Predicting weekly defect inflow in large software projects based on project planning and test status

Defects discovered during the testing phase in software projects need to be removed before the software is shipped to the customers. The removal of defects can constitute a significant amount of effort in a project and project managers are faced with a decision whether to continue development or shift some resources to cope with defect removal. The goal of this research is to improve the practice of project management by providing a method for predicting the number of defects reported into the defect database in the project. In this paper we present a method for predicting the number of defects reported into the defect database in a large software project on a weekly basis. The method is based on using project progress data, in particular the information about the test progress, to predict defect inflow in the next three coming weeks. The results show that the prediction accuracy of our models is up to 72% (mean magnitude of relative error for predictions of 1 week in advance is 28%) when used in ongoing large software projects. The method is intended to support project managers in more accurate adjusting resources in the project, since they are notified in advance about the potentially large effort needed to correct defects.     

Bringing law and order to IEEE 802.11 networks—A case for DiscoSec

To improve the tarnished reputation of WLAN security, the new IEEE 802.11i standard provides means for mutual user authentication and assures confidentiality of user data. However, the IEEE 802.11 link-layer is still highly vulnerable to a plethora of simple, yet effective attacks which further jeopardize the already fragile security of wireless communications.Some of these vulnerabilities are related to limited hardware capabilities of access points and their abuse may result in serious degradation of control over the wireless connection, which, especially in the case of broadcast communication, allows for client hijacking attacks. Although these issues are known and their impact is expected to be less prevalent on modern equipment, this work demonstrates the opposite. In our experimental analysis, we tested frequently used access points, and by forcing them to operate on their performance limits, we identified significant operational anomalies and demonstrated their impact on security by implementing a novel version of the Man-In-The-Middle attack, to which we refer as the Muzzle attack.Secondly, this work describes DiscoSec, a solution for “patching” WLANs against a variety of such link-layer attacks. DiscoSec provides DoS-resilient key exchange, an efficient frame authentication, and a performance-oriented implementation. By means of extensive real-world measurements DiscoSec is evaluated, showing that even on very resource-limited devices the network throughput is decreased by only 22% compared to the throughput without any authentication, and by 6% on more performance-capable hardware. To demonstrate its effectiveness, DiscoSec is available as an open-source IEEE 802.11 device driver utilizing well-established cryptographic primitives provided by the Linux Crypto API and OpenSSL library.     

Computer-Forensik in der Praxis

Zusammenfassung  Im Zeitalter der Informationstechnologie und der umfassenden Vernetzung vieler Systeme ben?tigt ein Dieb weder eine Brechstange noch muss er im Schutze der Dunkelheit vorgehen. Vielmehr kann er über das Internet, oder lokale Netzwerke, kommen und gehen wann er will, ohne sich der Gefahr einer Entdeckung und Verhaftung auszusetzen. In vielen F?llen ist ein solcher Einbrecher l?ngst über alle Berge, bevor seine Tat überhaupt bemerkt wird. Trotzdem hinterl?sst er Spuren — deren Aufspürung und Analyse die Aufgabe des Computer-Forensikers ist. Zur Unterstützung dieser Arbeit existiert eine Vielzahl an Open-Source-Werkzeugen, die es durchaus mit ihrer kommerziellen Konkurrenz aufnehmen k?nnen.     

Pulmonary infiltrates in neutropenic patients with acute leukemia during chemotherapy: outcome and prognostic factors

