Estimating Outages Due to Polarization Mode Dispersion Using Extreme Value Statistics

Polarization mode dispersion (PMD) is a time varying phenomenon, which in a network can result in system outages. In this paper, it is demonstrated that the method of extreme value statistics can be used to model the occurrence of these rare events. The extreme value behavior of the bit error rate (BER) due to PMD is analyzed both theoretically and experimentally, revealing that the logarithm of the BER follows a Gumbel distribution     

"Choice processing in emotionally difficult decisions": Correction.

Reports an error in the article "Choice Processing in Emotionally Difficult Decisions' by Mary Frances Luce, James R. Bettman, and John W. Payne (Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 1997, Vol. 23, No. 2, pp. 384–405; see record 1997-03378-007). In Table 7 on page 396, the high conflict/low trade-off difficulty mean for the PATTERN variable was printed as -0.13, but the actual mean is 0.13. A portion of the original abstract follows: Extends the standard effort-accuracy approach to explaining task influences on decision processing by arguing that coping goals will interact with effort-minimization goals for negatively emotion-laden decision tasks. These coping goals may involve both a desire to process in a thorough, accurate manner and a desire to avoid particularly distressing aspects of processing. The authors hypothesized and found in 3 experiments that decision processing under increasing negative emotion both becomes more extensive and proceeds more by focusing on one attribute at a time. In particular, increased negative emotion leads to more attribute-based processing at the beginning of the decision process. The results are inconsistent with views that negative emotion acts only as an incentive or only as a source of decision complexity. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Synthesis and pharmacological evaluation of new flosulide analogues, synthesized from natural safrole

OBJECTIVE: To study the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy after curative hepatic resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. DESIGN: A randomized controlled trial. SETTING: A tertiary referral center. PATIENTS: During a 54-month period, 142 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma underwent hepatic resection at 1 institution. Sixty-six patients who survived the operation and had no demonstrable evidence of residual disease on ultrasonographic examination and hepatic angiographic testing at 1 month after surgery agreed to participate in the study. The median follow-up time was 28.3 months. INTERVENTION: Thirty patients received a combination of intravenous epirubicin hydrochloride (8 doses of 40 mg/m2 each at 6-week intervals) and transarterial chemotherapy using an emulsion of iodized oil and cisplatin (3 courses with a maximum dose of 20 mL each at 2-month intervals). Thirty-six patients had no adjuvant treatment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Recurrence rate and disease-free survival. RESULTS: A total of 138 courses of intravenous epirubicin was given to the 30 patients. Sixty-one courses of transarterial chemotherapy were given to only 29 of the 30 patients assigned to the treatment group, because the hepatic artery in 1 patient was thrombosed. Six patients (20%) had chemotherapy-related complications with no mortality. Twenty-three of 30 patients in the treatment group and 17 of 36 patients in the control group had recurrences (P=.01). Patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy had a higher incidence of extrahepatic metastases (11 patients vs 5 patients; P=.03). The respective disease-free survival rates at 1, 2, and 3 years were 50%,36%, and 18% for the treatment group and 69%, 53%, and 48% for the control group (P=.04). CONCLUSION: In a group of patients who underwent curative resection of hepatocellular carcinoma, postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy using the present regimen was associated with more frequent extrahepatic recurrences and a worse outcome.     

Analytic solution for the birefringence produced by thermal stress in polarization-maintaining optical fibers

Polarization-maintaining optical fibers are usually made by inducing a large anisotropic thermal stress in the core so that it appears highly birefringent. A simple analytic solution has been found for the birefringence in terms of the cross-sectional distribution of the high-expansion material used to create the thermal stress. The analysis is able to predict optimal structures which efficiently utilize the available stress and thus maximize the birefringence. It is shown that the optimum structure has a cross-sectional geometry resembling a bow-tie. Design rules are given whereby the dimensions may be chosen and these are verified in a simple experiment.     

Allocation of freeway ramp metering volumes to optimize corridor performance

A simple macroscopic freeway traffic corridor model is formulated for the purpose of developing optimal allocations of freeway on-ramp metering volumes. The model represents a freeway and a single parallel "equivalent surface street," both unidirectional, which are interconnected by freeway on-ramps. Since a choice of routes is included in the problem formulation, the fairly standard methodology of "traffic assignment" is employed to predict how drivers will react to the on-ramp metering. An explicit traffic assignment algorithm which includes ramp queueing is developed. Both the corridor and traffic assignment models are restricted to stationary traffic patterns. Two specific corridor performance criteria, freeway travel rate and total travel-time rate, are formulated in terms of the model variables. Then the problem of choosing ramp metering volumes to optimize a performance criterion is posed. A computationally efficient suboptimal dynamic programming scheme is developed and illustrated by an example.     

The relationship between overinclusive thinking, perceptual rigidity, and the discrimination learning of new concepts.

Compared 19 newly admitted psychiatric inpatients who showed overinclusive thinking on the Payne Object Classification Test with 24 patients matched for age, IQ, and abstraction ability who were not overinclusive. In a concept-attainment experiment, contrary to prediction, overinclusive Ss did not learn overinclusive concepts. There were no significant differences between the groups. However, overinclusive Ss, as predicted, showed an abnormal lack of "Einstellung" rigidity as measured by a flexibility score from the Brengelmann Picture Recognition Test. The overinclusion score of the object classification test correlated highly (.90) with this flexibility score. (French summary) (16 ref.) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Correction factors for the determination of optical-fibre refractive-index profiles by the near-field scanning technique

Numerical calculations are presented of the correction factor for use with the near-field scanning method of index profile determination. It is shown that a single curve can be applied to a range of possible profiles, and a numerically obtained average curve is given.