Comparison of Markov model and fault tree approach in determining initiating event frequency for systems with two train configurations

This study explores the use of Markov models in some areas of systems analysis in which time evolution of the system may be a significant factor in influencing the system reliability or availability. Comparisons are made between the Markov models and the time-averaged fault tree models for determining support system failure initiating event frequency in a nuclear power plant, for both power and shutdown conditions. Factors affecting consistency between the fault tree approach and the Markov model approach are studied for systems with common two train configurations. A correlation is developed to estimate the ratio between initiator frequencies through both approaches for a two parallel component system. Insights are developed as to when time averaged and simplified fault tree models support a good approximation to the more rigorous time-dependent Markov models.     

Laminated beams subjected to transverse load

A simple elastic solution has been developed for predicting the shear stress distribution in a laminated beam subjected to a variety of transverse loading conditions. Photoelastic tests on composite models involving a single bonding layer have been used to validate the theory, and also to comment upon the significance of these results in interpreting the interlaminar shear strength and bending modulus of the simplest form of laminated strip.     

Demonstration of an endurance limit in cast 319 aluminum

An investigation of the fatigue properties of cast W319-T7, an Al-Si-Cu alloy used in automotive engine components, was conducted using ultrasonic testing equipment with operating frequencies of 20 kHz. The stress-life (S-N) behavior at room temperature was determined for three solidification conditions of this alloy, where stresses for fatigue lives ranging from 10⁵ to 10⁹ cycles were determined. The results are compared to fatigue data acquired using servohydraulic equipment operating at 40 Hz. No influence of loading frequency has been observed. A discrete endurance limit is indicated for each of the three solidification conditions of W319-T7. The scientific and practical implications of this result are discussed. A material model presented previously is modified by introducing a crack growth threshold condition in order to predict the observed endurance limits. The model is shown to effectively predict the influence of solidification time on the fatigue properties of W319-T7.     

Toward the reduction of population obesity: Macrolevel environmental approaches to the problems of food, eating, and obesity.

The authors reviewed the evidential basis of three environmental approaches to reducing population obesity: What are the effects of (a) taxing or subsidizing foods, (b) manipulating the ease of food access, and (c) restricting access to certain foods? A narrative review evaluated evidence using National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute criteria. There was strong evidence that subsidization influences food purchases, but not necessarily food consumption or body weight. Ease of food access may influence food purchases, and possibly food intake and body weight. Data on restriction were lacking. More studies are needed to justify that altering these macro-environmental variables will necessarily reduce population obesity. A proposed conceptual model posits that the steps through environmental interventions may exert intended and unintended influences on body weight and obesity prevalence. Contemplated policy changes should weigh scientific evidence with social judgments and values concerning changes to the environment. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Interrupted ultrasonic bolt load measurements using the pulsedphase-locked loop system

A method of reacquiring a previous phase lock-point using the pulsed phase-locked loop (PPLL) ultrasonic system in situations where the measurement is interrupted such as by removing and recoupling the transducer is developed. Operation of the PPLL is mathematically analyzed in the time domain rather than in the conventional frequency domain, providing a method of characterizing multiple lock-points. The general lock-point reacquisition method that follows from the model relies on measurement over a frequency range that spans several lock-points and is demonstrated to work well for interrupted measurements on threaded fasteners. The method is analyzed for sensitivity to signal noise, and an equation is derived, expressing the number of lock-points over which to measure for successful lock-point reacquisition as a function of signal noise level. Experimental verification on a glass block shows that theoretical values obtained with this model are in good agreement with measurements. Automation of the method presented has been demonstrated, showing that it offers a practical, objective approach to making interrupted load measurements, thereby greatly widening the range of applications of the PPLL     

Randomized trial of breast self-examination in Shanghai: methodology and preliminary results

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of breast self-examination in helping to reduce mortality from breast cancer has not been rigorously demonstrated. PURPOSE: To assess efficacy, a large, randomized trial was initiated in Shanghai, China. METHODS: From October 1989 to October 1991, 267040 current and retired female employees associated with 520 factories in the Shanghai Textile Industry Bureau were randomly assigned on the basis of factory to either a self-examination instruction group (133375 women) or a control group (133665 women). The women were born within the period from 1925 through 1958. Women in the instruction group were given intensive training in breast self-examination, including the use of silicone breast models and personalized instruction, plus two subsequent reinforcement sessions and multiple reminders to practice the technique. Women in the control group were asked to attend training sessions on the prevention of low back pain. All women have been followed for the development of breast diseases and for death from breast cancer. RESULTS: A high level of participation during the first 4-5 years of the trial was documented among women in the instruction group. Randomly sampled women in this group demonstrated greater proficiency in detecting lumps in breast models than did randomly sampled women in the control group. Approximately equal numbers of breast cancers were detected in the two groups (331 in the instruction group and 322 in the control group) through 1994, which is the last year for which case-finding efforts have been completed. The breast cancers detected in the instruction group were not diagnosed at an appreciably earlier stage or smaller size than those in the control group. More benign breast lesions were detected in the instruction group than in the control group (1457 versus 623, respectively), suggesting a higher index of suspicion for women who received training. Cumulative breast cancer mortality rates through 5 years from entry into the study were nearly equivalent for the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Breast self-examination has not led to a reduction in mortality from breast cancer in this study cohort in the first several years since the trial began. A shift toward the diagnosis of disease at a less advanced stage in women given instruction has also not been demonstrated. Longer follow-up of participants in this trial is required before final assessment can be made of the efficacy of breast self-examination. IMPLICATIONS: At this time, there is insufficient evidence to recommend for or against the teaching of breast self-examination.     

Preferred approaches to the determination of optical fibre mode field diameter

The letter describes the properties of the two most useful definitions of the mode field radius of a single-mode optical fibre when they are evaluated in the presence of noise for both near-field and far-field measurements.