A preliminary analysis of the biomass energy production potential in Africa in 2025 considering projected land needs for food production

This paper provides a preliminary examination of present and projected land use in Africa to estimate the potential availability of land in 2025 for use in producing biomass energy. Fifty countries are included in the analysis. Future cropland requirements are projected on the basis of average African cereal crop yield improvements since 1972, and minimum nutritional requirements are assumed to be met in 2025 without increasing imports above present absolute levels. Cropland, natural forests and other wilderness areas are excluded from consideration for biomass energy use. Woody biomass energy yields are estimated on the basis of nationally averaged precipitation, using a yield-precipitation correlation for commercial eucalyptus plantations in Brazil. The total African bioenergy production potential in 2025 is estimated to be about 18 EJ per year for a set of baseline assumptions that includes planting only 10% of the available non-crop, non-forest, non-wilderness area with biomass energy crops. A preliminary cost assessment suggests that much of this biomass could be produced for $1–2 GJ⁻¹. A number of uncertainties in the modelling assumptions are examined through a sensitivity analysis. Despite limitations in the model used here, one robust conclusion is that Africa as a whole has a significant biophysical potential for producing biomass energy. This result suggests that more detailed country and sub-country level assessments would be worthwhile to understand better the practical prospects for future biomass energy production in Africa.     

The effect of na and Sr modification on surface tension and volumetric shrinkage of A356 alloy and their influence on porosity formation

Modification of the eutectic Si in Al-Si foundry alloys by adding strontium or sodium is, unfortunately, accompanied by an increase of porosity in the casting. In an attempt to understand the nature of this problem, this study used a sessile-drop method to investigate the effect of Sr and Na on surface tension and volumetric shrinkage, two probable causes of porosity occur-rence. The addition of 0.01 wt pct Sr and 0.005 wt pct Na to A356 alloy decreases the surface tension of the liquid by about 19 and 10 pct, respectively, and may increase the volume shrink-age by about 12 pct. These changes to surface tension and volumetric shrinkage promote the early formation of the pores during solidification and give the availability of a longer period of growth prior to complete solidification, resulting in a larger pore size. The effect of surface tension on the pores is more significant than volumetric shrinkage. Although the predicted pore diameter increases with lower surface tension or higher volumetric shrinkage, these two effects alone do not seem able to completely account for the observed increase in porosity that is associated with modification.     

Gas-phase modification of rare-earth intermetallic compounds

Recent work concerning the interstitial modification of permanent magnet alloys based on rare-earth iron intermetallic compounds is reviewed. The crystal structure of the new materials is discussed, then the thermodynamic and statistical aspects of the low-temperature interstitial modification process are considered. Finally, reaction kinetics and thermal stability of the new compounds are discussed and future prospects assessed.     

Abnormal behavioral responses to fenfluramine in patients with affective and personality disorders. Correlation with increased serotonergic responsivity

Serotonergic responsivity was assessed in 20 psychiatric patients by the prolactin response to a fenfluramine challenge test. During the fenfluramine challenge 6 of 20 patients (30%) spontaneously reported psychopathologic reactions that included: increased anxiety/agitation, psychotic symptoms, illusions, mood elevation, and anergia. The time of peak behavioral symptoms (2.5 +/- 0.8 hrs) corresponded closely to the time of peak increase in prolactin levels (3.0 +/- 1.1 hr). Abnormal behavioral responders had statistically significant greater increases in prolactin 1 to 4 hr after fenfluramine when compared to normal responders. Patients who developed an abnormal psychopathologic response to fenfluramine were characterized by higher levels of anxiety and agitation at the time of admission to the hospital but otherwise were not distinguishable on the basis of severity of other psychiatric symptoms. This study suggests that increased serotonergic transmission may trigger anxiety, psychosis, and mood elevation in specific vulnerable individuals, whereas other patients with similar psychiatric illnesses are not affected.     

Directly Compressible Acetaminophen Compositions Prepared by Fluidized-Bed Granulation

Polyvinylpyrrolidone (PVP) in aqueous solution was used as a binding agent in a fluidized-bed system to agglomerate acetaminophen powder into directly compressible granules. It was found that a minimal amount of 5% w/w PVP in a concentration of 7.5% w/v or less was needed to produce granules with an acceptable flow and the corresponding tablets having enough hardness without capping. There was a strong correlation between the time for 80% dissolved (T₈₀) and the logarithm of granule volume-surface mean diameter. A directly compressible acetaminophen composition to manufacture tablets having a T₈₀ value less than 30 min can be prepared simply by adding an appropriate amount of disintegrant (crospovidone, sodium starch glycolate, or pregelatinized starch) to the agglomerated granules.     

Superconductivity in nearly single-phase Bi-Pb-Sr-Ca-Cu-O samples with different nominal compositions

The preparation conditions, phase composition, and superconducting properties of Bi-Pb-Sr-Ca-Cu oxide materials from different nominal compositions have been investigated. Nearly single-phase samples from Bi₂Pb_0.4Sr₂Ca₃Cu₄O _y , as well as from the proposed compositions Bi_1.8Pb_0.4Sr₂Ca₃Cu₄O _y and Bi_1.8Pb_0.4Sr₂Ca_2.5Cu_3.5O _y were obtained by a solid-state reaction in air. Samples with the third nominal composition showed the best superconducting properties (T _on=111 K and zero resistance atT ₀=103 K). A possible mechanism for the 2223 phase formation in the three investigated compositions has been discussed.     

Computer-intensive methods in statistical analysis

As far back as the late 1970s, the impact of affordable, high-speed computers on the theory and practice of modern statistics was recognized by Efron (1979, 1982). As a result, the bootstrap and other computer-intensive statistical methods (such as subsampling and the jackknife) have been developed extensively since that time and now constitute very powerful (and intuitive) tools to do statistics with. This article provides a readable, self-contained introduction to the bootstrap and jackknife methodology for statistical inference; in particular, the focus is on the derivation of confidence intervals in general situations. A guide to the available bibliography on bootstrap methods is also offered     

The development and creating of new-generation full-scope simulator and new technology of simulation

Set out is a brief account of the two major accomplishments by the Russian Research Center ‘Kurchatov Institute’ in creating the full-scope simulators and mathematical modeling technologies. Presented are the basic specifications of one of the world's largest simulators—the full-scope simulator for the Leningrad NPP which is the new-generation one. Owing to the extended modeling scope accomplished is the possibility of training personnel to act in terms of not only the design-basis but rather beyond the design-basis accidents. To minimize the expenditures for creating the simulators, analyzers and other modeling and control means, the RRC ‘Kurchatov Institute' has created the unique technology of mathmodeling automation. Thanks to its versatility and application at its creation of the ELUD philosophy (easy to learn, use and develop) good use is made of this technology both in nuclear and thermal power engineering, as well as in gas industry.