时改性树脂具有较大的固含量和残炭值,耐热性也得到了显著提高.     

聚丙烯熔融特性与MDSC条件的相关性

用调制式差示扫描量热法研究了聚丙烯(PP)升温过程熔融特性与线性升温速率（β)、温度调制振幅（AT)和调制周期(p)的相关性。实验结果表明，在低β时，总热流部分PP熔融呈现双峰；β加快时，呈现单熔融峰。随β加快，不可逆热流部分熔融热(△H)增加；可逆热流部分出现明显的放热峰。随p延长，总热流部分和不可逆热流部分的熔融峰温(Tp)基本不变，起始熔融温度(Ton)降低；但△H前者不变，后者增加；可逆热流部分从吸热变成放热，放热峰温移向高温。总热流和不可逆热流部分的Tp和Ton不受AT的影响，但随AT增大△H前者不变，后者降低。     

Preparation and properties of water‐soluble polyester surfactants. II. Preparation and surface activity of silicone‐modified polyester surfactants

We prepared a novel series of water‐soluble silicone‐modified polyesters [poly(ethylene glycol) (PEG)–silicone polyesters] by reacting organopolysiloxane with a hydroxy‐terminated polyester. The polyesters were obtained by the polymerization of maleic anhydride and PEGs (molecular weights = 2000, 4000, 6000, 8000, and 10000). These water‐soluble PEG–silicone polyesters can be used as auxiliaries in dyeing process because they exhibit good surface activities such as surface tension, low foaming, and wetting power. The presence of these surfactants also retarded the rate of nylon dyeing with acid dyes. The retarding effect and low‐foaming property of these novel PEG–silicone polyesters make it possible for these surfactants to be used as leveling agents for modern nylon dyeing with acid dyes. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Appl Polym Sci 86: 3005–3012, 2002     

Rapid determination of double bond configuration and position along the hydrocarbon chain in cyclic fatty acid monomers

This study reports the structural elucidation of diunsaturated 5- or 6-membered ring cyclic fatty acid monomers (CFAM) isolated from heated flaxseed oil by complementary gas chromatography (GC)-mass spectrometry (MS) and GC-matrix isolation-Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (MI-FTIR). Infrared measurements of CFAM were carried out on methyl ester derivatives as well-resolved chromatograms were obtained on a polar 100% cyanopropyl polysiloxane capillary GC column. By contrast, electron ionization MS of methyl ester derivatives was of limited value because of double bond migration during the ionization process in the mass spectrometer. This communication reports definitive MS fragmentation patterns that can confirm ring position and double bond position along the fatty acid chain in 1,2-disubstituted CFAM determined as 2-alkenyl-4,4-dimethyloxazoline derivatives. Double bond configuration (cis, trans, or conjugatedcis,cis) in CFAM was confirmed by GC-MI-FTIR. The presence of CFAM, degradation products found in used frying oils, is a potential source of dietary toxicity. This work was presented in part at the 84th American Oil Chemists' Society Annual Meeting held in Anaheim, CA, in April 1993.     

从2004年展望2005年氧化铁进出口形势

分析了2004年氧化铁产品进出口市场形势及成因,通过对氧化铁产品进出口结构和地区分布的研究,展望了2005年氧化铁产品进出口市场趋势.