Multiple Random Forests Modelling for Urban Water Consumption Forecasting

The precise forecasting of water consumption is the basis in water resources planning and management. However, predicting water consumption fluctuations is complicated, given their non-stationary and non-linear characteristics. In this paper, a multiple random forests model, integrated wavelet transform and random forests regression (W-RFR), is proposed for the prediction of daily urban water consumption in southwest of China. Raw time series were first decomposed into low- and high-frequency parts with discrete wavelet transformation (DWT). The random forests regression (RFR) method was then used for prediction using each subseries. In the process, the input and output constructions of the RFR model were proposed for each subseries on the basis of the delay times and the embedding dimension of the attractor reconstruction computed by the C-C method, respectively. The forecasting values of each subseries were summarized as the final results. Four performance criteria, i.e., correlation coefficient (R), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) and threshold static (TS), were used to evaluate the forecasting capacity of the W-RFR. The results indicated that the W-RFR can capture the basic dynamics of the daily urban water consumption. The forecasted performance of the proposed approach was also compared with those of models, i.e., the RFR and forward feed neural network (FFNN) models. The results indicated that among the models, the precision of the predictions of the proposed model was greater, which is attributed to good feature extractions from the multi-scale perspective and favorable feature learning performance using the decision trees.     

一种多官能团乳化剂在羧基丁苯胶乳合成中的应用

试验发现：一种阴离子型兼具非离子性的乳化剂A用于羧基丁苯胶乳聚合体系，可显著提高胶乳的质量，其质量分数即使下降到原配方乳化剂标准用量的25％，也能制备出合格的胶乳；与使用SDS的聚合体系相比，使用乳化剂A的聚合体系的聚合反应及产物质量重复性好，胶乳的钙离子稳定性显著提高。分析发现，乳化剂用量的大小会导致聚合反应机理的差异，从而影响聚合反应及产物质量；在酸性条件下，乳化剂本 身的稳定性也是造成这种差异的原因之一。应用试验结果表明：用乳化剂A代替SDS并在一定范围内改变其用量，不会影响胶乳的应用性能。     

Li_20对AlN陶瓷低温烧结的影响

利用XRD,SEM和TEM研究了Li2O-CaF2-Y2O3体系在/AlN陶瓷低温烧结中的作用机理,研究发现,添加Li2O的/AlN陶瓷有着更低的收缩开始温度和更大的收缩率,这种收缩来自于含Li玻璃相与CaYAlO4液相的共同作用。在烧结过程中,Li2O不仅改变了AlN烧结过程中的相组成,而且改善了液相的性质。由于Li2O和Al2O3在l 100℃以下反应生成含Li玻璃相,使得AlN开始收缩的温度大为降低。在1 600℃以上,含Li玻璃相分解散失,有利于AlN晶界的纯化,同时,CaYAl3O7向CaYAlO4的转变以及液相CaYAlO4在烧结过程中稳定存在,保证了含Li玻璃相散失后AlN的持续收缩。     

新型无卤阻燃剂六苯胺基环三磷腈的合成

由五氯化磷和氯化铵合成了六氯环三磷腈（Ⅰ），通过亲和取代反应由苯胺和Ⅰ合成了六（苯胺基）环三磷腈（Ⅱ），对反应条件进行了优化，并对化合物Ⅰ、Ⅱ进行了元素分析、IR谱和质谱表征。用化合物Ⅱ与ABS树脂共混制备了阻燃ABS树脂，测试了其氧指数和力学性能等指标。     

导电高分子PEDOT／PSS保护银纳米颗粒的制备与表征

利用导电高分子聚（3，4-二氧乙基噻吩）／聚（对苯乙烯磺酸）（PEDOT／PSS）作保护剂，制备了银纳米颗粒，用UV-Vis和TEM对其进行了表征．结果表明，选择合适量的PEDOT／PSS保护剂可以得到大小分布较窄银纳米颗粒．     

子午线轮胎钢丝圈缠绕系统设计

介绍自行设计的子午线轮胎钢丝圈缠绕生产线结构、工艺原理和控制系统。该生产线采用PLC和触摸屏控制钢丝圈的缠绕，有自动和手动两种工作模式。其缓冲装置上装有6个限位开关。PLC可根据检测到的限位开关信号使动滑轮保持在合适位置，缓冲装置上设置的抱闸可防止断丝或故障发生时动滑轮下落撞击基座。生产线采用6个断丝探测开关，能在断丝时全线停机，有效保证人机安全。     

加热炉用喷补料的研制及应用

介绍了ＨＹＪ—０１喷补料的实验室研制及工业应用。实践表明，该喷补料粘接强度好，抗热震性好。喷补衬使用时间已超过１４个月，无明显破损现象。     

A study on structure and electrochemical properties of (La, Ce, Pr, Nd)2MgNi9 hydrogen storage electrode alloys

(La, Ce, Pr, Nd)₂MgNi₉ hydrogen storage alloys were prepared through induction melting followed by a long annealing treatment. The structure and electrochemical properties of annealed alloys have been investigated by orthogonal design experiments. Both the individual effects of each substituting element and their interaction in alloys were studied systemically. It has been shown that the structure of main phase in alloys belongs to PuNi₃-type with a space group R-3m. Substituting rare-earth elements have a significant effect on both the phase structure of alloys and microstructure. The anisotropic change in the crystal structure of alloys can cause the acceleration of pulverization of alloy particles and result in the deterioration of the cyclic stability of alloy electrodes. Misch metals can raise the plateau pressure of hydrogen absorption/desorption. The discharge capacity of alloy ranges from 342.97 to 380.68 mAh g⁻¹ depending on the sort and content of substituting elements. Both cerium and neodymium can obviously reduce the discharge capacity of alloy electrodes. When compared to the La₂MgNi₉ alloy electrode, mish metals can significantly improve the high rate dischargeability of alloy electrodes. The improvement of the kinetic characteristic of alloy electrodes mainly results from the increase of the hydrogen diffusion rate in alloy bulk.     

水泥原料矿山开采设备的现状和发展趋势

水泥工业作为原材料工业，正处于技术结构和产品结构调整期，作为水泥生产不可或缺的原料矿山，也正随着新型干法水泥的发展，逐渐从传统的小型化、分散化过渡到规模化、机械化，世界采矿设备的发展为我国水泥原料矿山采矿设备的技术进步带来了机遇。     

螺旋折流片强化换热器壳程传热数值分析

为了分析螺旋折流片强化换热器壳程传热机理,用FLUENT软件建立了套管换热器的三维模型,模拟得到了壳程内流场和温度场.数值结果表明,螺旋折流片强化传热的主要机理是螺旋片引起的螺旋流动使流体流速提高并产生二次流,减薄了边界层,促进了主流流体和边界层流体的混合.分析了传热系数、压降与雷诺数及湍流动能的关系,提出应将换热器的湍流动能限制在一定的范围内,以获得较好的综合性能.