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To determine predictors of mortality from pulmonary infiltrates in neutropenic patients with acute leukemia during chemotherapy, and the significance of those factors related to the underlying malignancy and its therapy as well as of those related to the severity of the illness associated with pulmonary infiltrates. DESIGN: A historical cohort study. SETTING: A university teaching hospital and tertiary referral center. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Overall, 53 patients with neutropenia during chemotherapy and with first episodes of pulmonary infiltrates during a 4-year period were studied. Prognostic analysis included 38 variables. Multivariate analyses were performed by logistic regression. RESULTS: The survival rate from pneumonia was 57% (30/53). The following eight parameters were significantly associated with death in univariate analysis: comorbidity present; development of "late" pulmonary infiltrates (> or = 14 days after hospital admission); heart rate > or = 100 beats/min; a ratio heart rate/systolic blood pressure (HR/SBP) > or = 1.2; urea nitrogen > 7 mmol/L; radiographic score > or = 3; neutropenia < 1.0x10(9)/L at the treatment end point; and failed complete remission. In a multivariate model including only parameters available at diagnosis of pulmonary infiltrates, the presence of a ratio HR/SBP > or = 1.2 and of a radiographic score > or = 3 remained independently associated with death. In a second model also including the evolutionary parameter neutropenia < or = 1.0x10(9)/L at the treatment end point, both parameters remained significant together with neutropenia <1.0x 10(9)/L at the treatment end point. The presence of a ratio HR/SBP > or = 1.2 was a strong marker of early death. CONCLUSION: Both therapy- and malignancy-associated neutropenia as well as the severity of illness associated with pulmonary infiltrates are independent prognostic factors. Patients with a ratio HR/SBP > or = 1.2 at diagnosis of pulmonary infiltrates suffer from potentially reversible acute illness, are at risk for early death and, therefore, may be appropriate candidates for treatment in an ICU.     

Radiometric calibration of the telescope and ultraviolet spectrometer SUMER on SOHO

The prelaunch spectral-sensitivity calibration of the solar spectrometer SUMER (Solar Ultraviolet Measurements of Emitted Radiation) is described. SUMER is part of the payload of the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO), which begins its scientific mission in 1996. The instrument consists of a telescope and a spectrometer capable of taking spatially and spectrally highly resolved images of the Sun in a spectral range from 50 to 161 nm. The pointing capabilities, the dynamic range, and the sensitivity of the instrument allow measurements both on the solar disk and above the limb as great as two solar radii. To determine plasma temperatures and densities in the solar atmosphere, the instrument needs an absolute spectral-sensitivity calibration. Here we describe the prelaunch calibration of the full instrument, which utilizes a radiometric transfer-standard source. The transfer standard was based on a high-current hollow-cathode discharge source. It had been calibrated in the laboratory for vacuum UV radiometry of the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt by use of the calculable spectral photon flux of the Berlin electron storage ring for synchrotron radiation (BESSY)-a primary radiometric source standard.     

A framework for developing measurement systems and its industrial evaluation

As in every engineering discipline, metrics play an important role in software development, with the difference that almost all software projects need the customization of metrics used. In other engineering disciplines, the notion of a measurement system (i.e. a tool used to collect, calculate, and report quantitative data) is well known and defined, whereas it is not as widely used in software engineering. In this paper we present a framework for developing custom measurement systems and its industrial evaluation in a software development unit within Ericsson. The results include the framework for designing measurement systems and its evaluation in real life projects at the company. The results show that with the help of ISO/IEC standards, measurement systems can be effectively used in software industry and that the presented framework improves the way of working with metrics. This paper contributes with the presentation of how automation of metrics collection and processing can be successfully introduced into a large organization and shows the benefits of it: increased efficiency of metrics collection, increased adoption of metrics in the organization, independence from individuals and standardized nomenclature for metrics in the organization.     

AR-based serious game framework for post-stroke rehabilitation

Stroke is considered one of the main causes of death around the world. Survivors often suffer different kinds of disabilities in terms of their cognitive and motor capabilities, and are therefore unable to perform their day-to-day activities. To regain some of their cognitive as well as motor abilities, they require rehabilitation. To this end, we present a serious game framework based on augmented reality technology that may motivate the patients’ involvement in the rehabilitation exercise. Additionally, we analyze the requirements for such a framework and describe the concept and implementation of the proposed approach. Furthermore, we designed a wireless vibrotactile output device that is attached to a tangible object. The tangible object that is connected to the framework can give haptic as well as audio-visual feedback to the patient in a more motivating and entertaining environment for rehabilitation exercises. The suitability and utility of the proposed framework was evaluated with real stroke patients and compared against the performance of a healthy control group, thus facilitating occupational therapists in assessing a patient’s progress. Our evaluations show that the serious games with vibrotactile feedback are well accepted by patients.     

Probabilistic knowledge representation using the principle of maximum entropy and Gröbner basis theory

An often used methodology for reasoning with probabilistic conditional knowledge bases is provided by the principle of maximum entropy (so-called MaxEnt principle) that realises an idea of least amount of assumed information and thus of being as unbiased as possible. In this paper we exploit the fact that MaxEnt distributions can be computed by solving nonlinear equation systems that reflect the conditional logical structure of these distributions. We apply the theory of Gröbner bases that is well known from computational algebra to the polynomial system which is associated with a MaxEnt distribution, in order to obtain results for reasoning with maximum entropy. We develop a three-phase compilation scheme extracting from a knowledge base consisting of probabilistic conditionals the information which is crucial for MaxEnt reasoning and transforming it to a Gröbner basis. Based on this transformation, a necessary condition for knowledge bases to be consistent is derived. Furthermore, approaches to answering MaxEnt queries are presented by demonstrating how inferring the MaxEnt probability of a single conditional from a given knowledge base is possible. Finally, we discuss computational methods to establish general MaxEnt inference rules.     

Reinforcement learning to adjust parametrized motor primitives to new situations

Humans manage to adapt learned movements very quickly to new situations by generalizing learned behaviors from similar situations. In contrast, robots currently often need to re-learn the complete movement. In this paper, we propose a method that learns to generalize parametrized motor plans by adapting a small set of global parameters, called meta-parameters. We employ reinforcement learning to learn the required meta-parameters to deal with the current situation, described by states. We introduce an appropriate reinforcement learning algorithm based on a kernelized version of the reward-weighted regression. To show its feasibility, we evaluate this algorithm on a toy example and compare it to several previous approaches. Subsequently, we apply the approach to three robot tasks, i.e., the generalization of throwing movements in darts, of hitting movements in table tennis, and of throwing balls where the tasks are learned on several different real physical robots, i.e., a Barrett WAM, a BioRob, the JST-ICORP/SARCOS CBi and a Kuka KR?6.     

SDS electrophoresis of legume seed proteins in horizontal ultrathin-layer pore gradient gels

Summary Horizontal SDS electrophoresis of 18 legume seed protein extracts was performed in ultrathin-layer polyacrylamide gels on foil supports. Separation results of the SD S pore gradient electrophoresis (T=4–22.5%) are compared to those of SDS electrophoresis in a constant pore size gel (T=10%). Resolution as well as the sensitivity (0.1 g protein per band) of the ultrathin-layer SDS pore-gradient electrophoresis were extremely high. Because of the very low gel thickness, separation, staining and drying were completed in substantially shorter times than achieved with conventional thick gels. An easy technique for casting ultrathin-layer (360 gm) concave gradient gels for 10 cm separation distance and a width of 25 cm is described. The even distribution of the concave exponential pore-gradient over the whole gel width is demonstrated. Molecular weights of the legume proteins are detected from 5,000 to 110,000 daltons. The protein patterns are genus- and species-specific.

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Horizontale Ultradünnschicht SDS-Gradientengel-Elektrophorese von Leguminosensamenproteinen

Zusammenfassung Die ausgezeichnete Trennschärfe der horizontalen Ultradünnschicht-SDS-Gradienten-gel Elektrophorese wird am Beispiel von Samenproteinen 18 verschiedener Leguminosengattungen, -arten und -sorten gezeigt. Es werden die Trennergebnisse der SDS-Elektrophorese mit Gelgradienten (T=4-22,5%) bzw. mit Gelen konstanter Porengröße (T=10%) verglichen. Das höchste Auslösungsvermögen und die beste Trennschärfe zeigen ultradünne Gradientengele. Die Nachweisempfindlichkeit ist bei allen Ultradünn-schicht-SDS-Elektrophoresen sehr hoch (0,1 g Protein/Bande). Da die auf Folie polymerisierten Gele sehr dünn sind (360 m) kann mit wesentlich verkürzten Trenn-, Färbe-, Entfärbe- und Trocknungszeiten gear-beitet werden. Es wird eine einfache Herstellung ultradünner Polyacrylamidgele mit exponentiellen konkaven Gradienten für die Trenndistanz von 10 cm mit einer Breite von 25 cm beschrieben. Die gerade und gleichmäßige Verteilung des Gradienten über die gesamte Gelbreite wird gezeigt. Mit der beschriebenen Methode werden bei den untersuchten Leguminosen-proteinen Molekulargewichte von 5 000 his 110 000 Dalton gefunden. Die Proteinmuster erweisen sich als gattungs- und artspezifisch.